I'm Calling the Bubble Has Just Burst

I'm Calling the Bubble Has Just Burst

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CS Garth

Original Poster:

2,860 posts

105 months

Sunday 26th June 2016
quotequote all
Brexit the prick it needed or anyone on the brave pills and going to say no impact.

Private sellers won't drop unless distressed and need to sell but dealers must be mighty concerned at the moment

Durzel

12,266 posts

168 months

Sunday 26th June 2016
quotequote all
Bubble in what? Cars? Houses? Art?

Although I was in the Remain camp I don't think you can judge much in these very early days. It'll change things for sure, but anyone panic selling now probably wasn't in the best position to weather fluctuations anyway.

Feel sorry for those people already in chains etc now though, bound to be people pulling out or trying to renegotiate on principal rather than because anything has manifestly changed (yet)

CS Garth

Original Poster:

2,860 posts

105 months

Sunday 26th June 2016
quotequote all
Sorry - classics/modern classics

Evolved

3,565 posts

187 months

Sunday 26th June 2016
quotequote all
Durzel said:
Bubble in what? Cars? Houses? Art?

Although I was in the Remain camp I don't think you can judge much in these very early days. It'll change things for sure, but anyone panic selling now probably wasn't in the best position to weather fluctuations anyway.

Feel sorry for those people already in chains etc now though, bound to be people pulling out or trying to renegotiate on principal rather than because anything has manifestly changed (yet)
There was a thread I replied to yesterday in just this subject, really got my back up tbh.

daemon

35,821 posts

197 months

Sunday 26th June 2016
quotequote all
fk, the doom and gloom merchants are going to blame everything on Brexit from now on arent they?

"Just had the worlds smelliest dump". Brexit mate.


matthias73

2,883 posts

150 months

Sunday 26th June 2016
quotequote all
Cunning plan.

It's essentially a house of cards and if we, as one of the best represented motoring forums start the rumours now, people will start to panic sell their assets.

We need to spread the seeds of distrust and misinformation now.

The end state as I see it will be a Ph meet were we all bring the Ferraris we picked up for 4 grand.

CS Garth

Original Poster:

2,860 posts

105 months

Sunday 26th June 2016
quotequote all
daemon said:
fk, the doom and gloom merchants are going to blame everything on Brexit from now on arent they?

"Just had the worlds smelliest dump". Brexit mate.
Makes a change from blaming Europe

Durzel

12,266 posts

168 months

Sunday 26th June 2016
quotequote all
CS Garth said:
Sorry - classics/modern classics
Hard to call I think.

Certainly the end of cheap LHD cars coming over, the margins that existed before probably don't anymore.

Think the cars themselves will remain decent investments - they were already being sold as such for some time. In the very short term though I imagine there will be a lot of HNWI backing out of purchases etc.

If interest rates go up then that'll have a more direct and palpable effect I think.

generationx

6,741 posts

105 months

Sunday 26th June 2016
quotequote all
The worst thing to come out of this shenanigans? The word "Brexit". HATE HATE HATE

CRA1G

6,530 posts

195 months

Sunday 26th June 2016
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I have three modern classics all of which i have no intention of selling so i can't see a bubble... and I'm sure there's plenty more of the same opinion...

daemon

35,821 posts

197 months

Sunday 26th June 2016
quotequote all
CS Garth said:
daemon said:
fk, the doom and gloom merchants are going to blame everything on Brexit from now on arent they?

"Just had the worlds smelliest dump". Brexit mate.
Makes a change from blaming Europe
People didnt sit aroung "blaming europe". People had enough of propping up a lumbering, bloated bureaucry that has done nothing but treat us with disdain.

However i fully expect people will sit around blaming brexit.

elms

1,926 posts

252 months

Sunday 26th June 2016
quotequote all
I'm sorry to disappoint but I'm a dealer (classics and exotics) and I'm not worried at all.

Business has picked up since the results came in, admittedly the week leading up to it it was very quiet.

But don't let the truth get in the way of yet another 'Bubble' story.

For want of a better term but what people like to call 'bubble' priced cars are an International Commodity, and a slow down whether it be the UK, Germany, Japan or even bloody Greenland economy isn't going to cause the crash that it seems a lot of people are wanting.


Doofus

25,817 posts

173 months

Sunday 26th June 2016
quotequote all
Added to which, the UK is not the centre of the classic car market. If we are uncertain, and the market takes a hit here (if), that won't necessarily mean the world-wide 'bubble' will burst. The same financial imperatives exist today as did last week. The only difference is that British buyers might (might) be less inclined to join in.

CS Garth

Original Poster:

2,860 posts

105 months

Sunday 26th June 2016
quotequote all
elms said:
I'm sorry to disappoint but I'm a dealer (classics and exotics) and I'm not worried at all.

Business has picked up since the results came in, admittedly the week leading up to it it was very quiet.

But don't let the truth get in the way of yet another 'Bubble' story.

For want of a better term but what people like to call 'bubble' priced cars are an International Commodity, and a slow down whether it be the UK, Germany, Japan or even bloody Greenland economy isn't going to cause the crash that it seems a lot of people are wanting.
Fair play but 72 hrs since the vote is not much time to gauge it things. There is no glee in this for me - I sincerely wished we were not in this position

daemon

35,821 posts

197 months

Sunday 26th June 2016
quotequote all
CS Garth said:
elms said:
I'm sorry to disappoint but I'm a dealer (classics and exotics) and I'm not worried at all.

Business has picked up since the results came in, admittedly the week leading up to it it was very quiet.

But don't let the truth get in the way of yet another 'Bubble' story.

For want of a better term but what people like to call 'bubble' priced cars are an International Commodity, and a slow down whether it be the UK, Germany, Japan or even bloody Greenland economy isn't going to cause the crash that it seems a lot of people are wanting.
Fair play but 72 hrs since the vote is not much time to gauge it things. There is no glee in this for me - I sincerely wished we were not in this position
So you're saying 72 hours in is too early to gauge things, however you're happily predicting a negative outlook? However if someone predicts an unchanged / positive outlook then they cant do that because its too early to say? rolleyes

CS Garth

Original Poster:

2,860 posts

105 months

Sunday 26th June 2016
quotequote all
daemon said:
CS Garth said:
elms said:
I'm sorry to disappoint but I'm a dealer (classics and exotics) and I'm not worried at all.

Business has picked up since the results came in, admittedly the week leading up to it it was very quiet.

But don't let the truth get in the way of yet another 'Bubble' story.

For want of a better term but what people like to call 'bubble' priced cars are an International Commodity, and a slow down whether it be the UK, Germany, Japan or even bloody Greenland economy isn't going to cause the crash that it seems a lot of people are wanting.
Fair play but 72 hrs since the vote is not much time to gauge it things. There is no glee in this for me - I sincerely wished we were not in this position
So you're saying 72 hours in is too early to gauge things, however you're happily predicting a negative outlook? However if someone predicts an unchanged / positive outlook then they cant do that because its too early to say? rolleyes
It was just a response to the citation that things have picked up. Looking forward I'll happily accept a positive outlook to counter my more negative sense. That was the point of the thread - to have the debate

Big Al.

68,853 posts

258 months

Sunday 26th June 2016
quotequote all
It's generally felt that we have enough threads about these types of topics running at present, so please post on one of those.
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