Balanced Question Time panel tonight - of course not!

Balanced Question Time panel tonight - of course not!

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Scuffers

20,887 posts

275 months

Friday 2nd October 2015
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AJS- said:
What I don't really understand about Trident (maybe someone can enlighten me?) is this:

We keep hearing that terrorists could develop a dirty bomb in a school science lab, it's a fairly well understood technology which has been around for a while. We have the rockets to deliver them. Do we actually need to maintain a full on nuclear deterrent all the time (which seems to be very expensive) in order to potentially defend against something which may never happen anyway?

It seems like something which made sense during the cold war when a dispute with the USSR could potentially escalate to a nuclear stand off in a few days a la the Cuban missile crisis, but not much sense now, when it's pretty inconceivable that we would be at war with any nuclear power.

At very worst it seems like relations with Russia might deteriorate to the point that armed conflict becomes a possibility, but this would still take a few years.

Is it possible technically to have a more flexible nuclear deterrent which is cheaper to maintain throughout the decades where it's not needed?
Do you think if Ukraine has not surrendered its nucs Russia would have started the war there?

chris watton

22,477 posts

261 months

Friday 2nd October 2015
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ukwill said:
Why is Charlotte Church on QT?
Same reason they always wheel on that well renowned expert climate change scientist Vivian Westwood when discussing (nay, preaching) climate change or fracking.

confused

alfie2244

11,292 posts

189 months

Friday 2nd October 2015
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I just switched over and heard someone say Syria was due to global warming and then this happened...did I miss anything interesting?


ofcorsa

3,527 posts

244 months

Friday 2nd October 2015
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hidetheelephants said:
s2art said:
Halb said:
Portillo speaking sense on. Trident and stuff tonight.
I am not so sure. He never mentions that if we give up on our nuclear capability then we probably have to give up our seat on the UN security council. Thats a lot of influence lost.
That's one of the fundamental problems with the way the UN and the security council is set up; it's ridiculously slanted to the status quo and those who have buckets of instant sunshine. Reform it and remove the 'nuclear club' nature. An austere deterrent or no deterrent at all would free an enormous amount of defence spend for conventional forces.
I hear this a lot, But the point of nukes isn't to fight wars, It's to avoid them. Comparing to regular defence budget isn't really. fair.

Pan Pan Pan

9,928 posts

112 months

Friday 2nd October 2015
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ofcorsa said:
hidetheelephants said:
s2art said:
Halb said:
Portillo speaking sense on. Trident and stuff tonight.
I am not so sure. He never mentions that if we give up on our nuclear capability then we probably have to give up our seat on the UN security council. Thats a lot of influence lost.
That's one of the fundamental problems with the way the UN and the security council is set up; it's ridiculously slanted to the status quo and those who have buckets of instant sunshine. Reform it and remove the 'nuclear club' nature. An austere deterrent or no deterrent at all would free an enormous amount of defence spend for conventional forces.
I hear this a lot, But the point of nukes isn't to fight wars, It's to avoid them. Comparing to regular defence budget isn't really. fair.
Giving up nuclear arms is only a viable option if every country on the planet holding them does so, and can be confirmed as having done so, and also confirms that it will never go down the rout of acquiring nuclear weapons at any time in the future.
Far too much of a tall order to ever be possible IMHO.
Sadly if this is not the case, and nuclear arms are not taken out of the picture completely, it matter little how large or well trained / equipped a countries conventional forces might be, they are always going to be trumped by any country that still holds the nuclear threat over another it wishes to subdue.
Nuclear weapons technology cannot be uninvented, and whether agreed or not, few if any countries could be guaranteed not to resort to having or using them if they felt their very survival was at stake.

lauda

3,483 posts

208 months

Friday 2nd October 2015
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I'm just watching it now on iPlayer. Charlotte Church's contributions are just excruciating. She makes Russell Brand look like an intellectual heavyweight.

Pan Pan Pan

9,928 posts

112 months

Friday 2nd October 2015
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Paul Dishman said:
Welshbeef said:
Church cloud 9

She could talk bks all night long but it would be a hell of a good ride wink.
Too noisy for me
There is a way of sorting that outsmile

Strocky

2,650 posts

114 months

Friday 2nd October 2015
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Welshbeef said:
You'd still smash her back foot in though wink.
Welshbeef said:
Church cloud 9

She could talk bks all night long but it would be a hell of a good ride wink.
Welshbeef said:
Voice of an Angel
A couple of good points up front
Dynamite in bed
£16m in the bank
Literally gurl next door bound to be filthy



Did I say she's bound to be utterly filthy;)
Welshbeef said:
Oh come on she's a little girl (26yo) it's sweet - you should put your sausage in her mouth to stop her talking wink
Welshbeef said:
Given its live why was Church sober after the game?

Doesn't she like playing hide the sausage with the Squad......
Are you about 12? whistle

jmorgan

36,010 posts

285 months

Friday 2nd October 2015
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lauda said:
I'm just watching it now on iPlayer. Charlotte Church's contributions are just excruciating. She makes Russell Brand look like an intellectual heavyweight.
Think she is trying to be a version of him. Split the title to regions I say, he can have the English village idiot award and she can have the Welsh village idiot award.

Scuffers

20,887 posts

275 months

Thorodin

2,459 posts

134 months

Friday 2nd October 2015
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All this chat about the nuclear (oh, how I wish they would stop calling it nucular a la Ford Angular) deterrent interests me. Everyone seems to think all nuclear bombs are essentially total mass destruction. So far as I am aware a smaller device, say 1/8 ton, might limit the damage to only 10,000 people and several known government buildings without melting an entire country. Seems reasonable. I wonder if the terrorists have thought of that.

