Impact of the US election on the dollar value

[supercommuter]

Anybody have any insight on the value of the dollar post election if it swings either way? I know it could go anywhere - but I would like to know some arguments as to why if possible.

I have a fair amount of money being paid to me from stock options in the US at the end of November which the fluctuation has quite an impact on. Given the dollars strength at the moment it would be a great time for me to cash out. Sadly I cannot until its maturity at the end of November.

[davepoth]

The market has priced in the expected result - Clinton by a country mile - so expect a bit of a crash if Trump wins. Either way you'll be no worse off than if the option had matured in early June.

[trickywoo]

davepoth said:

The market has priced in the expected result - Clinton by a country mile - so expect a bit of a crash if Trump wins. Either way you'll be no worse off than if the option had matured in early June.

Do you think its largely priced into health related shares as well given Clinton's views on so called 'profiteering'?

[jeff m2]

trickywoo said:

davepoth said:

The market has priced in the expected result - Clinton by a country mile - so expect a bit of a crash if Trump wins. Either way you'll be no worse off than if the option had matured in early June.

Do you think its largely priced into health related shares as well given Clinton's views on so called 'profiteering'?

I would be very very careful with health related shares, providers and insurers, biotechs are different, they have seen phenomenal growth since they wrote the obamacare for Obama, but things have started to unravel a bit, plans are being withdrawn in some states because the companies did not make money. The companies that remained were able to double their premiums to get into the black. (lack of competition).

I would not read too much into what either/any candidate says during an election campaign.
The Democarats traditionally get a lot of money from the investment side of banking, take from that what you will.
With regard to the long overdue quarter %, that's been priced and unpriced a gazillion times, I don't anyone really knows anymore

Instability anywhere will increase the value of the Dollar.
Brexit uncertainty will put pressure on the Pound.

Essentially, for a Sterling person with incoming Dollars you are going to come out smiling.