Share tips thread

TOPIC CLOSED
TOPIC CLOSED
Author
Discussion

DonkeyApple

55,301 posts

169 months

Wednesday 21st January 2015
quotequote all
olly22n said:
I know the warnings are there, but my point is do people really understand what that means.
Less so these days as most brokers now have the tech to run auto close out programs as part of client risk management.

A decade ago it would be inconceivable to imagine a client could not be 100% aware of ramifications as most accounts would have a debit balance at one time or another.

Those who will have got a shock will be the ones who opted to trade via a broker offering ludicrous leverage such as Alpari's 500:1 crap. Specifically designed to hoover up the lowest trading echelons and generate the highest 'client funds to balance sheet' conversion rate.

twinturboz

1,278 posts

178 months

Wednesday 21st January 2015
quotequote all
fesuvious said:
So, is this leaked news, or is someone trying to force somebody elses hand?
And what if the actual stimulus comes in less.....
Leaked, not confirmed until tomorrow.

DonkeyApple

55,301 posts

169 months

Wednesday 21st January 2015
quotequote all
Equity mRkets have pretty much priced in an announcement of half a trillion of QE to be announced tomorrow. As such likely to be a choppy day.

No announcement and it'll all sell off and revert to being controlled by oil. An announcement that matches what market has priced in is likely to jump a bit and then probably sell back down as commodity deflation risk hasn't gone away.

Going to be fun. Especially after the CAD news today has left faecal waste on every chair inside retail brokers.

twinturboz

1,278 posts

178 months

Wednesday 21st January 2015
quotequote all
Hah hasn't it been choppy since the new year, rest of the year goes like this and it's going to be tough to make money. I'm still convinced theres a 15% decline coming round the corner.

DoubleSix

11,715 posts

176 months

Wednesday 21st January 2015
quotequote all
DonkeyApple said:
Equity mRkets have pretty much priced in an announcement of half a trillion of QE to be announced tomorrow. As such likely to be a choppy day.

No announcement and it'll all sell off and revert to being controlled by oil. An announcement that matches what market has priced in is likely to jump a bit and then probably sell back down as commodity deflation risk hasn't gone away.

Going to be fun. Especially after the CAD news today has left faecal waste on every chair inside retail brokers.
Best trading day I've had for ages, no faecal matter on our seats! wink

Oh and credible sources have confirmed 50 billion per month - tomorrow is just a formality.

Edited by DoubleSix on Wednesday 21st January 19:37

DonkeyApple

55,301 posts

169 months

Wednesday 21st January 2015
quotequote all
twinturboz said:
Hah hasn't it been choppy since the new year, rest of the year goes like this and it's going to be tough to make money. I'm still convinced theres a 15% decline coming round the corner.
On the equity side that is a definite possibility. EU QE will feed the machine but the markets are carrying huge premiums that the commodity exchanges are all telling us are false. Raw material declines month on month since q3 2012 tells us an awful lot about what is really going on and how central banks are trying to stave it off.

A capitulation event such as we just saw in copper is definitely a risk to be factored in this year.

TheLordJohn

5,746 posts

146 months

Wednesday 21st January 2015
quotequote all
DoubleSix said:
Best trading day I've had for ages, no faecal matter on our seats! wink

Oh and credible sources have confirmed 50 billion per month - tomorrow is just a formality.

Edited by DoubleSix on Wednesday 21st January 19:37
So now is the time to invest in Greece?

DoubleSix

11,715 posts

176 months

Wednesday 21st January 2015
quotequote all
TheLordJohn said:
DoubleSix said:
Best trading day I've had for ages, no faecal matter on our seats! wink

Oh and credible sources have confirmed 50 billion per month - tomorrow is just a formality.

Edited by DoubleSix on Wednesday 21st January 19:37
So now is the time to invest in Greece?
That's for you to decide! wink

DonkeyApple

55,301 posts

169 months

Wednesday 21st January 2015
quotequote all
DoubleSix said:
DonkeyApple said:
Equity mRkets have pretty much priced in an announcement of half a trillion of QE to be announced tomorrow. As such likely to be a choppy day.

No announcement and it'll all sell off and revert to being controlled by oil. An announcement that matches what market has priced in is likely to jump a bit and then probably sell back down as commodity deflation risk hasn't gone away.

