Investment Cars

Author
Discussion

ALT F4

5,180 posts

218 months

Tuesday 17th May 2016
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I mentioned in another thread that the 2nd hand performance car market is probably due to crash at some point in the not too distant future.
Values have been increasing at a rate that looks very much bubble like and it will only take an increase of interest rates before the demand will drop and the bubble will pop.
(Personal opinion of course).


I am guessing there will be an amount of concerned 'collectors/investors' sooner or later who have ploughed a lot of money in to inflated car prices trying to sell to people who will not see the same value in them as what they were bought for.
(Not only interest rate driven, but also simple affordability in a similar manner to that of house prices - if value are too high then the lower rung of the ladder can not make the leap up in order to continue the demand. But as we know the government won't step in to protect car investors/collectors as it does with home owners and property prices).


Some other replies on the thread mentioned it was more likely just a 'correction' was on its way. Of course this could be right, but when the bubble is anywhere near its 'correction' or its 'pop', I don't think its a good time to be buying cars for 'investment'.

anonymous-user

55 months

Tuesday 17th May 2016
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Someone mentioned the XJS.....its only a matter of time in my opinion as E-Types are daft and almost unattainable now so you look down the food chain for the next model.....I have put my money where my mouth is too...........always wanted a V12 anyway!


Veeayt

3,139 posts

206 months

Tuesday 17th May 2016
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I think R129 Sl's are about to creep up. Considering 600 V12 while they still reasonable money.

V8LM

5,174 posts

210 months

Tuesday 17th May 2016
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Ian_C said:
isosonic said:
Ferrari F355 – the best sounding Ferrari for me, and still relatively cheap
Are you taking the piss?! When was the last time you looked at what they are going for.....

They bottomed out at £35-50 grand a while back, maybe £55 at most............ currently two on Pistonheads for £169,950
F355 is the one. I looked at 288 GTOs in '06. Now 6 times. A suggested the 512 BB a few years back. Now 3 times. V8LM's tip last year was the F355.

4sure

2,438 posts

212 months

Tuesday 17th May 2016
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Ferrari 355 all the way !

lythaby

156 posts

202 months

Tuesday 17th May 2016
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Not devalued by the MR2 reps? That was my thought whenever I saw one. "Oh is it an MR2? No it's real"

Giles-qonxg

12 posts

103 months

Tuesday 17th May 2016
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Love the inflation appreciation argument - just price how many Big Macs a 355 has cost and chart year by year - that is appreciation of late

Generationally less than 75pc of the next gen are even likely to hold licences so that leads me to like only the high end / unique as well as for running cost amortisation

Lastly because of CAFE limits and the world responding to pollution/carbon and the fact 25 percent of emissions are from transport the world is conspiring to create joyless cars - making anything in the middle dead

Cars become mainly for pleasure and rural environments which is actually a great thing for enthusiasts as should lower congestion. The rest is utilitarian - by 2018 a 5 star ncap has to have auto braking. China to my knowledge is like Japan in that you cannot register high emitting vehicles so they should be largely out of the market ex museums

Just my 2 cents - I have Alfa 8C spider and bmw z3 m coupe that I drive - occasionally

This is one divisive topic but I like the idea it keeps cool cars on the road as nothing better than 3.0 Capri smile

Josho

748 posts

98 months

Tuesday 17th May 2016
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What do we realistically think this will be worth? It has 414 miles from new and was never registered.




Shotgun Jon

246 posts

138 months

Tuesday 17th May 2016
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Well, my leased m135i has gone so instead of sinking another £8k over two years into a car I don't own I've just bought a straight pre match 2006 (cheap tax bracket) MKV Golf R32 on the basis that they are starting to creep up in value.

Have I been wise?

jonah35

3,940 posts

158 months

Tuesday 17th May 2016
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M3 csl seen big rise but plateaud
Similar with rs500

The ones below are playing catch up.

Eg m3 cs and 3dr cosworth and sapphire.

Z3m hit a plateau but z4m catching up.


andyps

7,817 posts

283 months

Tuesday 17th May 2016
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The XJS has already started going up at a pretty rapid rate, particularly for good examples. They do now seem to be dragging the XK8 up with them, not much yet but I bought mine just over 4 years ago and there none available on PH or Autotrader at a lower price now (admittedly with lower mileage than mine now has on it but I use it a lot).

The other two cars I have are a Fiat Coupe for which the values are still low but heading up, particularly for the LE and Plus models and a recently purchased Lancia Fulvia Zagato because I noticed they were much cheaper than I expected and are a car I have always wanted. Hopefully it will prove a chance to have, and use, a car without losing money - real luck will be a gain in value!

