Meanwhile, In Syria

Author
Discussion

Puggit

48,486 posts

249 months

Tuesday 24th November 2015
quotequote all
Quite - the best action the 'moderates' could follow would be to contact Russia and hand the pilot over. Maybe in exchange for some weapons, maybe from the goodness of their heart.

To carry out any Isis style atrocity will lead them to be condemned as no better, and won't be poking the bear with a stick, it will be sticking dynamite up the bear's arse.

AJS-

15,366 posts

237 months

Tuesday 24th November 2015
quotequote all
drivin_me_nuts said:
Who knows where this is heading and just for a moment there I did wonder to myself if the fundamentalists planned this or even realise they have bitten into the flesh of something that turned on them in a way they were not expecting.
If planned it could be a very shrewd bit of strategy.

Given there's already tension between Russia and the west, and that was starting to thaw over IS, what better way than to provoke Russia into some sort of retaliation against Turkey? Turkey can then scream NATO must defend it, and the west is faced with either doing the dirty work of IS in pushing Russia back from Syria, or doing nothing and the pact failing and Turkey showing the Arab world how the wicked west cares nothing for Muslims.

Transmitter Man

4,253 posts

225 months

Tuesday 24th November 2015
quotequote all
If the Turkmens have him I'm sure Erdogan will instruct them to hand the pilot back.

this just in on the wire;

"The plane reportedly fell in Yamadi village near the town of Bayirbucak in Latakia Province in northwest Syria. The area, largely populated by Turkmens, has been under attack by the Syrian military with cover from Russian airstrikes.

Last week, Turkey warned of a military response if the assaults on the Turkmens did not cease.

The office of Turkish Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu said that he has spoken with Chief of Staff Hulusi Akar and Foreign Minister Feridun Sinirlioğlu about the incident, and that he will consult with NATO and the UN about the developments."

Phil

Gargamel

15,011 posts

262 months

Tuesday 24th November 2015
quotequote all
Transmitter Man said:
Hopefully more than a few ordinary Russians will scratch their heads over this event & ask themselves "WTF are our planes doing flying over *Syria* anyway !?"
Ordinary Russians have absolutely no leverage or voice over what their Government get up too.

Personally I think the Russians are capable of doing a very useful job in Syria, but they are not straightforward allies, and clearly they are playing there own agenda.

You can wish for easy allies, but it won't happen in this "coalition"

Interestingly I learnt this morning that Saudi jets haven't flown a mission from three months

aeropilot

34,682 posts

228 months

Tuesday 24th November 2015
quotequote all
Puggit said:
Quite - the best action the 'moderates' could follow would be to contact Russia and hand the pilot over.
Makes I larf all thing continual referral to 'moderates'...... there's no such thing!

Of course, the dumb western polititians keep trotting out the same old st to try and justify the fact that they keep making the same mistake over and over again......

banghead


drivin_me_nuts

17,949 posts

212 months

Tuesday 24th November 2015
quotequote all
But again, behind the scenes right now there is a complete scramble of phone calls, meetings, discussions and responses at all levels of the political tree. They will stand and pose posture politics - they have to, but behind the scenes there will be an entirely different set of dialogues. Turkey has it's own agenda and one that eyes the situation next door both in fear and also as the potential to up it's political influence in the region.

After all,, the ultimate aim of many there is to join the European 'family'.

My gut feeling is that already the dialogues between Turkey and Russia is being moderated by others.


It's how the pilot's circumstances now that will determine much more. In fact, the actions of both nations have played into the hands of the terrorists perfectly.

There is no greater PR they could ever want (bar a US, FR or GB pilot), than to have a captive to do things to. He is the terrorist's perfect day come true. All eyes on them. The one thing that would be worse, would be a failed rescue mission.....

Transmitter Man

4,253 posts

225 months

Tuesday 24th November 2015
quotequote all
Russia uses arms to 'protect' Rus speakers in Ukraine . Turkey is simply protecting Turkmen in Syria . Putin's just enjoying his own medicine - not.

Phil

NelsonP

240 posts

140 months

Tuesday 24th November 2015
quotequote all
I don't get any of this any more. It reminds me of that scene in the Life of Brian:
We're the Judean Peoples Front, we're the Peoples Front of Judea etc. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gb_qHP7VaZE
To continue the analogy the 'Romans' must be NATO, Russia, China and anyone else that is queuing up to drop bombs on ISIS.

As far as I can tell, all of these 'insurgent groups' are the bad guys, but no-one can really tell who is worse than the other. Our Government included.

Seems that what has changed is that these people are now able to get AK47s into places that they couldn't previously. That is the scary part.


AJS-

15,366 posts

237 months

Tuesday 24th November 2015
quotequote all
drivin_me_nuts said:
After all,, the ultimate aim of many there is to join the European 'family'.
Not so sure about that. Erdogan, and a big faction in the country would rather be more aligned with the Arab/Muslim world.

QuantumTokoloshi

4,165 posts

218 months

Tuesday 24th November 2015
quotequote all
Transmitter Man said:
Russia uses arms to 'protect' Rus speakers in Ukraine . Turkey is simply protecting Turkmen in Syria . Putin's just enjoying his own medicine - not.

