Spread Betting.. Has anyone returned made a profit?

Spread Betting.. Has anyone returned made a profit?

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clarksonisawilly

Original Poster:

377 posts

170 months

Wednesday 14th April 2010
quotequote all
I have not, shall we say. Briefly ended up 35% up after only one day with various safe bets and chucked it all away. Including my entire deposit! Mostly, ok entirely, due to me being a greedy moron.
Can it be considered an investment, or is it pure gambling; you win some, you lose the lot?

DonkeyApple

55,359 posts

170 months

Wednesday 14th April 2010
quotequote all
clarksonisawilly said:
I have not, shall we say. Briefly ended up 35% up after only one day with various safe bets and chucked it all away. Including my entire deposit! Mostly, ok entirely, due to me being a greedy moron.
Can it be considered an investment, or is it pure gambling; you win some, you lose the lot?
Depends on the logic behind each trade. If there isn't any real logic or reasoning behind a trade then you are just gambling and like all punters you'll bankroll the house.

If you can write down on here very clear and specific reasons to justify each trade and more importantly each trade size and then the market specifics of how and why the trade went against you then you have a series of investments that sadly didn't work out.

If you can't then you are just gambling. wink

ShadownINja

76,373 posts

283 months

Wednesday 14th April 2010
quotequote all
DonkeyApple said:
Depends on the logic behind each trade. If there isn't any real logic or reasoning behind a trade then you are just gambling and like all punters you'll bankroll the house.

If you can write down on here very clear and specific reasons to justify each trade and more importantly each trade size and then the market specifics of how and why the trade went against you then you have a series of investments that sadly didn't work out.

If you can't then you are just gambling. wink
Sums up what I'd have said.

clarksonisawilly

Original Poster:

377 posts

170 months

Wednesday 14th April 2010
quotequote all
ShadownINja said:
DonkeyApple said:
Depends on the logic behind each trade. If there isn't any real logic or reasoning behind a trade then you are just gambling and like all punters you'll bankroll the house.

If you can write down on here very clear and specific reasons to justify each trade and more importantly each trade size and then the market specifics of how and why the trade went against you then you have a series of investments that sadly didn't work out.

If you can't then you are just gambling. wink
Sums up what I'd have said.
Just realised I screwed up the title.

To start, I have very, very little knowledge about markets

Here was my logic for the profitable positions - Looking at recent history for the FTSE, I saw it tended to bounce up and down quite frequently by anything up to 50 points, before making any larger general shift. I set a stop at 100 points one way, and a limit at 10 the other. £1 a point I think. It worked, three times in a row.
The losing fk up, I'm too embarrassed to go into. It was a spectacular cock up.

Looks mostly like gambling now!

ShadownINja

76,373 posts

283 months

Wednesday 14th April 2010
quotequote all
So you were looking to risk 100 to make 10?

clarksonisawilly

Original Poster:

377 posts

170 months

Wednesday 14th April 2010
quotequote all
ShadownINja said:
So you were looking to risk 100 to make 10?
Yes. I had the large stop to allow the price to fluctuate downwards without prematurely closing the ticket. A low limit was used to be a safe, small profit.

turbotongue

7,573 posts

181 months

Wednesday 14th April 2010
quotequote all
I have a mate who works for IG Index and he says that over 90% of people loose money. If you want to make money then you need to go long term (3-9 months) and trade shares, not so easy when you have all those pretty flashing lights in front of you and the temptation to take on too much leverage.

Discipline is sooo important

Edited by turbotongue on Wednesday 14th April 22:54

ShadownINja

76,373 posts

283 months

Thursday 15th April 2010
quotequote all
clarksonisawilly said:
ShadownINja said:
So you were looking to risk 100 to make 10?
Yes. I had the large stop to allow the price to fluctuate downwards without prematurely closing the ticket. A low limit was used to be a safe, small profit.
Well, as long as the chance of being stopped out is less than 10%...

