BTL Tax rules post 2020 - am i on the right track?

BTL Tax rules post 2020 - am i on the right track?

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Discussion

caymanbill

Original Poster:

378 posts

135 months

Sunday 18th October 2015
quotequote all
Hello Finance gurus. I'm in the process of trying to figure out if a new BTL is going to be worth while given the changes in tax which are coming.
I've attempted a back of a fag packet calculation below.

Does this calculation look "roughly" correct or am i on the complete wrong track here?

The assumption is that post 2020 my total earnings will push me into the higher tax band.

Would appreciate your collective views!


BoRED S2upid

19,683 posts

240 months

Sunday 18th October 2015
quotequote all
Looks right to me.

sumo69

2,164 posts

220 months

Sunday 18th October 2015
quotequote all
If you want to let me have an e-mail address, I will let you have a copy of the before/after tax changes tool that I have discussed with some clients.

One point - you have correctly removed the 10% wear & tear allowance but its likely you will have other allowable repairs/renewals costs to deduct.

ETA: A negative after-tax result is not unusual once all the changes occur - I have seen worse results than the OP's which mean capital will be eroded with ongoing negative cashflow.

David

Edited by sumo69 on Sunday 18th October 21:25

caymanbill

Original Poster:

378 posts

135 months

Sunday 18th October 2015
quotequote all
Cheers for the feedback both! email sent smile

Simpo Two

85,351 posts

265 months

Sunday 18th October 2015
quotequote all
The numbers may add up but I'd fine you £100 for spelling!

Ozzie Osmond

21,189 posts

246 months

Monday 19th October 2015
quotequote all
The more I look at it the more fundamentally wrong those figures become. What worries me most isn't so much that the OP has got it wrong but that other people are jumping up and saying it's correct!

Rent 950
less Mortgage 683
less service charge 86
less agent 76
less VAT on agent 15

net cash received = 90

So in a full year 12 x 90 = 1,080 net cash received

And that's BEFORE tax!

......or have I lost the plot?

Ozzie Osmond

21,189 posts

246 months

Monday 19th October 2015
quotequote all
And tax relief is changing from 40% to 20%, not from 100% to 20%.

PurpleMoonlight

22,362 posts

157 months

Monday 19th October 2015
quotequote all
Why is the tax assessment changing from all at 20% to all at 40%?

If you have some scope for 20% now will you not still have some come 2020?

sumo69

2,164 posts

220 months

Monday 19th October 2015
quotequote all
Ozzie Osmond said:
And tax relief is changing from 40% to 20%, not from 100% to 20%.
Not quite - currently 100% tax relief reducing taxable income but this is changing to 0% tax relief increasing taxable income by 100% of the interest with a 20% tax credit for the interest.

So lots of basic rate taxpayers will then be higher rate, income > £50k means withdrawal of child benefit, income > £100k means withdrawal of personal allowances etc etc.

A minefield waiting to go bang!

David


Edited by sumo69 on Tuesday 20th October 01:46

Ozzie Osmond

21,189 posts

246 months

Monday 19th October 2015
quotequote all
sumo69 said:
A minefield waiting to go bang!
As I have suggested many times on here and despite the onward rush of participants, BTL is not the answer to every investment/savings question. Real costs are often far higher than people expect or admit. Personally I hope the reduction in tax relief will bring some common sense to bear.

Eric Mc

121,951 posts

265 months

Monday 19th October 2015
quotequote all
That was part of the plan.

mackay45

832 posts

171 months

Monday 19th October 2015
quotequote all
Not my area of expertise but there is an article about it here (with some illustrative figures):
http://www.accountingweb.co.uk/article/huge-tax-bi...

caymanbill

Original Poster:

378 posts

135 months

Monday 19th October 2015
quotequote all
Ozzie Osmond said:
The more I look at it the more fundamentally wrong those figures become. What worries me most isn't so much that the OP has got it wrong but that other people are jumping up and saying it's correct!

Rent 950
less Mortgage 683
less service charge 86
less agent 76
less VAT on agent 15

net cash received = 90

So in a full year 12 x 90 = 1,080 net cash received

And that's BEFORE tax!

......or have I lost the plot?
No, you haven't lost the plot. Just realised that i wasn't including my tax deductible items (service charge & agents fees) from my final calculation. Doh.

caymanbill

Original Poster:

378 posts

135 months

Monday 19th October 2015
quotequote all
PurpleMoonlight said:
Why is the tax assessment changing from all at 20% to all at 40%?