Fast Bug

11,707 posts

162 months

Tuesday 17th May 2016
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Josho said:
What do we realistically think this will be worth? It has 414 miles from new and was never registered.
It took them 414 miles to work out how big a pile of crap the mk5 Escort was? laugh

Giles-qonxg

12 posts

103 months

Tuesday 17th May 2016
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Fast Bug said:
It took them 414 miles to work out how big a pile of crap the mk5 Escort was? laugh
I think it's fair to assume the dealer was 412 miles away

Legacywr

12,142 posts

189 months

Tuesday 17th May 2016
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Josho said:
What do we realistically think this will be worth? It has 414 miles from new and was never registered.



4-5K as it's a Ford?

Legacywr

12,142 posts

189 months

Tuesday 17th May 2016
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Shotgun Jon said:
Well, my leased m135i has gone so instead of sinking another £8k over two years into a car I don't own I've just bought a straight pre match 2006 (cheap tax bracket) MKV Golf R32 on the basis that they are starting to creep up in value.

Have I been wise?
Of course you have smile

Bogracer

438 posts

208 months

Wednesday 18th May 2016
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I think it's great that cars appreciate, there is loads of choice for everyone. My best scores an RHD 72' 911S £50,000 - £380,000 in three years. CSL, £26,000 to about £60,000. A 92' 535i manual bought for £1,000, sold for £7,500 on Ebay. It justifies preservation and restoration for future generations.

Buy what you like at any price, if it holds its value great. Rarity, provenance, cultural icon, rave reviews, nostalgia.

There are always people that moan, that missed their chance, as the supply of good original cars dwindle, used, abused, crashed, thrashed, scrapping scheme crushed. Buy stuff on the cusp. There are hundreds of future classics that can be snapped up for buttons and enjoyed sparingly.

If anyone has a nice Citroen BX 16V I am interested?

Fast Bug

11,707 posts

162 months

Wednesday 18th May 2016
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Legacywr said:
4-5K as it's a Ford?
Only if it's got a couple of grand in the glovebox!

Jackpot

355 posts

189 months

Wednesday 18th May 2016
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I have to agree with the XK8 / XKR. Seem to be holding values well and I can't see why they'd start dropping. A big engine, beautiful tourer, what's not to like.

This seems like a damn good investment...

http://www.jtinsight.com/JTIRA/JTIRA.aspx#!/simple...

spreadsheet monkey

4,545 posts

228 months

Wednesday 18th May 2016
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Fast Bug said:
Legacywr said:
4-5K as it's a Ford?
Only if it's got a couple of grand in the glovebox!
^^ This. KGF or someone like that might try to ask 4-5k for it, but I don't think they'd give more than 2-3k. Can't imagine anyone being nostalgic for a basic Mk5 Escort.

As ever with these zero mileage cars, they only have appeal as a museum piece or showroom ornament. It would need a fair bit of recommissioning if you wanted to use it on the road, and it loses its value as a zero mileage "timewarp" car as soon as you put a few thousand miles on it.

Lagerlout

1,810 posts

237 months

Wednesday 18th May 2016
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Guvernator said:
breezer42 said:
The only way to have a high chance of making money is market manipulation. I know a buy who's bought dozens of 550/575s and I believe he's single-handedly created the new pricing level on those things.

I can't prove it, but I believe someone started doing the same with TVR S series'. I was looking for one and there were consistently loads available. Then 6 months later, none at all. Like, none stayed up for more than a matter of hours.

Sadly there's no rule against this like there is in securities markets.
Similar thing happened with the M3 CSL and a certain few dealers snapping up almost every low mileage CSL going then whacking then on the forecourt for double the price. Lead to a sharp increase in CSL prices almost overnight. People go to jail for that kind of stuff in regulated markets. rolleyes
Worst example of that is the Z8. Possibly the most poorly rated BMW in recent times, all of a sudden a certain dealer buys practically all of them on the market, and viola, prices have tripled overnight. No idea what they're at now but something insane I expect.

Frankly, there's a lot of cars out there now that are just not worth buying IMO (as a car enthusiast). I've owned two F's that are now worth £300k plus up from the £40k that I bought them at. There's just no way I'd spend £300k on one of those cars. But that's because I see them as a car to drive, not an extension of my bank balance! Unfortunately investors & speculators are ruining it for the rest of us who actually want to appreciate and drive the things. I honestly can't believe the price of many ordinary Porsches as an example of where we are today.

I've got a couple of cars that have gone up a lot in value myself, and all it does is make me worry about driving and fixing them. Parts seem to be going stratospheric too as the manufacturers are cashing in as well. I'd love to see a market readjustment personally!