Going to be fun. Especially after the CAD news today has left faecal waste on every chair inside retail brokers.
Best trading day I've had for ages, no faecal matter on our seats! wink

Oh and credible sources have confirmed 50 billion per month - tomorrow is just a formality.

Edited by DoubleSix on Wednesday 21st January 19:37
And how will it manifest? Will Germany decide to buy German bonds or will it be buying PIG bonds? wink. Mkt obviously desires the latter and the DAX has been rising and salivating at the thought of all that stupid money that will Rush to buy German goods and services and accelerate the EU disparity.

There is no formality as all those who loaded up on the CHF carry trade have just been reminded. Long bets have been on for over a week and the shorts are poised with greater fire power than longs can ever muster. biggrin

gaz1234

5,233 posts

219 months

Wednesday 21st January 2015
quotequote all
Qpp sold

DonkeyApple

55,301 posts

169 months

Wednesday 21st January 2015
quotequote all
gaz1234 said:
Qpp sold
Lots of risk in that one. Clearly cash burn issues and until PWC report there is no clarity for it to be anything other than a punt.

gaz1234

5,233 posts

219 months

Wednesday 21st January 2015
quotequote all
Oakey said:
Good call, only down 19percent now biggrin
Went back up.

DoubleSix

11,715 posts

176 months

Thursday 22nd January 2015
quotequote all
DonkeyApple said:
DoubleSix said:
DonkeyApple said:
Equity mRkets have pretty much priced in an announcement of half a trillion of QE to be announced tomorrow. As such likely to be a choppy day.

No announcement and it'll all sell off and revert to being controlled by oil. An announcement that matches what market has priced in is likely to jump a bit and then probably sell back down as commodity deflation risk hasn't gone away.

Going to be fun. Especially after the CAD news today has left faecal waste on every chair inside retail brokers.
Best trading day I've had for ages, no faecal matter on our seats! wink

Oh and credible sources have confirmed 50 billion per month - tomorrow is just a formality.

Edited by DoubleSix on Wednesday 21st January 19:37
And how will it manifest? Will Germany decide to buy German bonds or will it be buying PIG bonds? wink. Mkt obviously desires the latter and the DAX has been rising and salivating at the thought of all that stupid money that will Rush to buy German goods and services and accelerate the EU disparity.

There is no formality as all those who loaded up on the CHF carry trade have just been reminded. Long bets have been on for over a week and the shorts are poised with greater fire power than longs can ever muster. biggrin
The announcement is a formality.

DonkeyApple

55,301 posts

169 months

Thursday 22nd January 2015
quotequote all
DoubleSix said:
DonkeyApple said:
DoubleSix said:
DonkeyApple said:
Equity mRkets have pretty much priced in an announcement of half a trillion of QE to be announced tomorrow. As such likely to be a choppy day.

No announcement and it'll all sell off and revert to being controlled by oil. An announcement that matches what market has priced in is likely to jump a bit and then probably sell back down as commodity deflation risk hasn't gone away.

Going to be fun. Especially after the CAD news today has left faecal waste on every chair inside retail brokers.
Best trading day I've had for ages, no faecal matter on our seats! wink

Oh and credible sources have confirmed 50 billion per month - tomorrow is just a formality.

Edited by DoubleSix on Wednesday 21st January 19:37
And how will it manifest? Will Germany decide to buy German bonds or will it be buying PIG bonds? wink. Mkt obviously desires the latter and the DAX has been rising and salivating at the thought of all that stupid money that will Rush to buy German goods and services and accelerate the EU disparity.

There is no formality as all those who loaded up on the CHF carry trade have just been reminded. Long bets have been on for over a week and the shorts are poised with greater fire power than longs can ever muster. biggrin
The announcement is a formality.
Almost certainly they have to announce something re QE but the devil is in the detail. Will it be buying PIG debt and starting today or will it be buying Bunds and starting at Christmas etc.

We'll know shortly biggrin and the Dax is looking rather poised to say the least.

gaz1234

5,233 posts

219 months

Thursday 22nd January 2015
quotequote all
SGZ

DonkeyApple

55,301 posts

169 months

Thursday 22nd January 2015
quotequote all
gaz1234 said:
SGZ
Hmm. Assets of £14m of which all are intangibles bar just £600k of cash.

Loss making.

£3m debt.