If you have some scope for 20% now will you not still have some come 2020?
I'm sat on the edge of the 20/40% band at the moment, so the fact that the full rental amount will be taxable will push me right over into the higher band.

CoolHands

18,606 posts

195 months

Monday 19th October 2015
quotequote all
so landlords won't want to make a loss so won't invest. So what will people rent? As they still won't be able to afford their own property. Or LL en masse increase rent by hell of a lot to make profit. Could make things worse.

TheLordJohn

5,746 posts

146 months

Monday 19th October 2015
quotequote all
Ozzie Osmond said:
As I have suggested many times on here and despite the onward rush of participants, BTL is not the answer to every investment/savings question. Real costs are often far higher than people expect or admit. Personally I hope the reduction in tax relief will bring some common sense to bear.
Yep, common sense. So they're changing the tax rules to put people off investing in BTL, so they prop up the disaster that is waiting to happen stock market!
Or, we can pretend it's to help 'control' house prices.

rufusgti

2,528 posts

192 months

Monday 19th October 2015
quotequote all
F
CoolHands said:
so landlords won't want to make a loss so won't invest. So what will people rent? As they still won't be able to afford their own property. Or LL en masse increase rent by hell of a lot to make profit. Could make things worse.

I'm in a similar position to caymenbill but reckon I can keep below the 40% bracket. But I've invested in BTL and like CoolHands says don't want to be making a loss. I think the outcome will be different though. Landlords can't just hike the rent. That's because there's so many BTL'ers without any mortgages, who won't be effected by this, who don't need to hike their rents. Where I have properties there's very little room for movement on rent. You can't just add £100 quid per month. It's very much set that a 2 bed in that area or a 3 bed in that area is X amount rent.

If BTL'ers don't want to invest then prices will drop. Simple supply and demand dictates this. Prices will drop until those FTBers who feel like they can't afford to buy will start to buy. And prices will drop until BTL'ers can reach the figures they need to invest.

Nobody knows what house prices will do. Anyone's guess is just that. But my guess is prices will start to stall by mid summer 2016.

jonny70

1,280 posts

158 months

Tuesday 20th October 2015
quotequote all
caymanbill said:
Hello Finance gurus. I'm in the process of trying to figure out if a new BTL is going to be worth while given the changes in tax which are coming.
I've attempted a back of a fag packet calculation below.

Does this calculation look "roughly" correct or am i on the complete wrong track here?

The assumption is that post 2020 my total earnings will push me into the higher tax band.

Would appreciate your collective views!

Dont forget as Interest rates eventually rise so will your mortgage and in turn your tax bill.

superlightr

12,852 posts

263 months

Tuesday 20th October 2015
quotequote all
caymanbill said:
Ozzie Osmond said:
The more I look at it the more fundamentally wrong those figures become. What worries me most isn't so much that the OP has got it wrong but that other people are jumping up and saying it's correct!

Rent 950
less Mortgage 683
less service charge 86
less agent 76
less VAT on agent 15

net cash received = 90

So in a full year 12 x 90 = 1,080 net cash received

And that's BEFORE tax!

......or have I lost the plot?
No, you haven't lost the plot. Just realised that i wasn't including my tax deductible items (service charge & agents fees) from my final calculation. Doh.
As a letting agent - I would recommend you work on the property being let for 10 out of 12 months. Hopefully it will be more. Are you 100% sure that is all the charges the agent will make to you?
Are you going to be based in the UK?
The service charge - If for a flat then that figure may go up or down you may be surcharged. - have you checked out the managements companies budgets that look after the flats? ie what reserve fund they hold, what work is planned etc, how well its looked after? (we used to look after blocks of flats as well)


Your main benefit of being a BTL owner should be the capital growth not necessarily the income.

Edited by superlightr on Tuesday 20th October 15:46

number2

4,295 posts

187 months

Tuesday 20th October 2015
quotequote all
superlightr said:
Your main benefit of being a BTL owner should be the capital growth not necessarily the income.

Edited by superlightr on Tuesday 20th October 15:46
This is the key benefit if you are borrowing a significant proportion of the money to invest - it's a geared investment.

I put some figures together for a comparison of cash-flow and return under old rules and new rules, over a 25 year term. More assumptions have been made than you can shake a stick at but it illustrates that a "typical" buy-to-let flat could easily be cash-flow negative for many years under the new rules but that the bulk of the return will be from the assumed capital appreciation (CGT ignored for the comparison).