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Justin Cyder

6,017 posts

18 months

[news] 
Sunday 22nd July 2012 quote quote all
swerni said:
I dont remember seeing but who paid for the premises and th mini bus? I bet Dave did.

The premises were £100 a week & the bus was an irrelevance done for the purposes of the show. We know he's lending at 8.9% & paying 5% so his gross margin is just shy of 4%. That's pretty low by any measure £4 in for every £100 turnover. But it is a profit & as they say, turnover's vanity, profit's sanity. It's demonstrably a workable enterprise if you can put the numbers through. It's being over complicated here in the discussion. Whether he intends to do so or not I have no idea, there are obvious hurdles in the way, but it's evident to me that the two biggest factors in his favour are the fact that it does make money albeit on a small scale in Burnley at least and public sentiment toward the financial industry.

hidetheelephants

5,580 posts

62 months

[news] 
Sunday 22nd July 2012 quote quote all
I've enjoyed it so far and it's a good thing he's doing, but what he did at the end was a bit lazy; handing cheques over the counter of whatever national charities have outlets on Burnley high street is a pretty ineffectual way of donating, it would have a greater effect given to some local charity that can't afford a shop rent.

johnfm

8,999 posts

119 months

[news] 
Sunday 22nd July 2012 quote quote all
cardigankid said:
Plus 8.9% if that is the APR is now a better deal than you will actually get from the big banks even if they are prepared to lend to you at all. Wonga.com (which in my opinion is a criminal enterprise which it is disgraceful that the Government allows and will undoubtedly come back to bite them - at which point we will see them nodding their heads sagely and saying 'lessons have been learnt') is planning to lend to businesses at the same extortionate rates they lend to punters. Businesses are expected to borrow at 4000% likely to pay their Tax, VAT NI and PAYE bills! This country really is run by a bunch of corrupt amateurs.
You don't understand what APR actually means do you.

cardigankid

5,948 posts

81 months

[news] 
Sunday 22nd July 2012 quote quote all
You can always tell someone who doesn't have an argument because they resort to personal insults, I am sure that you can do better.

Edited by cardigankid on Tuesday 24th July 08:08

swerni

19,832 posts

79 months

[news] 
Sunday 22nd July 2012 quote quote all
Tuna said:
swerni said:
Internet lending with limited overheads and a huge potential market vs a bricks and motor very local business, it doesn't. Compare.
I wasn't comparing the internet scalability with Bank of Dave type operations except for the default rate, which is low in both cases - which was the issue your raised. Given he's running an operation where he can go and visit the person he's loaning to, there's no reason for his default rates to be unmanageable.

But.. since you suggested comparing: for small business loans, where would you go - an anonymous website where computer (quite likely) says no, or your local bank where your mate got a good deal and likes the bloke who runs it? Of course, an internet operation can scale 'instantly' and 'cheaply', but we all know the risks inherent in that, and that the challenge remains getting customers to your virtual doorstep in the first place. Both have their place, and in the case of small loans, I bet the audience tends more towards word of mouth and face to face contact than browsing the internet.
You need to look at if from different angles.

The borrower

Local business, cracking rate and they will lend where others wont = no brainer

The investor

Bank of Steve has opened it's doors for trade. Are you going to stick your cash there and get 5% or some other traditional savings account and get less?

Reality is, for the majority it will be the latter.

Dave has personally guaranteed no customer will lose money. That may work in a local community with someone as well known and large as life as the multi millionaire Dave, but back in the real world it aint going to happen.

No cash in = no cash to lend = no bank.

Even local business go bust regardless of intention.
No one starts a business intending it to fail ( outside long firms) but they do.

He didn't make £7k profit as he'll only know what profit has been made when all the loans have been paid.

As I said before, I think what he did was brilliant and he is an inspirational individual, but what he did was prove a point, note create a viable business IMHO.


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petrolsniffer

1,628 posts

43 months

[news] 
Sunday 22nd July 2012 quote quote all
swerni said:
As I said before, I think what he did was brilliant and he is an inspirational individual, but what he did was prove a point, note create a viable business IMHO.
Exactly what I was thinking.

