Better than the deed itself - the moment...of anticipation.*

Better than the deed itself - the moment...of anticipation.*

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R_U_LOCAL

Original Poster:

2,681 posts

209 months

Sunday 18th February 2007
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*Title courtesy of lounge lizard Jacques Brunswick from "The Simpsons"

I mentioned last time that it was better to forgive and forget other drivers mistakes, in order to keep your stress levels to a minimum, but how about if you actually knew what people were going to do before they did it? How much less stressful would driving be if you knew the vehicle you were approaching from behind on the motorway was about to move from lane 1 to lane 2, or if you knew the car in front was about to turn right, or if you were sure that the car waiting in a junction ahead was going to pull out in front of you?

If you knew these things in advance, then you'd be able to compensate for them before they even happened. You could move to lane 3 or adjust your speed on the motorway, slow down and move nearside for the right-turner, or adjust your safety position and be ready to brake for the car in the junction.

I can hear you - "don't be daft Reg" you're saying, "who do you think we are? Derren Brown? We're not bloody mind-readers or paranormal mentalists or anything".

Derren Brown is an interesting comparison at this point. I'm not a huge fan of magicians or conjurers, but I do like to try to suss out how they perform their tricks. I'm always disappointed when I find out it's done with wires and mirrors, but Derren Brown performs much subtler tricks, involving mind-reading and mental manipulation. What's more, he'll often tell you how the trick is done. When he's doing the mind reading stuff, he isn't performing psychic miracles, he's just watching people, spotting tiny clues in their body language and facial movements, and interpreting them correctly. Tiny eye movements, very slight head movements, hand rubbing, changes in respiration rate - such small things seem totally innocuous to most of us, but he's able not only to spot them, but to realise their significance, and make it appear as though he's "mind reading".

Drivers give off similar "body language", and you can, over time, learn to spot the signals that other drivers give off, interpret them correctly, and anticipate what they're going to do next.

Let's go back to the driver on the motorway first. The commonest problem you generally come across when driving along the motorway is people unexpectedly changing lanes - but do they always do it completely without warning? Usually, people will move from lane 1 to lane 2 in order to overtake a vehicle in front of them. If you extend your observations a bit further in front, you can train yourself to look for closing gaps, which indicate that one vehicle is catching up with another. If you spot one of these closing gaps early, you'll have plenty of time to move over to lane 3, or adjust your speed, before the inevitable happens, and the vehicle moves into lane 2. You'll often get a wave of appreciation from the driver too if they're any good, as their plan would have been to wait for you to pass, and by spotting their intentions and adjusting your position/speed, you've made it a little easier for them.

There are other, even more subtle things you can look for which will warn you that a vehicle is about to change lanes. People generally drive in the centre of their chosen lane on the motorway, however, just before they change lanes, they make a slight, wandering move in the direction they want to go, then they move back to the centre of the lane, and then they change lanes. I've considered this long and hard, and I think it's their physical reaction to their own mental planning process. They think about changing lanes, and as they're thinking, the vehicle wanders towards that lane slightly, then they correct it, and then act on their decision and change lanes.

If you can spot this slight wandering move, you've enough time (less than with closing gaps, but enough nonetheless) to change lanes or adjust your speed. Don't just take my word for it though - next time you're on the motorway, look for that little move, and you'll see that Reg isn't feeding you bull - it really works.

Here's another good one - it's not motorway related, and will probably ring bells with any Police instructors who are reading this. If you're driving along, and a vehicle emerges from a junction on the left ahead of you, and travels in your direction, there is a very strong possibility that it will turn right at some point in the next mile or so. There's nothing particularly scientific about this - if a car is coming from your left, it'll generally be continuing in that direction, which will mean a right turn somewhere ahead. It's a trick that Police instructors have used for years to impress passengers during a demonstration drive. They won't mention the vehicle pulling out, but after a few hundred yards, they'll include in their commentary "I'm anticipating that the vehicle in front will turn off soon, probably to the right".

Lo and behold, the instructor goes up in everyone's estimations when the vehicle does the (easily predicted) right turn.

So, that trick is good for showing off, but it's also very useful. If you can spot the ones that are going to turn off, it won't be a surprise when they do a lastminutebrakeandindicate, as favoured by a seemingly large number of todays drivers.

There are thousands more of these little "car body language" clues that you can pick up when driving around, and looking for them can really liven up a dull journey, and can genuinely improve you as a driver.

