House value dropped - what happens now?

House value dropped - what happens now?

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Discussion

NoelWatson

11,710 posts

243 months

Thursday 25th November 2010
quotequote all
ringram said:
However if you don't need to move and can hang on for a few decades it should eventually come good.
Agreed

NorthernBoy

12,642 posts

258 months

Saturday 27th November 2010
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MagicalTrevor said:
groak said:
MagicalTrevor said:
The house dropped 25%!

Basically; developer built the street (3 bed houses) and was renting and selling them as time went buy. He's now struggling with cash-flow (so I believe) and has therefore dropped the price of the final house in his portfolio just to get shot.

I imagine he'll still make a profit on the final house and doesn't care that it devalues the entire street. There is nothing I can do about that, his house, up to him what he sells for. frown

So we now have a house that the developer himself has devalued lower than the Market average and has screwed us over.

If it was just a drop inline with the market then we could deal with that and move on.
You could be worrying about nothing. The developer has basically created 'forced sale' conditions by reducing price artificially to generate a fast sale. That doesn't mean your house is worth what he has to take to get rid of it quick, unless you need to get rid of yours quick too (which you don't).
I personally think that the true market is between 10% - 12% less than what we paid. I'm just worried that him selling this house for 25% less then he's setting the value of the other houses down there as well. Other people aren't going to appreciate that it was a 'forced sale' and they're not going to want to pay more for what they perceive as the same house in the same circumstances.
The price of a house there is not really set solely on the last traded level, though. There will be a price/sq ft in your area, houses a few streets away, other buying prices etc. that define what a house is "worth".

The only real value, though, is what someone will pay. Most buyers won't ever know what the last house went for even now, but in six months, this one cheap sale will be all but forgotten.

Sir Bagalot

6,512 posts

182 months

Saturday 27th November 2010
quotequote all
You say yu can comfortably afford the mortage, so why not overpay (within the terms and conditions of your mortgage) to reduce your debt. Mortgage rates are at an all time low.... they won't be there for ever.

mattley

3,025 posts

223 months

Saturday 27th November 2010
quotequote all
NorthernBoy said:
The only real value, though, is what someone will pay. Most buyers won't ever know what the last house went for even now, but in six months, this one cheap sale will be all but forgotten.
And what someone will pay is now being set by the mortgage lender and they don't forget, I think you'll find they actually check these days.


NorthernBoy

12,642 posts

258 months

Saturday 27th November 2010
quotequote all
mattley said:
NorthernBoy said:
The only real value, though, is what someone will pay. Most buyers won't ever know what the last house went for even now, but in six months, this one cheap sale will be all but forgotten.
And what someone will pay is now being set by the mortgage lender and they don't forget, I think you'll find they actually check these days.
Do you seriously believe that they'll know or check what a different house went for a year or more previously before giving a mortgage?

That's just ridiculous. I'm in the process of buying a flat at the moment, with a mortgage of over half a million pounds, and the surveyor sent out to do the valuation had no idea what flats round here go for, and had to ask my estate agent what he thought it was worth.

Your faith in the diligence of retail banks' staff is touching, but not very realistic. The idiots dealing with mine likely have trouble wiping their own arses, let alone using a multi-factor pricing model.

CaptainSlow

13,179 posts

213 months

Saturday 27th November 2010
quotequote all
The sale of one property at a discounted price will not bring the whole local market down. If the developer sells the last property at a 25% discount, equating to a below market price, there will be one lucky buyer. Future buyers in the area will have to pay market rates. You just need to wait for the property to sell before you can put yours on the market.

davidjpowell

17,877 posts

185 months

Sunday 28th November 2010
quotequote all
NorthernBoy said:
mattley said:
NorthernBoy said:
The only real value, though, is what someone will pay. Most buyers won't ever know what the last house went for even now, but in six months, this one cheap sale will be all but forgotten.
And what someone will pay is now being set by the mortgage lender and they don't forget, I think you'll find they actually check these days.
Do you seriously believe that they'll know or check what a different house went for a year or more previously before giving a mortgage?

That's just ridiculous. I'm in the process of buying a flat at the moment, with a mortgage of over half a million pounds, and the surveyor sent out to do the valuation had no idea what flats round here go for, and had to ask my estate agent what he thought it was worth.

Your faith in the diligence of retail banks' staff is touching, but not very realistic. The idiots dealing with mine likely have trouble wiping their own arses, let alone using a multi-factor pricing model.
It's very likely that the surveyor will know. There are two large firms - Esurv & Countrywide. There are other surveyors - but those two get a lot of panel lending jobs. After inspecting the property they will have a list of previous valuations in the area, - if they have seen it - it will be on there.

If it's not one of these firms, it is equally possible that whichever Surveyor sees it will look at Sold prices (which are freely available). Just depends how easy it is to compare, as these are less detailed, so unless you know that it's the same house type there can be doubt. (Google Streetview now a help).

