Solar Panels - why bother?

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Discussion

Jambo85

3,319 posts

89 months

Monday 6th March 2017
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Super Slo Mo said:
Ok, I was working on the assumption that 3.5 k was kWh rather than sterling. The numbers look rather better like that, although £3,500 per annum doesn't sound like a small system to me!
Indeed - assuming the OP meant 8 kW rather than 8 kWh, it is double (or more) the normal.

Super Slo Mo

5,368 posts

199 months

Tuesday 7th March 2017
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Jambo85 said:
Super Slo Mo said:
Ok, I was working on the assumption that 3.5 k was kWh rather than sterling. The numbers look rather better like that, although £3,500 per annum doesn't sound like a small system to me!
Indeed - assuming the OP meant 8 kW rather than 8 kWh, it is double (or more) the normal.
I've also assumed the panels were bought with cash not a loan or added to the mortgage, and deliberately picked a low growth figure for the cash as an investment.
In practice it wouldn't be hard to get much bigger growth of the initial cash with some careful investment in blue chip high yielding shares.

PuffsBack

2,430 posts

226 months

Friday 31st March 2017
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Solar panels for home use are pretty much a lame duck. The goverment has decimated the FIT tariff and the panels prices have stopped decreasing.

My system produces 3000kwh per year and the pay back will be about 8 years. But I got lucky and bought during the sweet spot a few years back with cheap panel prices and high FIT tariff. No point purchasing now though, financials make zero sense

BlackLabel

13,251 posts

124 months

Friday 14th April 2017
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"The number of solar panels being installed in the UK has fallen by more than 80 per cent, according to an analysis of new figures"

http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/solar-pow...

bearman68

4,660 posts

133 months

Saturday 15th April 2017
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Jambo85 said:
Super Slo Mo said:
bearman68 said:
I have a very small system - about 8kwh worth. It generates about 3.5k a year (FIT now about 52p per unit IIRC), so from an investment perspective it's rather good. I spent about 20k on the system. That's better than most financial investments.
I realise I'm quoting a 2 week old post, but the bit in bold seems to miss the point to me, in common with what seems to be the 'man maths' used by everyone who is trying to justify solar on cost grounds.

Using the example above, the £20k example will take around 13 years to pay back.

Given that, presumably, the solar panels have no real asset value, as far as I can see the 'investor' is now at point Zero, or in other words, the point he was at before investing the £20k in the first place 13 years earlier.

This is not great investing, unless I've missed something.
You make good points but I think your initial calculations may be wrong - I interpret the 3.5k to be £3.5k and therefore payback time is 20/3.5 = 5.7 yrs.

Assuming useful life of 20 years then 14.3 yrs x 3.5k = £50k of income after payback.

But the original post is vague enough that I could also be interpreting it incorrectly.
Just to clarify the 8kwh should have been 8kw system, and the 3.5k is actually £3500, so fair points. In fact the £3500 is looking pessimistic, and 5.5 years in the panels have paid for themselves and are now in 'profit'. I completely take the point regarding the opportunity cost. In my case, the money was sat in a bank earning 0.5% or whatever, so it was a better deal to plant solar panels. And the life is a guaranteed 25 years on the panels (less so on the invertors which seem to fail every now and again, and is not factored into the financial consideration.

HannsG

3,045 posts

135 months

Saturday 15th April 2017
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Mother in law had solar panels pre installed on a house she had brought.

I think it was a bodge job as during winter a pipe burst in loft and damaged the whole house.

It had to be gutted and put through insurance.

4Q

3,364 posts

145 months

Sunday 16th April 2017
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HannsG said:
Mother in law had solar panels pre installed on a house she had brought.

I think it was a bodge job as during winter a pipe burst in loft and damaged the whole house.

It had to be gutted and put through insurance.
There's no water in the panels we're discussing here as they're electric panels.

If they're solar thermal panels they should be filled with a glycol (antifreeze) fluid rated to -20C not water so won't freeze and burst a pipe in a uk loft ever. A typical system will contain 12- 18 litres in total depending on pipe length so shouldn't damage the whole house, even if a joint failed at the lowest point in the system and drained completely. If it burst in the loft then you'd lose maybe 5 litres or so of fluid which would give you damp patch on the ceiling. I'm calling bullst.

Edited by 4Q on Tuesday 18th April 22:42

thebraketester

14,246 posts

139 months

Sunday 16th April 2017
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HannsG said:
Mother in law had solar panels pre installed on a house she had brought.

I think it was a bodge job as during winter a pipe burst in loft and damaged the whole house.

It had to be gutted and put through insurance.
Where did she bring it from?

page3

4,921 posts

252 months

Sunday 14th May 2017
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Read all of this thread, which seems to be going round in circles. It seems very difficult to get an honest, unbiased opinion whether solar panels are a good idea in our circumstances. Perhaps some kind soul can help?

Three bedroom semi. Roof faces south-west. 30% pitch (probably). Fairly high daily electricity usage - averages around £70 month (£50 summer, double in winter) BUT we've just ordered an electric car (Leaf) so are expecting this to double - home charge from around 3pm each day.

Panels appear to now cost around the £4K mark (quote from Ikea, 8 panels).

It *seems* to me to be a good investment. The figures I find online seem to imply they are - but they're there to sell panels.

Still worth it?

Silver Smudger

3,299 posts

168 months

Sunday 14th May 2017
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page3 said:
Usage averages around £70 month (£50 summer, double in winter) BUT we've just ordered an electric car (Leaf) so are expecting this to double - home charge from around 3pm each day.
You will need to factor in the cost of some storage (such as a Tesla Powerwall) to take advantage of panel generated power in the car, if it is not plugged in all day


Ken Figenus

5,711 posts

118 months

Sunday 14th May 2017
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What is the output of the panels? Electric cars will take everything they can give all day long on a sunny day and then may only get a 'quarter tank' [say 20kw from panels on a good sunny day and a Tesla needing 80kwh to recharge fully). All ish!

