Manned Spaceflight - the Next 30 Years

Manned Spaceflight - the Next 30 Years

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scubadude

2,618 posts

198 months

Wednesday 4th November 2015
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Eric Mc said:
I'm sure something along those lines will get built - and possibly within the next twenty years. The Orion module is designed to be used with an attached "habitation section" - a bit like the Laboratory section of the US Air Forces cancelled MOL project. Not quite as grandiose as "Hermes" in "The Martian"b but I'm sure it could be enlarged and added to as the ISS was.
Yes, it certainly won't be like Hermes, or perhaps Pegasus (From the BBC/Discover Space Odyssey series) with its own magnetic field generator :-) but if we invest in a proper "ship" perhaps look at it as the replacement for the ISS (so that sort of budget/complexity) which despite protestations will eventually have to be retired. It should be something multi-mission capable and able to come home and be parked in orbit so the Mars crew can swap with a Comet crew (for example.)

Some kind of lattice spine with modules all along it and big engines at the end and some sort of shielding, its not sci-fi but its what's needed to do anything more than jaunts to the Moon.

menguin

3,764 posts

222 months

Wednesday 4th November 2015
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ash73 said:
The first of those, ensuring the survival of our species, is not achievable by going to Mars because a colony there will never be sufficiently scaleable.
Why do you say that? Mars can be terraformed in time and most probably in a shorter period of time than it would take to travel to an "Earth 2.0" which could be any number of light years away.

Even without terraforming, a sufficient population on Mars with multiple habitats and resources could become self sustaining.

456GT

301 posts

179 months

Wednesday 4th November 2015
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http://waitbutwhy.com/2015/08/how-and-why-spacex-w...

This seems to be the most workable plan for getting people to Mars this century.

menguin

3,764 posts

222 months

Wednesday 4th November 2015
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456GT said:
http://waitbutwhy.com/2015/08/how-and-why-spacex-w...

This seems to be the most workable plan for getting people to Mars this century.
Agreed. Musk has the vision and up until now has managed not to go bankrupt (or get killed by Russians).

Toaster

2,939 posts

194 months

Friday 6th November 2015
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menguin said:
Why do you say that? Mars can be terraformed in time and most probably in a shorter period of time than it would take to travel to an "Earth 2.0" which could be any number of light years away.

Even without terraforming, a sufficient population on Mars with multiple habitats and resources could become self sustaining.
'after the old Martian atmosphere left, scientists now understand it was carried away by the solar wind, gone forever. Additionally, absent a strong magnetic field, it would be difficult to consolidate gains made by thickening the Martian atmosphere by other means'. http://arstechnica.co.uk/science/2015/11/how-mars-...

Simpo Two

85,664 posts

266 months

Friday 6th November 2015
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I don't think that's grounds for not having a go. After all, they said that heavier than air flight was impossible and that man would suffocate if he went faster than 40mph...

Toaster

2,939 posts

194 months

Friday 6th November 2015
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Simpo Two said:
I don't think that's grounds for not having a go. After all, they said that heavier than air flight was impossible and that man would suffocate if he went faster than 40mph...
So who was 'they' and did 'they' actually say 40mph? are you sure this wasn't the quote you were thinking about

"Rail travel at high speed is not possible because passengers, unable to breathe, would die of asphyxia." -- Dr. Dionysus Lardner, 1793-1859

Of course man can potentially go to Mars in the 30 Years but will he? given that a moon landing has been made where is the colonisation? just think how much more costly it will be to colonise Mars

Simpo Two

85,664 posts

266 months

Friday 6th November 2015
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Toaster said:
So who was 'they' and did 'they' actually say 40mph? are you sure this wasn't the quote you were thinking about

"Rail travel at high speed is not possible because passengers, unable to breathe, would die of asphyxia." -- Dr. Dionysus Lardner, 1793-1859
It did concern rail travel though I recall a speed quoted. Point is, just because some bloke/website says it can't be done doesn't mean it can't be done.

Toaster said:
Of course man can potentially go to Mars in the 30 Years but will he? given that a moon landing has been made where is the colonisation? just think how much more costly it will be to colonise Mars
There is a vast disconnect between what is technically possible and what will happen, yes. If you bring money into the equation, then only projects that involve (a) national interest/pride or (b) profit will be pursued to any depth.

2fast748

1,100 posts

196 months

Wednesday 11th November 2015
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menguin said:
456GT said:
http://waitbutwhy.com/2015/08/how-and-why-spacex-w...

