Is the Porsche 992 GT3 market going south?

Is the Porsche 992 GT3 market going south?

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Discussion

911hope

Original Poster:

2,732 posts

27 months

Thursday 9th November 2023
quotequote all
911hope said:
Loads of 992 gt3s at less than £200k, now

More than 50 for sale on AT.


People jettisoning their toys in a hurry?
Said this in July (4 months ago)

Now it is loads of 992 GT3 cars for less than £180k.

911hope

Original Poster:

2,732 posts

27 months

Thursday 9th November 2023
quotequote all
av185 said:
'Risen' above average mileage may well have something to do with the price. In fact a whole c 2k miles over.

As would the steel brakes of course.

Still way over list.
Similar explanations were offered, when the cheapest car was £210k, or £200k or £190k ...etc...as the prices slipped.

Sukh13

749 posts

186 months

Friday 10th November 2023
quotequote all
The 'over list' point applies well if it is a one owner car.

If the car is onto multiple owners, the new owners would have paid overs so the price drop is a real economic loss...

JAMSXR

1,510 posts

48 months

Friday 10th November 2023
quotequote all
This YouTuber covers the current status and history of 911 values pretty well. Although it makes sense, the number of 992 GT3s available surprised me.

https://youtu.be/Q8T4tq8Sc4Q?si=KY0Y3C_70mirBcvH

Although I don’t welcome the economic challenges people and businesses are facing, the return of car depreciation is a good thing for us enthusiasts! I say that as someone who’s purchased a new car in 2023.

911hope

Original Poster:

2,732 posts

27 months

Wednesday 15th November 2023
quotequote all
Now 2 cars under £168k
15 cars under £180k
Only a handful over £200k

Compare that to 1 year ago.

av185

18,539 posts

128 months

Wednesday 15th November 2023
quotequote all
But no cars under original list ££ yet.....even with increased age owners and mileage......

911hope

Original Poster:

2,732 posts

27 months

Wednesday 15th November 2023
quotequote all
av185 said:
But no cars under original list ££ yet.....even with increased age owners and mileage......
Market trend is clearly down, so it may get there yet.

Remember options cost, dealer margin and interest payments....so first owners just getting out even.

Second owners who paid a premium are under water

av185

18,539 posts

128 months

Wednesday 15th November 2023
quotequote all
911hope said:
av185 said:
But no cars under original list ££ yet.....even with increased age owners and mileage......
Market trend is clearly down, so it may get there yet.

Remember options cost, dealer margin and interest payments....so first owners just getting out even.

Second owners who paid a premium are under water
Second owners will inevitably lose if they sell and paid a stupid premium ££....their choice.

Many first owner cars were bought at below £130k basic price before the recent huge price rises so even after c two and a half years use and increasing mileage these cars are still selling at good premiums ££ and first owners will be very happy.

nickfrog

21,298 posts

218 months

Wednesday 15th November 2023
quotequote all
911hope said:
Market trend is clearly down,
For all we know the trend is no different to what the appreciation/depreciation curve was for the 991 GT3 at the same stage of its life cycle.

Have you got a 911 yet, more importantly?

Chamon_Lee

3,819 posts

148 months

Wednesday 15th November 2023
quotequote all
av185 said:
911hope said:
av185 said:
But no cars under original list ££ yet.....even with increased age owners and mileage......
Market trend is clearly down, so it may get there yet.

Remember options cost, dealer margin and interest payments....so first owners just getting out even.

Second owners who paid a premium are under water
Second owners will inevitably lose if they sell and paid a stupid premium ££....their choice.

Many first owner cars were bought at below £130k basic price before the recent huge price rises so even after c two and a half years use and increasing mileage these cars are still selling at good premiums ££ and first owners will be very happy.
after they have had to buy 7 cayennes inside 2 years to even get hold of the GT3.

Gregmitchell

1,745 posts

118 months

Wednesday 15th November 2023
quotequote all
nickfrog said:
911hope said:
Market trend is clearly down,
For all we know the trend is no different to what the appreciation/depreciation curve was for the 991 GT3 at the same stage of its life cycle.

Have you got a 911 yet, more importantly?
Why does it matter if he's got a 911? He may well have a Veyron and top trump you?

Gregmitchell

1,745 posts

118 months

Wednesday 15th November 2023
quotequote all
Chamon_Lee said:
av185 said:
911hope said:
av185 said:
But no cars under original list ££ yet.....even with increased age owners and mileage......
Market trend is clearly down, so it may get there yet.

Remember options cost, dealer margin and interest payments....so first owners just getting out even.

Second owners who paid a premium are under water
Second owners will inevitably lose if they sell and paid a stupid premium ££....their choice.

Many first owner cars were bought at below £130k basic price before the recent huge price rises so even after c two and a half years use and increasing mileage these cars are still selling at good premiums ££ and first owners will be very happy.
after they have had to buy 7 cayennes inside 2 years to even get hold of the GT3.
This exactly, shiny shoes man will only sell you one if you've purschased many of our lesser models and proven to be a true fanboy/fool

nickfrog

21,298 posts

218 months

Wednesday 15th November 2023
quotequote all
Gregmitchell said:
nickfrog said:
911hope said:
Market trend is clearly down,
For all we know the trend is no different to what the appreciation/depreciation curve was for the 991 GT3 at the same stage of its life cycle.

Have you got a 911 yet, more importantly?
Why does it matter if he's got a 911? He may well have a Veyron and top trump you?
I hope so, what has this got to do with trumping?

av185

18,539 posts

128 months

Wednesday 15th November 2023
quotequote all
Chamon_Lee said:
av185 said:
911hope said:
av185 said:
But no cars under original list ££ yet.....even with increased age owners and mileage......
Market trend is clearly down, so it may get there yet.

