GBP/USD exchange rates

GBP/USD exchange rates

Author
Discussion

RYH64E

Original Poster:

7,960 posts

244 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
Unusually for me, I took the prudent step of hedging my USD currency requirements last Thursday, so I'm out of the currency markets for at least a couple of months, I've just had a call from the people who look after my currency advising me to buy some more at today's rate of 1.32 because they're expecting a fall to as low as 1.10 over the next few months, and that's against the USD not the EUR... I'll be putting my prices up to my UK customers from July and I won't be alone, anything priced in USD (oil, gas, anything from America and China) will be getting significantly more expensive any time soon.

philv

3,943 posts

214 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
Heading for parity against the euro.
Hopefully it stops tbere!

Pheo

3,339 posts

202 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
Hmm I have a trip planned in August September time. Not expecting to need that much cash but I wonder if I should hedge by locking in today's rate in my revolut account...

wibble cb

3,606 posts

207 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
got to ask, how much do you need/use that hedging is actually worthwhile?

twinturboz

1,278 posts

178 months

Tuesday 28th June 2016
quotequote all
RYH64E said:
I've just had a call from the people who look after my currency advising me to buy some more at today's rate of 1.32 because they're expecting a fall to as low as 1.10 over the next few months
A plausible scenario, the 30 yr low comes in at around 1.04, just have to see how well it bounces and if it holds in the coming days/weeks.

jeff m2

2,060 posts

151 months

Tuesday 28th June 2016
quotequote all
If George Sorros happens to add to this thread...... do the opposite cos he just got it wrong big time.

Strength of the Pound will/may be decided by how Boris decides to proceed and how quickly he can convince those that matter he has a handle on the situation.

Isn't that scarysmile.

Noblebenn

297 posts

186 months

Wednesday 29th June 2016
quotequote all
Argentex Chris provided us with some useful information recently on this. He advisors a lot of Pistonhead members.

RYH64E

Original Poster:

7,960 posts

244 months

Wednesday 29th June 2016
quotequote all
Noblebenn said:
Argentex Chris provided us with some useful information recently on this. He advisors a lot of Pistonhead members.
If anyone knew what was going to happen they wouldn't have to work for a living, advice on currency market movements is little better than guesswork in my experience.

pilbeam_mp62

955 posts

201 months

Wednesday 29th June 2016
quotequote all
twinturboz said:
RYH64E said:
I've just had a call from the people who look after my currency advising me to buy some more at today's rate of 1.32 because they're expecting a fall to as low as 1.10 over the next few months
A plausible scenario, the 30 yr low comes in at around 1.04, just have to see how well it bounces and if it holds in the coming days/weeks.
I was trading GBP/USD at Midland Bank (now HSBC) in February 1985,when the rate touched 1.0470... That was the lowest I have seen in my trading career, which started in 1981.

Ozzie Osmond

21,189 posts

246 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
OT. I'm just off to buy some Euros for a continental trip. I think it's going to hurt...

XMT

3,794 posts

147 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
I am glad I came across this thread because this is something that has crossed my mind but it does have me a little worried. Are people really expecting USD to fall?

I just assumed it would stay around the same or increase?
If there is a general view point it will drop then I might open a dollar account and exchange some business funds. We import in USD and the current hit is bad enough, dont really want to take any further hits.

RYH64E

Original Poster:

7,960 posts

244 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
XMT said:
I am glad I came across this thread because this is something that has crossed my mind but it does have me a little worried. Are people really expecting USD to fall?

I just assumed it would stay around the same or increase?
If there is a general view point it will drop then I might open a dollar account and exchange some business funds. We import in USD and the current hit is bad enough, dont really want to take any further hits.
If we knew we'd all be rich, advice I've had is to expect further falls but who knows.

I've covered the next few months requirements and am putting up my prices to customers, even at 1.40 I need to increase prices to maintain margins. I've had a surprisingly understanding response from customers so far, they've all accepted the need for price increases.

twinturboz

1,278 posts

178 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
Put it this way the BOE will be in no rush to defend the £.

XMT

3,794 posts

147 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
Thanks for the advise guys, going to do some research and look into if the GBP favours any better against HKD or RMB.

RYH64E

Original Poster:

7,960 posts

244 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
I wouldn't be surprised if we see an interest rate cut soon, that won't do the pound any favours.

XMT

3,794 posts

147 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
RYH64E said:
I wouldn't be surprised if we see an interest rate cut soon, that won't do the pound any favours.
Is there a time period of when this might be announced or is it just whenver the BOE have some time in between lunch and dinner.

RYH64E

Original Poster:

7,960 posts

244 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
It's all guesswork.

jeff m2

2,060 posts

151 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
XMT said:
RYH64E said:
I wouldn't be surprised if we see an interest rate cut soon, that won't do the pound any favours.
Is there a time period of when this might be announced or is it just whenver the BOE have some time in between lunch and dinner.
Carne indicated July or August is his rather long address this morning.
It was a very well prepared and delivered speech, and I'm sure it had some effect on the FTSE.

Pity it didn't have the same effect on the Pound, although "I'm looking at a rate cut" etc etc .. is dovish

twinturboz

1,278 posts

178 months

Tuesday 5th July 2016
quotequote all
At September 1985 prices now.

jeff m2

2,060 posts

151 months

Tuesday 5th July 2016
quotequote all
twinturboz said:
At September 1985 prices now.
'65 would be betterbiggrin