The Official Liverpool FC Thread [Vol 8]

The Official Liverpool FC Thread [Vol 8]

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BlackST

9,079 posts

165 months

Saturday 25th October 2014
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No way people are swapping their tops.

RedTrident

8,290 posts

235 months

Saturday 25th October 2014
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Not just me then. Some may want to skip a page. Worth the read I think.

Rory Smith, Tony Barrett
Published at 12:01AM, October 25 2014

As is the case for Liverpool so often this season, the default response is little more than a diversion. Just as the storm over Mario Balotelli’s shirt-swapping with Pepe served to distract from Real Madrid’s ruthless exposure of their flaws, so too the blistering, constant criticism of Brendan Rodgers’ defence may not address the real issue.

That Liverpool’s back line is vulnerable is not in question, of course, despite spending £43 million on new defenders this summer. They have a defensive record more fitting with the bottom six than the top, and things have got so bad that Rodgers was forced to dismiss this week the suggestion that he might bring in a specialist defensive coach to improve matters.

“No, no, no. No chance, no,” the Liverpool manager said. “I think it is just the lack of coaching time that is impacting. In terms of that, we don’t need it.”

To judge from an extensive investigation into Liverpool’s performances this season, it seems that the Northern Irishman may well be right, though perhaps not in the way he thinks. Much has been made this week of Rodgers’ ability or otherwise to coax the best from Balotelli. There is, though, a much more exacting test of his managerial ability at hand, and it is not solely to do with the defence.

The bare figures are damning. By pretty much any metric, Rodgers’ side’s defensive showing in their eight Barclays Premier League games ranges from deeply mediocre to outright poor. This will not come as a surprise.

They lead the league in facing what Opta, the data experts, refer to as “Big Chances”: those opportunities from which teams really should score. They have made fewer blocks than any other side and only an underperforming Everton and Chelsea, a team with a vastly different defensive style, intercept the ball less frequently.

Only Everton and Newcastle United have made more individual mistakes leading to attempts on goal. On average, Liverpool will gift their opponents a chance to score once a game. By contrast, Chelsea have not conceded a single goal that could be attributed to a mistake from any of José Mourinho’s players.

All of this, of course, appears to bolster the initial impression that Liverpool are fundamentally undermined by an ineffectual defence. Further examination, though, suggests that the issue is more complicated than that.

First: though there has been a steady deterioration in Liverpool’s defending in little more than two years of Rodgers’ reign — despite spending more than £63 million on new players — they are not significantly worse, statistically, than last season.

The difference in this campaign, of course, is that Luis Suárez and Daniel Sturridge are not around to bail them out. Liverpool’s defensive frailty is a longstanding flaw, and one that Rodgers must mend, but it has been highlighted only because of the collapse of their offensive output.

Then there is the nature of the goals they are conceding. Liverpool’s opponents have created 61 chances against them this season, 48 from central positions. Rodgers’s team are widely believed to be especially vulnerable to set-pieces and, thanks to Simon Mignolet’s leaden feet, the crossed ball, but that is not the case. They are too easily cut apart through the centre.

Martin Skrtel, Dejan Lovren and Mamadou Sakho must take some blame for that, but so too must the midfield and attack. Steven Gerrard, particularly, has seen his defensive contribution recede drastically this season — fewer tackles, interceptions and blocks — which, given his deep-lying role in Rodgers’ system, has left the back line hopelessly exposed.

The problems, though, start farther forward. Liverpool’s style morphed last season from the Barcelona-aping, death by passing used by Rodgers at Swansea to a more intense, counter-punching approach, inspired by Suárez but adopted from Borussia Dortmund.

Without the Uruguayan, Liverpool are neither: they are just a side who have a tendency to be careless with the ball. It is telling, for example, that only two sides in the Premier League are let down by their control of the ball more frequently — Crystal Palace and Arsenal — and that only three are dispossessed more frequently.

