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4keymonsta

4,192 posts

18 months

[news] 
Monday 27th February 2012 quote quote all
Uncle Fester said:
One factor which is unknown is the effect upon the climate. We have never let off numerous weapons to actually know what will happen, but nuclear winter may result.
See, even a nuclear war is'nt a promise of a decent bit of snow.

HOGEPH

3,272 posts

56 months

[news] 
Monday 27th February 2012 quote quote all
Just put "Threads" into a Youtube search for a complete guide to post nuclear war Britain, 80's style. I imagine the modern version would involve much the same in social breakdown, but more people would be wearing melted Superdry clothing.

bennyboydurham

1,209 posts

44 months

[news] 
Monday 27th February 2012 quote quote all
HOGEPH said:
Just put "Threads" into a Youtube search for a complete guide to post nuclear war Britain, 80's style. I imagine the modern version would involve much the same in social breakdown, but more people would be wearing melted Superdry clothing.
That fking film stopped me sleeping for a year when I watched it as a kid. Even now I couldn't watch it, and I'm nearly 40!

ShayneJ

940 posts

49 months

[news] 
Monday 27th February 2012 quote quote all
Some Gump said:
I would stockpile super unleaded, and drive a Caterham with no screen round cadwell unttil overcome by the radiation. Might as well go out happy.
Problem with this is petrol has a shelf life after which it is not much use
much better to stockpile diesel or even veg oil both of which last much longer
and can be used for heating power generation and transport.

Personally if the balloon go's up i shall be gathering my close relatives
(acquiring) one or two firearms and several hundred rounds of ammunition
200 litres of diesel 200 litres of propane as much canned and dried food as possible
Fishing gear and sundry s like battery's etc
carting it to my boat and setting sail for an english territory in the Caribbean
or possibly canada then onwards elsewhere depending on what news i can gather.

Because i don't see the big 3 US Russia and china staying out of it and i think
the uk will become a quite unpleasant place to be quite rapidly and i don't
think the government will be able to maintain order so it will be everyman for themselves.

Its a nightmare i hope never occurs but Israel has form for pre-emptive strikes
and if it does china/russia and other mid east states will turn it into
a smoking hole in the sand which will bring the US and UK in to the fray
Or i am just paranoidnuts

Time will tell

so called

3,544 posts

79 months

[news] 
Monday 27th February 2012 quote quote all
There are street signs in Nantwich, Cheshire that give directions to the
'SECRET NUCLEAR BUNKER'
There maybe about 90,000 people queuing at the door though.
Advertisement

Uncle Fester

3,114 posts

78 months

[news] 
Monday 27th February 2012 quote quote all
blindswelledrat said:
You're a fking barrel of laughs aren't you?


Good post though
If I can just get enough of you slitting your wrists there may be enough for me. evil

Let me try and answer a few of the OP’s original questions. All the answers are based upon the assumption that the major problem is a resultant economic collapse rather than direct effects like fallout.

I’ve lived through it before, and it focuses the mind. It also leaves you with more realism and no sense of humour regarding nuclear war.

Relatively few of us actually made practical preparations like the OP is considering. It didn’t come entirely out of the blue. The Cuban Missile Crisis didn’t become that until the US got proof in October, but there had been earlier unconfirmed reports. If you were paying attention then there were signs and rumours as far back as August 1962.

You’d be surprised how many people go into denial and try to pretend nothing is happening. Others retreat into over exaggerated patterns of behaviour. I remember in 1962 a lot of people seemed to have exaggerated good manners. I doubt that would happen today. Perhaps people would retreat into exaggerated bad manners.

Others walked around with a strange look in their eyes. My Grandfather recognised it and said it was a look he had last seen in the eyes of men during the First World War. The expectation of death became too much for many men. Eventually the person gave up all hope of survival and was just waiting to die. The strain of waiting becomes too much and they actually begin to wish for and seek the release of death. Once that look came into a man’s eyes all the others knew he would soon be ‘for the chop’.

Enough cheerfulness just before bedtime.

Fantic SuperT said:
If running: What transport method, route, and destination to evacuate to?
Running depends upon you having somewhere to run too. In the 1960’s we thought New Zeeland was the best bet for avoiding fallout, but that was on the assumption of a bigger exchange with Russia, America and Europe all having been nuked.

Your problem will be that no country is going to want vast numbers of refugees. Many will be refusing to take at all or have restrictions which prohibit you. If the UK is uninhabitable then your property is almost worthless. If Sterling has collapsed as a consequence of economic ruin of Europe then your money is worthless; even if the Bank holding your wealth is still in existence.

Most refugees will be in a similar position. Any nation taking them in will therefore have to let them live upon state benefits until they can find work. If we assume all nations will be in a financial crisis then you will be unwelcome.

