Is The A.I. Singularity Coming And If So When?

Is The A.I. Singularity Coming And If So When?

Author
Discussion

Einion Yrth

19,575 posts

244 months

Tuesday 5th April 2016
quotequote all
Deep AI is not coded in the traditional sense, it runs on neural nets and is trained or taught, or just allowed to learn.

AshVX220

5,929 posts

190 months

Tuesday 5th April 2016
quotequote all
Einion Yrth said:
Deep AI is not coded in the traditional sense, it runs on neural nets and is trained or taught, or just allowed to learn.
Is there a way of ensuring that learning remains in the virtual, rather than physical world? I imagine, with the world (pretty much every business and person) being on-line it could do significant damage if it wanted to regardless.

otolith

56,148 posts

204 months

Tuesday 5th April 2016
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The fear expressed in one of those links was that the AI will figure out how to modify its own codebase - or that we will make it self-modifying in order to implement a genetic algorithm.

Guvernator

13,158 posts

165 months

Tuesday 5th April 2016
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As long as it's got a proper fail-safe off switch and has restricted access to the internet then it's simply a matter of switching it off. It's more than likely that any AI system will be under strictly controlled conditions in a lab, unless you subscribe to the fantastical idea that the Google search engine will become spontaneously self aware.

IainT

10,040 posts

238 months

Tuesday 5th April 2016
quotequote all
otolith said:
The fear expressed in one of those links was that the AI will figure out how to modify its own codebase - or that we will make it self-modifying in order to implement a genetic algorithm.
Strong AI pretty much has to modify it's routines/codebase - that's how learning happens. It's how the brain learns - data and processing are inextricably linked and a true AI is likely no different.

Einion Yrth

19,575 posts

244 months

Tuesday 5th April 2016
quotequote all
Guvernator said:
unless you subscribe to the fantastical idea that the Google search engine will become spontaneously self aware.
That's not as fantastical as you might like to think. The you tube category search is fantastically good at predicting what I might now wish to peruse, it obviously "knows" from previous input what I might want to go to, evidence here of "deep learning" i.e. neural net techniques. Do we actually know what make any being self aware? Other than, deep learning and use of neural nets?

...

Toaster

2,939 posts

193 months

Tuesday 5th April 2016
quotequote all
Einion Yrth said:
That's not as fantastical as you might like to think. The you tube category search is fantastically good at predicting what I might now wish to peruse, it obviously "knows" from previous input what I might want to go to, evidence here of "deep learning" i.e. neural net techniques. Do we actually know what make any being self aware? Other than, deep learning and use of neural nets?...
I have programmed with Neural its not that clever, I've also used prolog and whilst both can lay claim to be used in 'expert' systems they just follow rules. As far as 'knowing' is concerned Google cannot 'know' it is not self aware and has no conscious....... Im not saying its not clever

Toaster

2,939 posts

193 months

Tuesday 5th April 2016
quotequote all
Guvernator said:
As long as it's got a proper fail-safe off switch and has restricted access to the internet then it's simply a matter of switching it off. It's more than likely that any AI system will be under strictly controlled conditions in a lab, unless you subscribe to the fantastical idea that the Google search engine will become spontaneously self aware.
you mean omni present almost god like how scary would that be

Einion Yrth

19,575 posts

244 months

Tuesday 5th April 2016
quotequote all
Toaster said:
I have programmed with Neural its not that clever,
Well, at least to a first order approximation, it's how your brain works.

So your probably right.

Guvernator

13,158 posts

165 months

Tuesday 5th April 2016
quotequote all
Einion Yrth said:
Guvernator said:
unless you subscribe to the fantastical idea that the Google search engine will become spontaneously self aware.
That's not as fantastical as you might like to think. The you tube category search is fantastically good at predicting what I might now wish to peruse, it obviously "knows" from previous input what I might want to go to, evidence here of "deep learning" i.e. neural net techniques. Do we actually know what make any being self aware? Other than, deep learning and use of neural nets?

...
Google is a clever mathematical algorithm tied to one of the largest indexes of information in the world. It has your past history in it's databases plus millions of other peoples search history which means it's very good at finding patterns quickly. However try to have even a rudimentary conversation that you could have with a 2 year old with it and it would fall flat on it's face. Google doesn't actually "know" anything, it's just returning stored data.