To illustrate: only two players at Manchester City lose possession because of poor touches at an average rate of more than once a game. Both, Sergio Agüero and Edin Dzeko, are strikers, who are liable to do so more frequently. Eleven Liverpool players, almost all of them midfielders, do so.

Then there is the fact that their frenzied pressing, such a potent attacking weapon last year, has all but broken down. According to a metric compiled by StatsBomb, using Opta data, Liverpool were the third most effective side at closing down their opponents last year; they have slipped to tenth this.

More tellingly, as StatsBomb’s Colin Trainor points out, last season, Liverpool pressed intensely when they were winning, losing and drawing, suggesting that Rodgers had set his team up to do just that regardless of the situation.

This season, they press just as much when they are losing, but far less when the result is in their favour. That hints partly at an identity crisis, that Liverpool are not quite sure what they are, and partly that the loss of Suárez has affected their defensive efforts quite starkly.


Rodgers’ team, put simply, give the ball away more and win it back less, which serves to make them more vulnerable to counterattacks.

They are being beaten at the game that they used to such devastating effect last season. Their defence may be weaker than others, but they are also forced to display that weakness more often.

Just as Balotelli’s poor form is a symptom of their failures, not the cause, so their defence’s shortcomings can be traced elsewhere. The problem is not an individual or a unit, it is systemic. Rodgers is right: a defensive coach is not the solution. This one is very much on the manager.

type-r

14,071 posts

213 months

Saturday 25th October 2014
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Good article, apart from the last line. We do need a defensive coach and BR needs to wake-up and smell the coffee.

Why is it all the journo's are pretty much echoing what we have been saying on this forum?

DuncanM

6,183 posts

279 months

Saturday 25th October 2014
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Interesting read that, the problems were all there to see last year, but masked somewhat by our outrageous attacking strength.

This season will define BR's time at LFC imo, can he come out of this sticky patch, will our excellent players start performing and putting away chances, to balance out the defensive shortcomings? So many questions.

Meanwhile, I'm watching West Ham play a very good game, with an excellent balance of defence and attack (imo of course).


BlackST

9,079 posts

165 months

Saturday 25th October 2014
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Bib theory was correct. Great report that above too.


Edited by BlackST on Saturday 25th October 14:13

NRS

22,167 posts

201 months

Saturday 25th October 2014
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jammy_basturd said:
RedTrident said:
Wenger and Mourinho are winners, their methods have been proven to be successful multiple times.

I'm not sure who gave BR the rep as being one of the more forward thinking coaches in the game, what I'm certain of is that this is the highest tier club he's ever managed and if he doesn't get his act together this season this will be the highest level he'll ever manage at.
Can't disagree with any of that, but at one stage the same was true of Mourinho and Wenger.
RT seems to have ignored the point I made a few pages back - Liverpool's best had only been 6th place since the 2009/2010 season. So he is presumably part of the reason we have been at this high level, and therefore could potentially do the same elsewhere.

I'm not saying there is not issues, and that I don't understand some of his choices. However it does seem one of the main problems is the lack of a moving striker and once we get that back I think will help a lot.

RedTrident

8,290 posts

235 months

Saturday 25th October 2014
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So we were 6th. The manager got sacked for a reason. The new manager has spent over 200 million. The 6th bit is irrelevant.

Not looking forward to a midfield without Henderson. Cann and Allen hopefully will play behind Gerrard.

BlackST

9,079 posts

165 months

Saturday 25th October 2014
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We had Luis Suarez last season. If you say that he wasn't a huge part of last seasons placing of 2nd then you are foolish.
Are defence has been ste over the past 2 seasons. Had we had a half decent defence last season we would have won the league. Defence and defensive midfield is the same this season and it shows more because Suarez has gone and Sturridge is injured so we can't score 3 or 4 a game and outscore teams (unless we have Caulker and Dunn scoring for us)

RedTrident

8,290 posts

235 months

Saturday 25th October 2014
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And the thing about Suarez is my point. Last seasons nearly success was more about the player than the manager imo.