Unless you have already relocated on the assumption this will happen then it is unlikely you will be accepted afterwards.

The means of travel will depend upon your intended destination. However, you must have contingency plans on the assumption you will be unable land at your destination.

You cannot assume commercial routes will still be operating. Flights and sailings may be suspended. This means you are restricted to either private boat or aircraft. Do you have access to either and someone who can operate them? Unless you have a largish boat you won’t get away from the source of the problem. A light aircraft or boat to Europe when the problem is blowing from that direction is not a solution. You might have to go way out into the Atlantic to avoid the problem.

Note the design of the channel tunnel is such that it leaks and is continuously pumped out. If the tunnel stops operating and this pumping ceases and the tunnel floods, then you won’t even be walking out.

Fantic SuperT said:
If staying: Will there still be working transport, hospitals, jobs, shops, offices, banking, truthful-ish news, and an economy?
You think the news is truthful now, or the banking system is working?

If the economy goes then all the other things go with it. Transport relies upon fuel imports. Hospitals rely upon energy. Hospital supplies are delivered by transport.

Jobs rely upon currency shops and offices all depend upon transport. If no goods get moved and the currency is worthless then expect a situation like Germany after WW1.
Fantic SuperT said:
What food to store, and how to source drinking water if I don't currently have a well?
If the economy collapsed totally and we had to go back to depending upon domestic production then you will need several years supply of food. Getting all the land into cultivation and producing food without oil imports will take years. Few people have the skills to do that. Even most farmers don’t know how to work the land without oil. A return to Shire Horses would be required and their population will take decades to restore to sufficient levels. We have a Shire horse population around 20K and history suggests we need 2.5M to work all the land.

Water sources are something I can’t advise you on as it depends what is available in your area. If there is fallout then open sources are likely to be contaminated, but in time contamination may enter the water supply. Frankly I don’t expect this to be much of an issue in the UK if the conflict remains in the Middle East.

However it would be prudent to have as much stored as possible. If the power supply fails then most the water pumping is lost. Supplies pumped from deep underground will be unavailable unless someone can rig a windmill generator or something.

Fantic SuperT said:
How long would outdoors be unsafe if at all?
The problem of safety outdoors is unlikely to be fallout. If imports are halted then starvation will set in. As such the greatest danger will come from other people. Assuming you have stockpiled food and they have not then there are two possibilities. Either they accept death by starvation, or they attempt to take yours.

Those best able to defend what they have and take what you have will be those in some sort of cohesive group. Unfortunately this means street gangs, travellers, perhaps groups with a strong community tie based upon religious faith.

If you are alone or part of a small family group then you are not going to stop a large raiding party from the local council estate, caravan site or mosque taking your supplies.
Fantic SuperT said:
How long before we could eat European crops and animals again?
How long before they will sell them to us? If we have no economy functioning then they won’t. It is not until we can trade that we get access to their output. We must produce exports and earn to be able to buy. That will probably take longer than any health issues relating to radioactivity.
Fantic SuperT said:
How much electricity will be generated compared to normal times?
Without a paying customer the energy companies will fold, leading to no maintenance. Without oil, gas or coal imports if the economy collapses then we are reliant upon renewables. It is simply too dangerous to run nuclear power without proper maintenance and this would have to be safely shut down.

Once people stop getting paid they won’t go to work. They will have a full time job finding food. The National Grid will suffer and it’s not just generating that matters. In principle unless you are on the same circuit as something with high priority, yours will be shut down. If you lived near a hospital during the 3 day week of the 1970’s and were on the same circuit you always had power.

Fantic SuperT said:
Is fuel storage wise, if so how much?
Petrol goes stale. In any case there are legal restrictions to the storage of petrol in domestic premises. If we need to rebuild the economy then you would need years of supply. Enough to get you over any blip in supply caused by short term disruption might be useful, but if the economy collapses then you won’t have enough.

Assume gas and electricity will supplies will be lost and have enough coal to hand to keep you warm, cook and boil water until you can acquire wood to burn.
Fantic SuperT said:
What medicines should we buy, and when?
Anything you need regularly and could not do without. Private prescriptions will be expensive but much is prescription only, so you have no choice.
A selection stuff to cope will water purification. You can’t remove radioactivity from contaminated water, but supplies maybe contaminated with other things if we have unburied bodies.
Medicine to treat upset stomach.
Don’t forget dental.
Wound kit, including antibiotics and the knowledge to use them.
Potassium Iodide tablets just in case we do get any fallout.
Prepare a humane exit kit for anyone too badly sick or injured to survive with the reduced care obtainable. Remember trying to keep alive a wounded person may compromise the survival chances of the rest.
Lithium for the paranoia reading this post has given you.