Reg.

tigger1

8,402 posts

222 months

Monday 19th February 2007
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Look into my eyes, *my eyes*, into my eyes, not around the eyes....

Now, whenever you feel like changing speed or position or direction in the road, remember 3 simple things: -
Mirror
Signal
Manoeuvre

That way we won't be needing to use our Jedi powers to stay alive.
_________________________________________________________

Totally agree though, it is easy enough to be able to "guess" what people will do on a motorway, v little should come as a surprise.

willibetz

694 posts

223 months

Monday 19th February 2007
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I enjoyed that - thanks

WilliBetz

Don

28,377 posts

285 months

Monday 19th February 2007
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I look for this. Very often a car will move over within its lane in the direction...not very far but just enough that you can predict the indicator will go on any moment....or not as the case may be.

Similarly when I see a car coming towards me from my right as I wait to pull out of a T junction - I don't trust their right indicator...I wait for the car body language to confirm they're going to do what the indicator is saying...

I describe this to Associates as "Waiting for the tyres to twitch"

I was caught out once, though. On the motorway (M4) I was overtaking a car - that with absolutely no warning and for no explicable reason pulled over into my lane and, without a very hard brake and the horn going on, would have side swiped me.

There probably was some sign it was going to happen, to be fair. But that day I didn't see it.

Scary at whumpty-five mph.

andy_s

19,401 posts

260 months

Monday 19th February 2007
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Great wee articles here - all good tips - appreciate the effort. On the 'anticipating lane change by car body language (great phrase!)' i.e. by drifting towards the next lane - is this also explained by the phenomina of a vehicle drifting/going where the driver is looking (like 'if you look at that cone while you're trying to avoid it in an emergency, you'll hit it.........*HIT*........see? Now look where you want the car to go, not at what you're about to hit')? I know that's an 'emergency' example but interesting how it works...

R_U_LOCAL

Original Poster:

2,681 posts

209 months

Monday 19th February 2007
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andy_s said:
Great wee articles here - all good tips - appreciate the effort. On the 'anticipating lane change by car body language (great phrase!)' i.e. by drifting towards the next lane - is this also explained by the phenomina of a vehicle drifting/going where the driver is looking (like 'if you look at that cone while you're trying to avoid it in an emergency, you'll hit it.........*HIT*........see? Now look where you want the car to go, not at what you're about to hit')? I know that's an 'emergency' example but interesting how it works...


The phenomenon you're referring to is known as "target fixation". As you've identified, it refers to the common habit of looking at something, and automatically driving towards it. I was once stationary at the scene of an accident, with my blue lights fully illuminated, when someone simply drove into my car at 40mph+, despite the fact that I'd coned the scene off, and I was visible for more than a quarter of a mile leading up to the scene.

I think you're right - it's a similar mental process which makes people weave in their lane prior to changing lanes. Think about doing something, and your body automatically reacts to that thought process, and a physical clue to your intentions is the result.

It always amazes me how many people manage to hit the one tree or lamp-post along a stretch of road, rather than harmlessly skidding off the road into the adjacent field. As you say, it's because they looked at the tree, rather than at the huge gap.

Paul.B

3,937 posts

265 months

Tuesday 20th February 2007
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This is all good stuff Local - please keep 'em coming. As for this post, I think a lot of what you have highlighted is what brings a driver towards an ADVANCED level.
I could teach my 12 y-old son to change gear smoothly, but getting people to observe and anticipate and then act on the info is far harder!


Paul.B driving

chris_tivver

583 posts

207 months

Tuesday 20th February 2007
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So what is the visual clue that many drivers use to spot that a driver is going to fail to arc round a multi-lane roundabout but is going to cut the corner right across you? I know I often spot it and I know that many other drivers do sub-consciously - but I have no idea what the clue is.

Many times my wife and I have had time to both comment that we think a car will do this, have time to pull back and then watch the idiot do it.

naetype

889 posts

251 months

Tuesday 20th February 2007
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R_U_LOCAL said:

.....The phenomenon you're referring to is known as "target fixation"....


In mountain biking we call it 'magnetic trees'. The minute you start looking at one it turns magnetic and you are irresistably drawn towards it. Often with, and I speak from experience here, painful results




Edited by naetype on Tuesday 20th February 23:06

vonhosen

40,240 posts

218 months

Tuesday 20th February 2007
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chris_tivver said:
So what is the visual clue that many drivers use to spot that a driver is going to fail to arc round a multi-lane roundabout but is going to cut the corner right across you? I know I often spot it and I know that many other drivers do sub-consciously - but I have no idea what the clue is.