Remember options cost, dealer margin and interest payments....so first owners just getting out even.

Second owners who paid a premium are under water
Second owners will inevitably lose if they sell and paid a stupid premium ££....their choice.

Many first owner cars were bought at below £130k basic price before the recent huge price rises so even after c two and a half years use and increasing mileage these cars are still selling at good premiums ££ and first owners will be very happy.
after they have had to buy 7 cayennes inside 2 years to even get hold of the GT3.
Some might many don't....

911hope

Original Poster:

2,732 posts

27 months

Wednesday 15th November 2023
quotequote all
nickfrog said:
For all we know the trend is no different to what the appreciation/depreciation curve was for the 991 GT3 at the same stage of its life cycle.

Have you got a 911 yet, more importantly?
You have made the same comments on lots of occasions, but it is not relevant.

When comparing a 1 year old car in the past to a 1 year old car now, the price fall is NOT depreciation. This indicates a market value reduction of like for like items.

Many people on pistonheads discussion throw in the depreciation when it is not appropriate.


Mr Whippy

29,104 posts

242 months

Wednesday 15th November 2023
quotequote all
911hope said:
nickfrog said:
For all we know the trend is no different to what the appreciation/depreciation curve was for the 991 GT3 at the same stage of its life cycle.

Have you got a 911 yet, more importantly?
You have made the same comments on lots of occasions, but it is not relevant.

When comparing a 1 year old car in the past to a 1 year old car now, the price fall is NOT depreciation. This indicates a market value reduction of like for like items.

Many people on pistonheads discussion throw in the depreciation when it is not appropriate.
Good luck trying to objectively unravel that.

I think it’s fairer to just say depreciation is high on these cars right now.

I recall a chap in late 90s early 00s who took punts on new cars to try flip them.
I think once upon a time he ended up with a lot of the then ‘new’ Beetles which hadn’t worked out.


Depreciation does include hype, demand, sentiment, etc all combined.

It has to otherwise what is left when you strip too much out?

No car ever sells in a vacuum of prevailing sentiments, policy changes, blah blah.


Just look at EV sales now, and impacts.
The £40k+ price on new car tax.
The old 2001 change over on RFD.
The post 2020 (?) change on RFD now away from co2 again and a single upfront payment?

And that’s just RFD. Never mind fuel costs, insurances (RR now taking a hit etc)


What is ‘pure’ depreciation? And is it even important to know what it is?

nickfrog

21,298 posts

218 months

Wednesday 15th November 2023
quotequote all
911hope said:
nickfrog said:
For all we know the trend is no different to what the appreciation/depreciation curve was for the 991 GT3 at the same stage of its life cycle.

Have you got a 911 yet, more importantly?
You have made the same comments on lots of occasions, but it is not relevant.

When comparing a 1 year old car in the past to a 1 year old car now, the price fall is NOT depreciation. This indicates a market value reduction of like for like items.

Many people on pistonheads discussion throw in the depreciation when it is not appropriate.
The trend in market value indicates the level of appreciation or depreciation of the asset.

Just call it "inflation adjusted value" if you prefer. And then compare 991 and 992 GT3s values at the same age/mileage. For all we know the curve is the same. Which would indicate that what's happening now had happened then and the trend is inherent to the model, rather than a result of cyclical factors. Or not at all. Or a combination of both., who knows?
It's utterly relevant as it's the only way to isolate at least one variable, hence me repeating the suggestion.

911hope

Original Poster:

2,732 posts

27 months

Wednesday 15th November 2023
quotequote all
nickfrog said:
The trend in market value indicates the level of appreciation or depreciation of the asset.

Just call it "inflation adjusted value" if you prefer. And then compare 991 and 992 GT3s values at the same age/mileage. For all we know the curve is the same. Which would indicate that what's happening now had happened then and the trend is inherent to the model, rather than a result of cyclical factors. Or not at all. Or a combination of both., who knows?
It's utterly relevant as it's the only way to isolate at least one variable, hence me repeating the suggestion.
Depreciation is the loss of value of an item as it ages. It is that simple. It is relevant for goods with limited usable life, or become obsolete.

If you compare like for like items of the same age at different points in time, the you get an understanding of trend of the value of such items. If lower a year later, then the market is falling.

Now saying that some other types of items declined in the past does not make this observation of market decline incorrect.

Finally,to illustrate, the thread started some 18 months ago, when 1yo cars were being advertised at a minimum £210k. Now 1yo cars are being advertised at a minimum £180k.

That is a market fall. Interesting is 2yo cars are not much cheaper, so depreciation isn't evident.


nickfrog

21,298 posts

218 months

Wednesday 15th November 2023
quotequote all
911hope said:
Finally,to illustrate, the thread started some 18 months ago, when 1yo cars were being advertised at a minimum £210k. Now 1yo cars are being advertised at a minimum £180k.
And for all you know the same thing happened to the 991 GT3 at the same point of its life cycle, maybe it's inherent to that car irrespective of cyclical variables. Or not. It would be interesting to find out and I am surprised you're not looking into it as it's a subject that interests you. It would be very relevant.

911hope

Original Poster:

2,732 posts

27 months

Wednesday 15th November 2023
quotequote all
nickfrog said:
911hope said:
Finally,to illustrate, the thread started some 18 months ago, when 1yo cars were being advertised at a minimum £210k. Now 1yo cars are being advertised at a minimum £180k.
And for all you know the same thing happened to the 991 GT3 at the same point of its life cycle, maybe it's inherent to that car irrespective of cyclical variables. Or not. It would be interesting to find out and I am surprised you're not looking into it as it's a subject that interests you. It would be very relevant.
I won't bother, since it is not easy to go back in time and observe what people were asking in the past.