Your questions answered Vol 2 - IM Private Clients

Your questions answered Vol 2 - IM Private Clients

Author
Discussion

Steve H

5,306 posts

196 months

Tuesday 23rd April
quotequote all
Ftse is holding above 8000, Dow up 200, smci up 7% and Nvidia up almost 4%.

All good news so I assume some sort of crash is to be expected boxedin

PorkInsider

5,889 posts

142 months

Tuesday 23rd April
quotequote all
Steve H said:
Ftse is holding above 8000, Dow up 200, smci up 7% and Nvidia up almost 4%.

All good news so I assume some sort of crash is to be expected boxedin
Should be ok for a week or 2 now I think.

I caused the previous dip by topping up an ISA and pension to catch the end of the tax year.

It won't drop again until I decide to go in with this year's full ISA allowance in one lump.

I'll let you know when/if I do it so you can 'buy the dip'. rofl

Steve H

5,306 posts

196 months

Tuesday 23rd April
quotequote all
No need, I topped up yesterday so thanks for the help on that dip thumbup

PorkInsider

5,889 posts

142 months

Tuesday 23rd April
quotequote all
Steve H said:
No need, I topped up yesterday so thanks for the help on that dip thumbup
laugh

Simpo Two

85,529 posts

266 months

Tuesday 23rd April
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PorkInsider said:
I caused the previous dip by topping up an ISA and pension to catch the end of the tax year.

It won't drop again until I decide to go in with this year's full ISA allowance in one lump.
The effect that PHers have on the markets is indeed remarkable. I thought I was the only one trading hundreds of millions each time but it seems we all are!

AdamIM

1,107 posts

27 months

Wednesday 24th April
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Medpace reported solid numbers on Monday with in line revenue and a welcome beat on EPS. Strangely it was weak after hours but was bid up $30 during the normal session. The big takeaway from Management is that biotech research funding is showing new strength after a post covid lull. The company now has a very large backlog(circa 1 year), strong margins and continued growth. The first table below says it all. These are compounded growth rates over various time periods. This is why we hold Medpace and it's a very good reminder that short term blips should be taken into context. That being Medpace is a very high quality business, run by outstanding management. The portfolio acquired MEDP in April 22 @ $165 and today the stock is trading at $407.

The company received a price target upgrade today of $450 which seems reasonable given their guide and consistency of execution over the past decade.


















Rusty Old-Banger

3,862 posts

214 months

Wednesday 24th April
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Which fund(s) is that in?

ferret50

925 posts

10 months

Thursday 25th April
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Rusty Old-Banger said:
Which fund(s) is that in?
PHTech

AdamIM

1,107 posts

27 months

Thursday 25th April
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Stellar Google, solid KLA and Msft. The trifecta. All up AH, particularly GOOG 14%. Tomorrow will be big. I’ll provide some commentary then

dingg

3,997 posts

220 months

Thursday 25th April
quotequote all
AdamIM said:
Stellar Google, solid KLA and Msft. The trifecta. All up AH, particularly GOOG 14%. Tomorrow will be big. I’ll provide some commentary then
Should get pht back on track

Smci numbers critical to 'nail it'



okgo

38,079 posts

199 months

Thursday 25th April
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Aftermarket it’s also at new ATH unless my phone is lying to me.

Edited by okgo on Thursday 25th April 22:58

2Btoo

3,429 posts

204 months

Thursday 25th April
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Well the ar5e dropped out of Meta today. Wobbles about AI apparently. I don't think that IM has Meta in any of it's portfolios but wonder why this can be the case when SMCI and Nvidia are both going great guns.

Sheepshanks

32,805 posts

120 months

Friday 26th April
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2Btoo said:
Well the ar5e dropped out of Meta today. Wobbles about AI apparently. I don't think that IM has Meta in any of it's portfolios but wonder why this can be the case when SMCI and Nvidia are both going great guns.
Meta’s forward guidance was slightly below what analysts expected and they also said they’d be increasing capex on AI infrastructure which hurt them but helped Nvidia, Super Micro and others.

AdamIM

1,107 posts

27 months

Friday 26th April
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Meta suffered from the narrow minded investors who clearly don't like them accelerating AI spending-they are wrong, again. Zuckerburg has a long history of success. The company reported very good results and the guide had a typical wide range of 36-39B so taking a midpoint and suggesting its .00001% less than we thought is not what we'd call logical but that's the current climate. Miss by a penny and look out below!

Not only did Meta raise capex to the $40B range for 2024, Zuckerburg stated that whilst we don't provide 2025 guidance for 2025 this early it's safe to say we will spend even more money in 2025. The market realises where most of this cash is going. And just think about the numbers. This is one company-$40B on capital expenditure in 12 months. What will AWS(AMZN)/ORCL/GOOG/MSFT be spending? A colossal sum

On Alphabet, as well as very strong search ads, Youtube monetisation was a record and i'm not surprised. Google reported record earnings, a $70B buy back program and its first ever dividend. The stock is at an all time high if it opens where it closed in After Hours.

KLA Corporation proved yet again why it is the King of yield management equipment and services. Beating the guide and raising forward guidance again. A cash making machine that is in the perfect segment to capitalise on cutting edge technologies, being the sub 7nm nodes. They are the only company in the world who has a solution to manage yields at 2nm, a node which TSMC are moving to later this year. To put into context how important their products and services are, when a chip can cost $40K and 1 wafer can yield 80 chips that's a very valuable asset which warrants the spending to ensure it's not scrapped due to defects. Moreso when demand exceeds ability to supply so every extra yield counts!

MSFT had a great quarter, reporting records for Azure and further monetisation of Co-pilot and associated ChatGPT offerings. MSFT are planning a huge investment in new Data Centres around ChatGPT called project Stargate where $100B will be invested by 2028. We hear that the power needs are so great that the company is planning to install a Nuclear reactor to meet those needs!





Edited by AdamIM on Friday 26th April 08:08

PaulWoof

1,612 posts

156 months

Saturday 27th April
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Has someone happened to account updates? Nothing showing from yesterday, last valuation being 26th

Steve H

5,306 posts

196 months

Saturday 27th April
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PaulWoof said:
Has someone happened to account updates? Nothing showing from yesterday, last valuation being 26th
I think you’ll find that means as-at the close on the 26th.

Mine says the same on the date but was definitely updated this morning with a very pleasant up spike smile

dingg

3,997 posts

220 months

Monday 29th April
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Dpz, yum yum :-)

AdamIM

1,107 posts

27 months

Monday 29th April
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dingg said:
Dpz, yum yum :-)
Yes, Domino's Pizza popped 5% on Earnings of $3.58, a beat of 18 cents and in-line sales due to same store sales being ahead of last year. Overall a 19.4% increase in operating income as it laps a difficult 23 comp. The company said it is benefiting from its tie up with Uber


dingg

3,997 posts

220 months

Monday 29th April
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Smci and amzn tomorrow Adam, going to be sparks flying one way or another

dingg

3,997 posts

220 months

Tuesday
quotequote all
dingg said:
Smci and amzn tomorrow Adam, going to be sparks flying one way or another
Forgot about PayPal - premarket looks good

Choo choo

After hrs for amzn and smci, hopefully both will be good