RE: Lotus jobs at risk

Author
Discussion

kambites

67,576 posts

221 months

Saturday 27th September 2014
quotequote all
Of course there's also the question of whether they actually have the expertise to achieve the levels of NVH, etc. required to compete in that market.

DonkeyApple

55,309 posts

169 months

Saturday 27th September 2014
quotequote all
kambites said:
DonkeyApple said:
Not if you're going to fill it with gizmos. The market is flooded with gadget laden large sports cars. But I so think there is a market for car with the lotus ethos.
The problem is, the "Lotus Ethos" is to avoid adding anything which isn't strictly necessary and to keep making things lighter until something breaks... it leads ot cars like the Elise both in terms of their level of comfort and their tendency to fall to bits. Lotus chassis setup isn't magic - as soon as they build a car with the NVH and build quality to compete with the mainstream manufacturers, it wont drive significantly better than the cars it's trying to compete with.

I suppose you could say that ultimately the Lotus Ethos is to build cars badly. Above all else, Chapman was renowned for his willingness to keep making things weaker and weaker... usually until someone died. I kinda hope they don't go to that extent these days (although toe-link failures on the Elise have done some damage) but the general idea is still much the same.

Edited by kambites on Saturday 27th September 18:32
I really just mean build a larger car. Nothing more or less. By only making small cars they automatically miss out in quite a few potential buyers.

Sports cars are really quite large these days and I've never fully understood why Lotus stick to making the smallest car they possibly can every time. We all know chapman was a short arse but he's been dead thirty years.

Maybe I am the only potential customer but outside of utility runabouts I buy English cars. I would buy a Lotus, I like what they are and stand for. What I don't like is that they are far too small.

Ozzie Osmond

21,189 posts

246 months

Saturday 27th September 2014
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Throughout the last decade my opinion has been that "a bigger Elise with a V6 engine" ought to work.

It would, of course, need some sort of roof that didn't involve a boy scouts camping holiday!

Craikeybaby

10,412 posts

225 months

Sunday 28th September 2014
quotequote all
DonkeyApple said:
I really just mean build a larger car. Nothing more or less. By only making small cars they automatically miss out in quite a few potential buyers.

Sports cars are really quite large these days and I've never fully understood why Lotus stick to making the smallest car they possibly can every time. We all know chapman was a short arse but he's been dead thirty years.

Maybe I am the only potential customer but outside of utility runabouts I buy English cars. I would buy a Lotus, I like what they are and stand for. What I don't like is that they are far too small.
Maybe because you can position a smaller car on the road better? The F Type is a pretty big car (with a small cockpit).

I'm pretty sure that it would be a bad move for Lotus to Porsche/Jaguar, they wouldn't be able to get near them on price as they don't have the buying power or resources of VW group or JLR. They would spend millions developing a car that internet experts would say is too expensive.

otolith

56,144 posts

204 months

Sunday 28th September 2014
quotequote all
I like the size of the Elise, but then I'm a shortarse and it fits me. It's based on an architecture which deliberately excluded large drivers on the grounds that it was a low volume track car which would be better if it didn't have to accommodate the usual ninety-somethingth percentile - probably not a decision which would have been taken with hindsight. I think Lotus could have another crack at the Europa segment with a shortened Evora platform and a V6 engine - the Elise platform is not suitable for that application and it showed.

DonkeyApple

55,309 posts

169 months

Sunday 28th September 2014
quotequote all
Craikeybaby said:
Maybe because you can position a smaller car on the road better? The F Type is a pretty big car (with a small cockpit).

I'm pretty sure that it would be a bad move for Lotus to Porsche/Jaguar, they wouldn't be able to get near them on price as they don't have the buying power or resources of VW group or JLR. They would spend millions developing a car that internet experts would say is too expensive.
I'm not saying build a Porsche or a Jaguar wink. I'm saying build a Lotus which is larger. And why would it be more expensive? It's just a little more GRP and aluminium. They claim that their chassis tech allows them to build in any size and layout and panel moulds are panel moulds.