Didn't they say at the end of ep2 that 98% of the borrowers paid on time?

I wonder what the statistics would be nationwide if the banks lent abit more.

Justin Cyder

6,017 posts

18 months

[news] 
Sunday 22nd July 2012 quote quote all
Is there anyone here knows roughly what the big outfits make gross on retail banking operations?

cardigankid

5,948 posts

81 months

[news] 
Monday 23rd July 2012 quote quote all
swerni said:
No cash in = no cash to lend = no bank.
Even if television were not involved, you are not going to set up any business, never mind a bank, with no capital. Some businesses do very well indeed just lending and not taking deposits at all, as I am sure you know.

Even though television is involved, it does not mean the business does not work, you could hardly get better advertising. So it costs you £9,000. Cheap, I would have thought.

Wheelrepairit

Original Poster:

1,691 posts

73 months

[news] 
Monday 23rd July 2012 quote quote all
The book arrived today, can't put it down so far.

swerni

19,832 posts

79 months

[news] 
Monday 23rd July 2012 quote quote all
cardigankid said:
Even if television were not involved, you are not going to set up any business, never mind a bank, with no capital. Some businesses do very well indeed just lending and not taking deposits at all, as I am sure you know.

Even though television is involved, it does not mean the business does not work, you could hardly get better advertising. So it costs you £9,000. Cheap, I would have thought.
Okay then, tell us all how it works????

The way I see it, in your scenario;

If I have £1m to set up my bank, I lend it out and make no profit, where is the business??????

That's called a charity not a bank.

I am happy to be corrected.


wormburner

6,380 posts

122 months

[news] 
Monday 23rd July 2012 quote quote all
If you skip the charity bit, you make £89,000, less overheads, plus 3.9% on whatever deposits you take. Sounds ok to me, overheads dependant.

swerni

19,832 posts

79 months

[news] 
Monday 23rd July 2012 quote quote all
wormburner said:
If you skip the charity bit, you make £89,000, less overheads, plus 3.9% on whatever deposits you take. Sounds ok to me, overheads dependant.
So lending money to a sub prime market and making 8.9% gross margin sounds like a solid business plan?

it's a real shame this thread isn't in the business section.

Tuna

4,512 posts

153 months

[news] 
Monday 23rd July 2012 quote quote all
swerni said:
So lending money to a sub prime market and making 8.9% gross margin sounds like a solid business plan?
I think the point is this isn't a sub-prime market. The people he was lending to (at least on the programme) were businesses wanting to grow through investment, that he could visit and assess. These are people who banks would quite happily have loaned to a decade ago, but their fear of any risk whatsoever in the current environment has made it extraordinarily hard to borrow. The government and various business bodies have identified this as a serious problem. As it is, his repayment rate was 98%, which is acceptable.

Even in a sub prime market, you can profit - the loan rate reflects the risk. The issue with the global banks was that the risk was hidden by repackaging the loans via complex derivative products.

swerni

19,832 posts

79 months

[news] 
Monday 23rd July 2012 quote quote all
By definition sub prime market is the one the banks won't lend to.
His relpayment rate was based on a very short period of time , he'll only know what it actually is when all his loans have been replayed.

It won't be 2%

cardigankid

5,948 posts

81 months

[news] 
Tuesday 24th July 2012 quote quote all
Tuna said:
swerni said:
So lending money to a sub prime market and making 8.9% gross margin sounds like a solid business plan?
I think the point is this isn't a sub-prime market. The people he was lending to (at least on the programme) were businesses wanting to grow through investment, that he could visit and assess. These are people who banks would quite happily have loaned to a decade ago.
+1.

As for the money given to charity, from a purely cynical point of view I would say that the publicity and goodwill gained were far in excess of the cost to his business. Or do you disagree Swerni? I said earlier I would prefer to see him building up his capital position to create a strong business than throwing cash round the charity shops, but given that he has way more capital than that, I am sure that RBS spend a lot more than £9000 on PR to achieve a great deal less, often just to achieve hatred in fact.

swerni

19,832 posts

79 months

[news] 
Tuesday 24th July 2012 quote quote all
cardigankid said:
+1.

