Colour shade differences

[johnnyBv8]

My car has a large soft dent in the driver’s door thanks to an anonymous benefactor. I’ve contacted a PDR company who have quoted on it - a fair bit more than I expected. My local breaker has almost the same car - same paint code and year, and original paint. I know with some colours the chance of a colour match would be minimal, though I’ve done it years ago and it was fine. What are the chances on a VW pearl metallic black? I thought there might be a more likely match with black than with some other colours like silver or grey?

Anyone have an informed steer?

Thanks

[johnnyBv8]

Pretty certain both are original paint