Fantic SuperT said:
Will I need weapons, if so which ones?
There is absolutely no point in applying for a firearms licence and relying upon having them in a crisis. If The Emergency Powers Act is signed then the Police WILL be instructed to visit ALL certificate holders and confiscate ALL firearms and ammunition.

Obviously it is possible to acquire unlicensed firearms, but I don’t advise it. You are likely to have more trouble surviving as Bubba’s cellmate than doing without. Remember what I said about cohesive groups like street gangs, etc. They already tend to have access to unlicensed firearms and will outgun you.

No weapon is any use unless you are competent with it. Unless you are going to spend time and effort learning now then just improvise. Ammunition will run out and unless you have a simple technology then you will be unable to manufacture your own. That is another skill you will need.

Pleasant dreams, Goodnight.

Uncle Fester

3,114 posts

78 months

[news] 
Monday 27th February 2012 quote quote all
4keymonsta said:
Uncle Fester said:
One factor which is unknown is the effect upon the climate. We have never let off numerous weapons to actually know what will happen, but nuclear winter may result.
See, even a nuclear war is'nt a promise of a decent bit of snow.
It proves what a lie MMuGW is though.

The oft-repeated lie is that releasing energy is bad because it causes global warming.

Yet here the scientists tell us if you release massive amounts of energy with a few nukes it will cause nuclear winter.

A little contradictory isn’t it?

ShayneJ

940 posts

49 months

[news] 
Tuesday 28th February 2012 quote quote all
Uncle Fester said:
It proves what a lie MMuGW is though.

The oft-repeated lie is that releasing energy is bad because it causes global warming.

Yet here the scientists tell us if you release massive amounts of energy with a few nukes it will cause nuclear winter.

A little contradictory isn’t it?
not the same mechanism a nuclear winter is the result of massive quantity's
of dust (and smaller particles of fallout) becoming trapped in the upper
atmosphere acting as a mirror to solar input.
A supervolcano is quite capable of producing the same effect

duration anybody's guess depends on the amount of crap fired up there
upper atmosphere wind currents and mixing out to lower altitudes
and thus the ground several months to several years but i would not think
a localised nuclear exchange would induce a full on nuclear winter
though it may well lower the global average temperature somewhat

there was a large volcanic eruption some years ago i forget which
but i do remember reading that that lowered global average for a year or
two after.

OpulentBob

3,141 posts

50 months

[news] 
Tuesday 28th February 2012 quote quote all
But...


Genelec

525 posts

17 months

[news] 
Tuesday 28th February 2012 quote quote all
bennyboydurham said:
That fking film stopped me sleeping for a year when I watched it as a kid. Even now I couldn't watch it, and I'm nearly 40!
Jesus, I remember Threads now.... I think I watched it in a Geography Class in school, no idea why though!

BIANCO

1,534 posts

87 months

[news] 
Tuesday 28th February 2012 quote quote all
Uncle Fester said:
stuff
I don’t think it will be as bad as you make out. That’s if the conflict is limited to the middle east only though.

This is my theory of what could happen for what its worth (I am not an expert on any of this), With the small number of low yield bombs I don’t think fallout will be that bad for us even if the wind is blowing this way.

The biggest problem will be oil and economic affects, you will be parking your car up and get on your bike. But its not like we wouldn’t have any oil not all our oil comes from the middle east. So vital services will still run, farms will still have oil so will trains and busses and trucks will still make deliveries. I think there is a good chance the economic system we have now will probably almost totally collapse. What this means I don’t fully know others will have a better idea than me but I see a socialist society forming for a time.
It will be similar to world war2 with ration books. But I don’t think we will starve the north see oil would pay for 20% of food imports we need.

What I could see happening is the fight for the remaining oil and other recourses. The remaining weaker oil producing countries would be forcefully controlled by the stronger military powered nations to secure remaining supplies. The Libyan revolution would have been for nothing because they would not be in charge of their country for long. The danger is this could escalate between the larger nuclear powers ending up in total war.

It would have a massive affect on our lives but we should survive. It will be the end of our consumerist society for a good few years.

ShayneJ

940 posts

49 months

[news] 
Tuesday 28th February 2012 quote quote all
BIANCO said:
I don’t think it will be as bad as you make out. That’s if the conflict is limited to the middle east only though.

This is my theory of what could happen for what its worth (I am not an expert on any of this), With the small number of low yield bombs I don’t think fallout will be that bad for us even if the wind is blowing this way.

