Scuds stop selling...

Scuds stop selling...

Author
Discussion

giggle

Original Poster:

1,952 posts

245 months

Tuesday 15th July 2014
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Ive noticed that since Scud prices hit 170K none have sold at all and its mid July!!!
The Scud section here just gets bigger with cars coming out of the woodwork for the bigger prices however the 170k cars are now 160/165k and along with the higher mileage 150/155k cars nothing has sold so these are just asking prices that could continue to fall.

I wonder if modern cars that have risen in value,riding the back of classic car values increases, will quickly return to expected values as winter approaches.










ajr550

489 posts

124 months

Tuesday 15th July 2014
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And the prospect of interest rate rises loom large !

Cheib

23,248 posts

175 months

Tuesday 15th July 2014
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Noticed the same thing about 993 Turbo's.....JZM and Hexagon both had cars in the £115k to £125k bracket with neither seemingly shifting cars. JZM got a new one in a £105k a couple of weeks ago and now have another at similar price.

70proof

6,051 posts

155 months

Tuesday 15th July 2014
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one thing i have noticed this last couple of years is there is a lot of supercar movement just before le mans, people seem to buy just to have something to take...... then the market slows considerably.... re the scud, those who really wanted one bought in, at any cost, seems casual investors are not.....

dudlow

194 posts

223 months

Tuesday 15th July 2014
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It is not just Scuds, 993's etc.
There are lots of IMO overpriced cars, modern and classic, that have hit a brick wall as regards sales at current asking prices. This is the first step in the price correction process. Wait until October then watch reality kick in for committed sellers.

erics

2,663 posts

211 months

Tuesday 15th July 2014
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Wait for the summer season to be over.. Reality check around the corner. Unsustainable. EVERYTHING has become 'collectable' including vanilla 964s / 993s..

GRBF430F1

4,843 posts

170 months

Tuesday 15th July 2014
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I think a £30k rise over 3 months from a modest starting point has seen the steam run out on these and Challenge Stradale for the time being. At £130k they were good value but at £160k IMHO its a bit rich for what they are. All the hype and fear of missing out stoked up a frenzy which could leave late entrants needing to sit tight and ride any correction out.
Don't think they will lose a lot if forced to sell but I don't think they stack up car wise compared with other alternatives out there

KenC

691 posts

235 months

Thursday 24th July 2014
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They are selling as the Romans and the HRO cars are flagged as sold now.

Alpinestars

13,954 posts

244 months

Thursday 24th July 2014
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GRBF430F1 said:
Don't think they will lose a lot if forced to sell but I don't think they stack up car wise compared with other alternatives out there
Like?

lamboman100

1,445 posts

121 months

Thursday 24th July 2014
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With peak-Dow, UK interest rate rises and a UK General Election just around the corner, car prices for just about everything prolly don't have much further to rise at this point.

For the past ~2 years, almost everything from Vauxhall VX220s to Countachs has been rising relentlessly.

A 1965 Ferrari is about to go under the hammer in the US for ~£20m next month. That could represent the peak of the current boom.

Bunk

89 posts

169 months

Thursday 24th July 2014
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Lamboman

There's no doubt there is bubble-like aspects to the current market when you purely look at price rises. However, this is a very different cycle to the 5-7 year boom-bust cycles of recent times. We are in a reflation phase where there is a good chance that global central banks will maintain this monetary policy for far longer than you think they might.

So things could get even more mental before they correct.

The best advice for people is to buy cars that they want, can enjoy and don't use finance. Thats where people get stuck if the correction happens sooner than expected.

boxerTen

501 posts

204 months

Thursday 24th July 2014
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Bunk said:
Lamboman

There's no doubt there is bubble-like aspects to the current market when you purely look at price rises. However, this is a very different cycle to the 5-7 year boom-bust cycles of recent times. We are in a reflation phase where there is a good chance that global central banks will maintain this monetary policy for far longer than you think they might.

So things could get even more mental before they correct.
Agree. There are roughly 50% more US dollars and UK pounds in circulation than there were pre-crisis, which means, roughly speaking, for this reason alone, assets which have a fixed supply (land or out-of-production cars), prices should climb 50%.

GRBF430F1

4,843 posts

170 months

Thursday 24th July 2014
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boxerTen said:
Agree. There are roughly 50% more US dollars and UK pounds in circulation than there were pre-crisis, which means, roughly speaking, for this reason alone, assets which have a fixed supply (land or out-of-production cars), prices should climb 50%.
Good time to buy a Scuderia then

Russell996

494 posts

129 months

Thursday 24th July 2014
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GRBF430F1 said:
Good time to buy a Scuderia then
Always a good time to buy a Scud! smile

lamboman100

1,445 posts

121 months

Friday 25th July 2014
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Bunk / boxerTen -- Good analysis. Food for thought.

The entire world spins on the US Dow, and once that flattens and then dips after its 5- / 6-year bull-run in 2014 / 2015, I suspect all bets will be off on premium UK car prices.

_Leg_

2,798 posts

211 months

Friday 25th July 2014
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I've been lusting after a mk1 escort rs1600i that Cheshire classic cars have in for a while now. It's up at £80000 though. I know these go for 50k ish but 80k? Blimey. Mind you, it's absolutely stunning. But as I think there's a general price drop coming soon, my head is over ruling my heart.


PHOENIXUK

2,198 posts

201 months

Friday 25th July 2014
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_Leg_ said:
I've been lusting after a mk1 escort rs1600i that Cheshire classic cars have in for a while now. It's up at £80000 though. I know these go for 50k ish but 80k? Blimey. Mind you, it's absolutely stunning. But as I think there's a general price drop coming soon, my head is over ruling my heart.
Remember having one of those for about a week 20 odd years ago, a mate offered £250.00 more than I paid for it so......

kbooker

728 posts

139 months

Friday 25th July 2014
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The few for sale on PH imo don't look particularly good one's either, maybe that's contributing?

AmoCS

1,150 posts

219 months

Friday 25th July 2014
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GRBF430F1

4,843 posts

170 months

Friday 25th July 2014
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Russell996 said:
Always a good time to buy a Scud! smile
I'm coming round to that way of thinking finally. The challenge is finding a good one and not breaking the bank.

As CS is above Scud do you see Scud going above Speciale at any stage ?