The official winter 2013/2014 snow thread
Discussion
Happy82 said:
http://www.foxnews.com/science/2013/08/26/farmers-...
Farmers Almanac predicting a cold winter for the Americans
I'm pretty sure a colder than normal winter for us results in the atmosphere freezing.Farmers Almanac predicting a cold winter for the Americans
Puggit said:
Yep - every long distance forecast I read is going for a harsh winter.
Mind you, no one forecast such a good summer
The clue was from the met office, they preicted a washout. Seeing as they're always completely wrong you have to read the opposite of what they write, so in a way they predicted it Mind you, no one forecast such a good summer
As promised, here is the extracted and abridged version of the Exacta Weather long range winter forecast. It looks good for cold and snow lovers. However, do bear in mind that this needs to be read with a pretty sizeable pinch of salt, as they have been wildly wrong previously...
exactaweather said:
UK & N Ire Winter Weather Forecast 2013/14 + Major Snow Periods
December 2013
The first month of the meteorological 2013/14 winter is likely to see a very cold and snowy start to winter. This period is also likely to experience a number of multiple and major widespread snow events across the country. The northern half of the country is likely to experience a run of well-below average temperatures for the vast majority of the whole month and multiple major snow events, which will also include some potentially dangerous blizzard conditions at times, in particular, in parts of north-east England. Parts of southern England, Wales, and the Midlands are also likely to
experience a number of major snow events, that will consist of some crippling falls of snow for these parts throughout December, especially in parts of southern England and Wales. It is highly likely that there will be major disruption to the public transport network across much of the country at times and school closures throughout the early part of the December period too.
December Temperatures - Below the seasonal average for most parts of the country and in terms of the mean Central England Temperature (CET). Temperatures are also likely to exceed double negative figures during the evenings at times, and even more so throughout the Christmas period and into the early part of 2014. It is quite plausible that temperatures may surpass -20C in parts of the UK during the evenings, with temperatures also struggling to get above freezing during the daytime
at times too, but especially more so towards the start and end of the this forecasting period.
December Major Snowfall - The major snow events are likely to lead to some heavy falls of snow across many parts of the country, but especially more so in the southern half of the country. Coupled with the below-average temperatures, this is likely to lead to lying snow on the ground for some lengthy periods of time in December. The risk of snowfall will remain with much of the country throughout the whole month, but especially more so throughout the period of the 23rd to the 31st December (Especially in northern, eastern and southern parts). A full and more detailed snow risk forecast will be issued to purchasers of this forecast later in the year (normally £10)
January 2014
The second month of the meteorological 2013/14 winter is likely to be exceptionally cold and very snowy. This period is also likely to experience a number of multiple and major widespread snow events across the country, and a scenario similar to December 2010 or worse is plausible. The vast majority of the whole country is likely to experience a run of well-below average temperatures for the whole of the month and multiple major snow events, which will also include some potentially dangerous blizzard conditions at times, in particular, in parts of southern England. Parts of
northern England, eastern England, Wales, western England, the Midlands, and Northern Ireland are also likely to experience a number of major snow events, that will consist of some crippling falls of snow for these parts throughout January. It is highly likely that there will be major disruption on a prolific scale to the public transport network across much of the country at times and school closures throughout much of the January period too.
January Temperatures - Way below the seasonal average for much of the country and in terms of the mean Central England Temperature (CET). Temperatures are also likely to exceed double negative figures quite consistently during the evenings, especially in parts of Scotland and the north. There may even be the possibility of temperature records being broken in places, especially in parts of Scotland and Ireland, towards the start of this forecasting period. It is quite plausible that temperatures may surpass -28C in parts of the UK during the evenings, with temperatures also struggling to get above freezing across the country during the daytime too. There is also a good probability for the development of ice floes, which will be visible from land in various parts of the country too.
January Major Snowfall - The major snow events are likely to lead to some very heavy falls of snow across most parts of the country, but especially more so in the southern half of the country. Coupled with the below-average temperatures, this is likely to lead to lying snow on the ground for the vast majority of January. Snow drifts of several feet are also a distinct possibility for this part of the forecasting period. The risk of snowfall will remain with large parts of the country throughout the whole month, but especially more so throughout the period of the 1st to the 15th January. A full and more detailed snow risk forecast will be issued to purchasers of this forecast later in the year (normally £10)
February 2014
The final month of the meteorological 2013/14 winter is likely to continue with the cold and snowy theme. This period is also likely to experience a number of multiple and major widespread snow events across the country. Many parts of the country are likely to experience a run of below average temperatures throughout the month and multiple major snow events, especially in parts of northern and southern England. It is likely that there will be disruption to the public transport network across these parts at times and school closures throughout the February period too. However, a number of brief periods of moderation can’t be ruled for this part of the forecasting period (normal winter conditions), especially in the latter part of this forecasting period.