Welshbeef

49,633 posts

199 months

Monday 29th November 2010
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Valuation is always a tricky one - but its naive to really think these days that they do not carry out the due dilligence else they are doing their client a disservice/may lose future contracts.

Some survayors Ive heard take the area average price and then apply a further % discount from that to provide even more cover for the bank - so either forcing the buyer to find more equity to put in OR force the buyer to lower their expectations.

I know of 1 couple who earn a solid c£45k each and have £30k deposit and just cannot even get a £250k mortgage... it is tough out there, 4 years ago they could easily bought on 95% LTV & easily 5times total mortgage would have been £450k + deposit. ...

Hence they have no choice but to rent. No other debts and own cars outright (nothing special under 8 years old. Im guessing their savings will ramp up notably going forwards or they may leave the UK to a country without such high costing property nor the sovrign debt/defecit issues.

Finland anyone? Virgin Isles..

NoelWatson

11,710 posts

243 months

Monday 29th November 2010
quotequote all
Welshbeef said:
I know of 1 couple who earn a solid c£45k each and have £30k deposit and just cannot even get a £250k mortgage...
Isn't the deposit the issue?

Gareth79

7,721 posts

247 months

Monday 29th November 2010
quotequote all
Welshbeef said:
I know of 1 couple who earn a solid c£45k each and have £30k deposit and just cannot even get a £250k mortgage... it is tough out there, 4 years ago they could easily bought on 95% LTV & easily 5times total mortgage would have been £450k + deposit. ...

Hence they have no choice but to rent. No other debts and own cars outright (nothing special under 8 years old. Im guessing their savings will ramp up notably going forwards or they may leave the UK to a country without such high costing property nor the sovrign debt/defecit issues.
£90k combined earnings and only £30k savings? They need to save harder!

NorthernBoy

12,642 posts

258 months

Monday 29th November 2010
quotequote all
Because of the max LTV on my mortgage the surveyor's valuation has capped the size of the mortgage to below what I wanted.

It's a bit weird, they waved far more in our faces at the application stage than we wanted, and then knocked it well back after the survey, almost as wish they never really wanted to lend the higher amount.

We are now borrowing only 1.5 times our salary.

Sarnie

8,059 posts

210 months

Monday 29th November 2010
quotequote all
Welshbeef said:
I know of 1 couple who earn a solid c£45k each and have £30k deposit and just cannot even get a £250k mortgage... it is tough out there, 4 years ago they could easily bought on 95% LTV & easily 5times total mortgage would have been £450k + deposit. ...
It's not just income and deposit that goes into formulating a lenders decision ;0)

groak

3,254 posts

180 months

Monday 29th November 2010
quotequote all
Sarnie said:
It's not just income and deposit that goes into formulating a lenders decision ;0)
You can have plenty of security and provable ability to repay but the lender needs to have 'appetite'. Like a starving tramp who's made himself sick eating bin-rubbish and hasn't any appetite for the creation of a Michelin-starred chef, a humiliated lender who's wasted billions on property nonsense may well have no appetite for a sound and secure property deal.




NoelWatson

11,710 posts

243 months

Tuesday 30th November 2010
quotequote all
groak said:
may well have no appetite for a sound and secure property deal.
Do we have any examples of this?

walm

10,609 posts

203 months

Tuesday 30th November 2010
quotequote all
NorthernBoy said:
Because of the max LTV on my mortgage the surveyor's valuation has capped the size of the mortgage to below what I wanted.

It's a bit weird, they waved far more in our faces at the application stage than we wanted, and then knocked it well back after the survey, almost as wish they never really wanted to lend the higher amount.

We are now borrowing only 1.5 times our salary.
Not weird at all.
Once they know you can cover the interest payments a bank is 100% concerned with protecting their investment.
LTV is the only way they know how.
So deposits count!!!

You are still perfectly qualified to borrow well more than 1.5x.
BUT you need far more deposit to make the LTV math make sense.

Last time LTVs were ignored and we all know how well that turned out...

Jobbo

12,978 posts

265 months

Tuesday 30th November 2010
quotequote all
davidjpowell said:
If it's not one of these firms, it is equally possible that whichever Surveyor sees it will look at Sold prices (which are freely available). Just depends how easy it is to compare, as these are less detailed, so unless you know that it's the same house type there can be doubt. (Google Streetview now a help).
I think any surveyor will be protecting himself by looking at freely available comparables - after all, even before the Land Reg made available the data so openly it was local knowledge of actual transaction prices which gave rise to valuations.

And most buyers are sufficiently clued up to look up sold prices too; if they're on Rightmove to find a house, they can do so at the same time.

groak

3,254 posts

180 months

Tuesday 30th November 2010
quotequote all
NoelWatson said:
groak said:
may well have no appetite for a sound and secure property deal.
Do we have any examples of this?
"....so I sez to him 'I KNOW it values at £35k, but I can get it for £20k, and after all it'll produce no less than £300pcm, like the other 4 I've got in the same block and had for years, so what about giving me £10k towards it'. 'No' he sez, 'we've no appetite for the expansion of residential portfolios....'headache