Edited by Thorodin on Friday 2nd October 14:12

ukwill

8,915 posts

208 months

Friday 2nd October 2015
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The Don of Croy

6,002 posts

160 months

Friday 2nd October 2015
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jmorgan said:
lauda said:
I'm just watching it now on iPlayer. Charlotte Church's contributions are just excruciating. She makes Russell Brand look like an intellectual heavyweight.
Think she is trying to be a version of him. Split the title to regions I say, he can have the English village idiot award and she can have the Welsh village idiot award.
A not unattractive, well funded, mother-of-two who has a nice singing voice. What's not to like? But her views and the thought processes on display makes me wonder who is advising her? If anyone?

She admires Corbyn over his 'not-pushing-the-nuclear-button' stance, so Dimbleby asks her about Trident and she cuts him off with "...that's a whole separate issue...". Later she sides with the 'anybody but the Tories' standpoint as advertised by Plaid (and SNP) regardless of the general voting pattern indicating the great unwashed don't follow this idea.

As has been debated before, these television and radio public fora are becoming the natural gathering place of emotional types keen to spout whatever populist guff gets some response. It's our fault for taking it seriously.

Scuffers

20,887 posts

275 months

Friday 2nd October 2015
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Thorodin said:
All this chat about the nuclear (oh, how I wish they would stop calling it nucular a la Ford Angular) deterrent interests me. Everyone seems to think all nuclear bombs are essentially total mass destruction. So far as I am aware a smaller device, say 1/8 ton, might limit the damage to only 10,000 people and several known government buildings without melting an entire country. Seems reasonable. I wonder if the terrorists have thought of that.
ie. Tactical Nuc's...


Esseesse

8,969 posts

209 months

Friday 2nd October 2015
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Scuffers said:
Thorodin said:
All this chat about the nuclear (oh, how I wish they would stop calling it nucular a la Ford Angular) deterrent interests me. Everyone seems to think all nuclear bombs are essentially total mass destruction. So far as I am aware a smaller device, say 1/8 ton, might limit the damage to only 10,000 people and several known government buildings without melting an entire country. Seems reasonable. I wonder if the terrorists have thought of that.
ie. Tactical Nuc's...
IIRC some of the Russian ones make ours look like tiny, correct? Personally I think it would be better to dump the US weapons and develop our own (and build our own power stations with our own tech too)...

Scuffers

20,887 posts

275 months

Friday 2nd October 2015
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Esseesse said:
IIRC some of the Russian ones make ours look like tiny, correct? Personally I think it would be better to dump the US weapons and develop our own (and build our own power stations with our own tech too)...
not sure, Trident is very much a multiple small warhead device, as opposed to a single big one.

it can carry either 14 x W76 (that have a yield of 100 kilotons) or 14 x W88 (that have an estimated yield of 475 kiloton), although under START I it's reduced to 8 (not sure the UK ones are included in this?)


QuantumTokoloshi

4,164 posts

218 months

Friday 2nd October 2015
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The one question not asked, is why do we have to spend £ billions on a ballistic missile / submarine etc. ?

A cruise missile tipped with a nuclear warhead is a much cheaper option and available today in tomahawk. A whole new cruise missile system will be much cheaper than a ballistic system in any case, as a lot of the tech will be off the shelf. It still provides the deterrent and then can also be launched off an SSN, SSG or even SSK, not just the large SSBN boats. The range is shorter for the current tomahawk system, but then the smaller subs can get closer to shore in any case.

A new cruise missile system can then can also be used for conventional bombardment, rather than a ballistic system which only has the one use.

gruffalo

7,529 posts

227 months

Friday 2nd October 2015
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QuantumTokoloshi said:
The one question not asked, is why do we have to spend £ billions on a ballistic missile / submarine etc. ?

A cruise missile tipped with a nuclear warhead is a much cheaper option and available today in tomahawk. A whole new cruise missile system will be much cheaper than a ballistic system in any case, as a lot of the tech will be off the shelf. It still provides the deterrent and then can also be launched off an SSN, SSG or even SSK, not just the large SSBN boats. The range is shorter for the current tomahawk system, but then the smaller subs can get closer to shore in any case.

A new cruise missile system can then can also be used for conventional bombardment, rather than a ballistic system which only has the one use.
Cruise are too slow and limited in range, intercontinental ballistic missiles are fast, really fast can hit pretty much anywhere on the planet from anywhere and hard to intercept.

Cobnapint

8,634 posts

152 months

Friday 2nd October 2015
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ukwill said:
Brilliant. Just about sums it up.

And just why does he always say 'you can tweet us' when the broadcast programme is actually recorded two hours earlier.
Seems a bit pointless.

hidetheelephants

24,463 posts

194 months

Friday 2nd October 2015
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Esseesse said:
Scuffers said:
Thorodin said:
All this chat about the nuclear (oh, how I wish they would stop calling it nucular a la Ford Angular) deterrent interests me. Everyone seems to think all nuclear bombs are essentially total mass destruction. So far as I am aware a smaller device, say 1/8 ton, might limit the damage to only 10,000 people and several known government buildings without melting an entire country. Seems reasonable. I wonder if the terrorists have thought of that.
ie. Tactical Nuc's...
IIRC some of the Russian ones make ours look like tiny, correct? Personally I think it would be better to dump the US weapons and develop our own (and build our own power stations with our own tech too)...
We already make our own; with the exception of very early on our nuclear deterrent has all been the work of AWE at Aldermaston, Burghfield etc. I've read anecdotes about US bombs being on loan in the 1950s, but the first UK-built weapon, Blue Danube, appeared in 1953. That continues today with Trident; we rent the fireworks from Lockheed Martin and fit our own buckets of instant sunshine on top.
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