Brexit: EU considers migration ‘emergency brake’ for UK

Brexit: EU considers migration ‘emergency brake’ for UK

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Discussion

Halb

Original Poster:

53,012 posts

183 months

Sunday 24th July 2016
quotequote all
Brexit: EU considers migration ‘emergency brake’ for UK for up to seven years
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jul/24/brex...

Cameron back in Jan.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jan/22/came...

London424

12,828 posts

175 months

Sunday 24th July 2016
quotequote all
It's funny how quickly things start to change.

I've always believed that money will win out and pragmatism will lead the way.

stripy7

806 posts

187 months

Sunday 24th July 2016
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The reality of Brexit is that we are now in a position of strength, we will end up with a far better deal.

GoodOlBoy

540 posts

103 months

Sunday 24th July 2016
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stripy7 said:
The reality of Brexit is that we are now in a position of strength, we will end up with a far better deal.
You're right, the EU isn't in good shape at the moment and that's in our favour.

I don't think we should agree to anything temporary though.

If the EU manages to sort itself out in the next few years any future negotiations will be much more difficult.



williamp

19,248 posts

273 months

Sunday 24th July 2016
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Apparently Teresa may is threatening to give them Scotland and make Sturgeon as something bug in Europe. The fear seems to be working! biggrin

///ajd

8,964 posts

206 months

Sunday 24th July 2016
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Is this to make us stay in?

Interesting.

Sylvaforever

2,212 posts

98 months

Sunday 24th July 2016
quotequote all
///ajd said:
Is this to make us stay in?

Interesting.
But we are not. Any attempt by any party to defy the democratically demonstrated will of the people will be electoral suicide.

And NO I don't believe May with her brexit means brexit either!

anonymous-user

54 months

Sunday 24th July 2016
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Did anyone see Stanley Johnson on TV the morning of the result ?

He said that he didn't think Boris intended to win but have enough votes to sway the EU.

Could this be what is happening ?

legzr1

3,848 posts

139 months

Sunday 24th July 2016
quotequote all
///ajd said:
Is this to make us stay in?

Interesting.
The start of gentle persuasion and real politics.

I expect tears from a narrow majority under the impression the results of a rushed referendum were legally binding smile

Jockman

17,917 posts

160 months

Sunday 24th July 2016
quotequote all
legzr1 said:
///ajd said:
Is this to make us stay in?

Interesting.
The start of gentle persuasion and real politics.

I expect tears from a narrow majority under the impression the results of a rushed referendum were legally binding smile
That's one way of looking at it.

London424

12,828 posts

175 months

Sunday 24th July 2016
quotequote all
legzr1 said:
///ajd said:
Is this to make us stay in?

Interesting.
The start of gentle persuasion and real politics.

I expect tears from a narrow majority under the impression the results of a rushed referendum were legally binding smile
Well not really no. Leave is leave. We will not be part of the EU in the next few years.

What you're seeing is the inevitable softening of those initial messages now they've realized the way the vote has gone. Now it's a damage limitation exercise. The EU is in a much more precarious position and really can't afford to see big financial hits without the whole lot crumbling down.

Mr_B

10,480 posts

243 months

Sunday 24th July 2016
quotequote all
They would have won the referendum had they tried to buy it with this bribe during the campaign.
I don't see how the UK exits the EU and still abides by EU rules on free movement.

FiF

44,050 posts

251 months

Sunday 24th July 2016
quotequote all
Imho this is an attempt to set up a two tier EU, end up with Eurozone in one and others in a second class membership.

The latter would mean that anyone in that wouldn't have the ability to move on. Uk shouldn't touch this with a barge pole.

Flexcit and variants on that theme are the sensible way forward.

Robertj21a

16,476 posts

105 months

Sunday 24th July 2016
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Anything is worth considering, but we voted to leave the EU and that should still be the case. Whether we like it or not, and whether we are all called racists as a result, a large number of those voting for Brexit were worried about our inability to restrict immigration from within the EU - perhaps even more so in future years, after further entrants to the EU.

London424

12,828 posts

175 months

Sunday 24th July 2016
quotequote all
Mr_B said:
They would have won the referendum had they tried to buy it with this bribe during the campaign.
I don't see how the UK exits the EU and still abides by EU rules on free movement.
Once they've exited they don't need to.

But have you not noticed how all kinds of rules with the EU just get changed/amended/added/deleted when they feel like it anyway?

InfiniteVoltage

5,180 posts

217 months

Sunday 24th July 2016
quotequote all
Sylvaforever said:
...electoral suicide.
I've heard this term many times now... what does it actually mean in the here and now?
People at the next election will all vote for Corbyn?

The politicians have a duty to act in the best interests of national security and prosperity. So even if they forge a new relationship with the EU, still be part of it but at the same time not being governed by it... some call this Brexit-light, then this is surely the way to go if it means upsetting some 'leavers' but at the same time secure Britain's national and foreign interests.

davepoth

29,395 posts

199 months

Sunday 24th July 2016
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Hang on though - this looks like a EU-tastic fudge.

They won't allow a permanent stop to free movement (that's sacrosanct), but they will allow a long term emergency brake that can of course be extended if the situation merits it. And the situation that merits it will be the UK saying it wants the brake to be extended otherwise it will leave.

The EU still gets to say that free movement is still a founding principle, and we get to not have free movement while we remain in the single market and cut trade deals with all and sundry. Doesn't seem that bad.

Derek Smith

45,613 posts

248 months

Sunday 24th July 2016
quotequote all
///ajd said:
Is this to make us stay in?

Interesting.
It has confused me. I doubt it is an olive branch though. They have no reason to offer one at this stage. Is it to confuse? They might see it as pressure on the negotiators, but I'm not sure how.

We can't, I think, stay in. I know some suggest we could, and theoretically the argument is correct. But politically it is all but impossible. If we accept that that option is out:

It must be something they will use as a ploy in negotiations. They've publicised it early so by the time negotiations start they might feel it is something that will be seen by the public as a minimum.

For our negotiators it might seem that they will have to give up some desires for this 7-year hiatus.

As I say, I am confused now. It might be clearer when negotiations start.


stripy7

806 posts

187 months

Sunday 24th July 2016
quotequote all
GoodOlBoy said:
stripy7 said:
The reality of Brexit is that we are now in a position of strength, we will end up with a far better deal.
You're right, the EU isn't in good shape at the moment and that's in our favour.

I don't think we should agree to anything temporary though.

If the EU manages to sort itself out in the next few years any future negotiations will be much more difficult.
Maybe, but we are setting a precedent, others are watching. Now that the EU know that our electorate want to leave they will bend over backwards to accommodate us. The reality is that we will "leave"in name only.

Halb

Original Poster:

53,012 posts

183 months

Sunday 24th July 2016
quotequote all
///ajd said:
Is this to make us stay in?

Interesting.
25 Tory MPs who had breakfast together in the House of Commons this morning seemed to think so.