AirAsia QZ8501 Missing

Author
Discussion

Le TVR

3,092 posts

251 months

Tuesday 20th January 2015
quotequote all
6000 fpm!
I doubt they attempted anything, sounds more like they got caught in an updraught.

gruffalo

7,521 posts

226 months

Tuesday 20th January 2015
quotequote all
Le TVR said:
6000 fpm!
I doubt they attempted anything, sounds more like they got caught in an updraught.
But would that lead to a stall?


saaby93

32,038 posts

178 months

Tuesday 20th January 2015
quotequote all
Le TVR said:
6000 fpm!
I doubt they attempted anything, sounds more like they got caught in an updraught.
Real or indicated?

Hub

6,434 posts

198 months

Tuesday 20th January 2015
quotequote all
I remember reading about the Air France atlantic one a few years ago, that the plane switched to manual control due to the failure or disrepancies in the flight data... would that have to happen here to cause that sort of climb and stall, i.e. would the plane normally let the pilots stall it in that manner?

Scuffers

20,887 posts

274 months

Tuesday 20th January 2015
quotequote all
BBC said:
Ignasius Jonan told a parliamentary hearing in Jakarta that flight QZ8501 had ascended at a speed of 6,000ft (1,828m) per minute.

No passenger or fighter jet would attempt to climb so fast, he said.
total nonsense..

consider the Eurofighter can do some 62,000ft/min what credibility does this report have?
(even the old Lightning could exceed 50,000ft/min).

Gliders have managed 4,000+ ft/min


Blaster72

10,838 posts

197 months

Tuesday 20th January 2015
quotequote all
BBC said:
Ignasius Jonan told a parliamentary hearing in Jakarta that flight QZ8501 had ascended at a speed of 6,000ft (1,828m) per minute.

No passenger or fighter jet would attempt to climb so fast, he said.

Citing radar data, Mr Jonan said: "The plane, during the last minutes, went up faster than normal speed... then it stalled."

"I think it is rare even for a fighter jet to be able to climb 6,000ft per minute," he told a House of Representatives commission.
6000ft per minute is childs play for a fighter aircraft. How about 8 times that climb rate and higher.

The A320 has a climb rate of 3000 ft per minute + when pushed and depending on weight and local conditions.

6000 ft per minute is excessive for an airliner but radar data isn't really what should be being used when they have the flight recorders in their hands.


KTF

9,805 posts

150 months

Tuesday 20th January 2015
quotequote all
6000 fpm unexpected in an Airbus with a change of Outside Air Temperature? Not at all impossible indeed its happened before.
pprune said:
For 18 seconds after the autopilot disengaged the aircraft remained within 200 feet altitude of FL
360 but once AoA law was invoked at 14:21:50 hrs, the aircraft's attitude began to pitch nose-up.
The pitch-up trend continued for 17 seconds reaching a peak of 15° nose-up shortly before the first
nose-down sidestick command was applied.

Throughout this phase the aircraft climbed rapidly (reaching a peak rate of about 6,000 ft/min) due to the increase in lift created by the flight control system's capture of alpha prot.

The aircraft reached its apogee at FL 384 at 14:22:28 hrs where the
airspeed had decayed to 205 KIAS and 0.67 Mach even though full thrust had been applied.
Throughout the turbulence encounter, the normal g fluctuations were between 0.5g and 1.5g. The
recorded wind direction remained within 20° of the mean of 240° but the wind speed varied
between 67 kt and 108 kt and the static air temperature fluctuated between -42° C and -52°C. There
were 7 cycles of temperature change, the second cycle being the most severe. The mean air
temperature before the AIRPROX event was -46.5° C and afterwards it was -44.5°C. The crew
subsequently descended back to FL 360 and successfully re-engaged the autopilot and autothrust
systems.
Source: http://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/553569-air-asia...

Le TVR

3,092 posts

251 months

Wednesday 21st January 2015
quotequote all
KTF said:
6000 fpm unexpected in an Airbus with a change of Outside Air Temperature? Not at all impossible indeed its happened before.
Transport Minister Jonan said:


At 6:17 a.m. on Dec. 28, three minutes after air traffic control unsuccessfully tried to make contact and asked nearby aircraft to try to locate QZ8501, the A320 turned to the left and it began to climb from its altitude of 32,000 ft (9,750 meters), Jonan told a parliamentary hearing.

The rate of the climb increased rapidly within seconds to 6,000 ft a minute, before accelerating further to 8,400 ft a minute and finally 11,100 ft. The aircraft reached 37,600 ft just 54 seconds after it began to climb before it appeared to stall.

