Of weather radar & forecasts

Of weather radar & forecasts

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Biker 1

Original Poster:

7,724 posts

119 months

Saturday 30th July 2016
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This may constitute a rant, & possibly in the wrong forum, BUT, I'm extremely grumpy right now:

The nice lady on the weather forecast last night said it would be dry, but a bit cloudy this morning in SE England. The BBC weather app agrees, so does the Met Office local weather forecast.
I am a fair weather rider, & was looking forward to a couples hours ride this morning down to the seaside & back. But I look at the weather radar & out the window & it is fking pissing it down, with no sign of letting up anytime soon furious
This seems to happen with monotonous regularity, usually in summer....
I read somewhere they spent £100,000,000 on a new weather super-computer, so how do they get it quite so wrong?? Any meteorologists on PH could shed some light on it?

Cue 'Southern softy' comments etc... rolleyes

Jujuuk68

363 posts

157 months

Saturday 30th July 2016
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Isispect the showers are pretty isolated - it's dry in Reigate.

moanthebairns

17,933 posts

198 months

Saturday 30th July 2016
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I gave up looking at the weather days in advance for this very reason.

I am tempted to print of an advanced forecast and get the apprentice at work to mark each hour for a month to see how accurate it is.

They normally get it pretty correct on the day. But due to the size of Britain and it's surroundings it's apparently near impossible to predict rainfall days in advance apparently.

I now adopt the window method. Does it look like it will rain. fk that. Or fit Wets. It avoids disappointment. That said July is one of the wettest months of the year up here. Its rather depressing.

Tommo13

196 posts

157 months

Saturday 30th July 2016
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Chaotic system, entropy dictates forecasting will be wrong eventually. There are some formulas and math etc but it's honestly beyond me. Use mk 1 eyeball, if wet stay in or wait till it stops and a dry line appears.

griefa

74 posts

134 months

Saturday 30th July 2016
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May I suggest investing in one of these...?


mike74

3,687 posts

132 months

Saturday 30th July 2016
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They always seem to be overly optimistic with the forecast, constantly predicting nice weather for the following day/week ahead then only downgrading the forecast when it gets closer to the time and it's obvious that it's actually just going to be another dreary, overcast miserable damp day.

I'm convinced it's all part of the wider government propaganda that we have to constantly endure about our "booming economy" our "fantastic gdp" and our "excellent employment figures"

snorky782

1,115 posts

99 months

Saturday 30th July 2016
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Metcheck is very good IME.

Having said that, even I could do the weather here for the past week and the coming fortnight whilst I'm here.

Scorchio

mygoldfishbowl

3,697 posts

143 months

Saturday 30th July 2016
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And are these the people who constantly assure us we're all dying of global warming, or freezing or some thing? Never knew if it was this lot or beardy professor types.

jackh707

2,126 posts

156 months

Saturday 30th July 2016
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I use magic seaweed and XCweather. I've sailed and kitesurfed for years and use these websites religiously, incredibly accurate with wind speed, direction and precipitation, plus Info about swell and waves... Although I doubt that will affect your biking.

Biker 1

Original Poster:

7,724 posts

119 months

Saturday 30th July 2016
quotequote all
Well.... after pacing around the house like a VERY grumpy caged animal, the missus more or less shoved me out the door at 11.30, with the words: 'its totally dry outside, don't believe the radar, it'll stay dry all afternoon'. What could possibly go wrong? 15 minutes up the road & the heavens opened for a good 10 minutes!!! madmadmadfuriousrage
Oh, & I only bothered with summer mesh jacket & jeans, so it felt like I was being jetwashed. I carried on for another half hour in an attempt to air dry myself, but ended up decidedly fking freezing.

I guess I'll never learn & the British weather will never be truly predictable.....

JulianHJ

8,740 posts

262 months

Saturday 30th July 2016
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I find keeping an eye on www.raintoday.co.uk is a pretty reliable indicator of if/when I'll need to get the waterproofs on.

Biker 1

Original Poster:

7,724 posts

119 months

Saturday 30th July 2016
quotequote all
JulianHJ said:
I find keeping an eye on www.raintoday.co.uk is a pretty reliable indicator of if/when I'll need to get the waterproofs on.
Err... That's exactly what I used. FFS.... furious

Wedg1e

26,800 posts

265 months

Saturday 30th July 2016
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moanthebairns said:
That said July is one of the wettest months of the year up here. Its rather depressing.
Myself and three mates were up your way (as in, the wrong side of the European border whistle) last weekend, it was a tad moist... but what miffed us no end was the 'resurfacing' that had been carried out on just about every bloody road we chose. This is the resurfacing that involves tipping lorryloads of chippings and then hoping that the traffic will roll it into something approaching a road surface that Bonny Prince Charlie would have recognised.
I'm not saying progress was leisurely but the Pan Euro's fuel economy went up from its usual 41mpg to 50!
And while I'm on, how do you afford to get p1553d in Scotland? We struggled to find beer at less than FOUR QUID a bloody pint!

JulianHJ

8,740 posts

262 months

Saturday 30th July 2016
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Biker 1 said:
Err... That's exactly what I used. FFS.... furious
Ah. Bad luck! Tomorrow's looking better from mid-morning onwards.

CypSIdders

849 posts

154 months

Saturday 30th July 2016
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The answer is simple, emigrate to somewhere that has a better climate than the pisspoor one the UK has!
I did, no more cold, wet, miserable, ste, British summers on the horizon for me!

mygoldfishbowl

3,697 posts

143 months

Saturday 30th July 2016
quotequote all
CypSIdders said:
The answer is simple, emigrate to somewhere that has a better climate than the pisspoor one the UK has!
I did, no more cold, wet, miserable, ste, British summers on the horizon for me!
But then you're surrounded by all those questionable foreign types.. I'd rather have the,, oh never mind.

s3fella

10,524 posts

187 months

Saturday 30th July 2016
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YR.NO