ShadownINja

76,373 posts

283 months

Thursday 15th April 2010
quotequote all
turbotongue said:
Discipline is sooo important
Aye!

clarksonisawilly

Original Poster:

377 posts

170 months

Thursday 15th April 2010
quotequote all
turbotongue said:
I have a mate who works for IG Index and he says that over 90% of people loose money. If you want to make money then you need to go long term (3-9 months) and trade shares, not so easy when you have all those pretty flashing lights in front of you and the temptation to take on too much leverage.

Discipline is sooo important

Edited by turbotongue on Wednesday 14th April 22:54
I like flashy lights frown

Out of interest, does IG make money purely on the 90 per cent of losers?

Mattt

16,661 posts

219 months

Thursday 15th April 2010
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Well it doesn't make it on the 10% of winners wink

matsmith

1,166 posts

210 months

Thursday 15th April 2010
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clarksonisawilly said:
To start, I have very, very little knowledge about markets
Maybe before taking on a high risk leveraged position you should learn a little about the markets?

How did you get into spread betting in the first place?

influential

133 posts

184 months

Thursday 15th April 2010
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Well, I managed to win betting against my Gooners last nightirked

But on the more serious note of financial bets, I suspect us relative amateurs do bankroll the things, yes. I try and spot the trend, but just seem to then bet the wrong way!

limpsfield

5,886 posts

254 months

Thursday 15th April 2010
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Mattt said:
Well it doesn't make it on the 10% of winners wink
It is a misconception that spread betting companies rely on losers to provide the company's profits.

Depending on the degree of hedging that is put in place which may vary from company to company, what they want is activity to make money off the bid/offer spread.

DonkeyApple

55,359 posts

170 months

Thursday 15th April 2010
quotequote all
Mattt said:
Well it doesn't make it on the 10% of winners wink
I'm afraid that is a common missunderstanding.

Once you have a large enough book of business it is all about managing the flow profitably and not about taking the other side of the client as much smaller firms have to.

A very clear example of this is that last year saw an unpressedented continual rise in the market which for nearly 8 months favoured clients and went against the brokers. Clear prrof of what I said above lies in the fact that IG increased revenue over this period whereas the smaller brokers suffered huge losses as they had to pay out to clients.

If IG can increase revenues during a period when clients are making money it becomes clear that running a large enough book is about risk and flow management and not about betting against the client.

Re the original posters statement of risking 100 to make 10, you are not alone. This is what most people do but at the very basic level you need to reverse this and risk 10 to make 100. Personal risk management is key.

Somewhatfoolish

4,366 posts

187 months

Thursday 15th April 2010
quotequote all
What kills most people is over leverage. Simple as that.

ShadownINja

76,373 posts

283 months

Thursday 15th April 2010
quotequote all
Somewhatfoolish said:
What kills most people is over leverage. Simple as that.
Yep, I've read some horror stories on here and elsewhere. Usually starts of with a few minor punts, you think you have something, then you go all in and get seriously hammered by one loss. Or variations of this.

ShadownINja

76,373 posts

283 months

Thursday 15th April 2010
quotequote all
limpsfield said:
Depending on the degree of hedging that is put in place which may vary from company to company, what they want is activity to make money off the bid/offer spread.
Just wondering: if you're always paying out to winners, how do you make the money then? Say the spread is 2 pips and someone is always making 50 pips, aren't you making a loss of 48 pips?

Edited by ShadownINja on Thursday 15th April 10:31

ShadownINja

76,373 posts

283 months

Thursday 15th April 2010
quotequote all
influential said:
Well, I managed to win betting against my Gooners last nightirked
That's the great thing about it. If your team won, you wouldn't mind losing money. If they lose, the loss isn't so bad. biggrin

influential

133 posts

184 months

Thursday 15th April 2010
quotequote all
Yep, that's my logic. Somewhat reduces the pain of defeat!