February Temperatures - Below the seasonal average for much of the country and in terms of the mean Central England Temperature (CET), especially to the north of the country. Temperatures may also exceed double negative figures during the evenings at times, especially in parts of Scotland and the north. It is quite plausible that temperatures may surpass -18C in parts of the UK during the evenings, with temperatures also struggling to get above freezing during the daytime at times too,
but not consistently due to a number of brief periods of moderation for this part of the forecasting period.
February Snowfall - The major snow events are likely to lead to some significant falls of snow across parts of the country, in particular, in parts of northern and southern England. The risk of major snowfall is most likely throughout the period of the 15th to the 25th February in these parts.
December 2013
The first month of the meteorological 2013/14 winter is likely to see a very cold and snowy start to winter. This period is also likely to experience a number of multiple and major widespread snow events across the country. The northern half of the country is likely to experience a run of well-below average temperatures for the vast majority of the whole month and multiple major snow events, which will also include some potentially dangerous blizzard conditions at times, in particular, in parts of north-east England. Parts of southern England, Wales, and the Midlands are also likely to
experience a number of major snow events, that will consist of some crippling falls of snow for these parts throughout December, especially in parts of southern England and Wales. It is highly likely that there will be major disruption to the public transport network across much of the country at times and school closures throughout the early part of the December period too.
December Temperatures - Below the seasonal average for most parts of the country and in terms of the mean Central England Temperature (CET). Temperatures are also likely to exceed double negative figures during the evenings at times, and even more so throughout the Christmas period and into the early part of 2014. It is quite plausible that temperatures may surpass -20C in parts of the UK during the evenings, with temperatures also struggling to get above freezing during the daytime
at times too, but especially more so towards the start and end of the this forecasting period.
December Major Snowfall - The major snow events are likely to lead to some heavy falls of snow across many parts of the country, but especially more so in the southern half of the country. Coupled with the below-average temperatures, this is likely to lead to lying snow on the ground for some lengthy periods of time in December. The risk of snowfall will remain with much of the country throughout the whole month, but especially more so throughout the period of the 23rd to the 31st December (Especially in northern, eastern and southern parts). A full and more detailed snow risk forecast will be issued to purchasers of this forecast later in the year (normally £10)
January 2014
The second month of the meteorological 2013/14 winter is likely to be exceptionally cold and very snowy. This period is also likely to experience a number of multiple and major widespread snow events across the country, and a scenario similar to December 2010 or worse is plausible. The vast majority of the whole country is likely to experience a run of well-below average temperatures for the whole of the month and multiple major snow events, which will also include some potentially dangerous blizzard conditions at times, in particular, in parts of southern England. Parts of
northern England, eastern England, Wales, western England, the Midlands, and Northern Ireland are also likely to experience a number of major snow events, that will consist of some crippling falls of snow for these parts throughout January. It is highly likely that there will be major disruption on a prolific scale to the public transport network across much of the country at times and school closures throughout much of the January period too.
January Temperatures - Way below the seasonal average for much of the country and in terms of the mean Central England Temperature (CET). Temperatures are also likely to exceed double negative figures quite consistently during the evenings, especially in parts of Scotland and the north. There may even be the possibility of temperature records being broken in places, especially in parts of Scotland and Ireland, towards the start of this forecasting period. It is quite plausible that temperatures may surpass -28C in parts of the UK during the evenings, with temperatures also struggling to get above freezing across the country during the daytime too. There is also a good probability for the development of ice floes, which will be visible from land in various parts of the country too.
January Major Snowfall - The major snow events are likely to lead to some very heavy falls of snow across most parts of the country, but especially more so in the southern half of the country. Coupled with the below-average temperatures, this is likely to lead to lying snow on the ground for the vast majority of January. Snow drifts of several feet are also a distinct possibility for this part of the forecasting period. The risk of snowfall will remain with large parts of the country throughout the whole month, but especially more so throughout the period of the 1st to the 15th January. A full and more detailed snow risk forecast will be issued to purchasers of this forecast later in the year (normally £10)
February 2014
The final month of the meteorological 2013/14 winter is likely to continue with the cold and snowy theme. This period is also likely to experience a number of multiple and major widespread snow events across the country. Many parts of the country are likely to experience a run of below average temperatures throughout the month and multiple major snow events, especially in parts of northern and southern England. It is likely that there will be disruption to the public transport network across these parts at times and school closures throughout the February period too. However, a number of brief periods of moderation can’t be ruled for this part of the forecasting period (normal winter conditions), especially in the latter part of this forecasting period.
