The Big Short

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Discussion

Jamalsmith

Original Poster:

13 posts

34 months

Wednesday 23rd June 2021
quotequote all
Afternoon,

Watching it again last night - great film.

When they all start selling their position, who do they sell them to ??

Brad Pitt offers the Brownfield $200m position to Credit Swiss.
He describes them as dog ****, and yet the guy still buys them.

What is he buying and where is his angle to make money on them ?

Thanks

CzechItOut

2,154 posts

191 months

Wednesday 23rd June 2021
quotequote all
My understanding is that Brad Pitt is selling Brownfield's short positions. Credit Swiss are buying them to offset their long positions.

There is a scene with Michael Burry (Christian Bale) when he is on the phone to Goldman Sachs and they are "correctly" pricing his swaps. He says "I think you mean you've secured a net short position yourselves so you're free to mark my swaps accurately for once. Because it's now in your interest to do so."

Credit Swiss are trying to get to the same net short position as Goldman.

Mr Whippy

29,024 posts

241 months

Wednesday 23rd June 2021
quotequote all
Then you have Margin Call where it’s the other side, an institution packaging the ‘big piles of st’ iirc, into MBSs, and realise they’re holding a big pile of st and sell it all.

It all became a self fulfilling prophecy really... the nature of humans and emotions, greed, and the boom/bust cycle.
People can’t stay in boom mode forever. And the higher it goes the more easily spooked they get.


Makes you think about Q3/4 this year... is reality going to bite?

Ari

19,346 posts

215 months

Wednesday 23rd June 2021
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Makes you wonder about crypto...

eyebeebe

2,978 posts

233 months

Wednesday 23rd June 2021
quotequote all
anonymous said:
[redacted]
This x100. And many others.

It‘s quite worrying the amount of people who have watched the Big Short and think it is a documentary rather than a Hollywood story.

stichill99

1,043 posts

181 months

Thursday 24th June 2021
quotequote all
Also read The Stress Test

anonymous-user

54 months

Thursday 24th June 2021
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Ari said:
Makes you wonder about crypto...
Not 10 trillion yet, but getting there.

Mr Whippy

29,024 posts

241 months

Thursday 24th June 2021
quotequote all
anonymous said:
[redacted]
Is the casting as good though?

FredAstaire

2,336 posts

212 months

Friday 25th June 2021
quotequote all
eyebeebe said:
This x100. And many others.

It‘s quite worrying the amount of people who have watched the Big Short and think it is a documentary rather than a Hollywood story.
I’ve seen it a couple of times and have literally no idea what its all about, other than the fact that the guy saw it coming and made a mint.

How he made that mint, and how it all transpired is completely obscure to me.

JaredVannett

1,561 posts

143 months

Friday 25th June 2021
quotequote all
Still feels like yesterday when I opened that cheque...



I'm was jacked, jacked to the tits!


anonymous-user

54 months

Friday 25th June 2021
quotequote all
The Big Short is easily one of my favourite films of all time. I have probably watched it 5 or 6 times in full so far.

As for other financial films, most people will have seen these, but if you haven’t, you should watch them:

Margin Call
Rogue Trader
Too big to fail
Boiler Room
Wall Street
The Wizard of Lies (Film about the Bernie Madoff Ponzi scheme with Robert De Niro)


Edited to add really geeky watch related stuff:

I collect watches, and the choice of watches worn by the characters in this film are so good that I have started to acquire some of the same models as seen in the film.

Notable watches that are featured:

Rolex Submariner as worn by Mark Baum (Steve Carell)
IWC Portuguese Chronograph as worn by Jared Vennett (Ryan Gosling).
Rolex Oysterquartz as worn by Vinny Daniel (Jeremy Strong)
Breitling Emergency (as worn by Ben Rickert (Brad Pitt).

Bonus watch fact: The Rolex Sub worn by Steve Carell in the film is a 116610 ‘maxi case’ model, which wasn’t released by Rolex until 2010, and yet the film is set in 2007-2008.

Edited by anonymous-user on Friday 25th June 18:11

anonymous-user

54 months

Friday 25th June 2021
quotequote all
JaredVannett said:
Still feels like yesterday when I opened that cheque...



I'm was jacked, jacked to the tits!
”and Caesar wept, for there were no more worlds to conquer”

Countdown

39,821 posts

196 months

Friday 25th June 2021
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Lord Marylebone said:
”and Caesar wept, for there were no more worlds to conquer”
Was it not Alexander....?

Dr Jekyll

23,820 posts

261 months

Friday 25th June 2021
quotequote all
Countdown said:
Lord Marylebone said:
”and Caesar wept, for there were no more worlds to conquer”
Was it not Alexander....?
No, Eric Bristow.

anonymous-user

54 months

Friday 25th June 2021
quotequote all
Countdown said:
Lord Marylebone said:
”and Caesar wept, for there were no more worlds to conquer”
Was it not Alexander....?
It was indeed.

But in the film Jared Vennett says ‘Caesar’.

Countdown

39,821 posts

196 months

Friday 25th June 2021
quotequote all
Lord Marylebone said:
It was indeed.

But in the film Jared Vennett says ‘Caesar’.
thumbup

anonymous-user

54 months

Friday 25th June 2021
quotequote all
Countdown said:
Lord Marylebone said:
It was indeed.

But in the film Jared Vennett says ‘Caesar’.
thumbup
We will never know if it was intentional or not!

stongle

5,910 posts

162 months

Friday 25th June 2021
quotequote all
anonymous said:
[redacted]
In its most simple form, the Credit Default Swaps bought, were a form of collateral gap risk. Basically money had been lent against housing stock, if the value of the housing stock fell, the ability of banks to leverage (or in Lehman's case) fund itself (remember banks have 2 primary functions - extension of credit AND maturity transformation so they lend money longer term than where they raise it).

Those protection products or insurances have a Market value, IF the reference assets or collateral is over valued then the buyer will be paying margin. When the true value of the collateral was known (or correctly) marked, the purchaser can collect on the collateral shortfall.

It's similar to GAP insurance on a car. The only difference is the size of the markets, oh and you can trade the CDS or insurance products without having the collateral assets themselves. Well sortof if you like naked directional punts and have no risk management function.

It's nothing like crypto, as crypto currencies are not involved in monetary policy transmission (yet) like banks. If crypto goes bang, only punters lose money. If your banking sector goes bang, it's back to the stoneage. That's why the response to 2008 / GFC was $10trillion in stimulus.





anonymous-user

54 months

Friday 25th June 2021
quotequote all
anonymous said:
[redacted]
”Mortgage bonds are dog st, and CDO’s are dog st wrapped in cat st”

”Synthetic CDO’s are the atomic bomb with a drunk president holding his finger over the button.

The Big Short has a great way of explaining things.

Mr Whippy

29,024 posts

241 months

Friday 25th June 2021
quotequote all
Lord Marylebone said:
The Big Short is easily one of my favourite films of all time. I have probably watched it 5 or 6 times in full so far.

As for other financial films, most people will have seen these, but if you haven’t, you should watch them:

Margin Call
Rogue Trader
Too big to fail
Boiler Room
Wall Street
The Wizard of Lies (Film about the Bernie Madoff Ponzi scheme with Robert De Niro)
Where’s Trading Places and Pi?