Hopefully Balotelli breaks into a sweat today. Enjoy the game folks.

DSLiverpool

14,743 posts

202 months

Saturday 25th October 2014
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West Ham had a problem scoring and playing offensively, Sheringham came in to coach the attack and has done a superb job plus they made do e very astute signings.

m3sye

26,231 posts

201 months

Saturday 25th October 2014
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Good article

City lost at west ham today too. Win today and 1 point behind City currently in 2nd

DuncanM

6,183 posts

279 months

Saturday 25th October 2014
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DSLiverpool said:
West Ham had a problem scoring and playing offensively, Sheringham came in to coach the attack and has done a superb job plus they made do e very astute signings.
Anyone watching today can't deny that WHU now have teeth in attack!

That and still having a strong defence makes them quite a team this season.



pinchmeimdreamin

9,953 posts

218 months

Saturday 25th October 2014
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And we have Balotoothless frown

BlackST

9,079 posts

165 months

Saturday 25th October 2014
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NRS

22,167 posts

201 months

Saturday 25th October 2014
quotequote all
BlackST said:
We had Luis Suarez last season. If you say that he wasn't a huge part of last seasons placing of 2nd then you are foolish.
Are defence has been ste over the past 2 seasons. Had we had a half decent defence last season we would have won the league. Defence and defensive midfield is the same this season and it shows more because Suarez has gone and Sturridge is injured so we can't score 3 or 4 a game and outscore teams (unless we have Caulker and Dunn scoring for us)
He helped a lot, but I think the lack of Sturridge is having a massive effect on us this season. We're just not putting any pressure on the other team's defence due to the lack of movement up front, which then means more pressure on our own defense. That said, they're terrible at set pieces which wouldn't be helped by movement up front. You say we would have won the league, but it would have had some effect on our attacking options. So it could well have been the same or worse. And you seem to forget everyone complimented Liverpool playing the way we did last season. Which made a difference from the Rafa days when we got 2nd built on a strong defence. Yes, there are some massive problems at the moment, but I think a lot comes down the lack of a moving strikeforce. We will concede a lot of goals, but if we went back to getting lots again then it's not an issue in some ways.

curlie467

7,650 posts

201 months

Saturday 25th October 2014
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NRS said:
He helped a lot, but I think the lack of Sturridge is having a massive effect on us this season. We're just not putting any pressure on the other team's defence due to the lack of movement up front, which then means more pressure on our own defense. That said, they're terrible at set pieces which wouldn't be helped by movement up front. You say we would have won the league, but it would have had some effect on our attacking options. So it could well have been the same or worse. And you seem to forget everyone complimented Liverpool playing the way we did last season. Which made a difference from the Rafa days when we got 2nd built on a strong defence. Yes, there are some massive problems at the moment, but I think a lot comes down the lack of a moving strikeforce. We will concede a lot of goals, but if we went back to getting lots again then it's not an issue in some ways.
Lots of folk did indeed compliment our attacking prowess, the sad thing is that they were pissing themselves laughing at our defensive frailties at the same time.

type-r

14,071 posts

213 months

Saturday 25th October 2014
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Liverpool playing well this half but lacking that final third quality to finish off the good build up.

DSLiverpool

14,743 posts

202 months

Saturday 25th October 2014
quotequote all
Hmm toothless still, if it's nil all Bren will no doubt hail the clean sheet and say Mario needs time - Borini should have started

type-r

14,071 posts

213 months

Saturday 25th October 2014
quotequote all
We sorely lacking two quality players up front.

Our midfield never looks like scoring goals.

type-r

14,071 posts

213 months

Saturday 25th October 2014
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Trouble is, Hull don't look like scoring an own goal either to help artificially inflate our position in the league.
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