February Temperatures - Below the seasonal average for much of the country and in terms of the mean Central England Temperature (CET), especially to the north of the country. Temperatures may also exceed double negative figures during the evenings at times, especially in parts of Scotland and the north. It is quite plausible that temperatures may surpass -18C in parts of the UK during the evenings, with temperatures also struggling to get above freezing during the daytime at times too,
but not consistently due to a number of brief periods of moderation for this part of the forecasting period.
February Snowfall - The major snow events are likely to lead to some significant falls of snow across parts of the country, in particular, in parts of northern and southern England. The risk of major snowfall is most likely throughout the period of the 15th to the 25th February in these parts.
Edited by schmalex on Wednesday 4th September 14:09
Nice prediction snow for everyone in every months from dec-feb that's happens most years. Also they just repeating each month from dec-feb and also major disruption happens with just a bit of snow so nothing new then.
I predict a week or 2 of snow which will cause problems for a few days then everyone gets on with it while the media goes mental with scare stories of don't travel at all and every single supermarket will run out of food due to the scare stories from the met office. Case in point in jan parts of south wales me included was in the red warning of snow which lead to a few supermarkets running out of food what came of it 5 inches of snow if that.
Allthough am looking forward to having fun in my mx5 in the snow.
I predict a week or 2 of snow which will cause problems for a few days then everyone gets on with it while the media goes mental with scare stories of don't travel at all and every single supermarket will run out of food due to the scare stories from the met office. Case in point in jan parts of south wales me included was in the red warning of snow which lead to a few supermarkets running out of food what came of it 5 inches of snow if that.
Allthough am looking forward to having fun in my mx5 in the snow.
kit80 said:
oh lord snow 
I have just moved out to the middle of the sticks, drive is a mile long dirt track, we don't have central heating just a wood burner system. I bought leg warmers yesterday in some form of panic/preparation. Maybe winter tyres or tank might have been a better option.
No probs - you can burn both leg warmers and the tyres in the stove. Job jobbed. I have just moved out to the middle of the sticks, drive is a mile long dirt track, we don't have central heating just a wood burner system. I bought leg warmers yesterday in some form of panic/preparation. Maybe winter tyres or tank might have been a better option. Might want to order in more solid fuel, however.
The Don of Croy said:
kit80 said:
oh lord snow I have just moved out to the middle of the sticks, drive is a mile long dirt track, we don't have central heating just a wood burner system. I bought leg warmers yesterday in some form of panic/preparation. Maybe winter tyres or tank might have been a better option.
No probs - you can burn both leg warmers and the tyres in the stove. Job jobbed. I have just moved out to the middle of the sticks, drive is a mile long dirt track, we don't have central heating just a wood burner system. I bought leg warmers yesterday in some form of panic/preparation. Maybe winter tyres or tank might have been a better option. Might want to order in more solid fuel, however.
I am just going to buy a lot of alcohol, that makes me warmer and care less.
Am pretty sure I could easily convince the OH to buy a plough.
I've just sold the car with the winter tyres on.
I've still got 4 spare wheels, which are the wrong size for the new car, need refurbishing, need the worn summer tires removed and disposed of, and need to be sold to free up the space for new wheels...so yes, it's going to be a rough winter.
I've still got 4 spare wheels, which are the wrong size for the new car, need refurbishing, need the worn summer tires removed and disposed of, and need to be sold to free up the space for new wheels...so yes, it's going to be a rough winter.
Hooli said:
Roo said:
Mr Roper said:
Bill said:
Mr Roper said:
An AGA??
Sod off! I'm planning a real actual boiler and cooker at does what I want it to.
Not a solid fuel Rayburn that's going is it? we're just starting to look for one.
Fecking excellent
schmalex said:
Historical data suggest that an exceptionally warm summer precedes an exceptionally cold winter, so there may be some possibility.
'They' say we get a good Summer after a bad Winter too, if it weren't for it being wrong we would be in some kind of dire perpetual state.Luckily it's all a load of b
ks eh? 
Hooli said:
fk off with the snow for a few months. We're still trying to get a completion date for our new place & it needs a LOT of work doing to be ready for winter.
In exactly the same position. Offer was accepted in late April. k off with the snow for a few months. We're still trying to get a completion date for our new place & it needs a LOT of work doing to be ready for winter.Uninsulated and with a couple of electric storage heaters its going to be a cold one.
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