At no point am I saying fill it with electric seats, heavy furnishings etc etc. quite the opposite.

I don't buy the road positioning argument. By being tiny cars Lotus are cutting out a lot of potential in a market that has spent 30 years building bigger and bigger cars.

Edited by DonkeyApple on Sunday 28th September 10:00

MJK 24

5,648 posts

236 months

Sunday 28th September 2014
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otolith said:
I like the size of the Elise, but then I'm a shortarse and it fits me. It's based on an architecture which deliberately excluded large drivers on the grounds that it was a low volume track car which would be better if it didn't have to accommodate the usual ninety-somethingth percentile - probably not a decision which would have been taken with hindsight. I think Lotus could have another crack at the Europa segment with a shortened Evora platform and a V6 engine - the Elise platform is not suitable for that application and it showed.
Well I am 6'3" and 17 stone and can easily get in and out and have room to spare once inside. Unless you're dramatically bigger than I am, I can't see how people say its a faff to get in and out!

DonkeyApple

55,309 posts

169 months

Sunday 28th September 2014
quotequote all
MJK 24 said:
otolith said:
I like the size of the Elise, but then I'm a shortarse and it fits me. It's based on an architecture which deliberately excluded large drivers on the grounds that it was a low volume track car which would be better if it didn't have to accommodate the usual ninety-somethingth percentile - probably not a decision which would have been taken with hindsight. I think Lotus could have another crack at the Europa segment with a shortened Evora platform and a V6 engine - the Elise platform is not suitable for that application and it showed.
Well I am 6'3" and 17 stone and can easily get in and out and have room to spare once inside. Unless you're dramatically bigger than I am, I can't see how people say its a faff to get in and out!
I am also 6'3 and 17 stone and I find getting in and out a farce. Once in, on the Elise I can't use the gear stick as my knee is there. On the Evora, the seat is slammed to the back. And on both I cannot move without hitting my elbows or knees on something. Ergonomically I find them totally wrong and yet it is possible to jump in and out and drive an MX5, SLK, Boxster, TVR, Morgan and others without issue. Normally I would just assume that I am the wrong shape to fit but it's very clear that the cars are in this instance.

blueg33

35,910 posts

224 months

Sunday 28th September 2014
quotequote all
DonkeyApple said:
MJK 24 said:
otolith said:
I like the size of the Elise, but then I'm a shortarse and it fits me. It's based on an architecture which deliberately excluded large drivers on the grounds that it was a low volume track car which would be better if it didn't have to accommodate the usual ninety-somethingth percentile - probably not a decision which would have been taken with hindsight. I think Lotus could have another crack at the Europa segment with a shortened Evora platform and a V6 engine - the Elise platform is not suitable for that application and it showed.
Well I am 6'3" and 17 stone and can easily get in and out and have room to spare once inside. Unless you're dramatically bigger than I am, I can't see how people say its a faff to get in and out!
I am also 6'3 and 17 stone and I find getting in and out a farce. Once in, on the Elise I can't use the gear stick as my knee is there. On the Evora, the seat is slammed to the back. And on both I cannot move without hitting my elbows or knees on something. Ergonomically I find them totally wrong and yet it is possible to jump in and out and drive an MX5, SLK, Boxster, TVR, Morgan and others without issue. Normally I would just assume that I am the wrong shape to fit but it's very clear that the cars are in this instance.
Interesting.

My son is 6ft 4 and he finds the Evora more comfortable than my Tuscan and has more headroom in it than he has in a Cayman and in my wife's Outback

otolith

56,144 posts

204 months

Sunday 28th September 2014
quotequote all
I think it depends on your proportions.

Dynamic Turtle

112 posts

148 months

Sunday 28th September 2014
quotequote all
All of this "why not simply develop a City car or an SUV" stuff is absolutely ridiculous. How many times does it have to be said; Lotus do not have the financial resources to develop new models. They just don't. Deal with it. Ain't gonna happen. Dream on.