I get 25kw daily from 3.5Kw panels at best - about 5 yrs old now so have dropped a bit. Get the back of yer fag packet out and be sure that everything is still high quality kit (at those prices) with very long warranty on panels and panel output and inverter...

Paul Drawmer

4,878 posts

268 months

Sunday 14th May 2017
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page3 said:
Read all of this thread, which seems to be going round in circles. It seems very difficult to get an honest, unbiased opinion whether solar panels are a good idea in our circumstances. Perhaps some kind soul can help?

Three bedroom semi. Roof faces south-west. 30% pitch (probably). Fairly high daily electricity usage - averages around £70 month (£50 summer, double in winter) BUT we've just ordered an electric car (Leaf) so are expecting this to double - home charge from around 3pm each day.

Panels appear to now cost around the £4K mark (quote from Ikea, 8 panels).

It *seems* to me to be a good investment. The figures I find online seem to imply they are - but they're there to sell panels.

Still worth it?
You will have to work out if it is worth it, but I can give you some figures. The size of your system will be expressed in kWp, the output is measured in kWh.
My system has been installed for 7 years. The size is 3.88kWp and from that I average 4000kWh per year. That's what I generate and what the FIT is based on, so you can extrapolate from your propose system size, and calculate an approximate income.

The PV system will produce it power when the sun is shining. We use very little power when the sun is shining, so most of ours is exported. For us, having a powerwall would be a waste of money since we would be unable to use anywhere near the power that we export anyway.

The PV system will usually produce modest amounts of power all day. If you intend to charge a BEV from it, you will need to set the charge plan to its lowest power, else it will draw power from the mains as well as what you are producing. There are some clever switches which will allow you only send to the car at a power rate that means yo don't have to import from the grid.

If you're out all day, and recharge at night, you'd probably be best looking at economy 7 type tariff. Again, a powerwall probably won't be effective as the most it could save you would be the number of units it could hold times your cost per unit each day.

page3

4,921 posts

252 months

Sunday 14th May 2017
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Leaf is only 30kW so there's some hope.

Looks like its possible, but I need to check my sums and speak to a few neighbours who have done similar.

page3

4,921 posts

252 months

Sunday 14th May 2017
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Paul Drawmer said:
You will have to work out if it is worth it, but I can give you some figures. The size of your system will be expressed in kWp, the output is measured in kWh.
My system has been installed for 7 years. The size is 3.88kWp and from that I average 4000kWh per year. That's what I generate and what the FIT is based on, so you can extrapolate from your propose system size, and calculate an approximate income.

The PV system will produce it power when the sun is shining. We use very little power when the sun is shining, so most of ours is exported. For us, having a powerwall would be a waste of money since we would be unable to use anywhere near the power that we export anyway.

The PV system will usually produce modest amounts of power all day. If you intend to charge a BEV from it, you will need to set the charge plan to its lowest power, else it will draw power from the mains as well as what you are producing. There are some clever switches which will allow you only send to the car at a power rate that means yo don't have to import from the grid.

If you're out all day, and recharge at night, you'd probably be best looking at economy 7 type tariff. Again, a powerwall probably won't be effective as the most it could save you would be the number of units it could hold times your cost per unit each day.
That's extremely useful - thanks.

BoRED S2upid

19,713 posts

241 months

Sunday 14th May 2017
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This looks the business for the future. Tesla Solar roof! https://youtu.be/4sfwDyiPTdU.

dickymint

24,379 posts

259 months

Sunday 14th May 2017
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BoRED S2upid said:
This looks the business for the future. Tesla Solar roof! https://youtu.be/4sfwDyiPTdU.
Hope so rofl

MrJuice

3,372 posts

157 months

Friday 30th June 2017
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Paul Drawmer said:
You will have to work out if it is worth it, but I can give you some figures. The size of your system will be expressed in kWp, the output is measured in kWh.
My system has been installed for 7 years. The size is 3.88kWp and from that I average 4000kWh per year. That's what I generate and what the FIT is based on, so you can extrapolate from your propose system size, and calculate an approximate income.
Some questions if I may

Who do you sell your power to? To the 'grid'? To your energy supplier? To some third party?

Is there much difference in the price different buyers pay?

How much do you get per kWh?

Chrisgr31

13,485 posts

256 months

Friday 30th June 2017
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Just looked ours up, we produce around £3,750 kwh and have 16 panels.

Not sure how much money it gives us!


dickymint

24,379 posts

259 months

Friday 30th June 2017
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Chrisgr31 said:
Just looked ours up, we produce around £3,750 kwh and have 16 panels.

Not sure how much money it gives us!
interested to know why not concered.


mikeiow

5,378 posts

131 months

Friday 30th June 2017
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MrJuice said:
Some questions if I may

Who do you sell your power to? To the 'grid'? To your energy supplier? To some third party?

Is there much difference in the price different buyers pay?

How much do you get per kWh?
You nominally 'sell' 50% of what you generate to the power company you get your FIT payments from, for a fixed payment that is the same across them all.
I say "nominally" - they don't measure it but assume it. However, given they only pay pennies for that 'export' amount, it is peanuts.
We have a 4KW system (18 panels, I think), & we gave generated between 3,100 and 3,500kW each year for the past 6.5 years.
Clearly some here are generating more: I guess the East Midlands is a less sunny place!! Our roof is pretty ideally placed, south-facing not overlooked.