The aircraft began to fall at 6:18 a.m., dropping 1,500 ft in the first 6 seconds before reaching a rate of descent of 7,900 ft per minute until it reached 24,000 ft, at which point it disappeared from the radar.
So they are saying 6000fpm, then 8400fpm and finally 11,100fpm.
Which is quite different...

KTF

9,805 posts

150 months

Wednesday 21st January 2015
quotequote all
It doesnt say if the climb rates are from radar or the FDR but it appears that it climbed then stalled. The reason why is yet to be explained.


Blaster72

10,838 posts

197 months

Saturday 24th January 2015
quotequote all
Just a quick update, lifting bags are about to be used to bring the largest piece up off the sea floor.

69 of those on-board have now been recovered.

A previous attempt with the lifting bags failed when the fuselage was raised to just below the surface before sinking again when the strapping attaching one of the bags snapped.

There's bad weather in the area again but they hope the latest attempt will begin again on Sunday.

Had there been any news on the Flight recorder playback yet? I haven't seen anything in the news.




hidetheelephants

24,334 posts

193 months

Saturday 24th January 2015
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Could they make more of a mess of the recovery? Even if the Indonesians are too skint to hire professionals, I'd have thought Airbus would want the evidence recovered without it being damaged and scattered further.

Edited by hidetheelephants on Saturday 24th January 22:29

Vipers

32,883 posts

228 months

Saturday 24th January 2015
quotequote all
hidetheelephants said:
Could they make more of a mess of the recovery? Even if the Indonesians are to skint to hire professionals, I'd have thought Airbus would want the evidence recovered without it being damaged and scattered further.
Who is doing the recovery, any ideas?




smile

MitchT

15,867 posts

209 months

Sunday 25th January 2015
quotequote all
This morning's news is that it failed again. They got it to the surface before a rope snapped (again) and it sunk once more.

Blaster72

10,838 posts

197 months

Sunday 25th January 2015
quotequote all
MitchT said:
This morning's news is that it failed again. They got it to the surface before a rope snapped (again) and it sunk once more.
http://edition.cnn.com/2015/01/25/asia/airasia-dis...

A body floated free of the fuselage as it was being recovered and was retrieved also.

They really are making a meal out of this, it says in the CNN article the military are carrying out the recovery. Perhaps they should put their hands in their pockets and pay for a professional outfit to help them out now?

Edited by Blaster72 on Sunday 25th January 11:04

RYH64E

7,960 posts

244 months

Sunday 25th January 2015
quotequote all
In terms of determining the cause of the crash, I suppose that the information contained in the recovered black boxes will be sufficient? In which case recovery of the fuselage isn't necessary from an investigation point of view but is mainly to assist with recovering passenger remains. I hope that that's the case, because repeatedly lifting the fuselage to the surface and dropping it back to the seabed isn't going to make the crash investigators job any easier!

hidetheelephants

24,334 posts

193 months

Sunday 25th January 2015
quotequote all
RYH64E said:
In terms of determining the cause of the crash, I suppose that the information contained in the recovered black boxes will be sufficient? In which case recovery of the fuselage isn't necessary from an investigation point of view but is mainly to assist with recovering passenger remains. I hope that that's the case, because repeatedly lifting the fuselage to the surface and dropping it back to the seabed isn't going to make the crash investigators job any easier!
It may well not be necessary, but they won't know until the data is completely interpreted, which often takes months; in the mean time these bozos are merrily destroying what might be the only physical evidence of what caused it to crash.

RYH64E

7,960 posts

244 months

Sunday 25th January 2015
quotequote all
hidetheelephants said:
It may well not be necessary, but they won't know until the data is completely interpreted, which often takes months; in the mean time these bozos are merrily destroying what might be the only physical evidence of what caused it to crash.
Possibly, but if I were a betting man my money would be on them already knowing exactly what happened and the recovery exercise being of little interest to the crash examiners.

Blaster72

10,838 posts

197 months

Sunday 25th January 2015
quotequote all
I don't think the flight recorder is the answer to all the questions. If it turns out to be a crew error due to loss of instrument data in the thunderstorm, I'd imagine they'll want to recover all the components of the air data system to examine whats left thoroughly.

They also need to know if the crew were intoxicated, had medical problems etc... for that they still need to recover the bodies which I believe are still with the cockpit section as yet not found or recovered.

hornetrider

63,161 posts

205 months

Wednesday 28th January 2015
quotequote all
Looks like they're giving up attempting to bring it up confused

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2929237/Ai...

AyBee

10,533 posts

202 months

Wednesday 28th January 2015
quotequote all
hornetrider said:
Looks like they're giving up attempting to bring it up confused

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2929237/Ai...
Can't see the families of the dead being too happy if that's actually the decision that's been made!