Yes Lambo are developing an SUV but have the resources and balance sheet of Vee Dubya behind them. Lotus need to prove that they have maximised their existing product utility and exhausted all other options before worrying about "halo" cars (all you Esprit dreamers forget that this also requires the gigantic balance sheet - think Veyron, GT-R, NSX, LFA, Carrera GT etc).

As I said earlier in this thread and to an extent latterly confirmed afterwards by JMGs interview with PH the other day, Lotus have the product but are hamstrung by limited distribution capacity. This will not be cheap to expand either but the demand side must be sated before an increase in production capacity can be justified. Walking into a dealership and finding out that the car you're interested in is suffering from a six month backlog due to outrageous demand might, counter-intuitively, be viewed as a positive thing.

Dealer network investments aside I really do think they need to spend any R&D budget on increasing reliability (particularly their forced induction variants) given the propensity for Lotus owners to drive in a spirited fashion and track their cars. I think customers can forgive the odd electrical niggle or some badly finished trim if the powertrain allows them to enjoy the car 95% of the time.

DT

DonkeyApple

55,309 posts

169 months

Sunday 28th September 2014
quotequote all
Dynamic Turtle said:
All of this "why not simply develop a City car or an SUV" stuff is absolutely ridiculous. How many times does it have to be said; Lotus do not have the financial resources to develop new models. They just don't. Deal with it. Ain't gonna happen. Dream on.

Yes Lambo are developing an SUV but have the resources and balance sheet of Vee Dubya behind them. Lotus need to prove that they have maximised their existing product utility and exhausted all other options before worrying about "halo" cars (all you Esprit dreamers forget that this also requires the gigantic balance sheet - think Veyron, GT-R, NSX, LFA, Carrera GT etc).

As I said earlier in this thread and to an extent latterly confirmed afterwards by JMGs interview with PH the other day, Lotus have the product but are hamstrung by limited distribution capacity. This will not be cheap to expand either but the demand side must be sated before an increase in production capacity can be justified. Walking into a dealership and finding out that the car you're interested in is suffering from a six month backlog due to outrageous demand might, counter-intuitively, be viewed as a positive thing.

Dealer network investments aside I really do think they need to spend any R&D budget on increasing reliability (particularly their forced induction variants) given the propensity for Lotus owners to drive in a spirited fashion and track their cars. I think customers can forgive the odd electrical niggle or some badly finished trim if the powertrain allows them to enjoy the car 95% of the time.

DT
i think you've missed the point of that view. Lotus is corporately structured to build far more cars than they ever can with the current models. So the discussion is really whether they restructure to the smaller size to fit their current sales profile or find a higher volume product so that their volumes match their structure.

Captain Muppet

8,540 posts

265 months

Sunday 28th September 2014
quotequote all
otolith said:
...Fibreglass bodywork should enable them to change the styling at lower cost than pressed steel, so why has the Elise only had two bodies?...
Yep, just the S1, S2 and the S2 facelift, and the S1 Sport Elise/Exige, 340R, VX220, S2 Exige, Europa, 211 and the V6 Exige. Just those two bodies.

otolith

56,144 posts

204 months

Sunday 28th September 2014
quotequote all
Captain Muppet said:
otolith said:
...Fibreglass bodywork should enable them to change the styling at lower cost than pressed steel, so why has the Elise only had two bodies?...
Yep, just the S1, S2 and the S2 facelift, and the S1 Sport Elise/Exige, 340R, VX220, S2 Exige, Europa, 211 and the V6 Exige. Just those two bodies.
Several of those aren't Elises, and even the Exiges aren't much more than an Elise with a body kit. S2 facelift - ooh, I see it now, it's actually an S2 Elise, but looks entirely different because they moved the indicators. I almost didn't recognise it.