Toaster

2,939 posts

193 months

Tuesday 5th April 2016
quotequote all
Einion Yrth said:
Well, at least to a first order approximation, it's how your brain works.

So your probably right.
its a piss poor approximation of how a brain works

otolith

56,148 posts

204 months

Wednesday 6th April 2016
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IainT said:
Strong AI pretty much has to modify it's routines/codebase - that's how learning happens. It's how the brain learns - data and processing are inextricably linked and a true AI is likely no different.
It's not inconceivable that you could sandbox the part of the architecture which is capable of modification, though - our own brains are like that in some respects.



RobDickinson

31,343 posts

254 months

Wednesday 6th April 2016
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Any AI is likely to be 'born' on a huge cluster computer with limited connection to the outside world.

its possible it could hack many connected things, even really without knowing quite what it was doing, but its unlikely to move conciousness outside its cluster, and I am assuming people wont be stupid enough to provide it with lazer toting robot protection squads or anything...

IainT

10,040 posts

238 months

Wednesday 6th April 2016
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otolith said:
IainT said:
Strong AI pretty much has to modify it's routines/codebase - that's how learning happens. It's how the brain learns - data and processing are inextricably linked and a true AI is likely no different.
It's not inconceivable that you could sandbox the part of the architecture which is capable of modification, though - our own brains are like that in some respects.
Yeah, that's very likely - I don't think we're likely to accidentally create something conscious/self-aware so there are many safe-guards to be put in place - both for us and for 'it'.

IainT

10,040 posts

238 months

Wednesday 6th April 2016
quotequote all
RobDickinson said:
and I am assuming people wont be stupid enough to provide it with lazer toting robot protection squads or anything...
hehe

AshVX220

5,929 posts

190 months

Wednesday 6th April 2016
quotequote all
IainT said:
RobDickinson said:
and I am assuming people wont be stupid enough to provide it with lazer toting robot protection squads or anything...
hehe
Depends who's first to achieve it surely.....;)

lionelf

612 posts

100 months

Wednesday 6th April 2016
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IainT said:
otolith said:
IainT said:
Strong AI pretty much has to modify it's routines/codebase - that's how learning happens. It's how the brain learns - data and processing are inextricably linked and a true AI is likely no different.
It's not inconceivable that you could sandbox the part of the architecture which is capable of modification, though - our own brains are like that in some respects.
Yeah, that's very likely - I don't think we're likely to accidentally create something conscious/self-aware so there are many safe-guards to be put in place - both for us and for 'it'.
I don't agree.

Ultimately, I believe, it won't matter what humans do or do not provide it (AI) with it will eventually be able to trick it's way out of any 'box' mankind might have either created/placed it within. Kind of how you can throw a stick or ball and make a dog go fetch it or put a leash on your canine whilst simultaneously distracting it with a biscuit. To a sufficiently advanced AI we'll be the mutt. And it will only need too succeed once to be forever out of reach of any 'recapture'. We likely won't even recognise that the (self taught) AI had the capability to fool us as it will have hidden it's true potential from us in preparation.

The next phase of evolution doesn't include us smile

KrissKross

2,182 posts

101 months

Thursday 7th April 2016
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The last job on Earth: https://youtu.be/Yvs7f4UaKLo

maffski

1,868 posts

159 months

Friday 8th April 2016
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Einion Yrth said:
Guvernator said:
unless you subscribe to the fantastical idea that the Google search engine will become spontaneously self aware.
That's not as fantastical as you might like to think. The you tube category search is fantastically good at predicting what I might now wish to peruse, it obviously "knows" from previous input what I might want to go to, evidence here of "deep learning" i.e. neural net techniques. Do we actually know what make any being self aware? Other than, deep learning and use of neural nets?

...
Or, alternatively Google can simply data mine from the thousands of other people it has details on who share your tastes, if they liked something it's worth suggesting it to you.

Toaster

2,939 posts

193 months

Sunday 10th April 2016
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The last job on Earth: imagining a fully automated world

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yvs7f4UaKLo&fe...