Many times my wife and I have had time to both comment that we think a car will do this, have time to pull back and then watch the idiot do it.


You know they do it & the chances are sufficiently high that they will, so you should avoid putting yourself alongside others or in positions that will potentially compromise you.
Expect & plan for the worst, you can then only be pleasantly surprised.



Edited by vonhosen on Tuesday 20th February 23:04

naetype

889 posts

251 months

Tuesday 20th February 2007
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chris_tivver said:
So what is the visual clue that many drivers use to spot that a driver is going to fail to arc round a multi-lane roundabout but is going to cut the corner right across you? .......


Blue lights on top and a 'R U 2 Close' sticker on the back.

hehe

R_U_LOCAL

Original Poster:

2,681 posts

209 months

Wednesday 21st February 2007
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chris_tivver said:
So what is the visual clue that many drivers use to spot that a driver is going to fail to arc round a multi-lane roundabout but is going to cut the corner right across you? I know I often spot it and I know that many other drivers do sub-consciously - but I have no idea what the clue is.

Many times my wife and I have had time to both comment that we think a car will do this, have time to pull back and then watch the idiot do it.


That's easy - the clue is a large sign on the roof of the car that says "Taxi".


tank

ohopkins

708 posts

241 months

Wednesday 21st February 2007
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The wobble -

Its pretty simple really. Most people cannot keep their cars in a straight line without looking directly ahead. The wobble is caused by the person stopping looking directly forwards keeping in their lane, and looking in the wingmirror ( but often not seeing ), left or right, and target fixation drawing them over to that side.

With practice, you can elimiate the wobble by listening to the direction the car is taking with your body not your eyes. Practice by distracting your eyes while driving, open a can of beer, shave in you mirror or roll a joint.

Paul.B

3,937 posts

265 months

Wednesday 21st February 2007
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chris_tivver said:
So what is the visual clue that many drivers use to spot that a driver is going to fail to arc round a multi-lane roundabout but is going to cut the corner right across you? I know I often spot it and I know that many other drivers do sub-consciously - but I have no idea what the clue is.

Many times my wife and I have had time to both comment that we think a car will do this, have time to pull back and then watch the idiot do it.




Approach speed is one clue. Another is that they tend not to make the initial movement left before following the lane right. Also, aggressive manner and concentration levels. Are they really taking note of whats around them. The clues are there, they're subtle, but can be spotted.


Paul.B

AL666

2,679 posts

219 months

Saturday 24th February 2007
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Thanks a lot for this, and your other past (and, hopefully, future) articles. Invaluable. I'm ashamed to say that I haven't noticed target fixation on motorways or been told about it before, but I'll definately look out for it next time I'm on a dual or motorway thumbup

Thanks again for the public service, I'm looking forward to becoming a more perceptive driver.

instructormike

69 posts

226 months

Saturday 24th February 2007
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All driving (riding bikes/horses, flying, forward activity) in a "nominally" straight line is about constant correction. A car performs a sinusoidal course down a road when traveling straight. This is basic phyiscs working in a feedback loop. If you actually count your inputs to steering - we talked about this and demonstrated it today on an advanced session - the typical number of inputs to steering a straight course is about 30 a minute. Try counting the number of times you apply a (tiny) pressure to the wheel - it's quite enlightening. Your eyes are (hopefully) trained towards a spot somewhat distant from you - a learner keeps this spot quite close to the vehicle so does more and more often, sawing at the wheel. You then, subconsciously with experience, put inputs into your steering to take you there. The more tired you are the more coarse your corrections become - the wandering driver/truck alludes to this level of tiredness. As you take your attentions right, for a lane change, so your steering focus moves to the right. You, again subconsciously, go with the flow of this movement (watch/feel for this next time you do a lane change on a m-way) and take the vehicle out on the natural yaw movement of the vehicle. AS local said, this is normally preceded by one cycle of movement out, in and then move out. This tendency to yaw is down to many factors external- wind, camber change of the road, internal - toe-in, castor angle etc. When instructing people who do rough lane changes I then ask them to do a lane change by thought rather than by steering. They then peform a significantly smoother lane change, which amuses and informs in equal measure.
This Zen moment is actually just tuning in to the subtle yaw (axis of rotation) of the car. Just like a plane.

Mike