The biggest problem will be oil and economic affects, you will be parking your car up and get on your bike. But its not like we wouldn’t have any oil not all our oil comes from the middle east. So vital services will still run, farms will still have oil so will trains and busses and trucks will still make deliveries. I think there is a good chance the economic system we have now will probably almost totally collapse. What this means I don’t fully know others will have a better idea than me but I see a socialist society forming for a time.
It will be similar to world war2 with ration books. But I don’t think we will starve the north see oil would pay for 20% of food imports we need.

What I could see happening is the fight for the remaining oil and other recourses. The remaining weaker oil producing countries would be forcefully controlled by the stronger military powered nations to secure remaining supplies. The Libyan revolution would have been for nothing because they would not be in charge of their country for long. The danger is this could escalate between the larger nuclear powers ending up in total war.

It would have a massive affect on our lives but we should survive. It will be the end of our consumerist society for a good few years.
Methinks (given our current population and society) you under estimate
how much we depend on imports and how little Britain's landmass could provide
for said population we could "just" about cope at WW2 levels and tech level
today would be much MUCH worse.

we DONT have the agriculture to cope with the current population.
we DONT have the fishing fleet (or the stocks) to manage without imports
we DO have coal but very few power stations to utilise it not to mention
how few homes are set up for using coal for heat or hot water or even cooking
North sea gas i don't believe is enough for current demand hence importing it
via europe from russia
and NS oil is just as poor as NS gas.

in short if the imports stop for whatever reason this country is back in the stone age
in a matter of weeks the government in the form of the police will be ineffectual
at best due to totally inadequate manpower to cope with mass unrest the military
will be occupied elsewhere and also don't have the manpower law and order
will cease to be until the population dies off to a manageable level
and wont recover for quite some time assuming enough with the correct skill sets
survive to reinstate the infrastructure.

This is a worse case but look at the numbers it is entirely possible given
(insert disaster of your choice here) happening which is why IF the excrement
impacts the ventilator me and my close relatives will be getting
the hell out of dodge.
The film Threads may have been based on a direct nuclear strike on the uk
but there are a multitude of circumstances that could and would have the same
results for the population the government cannot and will not be able to help.

Codswallop

3,961 posts

64 months

[news] 
Tuesday 28th February 2012 quote quote all
Blimmin' heck Uncle Fester - you are really pessemistic (I hope).

But if the absolute worst scenario of all out nuclear war/ economic and societal collapse were to occur, which country does everyone think would be best to move to in terms of personal survival before things went belly up?

I think Australia would be a decent bet. Out of the way enough to avoid fallout from conflict in most other places, large enough to have plenty of resources, and civilised enough to hopefully not experience total collpase of society even if other countries do fall.

Regardless, I have achieved the platinum trophy on Fallout 3, and watched Mad Max twice, so I'll be fine smokin

BlackVanDyke

8,137 posts

81 months

[news] 
Tuesday 28th February 2012 quote quote all
My plan for any such eventuality basically involves taking all the morphine and all the other medication in the house, all in one go, and ensuring my cats the quickest and most peaceful exit I can possibly manage for them, too.

I don't think the likes of me would have a very good time in the midst of nuclear fallout. frown

HOGEPH

3,272 posts

56 months

[news] 
Tuesday 28th February 2012 quote quote all
Look back at the petrol strike of 2000 to see how quickly Britain came to a near standstill.

Psychobert

6,007 posts

126 months

[news] 
Tuesday 28th February 2012 quote quote all
Puggit said:
Move to the Falklands...
Arse.. irked

AndrewW-G

11,968 posts

87 months

[news] 
Tuesday 28th February 2012 quote quote all
If it kicks off in the middle east, expect it to rapidly spread, if there are problems in India and Pakistan, expect the nutjobs that successive governments refuse to deport, to try and make sure that the UK to be next frown

Merlin28

653 posts

18 months

[news] 
Tuesday 28th February 2012 quote quote all
I bet people still get upset about their flights being disrupted on the plus side no more heat magazines or reading about stupid celebrities.

steviegunn

587 posts

54 months

[news] 
Tuesday 28th February 2012 quote quote all
Uncle Fester said:
One factor which is unknown is the effect upon the climate. We have never let off numerous weapons to actually know what will happen, but nuclear winter may result.
There's been a shed load of nuclear detonations over the years (140 in 1962 alone which would probably equate to the entire Israeli & Iranian arsenal in 3 years), many were above ground - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LLCF7vPanrY & http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_weapons_testi...

retrobob

1,743 posts

59 months

[news] 
Tuesday 28th February 2012 quote quote all
I'm 100% sure this won't happen if the Americans vote Ron Paul in as I heard him say on Fox News he wants to send Iran an email asking if they would like to be friends.


Disclaimer :- I may have embellished some of the above content.

Edited by retrobob on Tuesday 28th February 10:38

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