Simple treadmill test predicts death

[grumbledoak]

Interesting research reported. No causal claims, just a simple treadmill heart rate test and calculation predicting percentage chance of all causes death within the next decade.

article said:

Fitness level was the single most powerful predictor of death and survival, even after researchers accounted for other important variables such as diabetes and family history of premature death.

http://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/health-and-families/health-news/running-test-reveals-whether-you-will-die-in-the-next-decade-10081376.html

Anyone know their peak heart rate (and age and gender)?

[spadriver]

Treadmill test didnt preeict the death of a friend who had had his srecg twenty minutes earlier and given a clean bill of health.Only guarantee about life is one day we'll lose it.

[Hoofy]

Gonna have to re-read this later. Does it mean you won't die of cancer or get run over by a bus?

[Derek Chevalier]

spadriver said:

Treadmill test didnt preeict the death of a friend who had had his srecg twenty minutes earlier and given a clean bill of health.Only guarantee about life is one day we'll lose it.

Sorry to hear that - can I ask what an screg is?

[BlackLabel]

Derek Chevalier said:

spadriver said:

Treadmill test didnt preeict the death of a friend who had had his srecg twenty minutes earlier and given a clean bill of health.Only guarantee about life is one day we'll lose it.

Sorry to hear that - can I ask what an screg is?

A stress-related ECG - basically a cardiac stress test (an ECG whilst on a treadmill for example). If you're having heart problems you will be sent for one but you'll also need one every year (or perhaps it's 2 years, can't remember) if you want to hold an international FIA licence and you are above a certain age.

Edited by BlackLabel on Tuesday 3rd March 20:03

[spadriver]

Thanks for the answer BL, and yes exactly as you describe . fortunately the latter for me! Although the stress related is a very good way of finding any conditions that are usually treatable, the guarantee of it all ending is a lifelong
one though.

[Upatdawn]

Im never tempted to buy a "lifetime" carrier bag in Sports Direct, i think it might be tempting fate

[Zod]

I've read it twice and still have no idea wtf METs are.

[grumbledoak]

Zod said:

I've read it twice and still have no idea wtf METs are.

It's just a number in that equation, with running = 8 as far as I can see.

Anyone tried the calculation? I'll strap a heart rate monitor on and find a hill when my foot gets better, but surely many on here already know their max rate? What does it give for you?

ETA, guessing 175, age 46.
12 * 8 + (175 / (220 - 46)) * (100/1) - 4 * 46 =
96 + 100.5 - 184 =
12.5

So, am I dead?

Edited by grumbledoak on Wednesday 4th March 19:45

[anonymous-user]

grumbledoak said:

Zod said:

I've read it twice and still have no idea wtf METs are.

It's just a number in that equation, with running = 8 as far as I can see.

Anyone tried the calculation? I'll strap a heart rate monitor on and find a hill when my foot gets better, but surely many on here already know their max rate? What does it give for you?

ETA, guessing 175, age 46.
12 * 8 + (175 / (220 - 46)) * (100/1) - 4 * 46 =
96 + 100.5 - 184 =
12.5

So, am I dead?

Apparently - "Meanwhile, patients who scored 100 or higher had a 2 percent risk of dying over the next 10 years, while those with scores between 0 and 100 faced a 3 percent death risk over the next decade."

That's OK then

[grumbledoak]

Am I correct in thinking that I would need a max heart rate of 327 to get a score over 100?

I'm gonna need some HIIT.