As for the money given to charity, from a purely cynical point of view I would say that the publicity and goodwill gained were far in excess of the cost to his business. Or do you disagree Swerni? I said earlier I would prefer to see him building up his capital position to create a strong business than throwing cash round the charity shops, but given that he has way more capital than that, I am sure that RBS spend a lot more than £9000 on PR to achieve a great deal less, often just to achieve hatred in fact.
you could call it £9k or you could call it 100% of his "potential" profit.

I hate repeating myself but it's not profit until all his loans have been paid off.

And yes it is sub prime by definition.

IMHO he gave the money away because.
1. yes it is good publicity
2. He didn't need it
3. He wanted to show that banking could be about more than just making money for shareholders and bankers.


I' happy to stand corrected, but no one has shown how this can be made into a long term viable business.

Justin Cyder

6,017 posts

18 months

[news] 
Tuesday 24th July 2012 quote quote all
swerni said:
you could call it £9k or you could call it 100% of his "potential" profit.

I hate repeating myself but it's not profit until all his loans have been paid off.
At risk of pedantry, in an ongoing concern, the loans would never be in a state of 100% paid off. This is why a default rate is calculated & also why we have balance sheets as well as P&L accounts. Unless the business is being wound up, it would be impossible to state the exact default rate and therefore the exact level of profit. The business has to take a view at a given point in time. In this case it was after six months.

cardigankid

5,948 posts

81 months

[news] 
Tuesday 24th July 2012 quote quote all
It doesn't matter how he worked out that it was profit, it was £9000 from his pretty deep pocket for £1m worth of free publicity and goodwill. So forget the £9000.

I would have thought that if you can lend at 9% and take deposits at 5% there should be a margin depending on the level of overhead and bad debt. None of us really knows whether his business works or not, so none of us can prove it, but he is at least open and trading, and time will tell.

What he is doing as I see it has nothing to do with subprime lending. The big issue which many of us and I for one have with the big banks is how they judge whether to lend to a particular applicant or not. Their headline borrowing rate is also 8.9%, no coincidence, but the difference comes when you try to borrow money at that rate. Most people as individuals can certainly not if they are working part time or on contract which is increasingly the case. What the banks do is set policies from on high which relatively inexperienced and overworked account managers apply often without regard to the actual facts of the situation. That is no way to define 'subprime', and that is the problem. What Dave does, or appears to, is sit down with the potential borrowers, look at their position in detail, and judge whether to lend them money. That is the correct and best way to do it, and the way most banks did it in the past, but not now.

I earnestly hope that he succeeds, because the big banks right now are just vampires drinking the nations economic blood, and it can't go on.

cardigankid

5,948 posts

81 months

[news] 
Tuesday 24th July 2012 quote quote all
And something else Dave has done is to create a whiff of competition in this cartel-dominated market, and if I am not mistaken I can smell a little fear in the air.

Justin Cyder

6,017 posts

18 months

[news] 
Tuesday 24th July 2012 quote quote all
cardigankid said:
It doesn't matter how he worked out that it was profit, it was £9000 from his pretty deep pocket for £1m worth of free publicity and goodwill. So forget the £9000.
I can't let that go. It does matter how it was worked out. The bank of Dave is no different from any other business - it needs investment to begin trading. It's irrelevant whether or not it came from Dave the whole of the point of the whole of the show was that others cannot get that very same investment to work up their businesses. So I can't forget the £9k No business invests whatever it was £100k, £250k etc. in six months, produces £9k at the end & says look at us, we're a success! It's a long haul & it's lent finance that underwrites it.

I accept that Dave is promoting a wider agenda than simply to see if a return to old fashioned banking values will serve the community better than the automated behemoths we have today, but underlying it was the central principle that you have to speculate to accumulate & there's more than one way of doing it.
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