MJK 24

5,648 posts

236 months

Sunday 28th September 2014
quotequote all
DonkeyApple said:
MJK 24 said:
otolith said:
I like the size of the Elise, but then I'm a shortarse and it fits me. It's based on an architecture which deliberately excluded large drivers on the grounds that it was a low volume track car which would be better if it didn't have to accommodate the usual ninety-somethingth percentile - probably not a decision which would have been taken with hindsight. I think Lotus could have another crack at the Europa segment with a shortened Evora platform and a V6 engine - the Elise platform is not suitable for that application and it showed.
Well I am 6'3" and 17 stone and can easily get in and out and have room to spare once inside. Unless you're dramatically bigger than I am, I can't see how people say its a faff to get in and out!
I am also 6'3 and 17 stone and I find getting in and out a farce. Once in, on the Elise I can't use the gear stick as my knee is there. On the Evora, the seat is slammed to the back. And on both I cannot move without hitting my elbows or knees on something. Ergonomically I find them totally wrong and yet it is possible to jump in and out and drive an MX5, SLK, Boxster, TVR, Morgan and others without issue. Normally I would just assume that I am the wrong shape to fit but it's very clear that the cars are in this instance.
An Elise is narrower inside than an MX5 mk3 but the Elise has more headroom and a st load more legroom! I don't know how anyone my size can drive an MX5 - seat simply doesn't go anywhere near far enough back for me!

Dynamic Turtle

112 posts

148 months

Sunday 28th September 2014
quotequote all
DonkeyApple said:
Dynamic Turtle said:
All of this "why not simply develop a City car or an SUV" stuff is absolutely ridiculous. How many times does it have to be said; Lotus do not have the financial resources to develop new models. They just don't. Deal with it. Ain't gonna happen. Dream on.

Yes Lambo are developing an SUV but have the resources and balance sheet of Vee Dubya behind them. Lotus need to prove that they have maximised their existing product utility and exhausted all other options before worrying about "halo" cars (all you Esprit dreamers forget that this also requires the gigantic balance sheet - think Veyron, GT-R, NSX, LFA, Carrera GT etc).

As I said earlier in this thread and to an extent latterly confirmed afterwards by JMGs interview with PH the other day, Lotus have the product but are hamstrung by limited distribution capacity. This will not be cheap to expand either but the demand side must be sated before an increase in production capacity can be justified. Walking into a dealership and finding out that the car you're interested in is suffering from a six month backlog due to outrageous demand might, counter-intuitively, be viewed as a positive thing.

Dealer network investments aside I really do think they need to spend any R&D budget on increasing reliability (particularly their forced induction variants) given the propensity for Lotus owners to drive in a spirited fashion and track their cars. I think customers can forgive the odd electrical niggle or some badly finished trim if the powertrain allows them to enjoy the car 95% of the time.

DT
i think you've missed the point of that view. Lotus is corporately structured to build far more cars than they ever can with the current models. So the discussion is really whether they restructure to the smaller size to fit their current sales profile or find a higher volume product so that their volumes match their structure.
A "higher volume model" is going to be extremely difficult to develop with their cash flow issues
These are typically lower-margin models
Why remove limited manufacturing capacity away from higher margin models?

There's nothing wrong with the current models (as JMG also seems to belives) - they'd probably sell a lot better with the "appropriate distribution bandwidth" (sorry for the MBA wk) as their international sales figures attest.

Having said that if there's unproductive bureaucratic fat that needs trimming, then apply the knife. Another poster on this thread seemed to claim that that the firm was middle-management heavy?

DonkeyApple

55,309 posts

169 months

Monday 29th September 2014
quotequote all
Dynamic Turtle said:
DonkeyApple said:
Dynamic Turtle said:
All of this "why not simply develop a City car or an SUV" stuff is absolutely ridiculous. How many times does it have to be said; Lotus do not have the financial resources to develop new models. They just don't. Deal with it. Ain't gonna happen. Dream on.

