Election result is now abundantly clear
Discussion
With 10 days to go, the polls are stuck. They haven't shifted in weeks.
There will be a hung parliament. The Conservatives will probably be the largest party, but will be some way short of a majority. Even a coalition with the Lib Dems will not get them over the line. Cameron will resign as PM and offer Miliband the chance to form a government.
Miliband will pair up with the SNP and single Green MP in order to form a working government.
The only chance of any change to this scenario is if some UKIP supporters move to the Tories in the Lab/Con marginals. If this happened then the Tories plus Lib Dems might have a working majority as a coalition again.
Can't see any other permutations.
There will be a hung parliament. The Conservatives will probably be the largest party, but will be some way short of a majority. Even a coalition with the Lib Dems will not get them over the line. Cameron will resign as PM and offer Miliband the chance to form a government.
Miliband will pair up with the SNP and single Green MP in order to form a working government.
The only chance of any change to this scenario is if some UKIP supporters move to the Tories in the Lab/Con marginals. If this happened then the Tories plus Lib Dems might have a working majority as a coalition again.
Can't see any other permutations.
Mr GrimNasty said:
I reckon the Conservatives will win outright or be able to coalesce with a very minor party to get past the post.
Polls are rubbish (I hope for the sake of us all).
Looking at polls is pointless...far better looking at the bookies. It looks like they think you are wrong though...Polls are rubbish (I hope for the sake of us all).
oyster said:
With 10 days to go, the polls are stuck. They haven't shifted in weeks.
There will be a hung parliament. The Conservatives will probably be the largest party, but will be some way short of a majority. Even a coalition with the Lib Dems will not get them over the line. Cameron will resign as PM and offer Miliband the chance to form a government.
Miliband will pair up with the SNP and single Green MP in order to form a working government.
The only chance of any change to this scenario is if some UKIP supporters move to the Tories in the Lab/Con marginals. If this happened then the Tories plus Lib Dems might have a working majority as a coalition again.
Can't see any other permutations.
A minority government is a possibility. You don't need a majority to govern. You do need one to be effective.There will be a hung parliament. The Conservatives will probably be the largest party, but will be some way short of a majority. Even a coalition with the Lib Dems will not get them over the line. Cameron will resign as PM and offer Miliband the chance to form a government.
Miliband will pair up with the SNP and single Green MP in order to form a working government.
The only chance of any change to this scenario is if some UKIP supporters move to the Tories in the Lab/Con marginals. If this happened then the Tories plus Lib Dems might have a working majority as a coalition again.
Can't see any other permutations.
oyster said:
With 10 days to go, the polls are stuck. They haven't shifted in weeks.
There will be a hung parliament. The Conservatives will probably be the largest party....
I don't get this. If they are neck and neck in terms of votes (what the polls measure) then Labour will easily be the biggest party, could get a majority or even a landslide majority like 2005. Why do you think this time is different?There will be a hung parliament. The Conservatives will probably be the largest party....
Perhaps it'll be a repeat of 1992, where many (small c) conservative people lied to pollsters. The so called Shy Tory Factor:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shy_Tory_Factor
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shy_Tory_Factor
oyster said:
With 10 days to go, the polls are stuck. They haven't shifted in weeks.
There will be a hung parliament. The Conservatives will probably be the largest party, but will be some way short of a majority. Even a coalition with the Lib Dems will not get them over the line. Cameron will resign as PM and offer Miliband the chance to form a government.
Miliband will pair up with the SNP and single Green MP in order to form a working government.
The only chance of any change to this scenario is if some UKIP supporters move to the Tories in the Lab/Con marginals. If this happened then the Tories plus Lib Dems might have a working majority as a coalition again.
Can't see any other permutations.
I would be happy with another 5 years of Con / Lib Dem Government but sadly I can't see anything other than a hung parliament and either a minority government or another election within 6 months. There will be a hung parliament. The Conservatives will probably be the largest party, but will be some way short of a majority. Even a coalition with the Lib Dems will not get them over the line. Cameron will resign as PM and offer Miliband the chance to form a government.
Miliband will pair up with the SNP and single Green MP in order to form a working government.
The only chance of any change to this scenario is if some UKIP supporters move to the Tories in the Lab/Con marginals. If this happened then the Tories plus Lib Dems might have a working majority as a coalition again.
Can't see any other permutations.
Against the global deflation background, the party in power is gonna be pretty irrelevant as there is no disparity between any of the parties that will make a real difference.
Cons/Lab/Lib/Green/SNP *ALL* want to be in Europe, so that is a given.
Gobal deflation and UK joining Europe.
Two huge factors that will make any subtle differences in party politics irrelevant imo.
Only real changes that might make a difference is a UKIP getting an EU out in place, or a complete change in UK politics (for the better), so reformulating voting/MP coverage/proportional representation type stuff.
Dave
Cons/Lab/Lib/Green/SNP *ALL* want to be in Europe, so that is a given.
Gobal deflation and UK joining Europe.
Two huge factors that will make any subtle differences in party politics irrelevant imo.
Only real changes that might make a difference is a UKIP getting an EU out in place, or a complete change in UK politics (for the better), so reformulating voting/MP coverage/proportional representation type stuff.
Dave
gregf40 said:
Looking at polls is pointless...far better looking at the bookies. It looks like they think you are wrong though...
Unless, like me, the only time you've bet on anything is the office Grand National sweepstake, so the bookies might as well be speaking Klingon as far as I'm concerned. 
Mr Whippy said:
Against the global deflation background, the party in power is gonna be pretty irrelevant as there is no disparity between any of the parties that will make a real difference.
Cons/Lab/Lib/Green/SNP *ALL* want to be in Europe, so that is a given.
Gobal deflation and UK joining Europe.
Two huge factors that will make any subtle differences in party politics irrelevant imo.
Only real changes that might make a difference is a UKIP getting an EU out in place, or a complete change in UK politics (for the better), so reformulating voting/MP coverage/proportional representation type stuff.
Dave
Cons/Lab/Lib/Green/SNP *ALL* want to be in Europe, so that is a given.
Gobal deflation and UK joining Europe.
Two huge factors that will make any subtle differences in party politics irrelevant imo.
Only real changes that might make a difference is a UKIP getting an EU out in place, or a complete change in UK politics (for the better), so reformulating voting/MP coverage/proportional representation type stuff.
Dave
Also don't forget the moronic adherence to climate change claptrap all but UKIP seem to blindly follow!!
Gassing Station | News, Politics & Economics | Top of Page | What's New | My Stuff