This seems to be the most workable plan for getting people to Mars this century.
Agreed. Musk has the vision and up until now has managed not to go bankrupt (or get killed by Russians).
Having read that article, starting out as a sceptic, I am convinced it's going to happen!

It's really good for society that people like Musk exist. He's prepared to put so much effort into something so difficult that it's hard not to get caught up in his vision.

Eric Mc

Original Poster:

122,108 posts

266 months

Wednesday 11th November 2015
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It's amazing how important charismatic people with vision are to history - both for good or ill.

It's doubtful if America could have made it to the moon without Von Braun - not just because of his technical input in the design of the Saturn family of rockets, but because of the propaganda campaign for spaceflight he conducted in US magazines, TV, radio and the lecture circuit during the 1950s.

Because he made these efforts, the American public were "prepped" to accept mentally that spaceflight was not something of the distant future, but something that was feasible with the technology being developed at the time.

We need people like Von Braun (without the Nazi/SS background - preferably, of course).

menguin

3,764 posts

222 months

Wednesday 11th November 2015
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Toaster said:
menguin said:
Why do you say that? Mars can be terraformed in time and most probably in a shorter period of time than it would take to travel to an "Earth 2.0" which could be any number of light years away.

Even without terraforming, a sufficient population on Mars with multiple habitats and resources could become self sustaining.
'after the old Martian atmosphere left, scientists now understand it was carried away by the solar wind, gone forever. Additionally, absent a strong magnetic field, it would be difficult to consolidate gains made by thickening the Martian atmosphere by other means'. http://arstechnica.co.uk/science/2015/11/how-mars-...
I think the period in which the atmosphere was lost was short geologically, but rather long when talking about human lifespans - if we could get it back, or create a new one, it would last for many thousands of years - and could be topped up.

Eric Mc

Original Poster:

122,108 posts

266 months

Wednesday 11th November 2015
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Especially when you consider how tenuous our own atmosphere is.

My solution - two massive sod off magnets at each Martian pole smile

hidetheelephants

24,661 posts

194 months

Wednesday 11th November 2015
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Some budding terraformers are partial to the idea of employing sulphur hexafluoride as a 'carrier' gas, as it's a lot denser than nitrogen and will be blown away by solar wind slower.

MartG

20,705 posts

205 months

Wednesday 11th November 2015
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Eric Mc said:
Especially when you consider how tenuous our own atmosphere is.

My solution - two massive sod off magnets at each Martian pole smile
Nah - what is needed is a few Einstein-Rosen bridges ( aka wormholes ) - one to transport a CO2 atmosphere from Venus ( just open the wormhole between Venus and Mars surfaces, and let Venus' atmospheric pressure do the rest - close it when Mars pressure is high enough ), one to transport water from Europa, and one to transport thermal energy from the Sun into Mars' core to remelt it smile

Simpo Two

85,664 posts

266 months

Wednesday 11th November 2015
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MartG said:
Nah - what is needed is a few Einstein-Rosen bridges ( aka wormholes ) - one to transport a CO2 atmosphere from Venus ( just open the wormhole between Venus and Mars surfaces, and let Venus' atmospheric pressure do the rest - close it when Mars pressure is high enough ), one to transport water from Europa, and one to transport thermal energy from the Sun into Mars' core to remelt it smile
With that level of technology you could skip the CO2 stage, make oxygen and nitrogen from helium and go straight for a breathable atmosphere...

Eric Mc

Original Poster:

122,108 posts

266 months

Wednesday 11th November 2015
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With that kind of technology you would probably have an immortal human race and we wouldn't need to be going anywhere.

McAndy

12,529 posts

178 months

Thursday 12th November 2015
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Eric Mc said:
With that kind of technology you would probably have an immortal human race and we wouldn't need to be going anywhere.
If the race is immortal I fear the planet wouldn't be so we'd have even more need to get off this rock.

Eric Mc

Original Poster:

122,108 posts

266 months

Thursday 12th November 2015
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If we were immortal, we wouldn't need another rock to live on.

jmorgan

36,010 posts

285 months

Thursday 12th November 2015
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We would when this one will get a bit toasty.

Eric Mc

Original Poster:

122,108 posts

266 months

Thursday 12th November 2015
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No - immortality means nothing can kill you (a la Superman - Kryptonite excepted, of course) - so living in the vacuum of space with no food or water would be perfectly feasible. Although the quality of life might be a bit rubbish.

I was being mildly facetious in the sense that a civilisation that possessed massive engineering skills on a solar system or even galactic scale might very well also have developed technology and medical science to the point where they could live forever.