The official winter 2013/2014 snow thread

The official winter 2013/2014 snow thread

Author
Discussion

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,427 posts

248 months

Thursday 19th December 2013
quotequote all
Bisonhead said:
schmalex said:
The models were hinting at 920mb for the deep low inbound next week...
How does that compare to the 'super-mega-dail-mail' storm the other month?
Lowest observed pressure of St Jude's storm was 967.6mb, in Denmark. It was a fair bit higher when over the Southern UK. However, as this was a rapidly deepening storm, it took on some nasty characteristics.


Melman Giraffe

6,759 posts

218 months

Thursday 19th December 2013
quotequote all
Watched a program last night about the cold snap in 2010. They said we need winds from the east for there to be snowmagedon!! Would Sch and Pug like to comment?

Will it blow from the east any time soon?

Art0ir

9,401 posts

170 months

Thursday 19th December 2013
quotequote all
I was under the impression 2010 happened because the jetstream trapped that weather system over us for long than it should have?

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,427 posts

248 months

Thursday 19th December 2013
quotequote all
The jet stream went south, allowing high pressure to form over Scandinavia, which in turn fed easterly winds from the frigid continent and siberia.

Big snowfalls don't come from the north or west because of the expanse of ocean that is too warm. They don't often come from the south because it is mostly warmer down there (not always as my burst pipes 2 winters ago in France will attest). From the East we get the cold AND we get the ability to pick up moisture over the North Sea.

Actually not big snowfalls, they can certainly come when the precipitation arrives from the N or W and meets embedded cold - but if the prevailing weather is from those directions (like now!) then it's not very snowy.

Edited by Puggit on Thursday 19th December 13:47

schmalex

13,616 posts

206 months

Thursday 19th December 2013
quotequote all
Melman Giraffe said:
Watched a program last night about the cold snap in 2010. They said we need winds from the east for there to be snowmagedon!! Would Sch and Pug like to comment?

Will it blow from the east any time soon?
Winds from the East are much more likely to bring snow than those from the West (the Atlantic is like a giant hot water bottle that warms the air).

The utopia is for the Jet Stream to sink way South of the UK; a large high pressure going South off Greenland to block the low pressures that spawn off the Eastern seaboard due to the cold air over Canada mixing with the warm air over the Atlantic; a large high pressure to our North in the Arctic pushing cold air South over us and forcing Low Pressures to our South and finally, incursions from the East.

As things currently stand:

  • The Jet is starting to sink South - a good thing
  • Low heights are starting to build in the Arctic - another good thing
  • There are tentative signs of a Greenland high - another good thing
  • There is a mass of very cold air over Canada, supercharging the Jet and also fires the low pressures at us - a very bad thing
  • Not much cold pooled to our East or North East - another bad thing
On balance, things are looking OK for cold and snow potential, which is a hell of a lot better than this time last week, when things were definitely not looking OK

speedchick

5,173 posts

222 months

Thursday 19th December 2013
quotequote all
It snowed in Burnley this afternoon about 1pm, ok, it lasted about 3 minutes, it was wet snow and it didn't stick, but there was definately some snow falling out of the sky.

road hog

2,561 posts

213 months

Thursday 19th December 2013
quotequote all
speedchick said:
It snowed in Burnley this afternoon about 1pm, ok, it lasted about 3 minutes, it was wet snow and it didn't stick, but there was definately some snow falling out of the sky.
you sure it wasnt just coming from "burnley crematorium".. biggrin

madbadger

11,563 posts

244 months

Thursday 19th December 2013
quotequote all
According to the book of face it is snowing within a few miles of here.

smile

andy-xr

13,204 posts

204 months

Thursday 19th December 2013
quotequote all
Nowt but hail, thunder and lightening here in north Lancs

FiF

44,049 posts

251 months

Thursday 19th December 2013
quotequote all
According beeb in Powys the Machynlleth to Dylife road is blocked.

Been chilly but sunny all day in Worcester.

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,427 posts

248 months

Thursday 19th December 2013
quotequote all
Bing-Bing, round 53! (and more to come)



http://www.met-monkey.co.uk/severe-weather-centre/

Art0ir

9,401 posts

170 months

Thursday 19th December 2013
quotequote all
Puggit said:
Bing-Bing, round 53! (and more to come)



http://www.met-monkey.co.uk/severe-weather-centre/
Harumph.

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,427 posts

248 months

Thursday 19th December 2013
quotequote all
Art0ir said:
Harumph.
rofl

Sorry Art0ir - any snow around Derry today?

Blib

43,975 posts

197 months

Thursday 19th December 2013
quotequote all
There's been a thunder storm here in London for the past hour or so.

Art0ir

9,401 posts

170 months

Thursday 19th December 2013
quotequote all
Puggit said:
Art0ir said:
Harumph.
rofl

Sorry Art0ir - any snow around Derry today?
A little up North.



Another Amber warning out for the W/NW tomorrow from Met Éireann anyway. Forecasting mean wind speeds of 50mph tomorrow evening with gusts nearly twice that.

Art0ir

9,401 posts

170 months

Thursday 19th December 2013
quotequote all

karona

1,918 posts

186 months

Friday 20th December 2013
quotequote all
Blib said:
There's been a thunder storm here in London for the past hour or so.
Bit of a show stopper at the Apollo, it seems.

PugwasHDJ80

7,523 posts

221 months

Friday 20th December 2013
quotequote all
severe frost south of Newbury- saw a pheasant slip over on the way into work.....

5 miles away there's not a hint of a frost.....

weird

hondafanatic

4,969 posts

201 months

Friday 20th December 2013
quotequote all
PugwasHDJ80 said:
severe frost south of Newbury- saw a pheasant slip over on the way into work.....

5 miles away there's not a hint of a frost.....

weird
How did you know the pheasant was going to work?

Blib

43,975 posts

197 months

Friday 20th December 2013
quotequote all
PugwasHDJ80 said:
severe frost south of Newbury- saw a pheasant slip over on the way into work.....

5 miles away there's not a hint of a frost.....

weird
Pheasants work in Newbury?

confused