Yes Lambo are developing an SUV but have the resources and balance sheet of Vee Dubya behind them. Lotus need to prove that they have maximised their existing product utility and exhausted all other options before worrying about "halo" cars (all you Esprit dreamers forget that this also requires the gigantic balance sheet - think Veyron, GT-R, NSX, LFA, Carrera GT etc).

As I said earlier in this thread and to an extent latterly confirmed afterwards by JMGs interview with PH the other day, Lotus have the product but are hamstrung by limited distribution capacity. This will not be cheap to expand either but the demand side must be sated before an increase in production capacity can be justified. Walking into a dealership and finding out that the car you're interested in is suffering from a six month backlog due to outrageous demand might, counter-intuitively, be viewed as a positive thing.

Dealer network investments aside I really do think they need to spend any R&D budget on increasing reliability (particularly their forced induction variants) given the propensity for Lotus owners to drive in a spirited fashion and track their cars. I think customers can forgive the odd electrical niggle or some badly finished trim if the powertrain allows them to enjoy the car 95% of the time.

DT
i think you've missed the point of that view. Lotus is corporately structured to build far more cars than they ever can with the current models. So the discussion is really whether they restructure to the smaller size to fit their current sales profile or find a higher volume product so that their volumes match their structure.
A "higher volume model" is going to be extremely difficult to develop with their cash flow issues
These are typically lower-margin models
Why remove limited manufacturing capacity away from higher margin models?

There's nothing wrong with the current models (as JMG also seems to belives) - they'd probably sell a lot better with the "appropriate distribution bandwidth" (sorry for the MBA wk) as their international sales figures attest.

Having said that if there's unproductive bureaucratic fat that needs trimming, then apply the knife. Another poster on this thread seemed to claim that that the firm was middle-management heavy?
Their whole model doesn't work as they are paying vast sums to get homologation in many markets but then aren't getting the sales to validate it.

Sure, head count can be cut but it doesn't address the core issue that seems to be at the heart of the matter and that is that Lotus have a global orientated business structure but regional sized sales.

It is clear for all to see that they are simply not going to triple sales of existing models. However we try to spin it that hurdle is far too high. And as they pitch themselves So much as track cars for the road then we know this market is too small to support the volumes required.

None of this of course is new. This has been the way for Lotus Cars for a very, very long time ever since they weren't able to build on the spike of business the Elise gave them.

What is new and triggering much of the discussion is that the Cars have been subsidized by either cheap parental debt or Lotus Engineering and the news that Egineering is cutting its workforce quite dramatically clearly highlights that that business is not at all healthy.

So if Cars are not going to be supported by parental debt or rolled by Engineering then it has to either reverse its business model to fit its volumes or grow its volumes to fit its model but this latter approach requires greater volumes than merely selling a few more Exiges. It needs something bigger than that.

braddo

10,485 posts

188 months

Monday 29th September 2014
quotequote all
What sort of volume do you think they need in order that the current structure works?

4000?
8000?

If the former, surely better distribution in some key markets (US, Japan, China, Germany) would help bump those sales, which ultimately are only a tiny nick into Porsche's sales, while being a dramatic improvement for Lotus.

DonkeyApple

55,309 posts

169 months

Monday 29th September 2014
quotequote all
braddo said:
What sort of volume do you think they need in order that the current structure works?

4000?
8000?

If the former, surely better distribution in some key markets (US, Japan, China, Germany) would help bump those sales, which ultimately are only a tiny nick into Porsche's sales, while being a dramatic improvement for Lotus.
I think they need more than that. More than is feasible for this type of product.

I agree that having some kind of competent sales operation should increase volumes well but looking at how many people they employ, how much they spend to run the business and assuming a very generous 30% net margin per sale, doubling or trippling current sales won't lead to a stable, growth business.

otolith

56,144 posts

204 months

Monday 29th September 2014
quotequote all
Bahaha said 6000 units, though obviously it depends on the margins.