Traders: Millions by the minute. BBC i Player

Traders: Millions by the minute. BBC i Player

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g4ry13

16,985 posts

255 months

Wednesday 8th October 2014
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A friend of mine at work has a friend. She went and stuck £8k down on some stocks (QPP). This girl wouldn't bet £20 on a football match i'm sure.

But when it comes to stocks, people see it as an investment and are very comfortable lumping around sizeable money which they can't really afford to spare on things they don't know about. It's a little bit scary.

Hoofy

76,358 posts

282 months

Wednesday 8th October 2014
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It's an in-vest-ment. That's 3 syllables. Foot-ball only has 2. biggrin

sjn2004

4,051 posts

237 months

Thursday 9th October 2014
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This is pretty scary..

http://www.complaintsboard.com/complaints/plus500-...

Seems the prices are just made up and don't match real world values. When users question this they are told the prices on the platform are futures ,not todays price. They even had the FTSE out by 50points!

Dr Jekyll

23,820 posts

261 months

Thursday 9th October 2014
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g4ry13 said:
A friend of mine at work has a friend. She went and stuck £8k down on some stocks (QPP). This girl wouldn't bet £20 on a football match i'm sure.

But when it comes to stocks, people see it as an investment and are very comfortable lumping around sizeable money which they can't really afford to spare on things they don't know about. It's a little bit scary.
To be fair buying stocks (as opposed to spread betting) is more like buying a property to rent out than betting on a sporting event. Risky, sure, but the chance of losing your entire 'stake' is pretty slim and the chance of at least some profit relatively high.

walm

10,609 posts

202 months

Thursday 9th October 2014
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Dr Jekyll said:
To be fair buying stocks (as opposed to spread betting) is more like buying a property to rent out than betting on a sporting event. Risky, sure, but the chance of losing your entire 'stake' is pretty slim and the chance of at least some profit relatively high.
Clearly if you assume that the historical 5-7% return continues then holding onto a tracker for the long term fits your description.
Short term trading individual equities is far removed from that though.
If she is loath to bet £20 for fear of losing it all then putting £8k on the line is giving you a good chance of losing FAR FAR more than £20!!

Hoofy

76,358 posts

282 months

Thursday 9th October 2014
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I think you stand a slim chance of earning far more than your risk betting on football. I mean if you think England will be st tonight and only score 2 goals then you could bet on Under 2.5 Goals which is currently 21-1.

g4ry13

16,985 posts

255 months

Thursday 9th October 2014
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Dr Jekyll said:
g4ry13 said:
A friend of mine at work has a friend. She went and stuck £8k down on some stocks (QPP). This girl wouldn't bet £20 on a football match i'm sure.

But when it comes to stocks, people see it as an investment and are very comfortable lumping around sizeable money which they can't really afford to spare on things they don't know about. It's a little bit scary.
To be fair buying stocks (as opposed to spread betting) is more like buying a property to rent out than betting on a sporting event. Risky, sure, but the chance of losing your entire 'stake' is pretty slim and the chance of at least some profit relatively high.
It just comes down to if you prefer to lose your money in 90 minutes or over the space of a few months/year. Hope & hold is usually an option unless the company goes under / withdrawn / suspended. But by then the money is lost even if it's not a realised loss.

jinkster

2,248 posts

156 months

Saturday 11th October 2014
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Brilliant series - really enjoyed it. I've bought the third Naked Trader book after watching and now got to watch 'American Psycho' - thanks Piston Heads!

Hoofy

76,358 posts

282 months

Saturday 11th October 2014
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jinkster said:
'American Psycho'
I wouldn't use it for investment advice. biggrin

RAClNG SNAKE

3,606 posts

232 months

Saturday 11th October 2014
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Get some pills form the film Limitless to really make it big. wink

jinkster

2,248 posts

156 months

Saturday 11th October 2014
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Hoofy said:
jinkster said:
'American Psycho'
I wouldn't use it for investment advice. biggrin
Brilliant film

Derek Chevalier

3,942 posts

173 months

Sunday 12th October 2014
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Hoofy said:
Aye. Spook them out by talking about MACD and Stochastics.
Does anyone believe that the above methods work?

