Manned Spaceflight - the Next 30 Years

Manned Spaceflight - the Next 30 Years

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Toaster

2,939 posts

193 months

Thursday 12th November 2015
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Eric Mc said:
I was being mildly facetious in the sense that a civilisation that possessed massive engineering skills on a solar system or even galactic scale might very well also have developed technology and medical science to the point where they could live forever.
Oh well thats not the Human race we after all just mere Mammals with an over inflated sense of self importance and intelligence (some more than others) , we cannot even engineer our own existence in harmony with nature.............

Eric Mc

Original Poster:

122,037 posts

265 months

Thursday 12th November 2015
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Now.

jmorgan

36,010 posts

284 months

Thursday 12th November 2015
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Eric Mc said:
No - immortality means nothing can kill you (a la Superman - Kryptonite excepted, of course) - so living in the vacuum of space with no food or water would be perfectly feasible. Although the quality of life might be a bit rubbish.
Might be immortal but I am used to this planet. And if if I were immortal, I would like a bar of chocolate or cup of coffee.

Eric Mc

Original Poster:

122,037 posts

265 months

Thursday 12th November 2015
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NOT a Mars Bar, I suppose.

jmorgan

36,010 posts

284 months

Thursday 12th November 2015
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As if I would pun that.

But one train of thought is Mars drops into a more habitable zone when the Sun does a number on us.

Eric Mc

Original Poster:

122,037 posts

265 months

Thursday 12th November 2015
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The lack of magnetic field is definitely an issue - no matter how warm it gets.

Toaster

2,939 posts

193 months

Thursday 12th November 2015
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Eric Mc said:
Now.
Indeed there is only now, we live in the moment there is no yesterday or tomorrow (they are just constructs).

We cannot manage our own atmosphere (thank goodness) what makes you think we can create and control one on another planet ?

Eric Mc

Original Poster:

122,037 posts

265 months

Thursday 12th November 2015
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We can't.

But someday we might.

Toaster

2,939 posts

193 months

Thursday 12th November 2015
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How about the genesis device https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=52XlyMbxxh8

Eric Mc

Original Poster:

122,037 posts

265 months

Thursday 12th November 2015
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That's the baby. Although I seem to remember it wasn't 100% reliable.

scubadude

2,618 posts

197 months

Friday 13th November 2015
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Arguably Mars is in the OP's 30yr time frame but its not a solution to "save" humankind.

Its potentially easier (might be on the 30,000yr plan) to leave the solar system rather than try to fix an entire planet up, since the ingredients we have are not ideal and we are rapidly approaching the capability of finding a more ideal replacement.

I guess in that respect the issue is whether our species can survive here long enough to build a interstellar spacecraft to move a suitable amount of people/culture off the Earth... at our current rate that's got to be a doubtful.

Eric Mc

Original Poster:

122,037 posts

265 months

Friday 13th November 2015
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Yes - I was trying to keep the topic on what we could or should be doing over the next 30 years and what type of craft and missions people might envisage.

Toaster

2,939 posts

193 months

Friday 13th November 2015
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scubadude said:
Arguably Mars is in the OP's 30yr time frame but its not a solution to "save" humankind.

Its potentially easier (might be on the 30,000yr plan) to leave the solar system rather than try to fix an entire planet up, since the ingredients we have are not ideal and we are rapidly approaching the capability of finding a more ideal replacement.

I guess in that respect the issue is whether our species can survive here long enough to build a interstellar spacecraft to move a suitable amount of people/culture off the Earth... at our current rate that's got to be a doubtful.
Spot on and in line with NASA and other agencies

Eric Mc

Original Poster:

122,037 posts

265 months

Friday 13th November 2015
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Which part of the quoted comment is spot on? Anything is possible within the next 30,000 years. I want to discuss the next 30.

Toaster

2,939 posts

193 months

Friday 13th November 2015
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Eric Mc said:
Which part of the quoted comment is spot on? Anything is possible within the next 30,000 years. I want to discuss the next 30.
All of it, I didn't think I needed to spell it out Eric but for the sake of clarity

scubadude said:
Arguably Mars is in the OP's 30yr time frame but its not a solution to "save" humankind.
It is feasible that Mars is an achievable goal within the next 30 years and agree its not a solution to "save" Humankind e.g. this is in line with NASA and other agencies

scubadude said:
Its potentially easier (might be on the 30,000yr plan) to leave the solar system rather than try to fix an entire planet up, since the ingredients we have are not ideal and we are rapidly approaching the capability of finding a more ideal replacement.
Outlandish timespan but more feasible solution

scubadude said:
I guess in that respect the issue is whether our species can survive here long enough to build a interstellar spacecraft to move a suitable amount of people/culture off the Earth... at our current rate that's got to be a doubtful.
A pragmatic view on the future possabilities and the dire issue of we may not be around long enough (this has a high probability)

Toaster said:
Spot on and in line with NASA and other agencies

Eric Mc

Original Poster:

122,037 posts

265 months

Saturday 14th November 2015
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Thanks for the clarification.

Going to Mars or other destinations in the solar system in the next 30 years is nothing to do with saving humanity and I never claimed it was. It's about going places - which humans do.

Please, please, please stop trying to drag this thread into debates about the worth of human spaceflight, Start a thread on that yourself if you want to discuss that topic. This thread, I hoped, would be about the technology and the destinations that WILL be used and aimed for in the next few decades.

NNH

1,520 posts

132 months

Saturday 14th November 2015
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Eric Mc said:
This thread, I hoped, would be about the technology and the destinations that WILL be used and aimed for in the next few decades.
Either we need to reduce the cost of launches from the current ~$4000/kg to LEO (Falcon 9 list price, as an example), or we need to use a much more efficient technology for the cruise to Mars.

Eric Mc

Original Poster:

122,037 posts

265 months

Saturday 14th November 2015
quotequote all
Ion drive sounds like one solution. It's already been used a couple of times on small unmanned probes. What are the technical difficulties of using bigger and more powerful ion drive engines for manned missions?
Are there any new technologies that need to be developed to allow this or would it just be a matter of using current technology engines but just making them bigger?

hidetheelephants

24,396 posts

193 months

Saturday 14th November 2015
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Eric Mc said:
Ion drive sounds like one solution. It's already been used a couple of times on small unmanned probes. What are the technical difficulties of using bigger and more powerful ion drive engines for manned missions?
Are there any new technologies that need to be developed to allow this or would it just be a matter of using current technology engines but just making them bigger?
Ion drives are slowly being made more efficient but the biggest obstacle is the power source; until a practical fusion reactor or perhaps a compact molten salt fission reactor is built we're stuck with powering ion drives from solar panels, RTGs or powercells, none of which have much power density compared to chemical rockets.

MartG

20,683 posts

204 months

Saturday 14th November 2015
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Sums it all up....