Phil
So now he is protecting them, few months ago Erdogen was dropping bombs on them. Which is it?

aeropilot

34,682 posts

228 months

Tuesday 24th November 2015
quotequote all
drivin_me_nuts said:
It's how the pilot's circumstances now that will determine much more. In fact, the actions of both nations have played into the hands of the terrorists perfectly.

There is no greater PR they could ever want (bar a US, FR or GB pilot), than to have a captive to do things to. He is the terrorist's perfect day come true. All eyes on them. The one thing that would be worse, would be a failed rescue mission.....
Reports are that both crew now dead....

darren f

982 posts

214 months

Tuesday 24th November 2015
quotequote all
Strewth:- Turkmen, Kurds, Pro-Assad, Anti-Assad, Shia, Sunni etc. etc., it's difficult to know what side we should be on isn't it?

aeropilot

34,682 posts

228 months

Tuesday 24th November 2015
quotequote all
darren f said:
Strewth:- Turkmen, Kurds, Pro-Assad, Anti-Assad, Shia, Sunni etc. etc., it's difficult to know what side we should be on isn't it?
The sensible choice would have been to not pick any side.......and to have stayed out of it.

Puggit

48,486 posts

249 months

Tuesday 24th November 2015
quotequote all
Putin said:
Today’s tragic event will have serious consequences including for Russia’s relationship with Turkey.
One line from a lengthy but punchy statement.

drivin_me_nuts

17,949 posts

212 months

Tuesday 24th November 2015
quotequote all
Staying out long ago became a non option.

No one wants to put feet on sand again.

Puggit

48,486 posts

249 months

Tuesday 24th November 2015
quotequote all
Interesting comment from Putin:

[quote]The pilots were part of an operation against Isil in the mountainous areas of north Latakia, where there is a concentration of militants from the Russian Federation. That is, they were fulfilling their direct duty of preventing attacks by those who might return to Russia. And people who do that should be qualified as international terrorists.
[/quote]

At least it explains why Russia is going after non-ISIS groups, he's going after the jihadis who have Russian backgrounds. Again, clever Putin - after all the UK has done the same thing (at a much smaller level!)

Transmitter Man

4,253 posts

225 months

Tuesday 24th November 2015
quotequote all
Puggit said:
At least it explains why Russia is going after non-ISIS groups, he's going after the jihadis who have Russian backgrounds. Again, clever Putin - after all the UK has done the same thing (at a much smaller level!)
...and the alternative;

To Putin anyone fighting Assad is a terrorist, that is he long bow logic he uses to say Turkey supports terrorists.

Turkmen have lived in Syria for centuries and lead a peaceful existence in their region. It is Russia who has broken international law by targeting civilians.

There are several cities and villages in Syria with significant Turkmen
communities. The Turkish Encyclopedia claims there are 523 Turkmen
villages in Syria. The main areas of Turkmen concentration are the regions straddling the Turkish border, particularly in the Aleppo and Latakia Governorates. The cities of Aleppo, Manbij, al-Bab, Jarabulus, Azaz, Qatma all have significant Turkmen populations, largely descendants of the Barak tribes, which also dominate the Turkish areas of Killis, Antep and Urfa. In the Latakia Governorate, the border regions of Ras al-Bassit and Bayir (Baer) are predominantly populated by Turkmens.

Phil

Transmitter Man

4,253 posts

225 months

Tuesday 24th November 2015
quotequote all
Moscow hasn't provided its own sat imagery/jet flight path because it still hasn't finished doctoring them yet rofl

Phil

QuantumTokoloshi

4,165 posts

218 months

Tuesday 24th November 2015
quotequote all
aeropilot said:
Puggit said:
Quite - the best action the 'moderates' could follow would be to contact Russia and hand the pilot over.
Makes I larf all thing continual referral to 'moderates'...... there's no such thing!

Of course, the dumb western polititians keep trotting out the same old st to try and justify the fact that they keep making the same mistake over and over again......

banghead
I am really struggling to find anyone actually doing the fighting in Syria. There seems to be moderates coming out of every orifice. Al Qaeda is now in the moderate definition.

There seems more peace and moderate groups in Syria, than a Zen garden Woodstock concert on weed.

Those moderate Islamist Turkmen groups, that fight alongside, and support Al Qaeda / Al Nusra.

Just moderates being moderate, in fact their flag is beige, and a war cry of "Allah U moderate" smile

Edited by QuantumTokoloshi on Tuesday 24th November 14:30

Ali_T

3,379 posts

258 months

Tuesday 24th November 2015
quotequote all
Transmitter Man said:
Correct, and nothings changed, not even an ex-Russian airliner downed in Egypt bar the last weeks token gesture hits against IS by Putin. He is still hitting areas across Syria where only more moderate opposition forces are located.

Everyone is saying this both the west and the moderate opposition groups.

Phil
Soooo, the people getting bombed are saying they're moderates? Should we believe them?