Condi

17,190 posts

171 months

Sunday 12th October 2014
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Derek Chevalier said:
Hoofy said:
Aye. Spook them out by talking about MACD and Stochastics.
Does anyone believe that the above methods work?
Technical analysis? Yeah, loads of people. You would be stupid to trade professionally without any regard for technicals, even if you dont follow them to the letter.

TA wont tell you what will happen, it will tell you what might happen, and its up to you to infer and read the indicators. That said, fundamentals will always win in the end.

Derek Chevalier

3,942 posts

173 months

Sunday 12th October 2014
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Condi said:
Derek Chevalier said:
Hoofy said:
Aye. Spook them out by talking about MACD and Stochastics.
Does anyone believe that the above methods work?
Technical analysis? Yeah, loads of people. You would be stupid to trade professionally without any regard for technicals, even if you dont follow them to the letter.

TA wont tell you what will happen, it will tell you what might happen, and its up to you to infer and read the indicators. That said, fundamentals will always win in the end.
But surely if there were such an inefficiency this would've been swallowed up by some hedge fund using an algorithm, leaving nothing left for Joe Punter?

Condi

17,190 posts

171 months

Sunday 12th October 2014
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Derek Chevalier said:
But surely if there were such an inefficiency this would've been swallowed up by some hedge fund using an algorithm, leaving nothing left for Joe Punter?
Undoubtedly some do trade like that, but not many. Thing is, if the MACD gives you a buy signal, on its own it might not mean much. Things like Fibonacci retacements can be more reliable, but its not a yes/no job.

335d

758 posts

118 months

Monday 13th October 2014
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Derek Chevalier said:
Hoofy said:
Aye. Spook them out by talking about MACD and Stochastics.
Does anyone believe that the above methods work?
The only use I found for them while working as an investment bank trader, was to get an idea what those who believed in them were thinking. Along the lines of, if it breaks through this key level, it is going to move some way - if enough people believe that then it becomes self-fulfilling to an extent.

That said, the vast majority of my trading, and that of my colleagues was not outright directional, but looking for relative value between different instruments, or sometimes different parts of the yield curve.

Hoofy

76,358 posts

282 months

Monday 13th October 2014
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335d said:
if enough people believe that then it becomes self-fulfilling
Indeed! So it works whether it works or not. silly

ATG

20,575 posts

272 months

Monday 13th October 2014
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Technicals also gives people something to talk about and some sense of (generally false) certainty to cling to. Traders are supposed to have a view all the time and are supposed to know what is going on all the time. Everyone expects that of them. Technicals always give you something to say and are sufficiently imprecise that no one can say you're wrong, but they can always find some other technical indicator that points in a different direction. So now you can have what sounds like a discussion and you can both tut and agree things are difficult to predict at the moment. Lovely. And 99% meaningless.

As 335 says, they can be useful for predicting the potential size of a movement and also when it is likely to occur. Fnarr. Several years ago I worked on an asset allocation model for a long short equity fund based on neutral networks. It was fed a mixture of technical and fundamental data, and you could see that it used some of the technical measures to drive its timing. Not fibonacci gibberish, but short versus slightly longer trend measures.

twinturboz

1,278 posts

178 months

Monday 13th October 2014
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Perfect example of the self filling phrophecy soon as the S&P lost the 200 DMA today all the sell orders kicked in.

Edited by twinturboz on Monday 13th October 22:25

Derek Chevalier

3,942 posts

173 months

Tuesday 14th October 2014
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twinturboz said:
Perfect example of the self filling phrophecy soon as the S&P lost the 200 DMA today all the sell orders kicked in.

Edited by twinturboz on Monday 13th October 22:25
How do you know it was because of this?