Delays on product delivery.

Cash burn rate implies only a few months before new cash needed.

Will be cheaper after almost certain rights issue or administration. wink

DoubleSix

11,715 posts

176 months

Thursday 22nd January 2015
quotequote all
DonkeyApple said:
DoubleSix said:
DonkeyApple said:
DoubleSix said:
DonkeyApple said:
Equity mRkets have pretty much priced in an announcement of half a trillion of QE to be announced tomorrow. As such likely to be a choppy day.

No announcement and it'll all sell off and revert to being controlled by oil. An announcement that matches what market has priced in is likely to jump a bit and then probably sell back down as commodity deflation risk hasn't gone away.

Going to be fun. Especially after the CAD news today has left faecal waste on every chair inside retail brokers.
Best trading day I've had for ages, no faecal matter on our seats! wink

Oh and credible sources have confirmed 50 billion per month - tomorrow is just a formality.

Edited by DoubleSix on Wednesday 21st January 19:37
And how will it manifest? Will Germany decide to buy German bonds or will it be buying PIG bonds? wink. Mkt obviously desires the latter and the DAX has been rising and salivating at the thought of all that stupid money that will Rush to buy German goods and services and accelerate the EU disparity.

There is no formality as all those who loaded up on the CHF carry trade have just been reminded. Long bets have been on for over a week and the shorts are poised with greater fire power than longs can ever muster. biggrin
The announcement is a formality.
Almost certainly they have to announce something re QE but the devil is in the detail. Will it be buying PIG debt and starting today or will it be buying Bunds and starting at Christmas etc.

We'll know shortly biggrin and the Dax is looking rather poised to say the least.
Kindly stop attempting to correct me DA.

Look at your post above. You alluded to the fact that there may not be an announcement and in such circumstances the markets would "sell-off".

I simply stated that an announcement of QE was a formality regardless of the detail therein.

DonkeyApple

55,301 posts

169 months

Thursday 22nd January 2015
quotequote all
DoubleSix said:
DonkeyApple said:
DoubleSix said:
DonkeyApple said:
DoubleSix said:
DonkeyApple said:
Equity mRkets have pretty much priced in an announcement of half a trillion of QE to be announced tomorrow. As such likely to be a choppy day.

No announcement and it'll all sell off and revert to being controlled by oil. An announcement that matches what market has priced in is likely to jump a bit and then probably sell back down as commodity deflation risk hasn't gone away.

Going to be fun. Especially after the CAD news today has left faecal waste on every chair inside retail brokers.
Best trading day I've had for ages, no faecal matter on our seats! wink

Oh and credible sources have confirmed 50 billion per month - tomorrow is just a formality.

Edited by DoubleSix on Wednesday 21st January 19:37
And how will it manifest? Will Germany decide to buy German bonds or will it be buying PIG bonds? wink. Mkt obviously desires the latter and the DAX has been rising and salivating at the thought of all that stupid money that will Rush to buy German goods and services and accelerate the EU disparity.

There is no formality as all those who loaded up on the CHF carry trade have just been reminded. Long bets have been on for over a week and the shorts are poised with greater fire power than longs can ever muster. biggrin
The announcement is a formality.
Almost certainly they have to announce something re QE but the devil is in the detail. Will it be buying PIG debt and starting today or will it be buying Bunds and starting at Christmas etc.

We'll know shortly biggrin and the Dax is looking rather poised to say the least.
Kindly stop attempting to correct me DA.

Look at your post above. You alluded to the fact that there may not be an announcement and in such circumstances the markets would "sell-off".

I simply stated that an announcement of QE was a formality regardless of the detail therein.
the gay disco is that way, honey.

twinturboz

1,278 posts

178 months

Thursday 22nd January 2015
quotequote all
60 billion. Bigger than expected and longer than expected.

Edited by twinturboz on Thursday 22 January 13:48

DonkeyApple

55,301 posts

169 months

Thursday 22nd January 2015
quotequote all
twinturboz said:
60 billion. Bigger than expected and longer than expected.

Edited by twinturboz on Thursday 22 January 13:48
Yup. Arguably open ended and the TLTRO cut is a pseudo rate cut.

Market will probably go and st itself before weekend now on fears that the EU must be far more screwed than it thought. rofl

TOPIC CLOSED
TOPIC CLOSED