North Korea - how serious should we take them?

North Korea - how serious should we take them?

Author
Discussion

superkartracer

8,959 posts

222 months

Thursday 27th April 2017
quotequote all
Likes Fast Cars said:
Latest story doing the rounds is his weapons are fake.
http://uk.businessinsider.com/north-korea-missile-icbm-parade-duitsman-2017-4?r=US&IR=T

Likes Fast Cars

2,770 posts

165 months

Thursday 27th April 2017
quotequote all
superkartracer said:
Likes Fast Cars said:
Latest story doing the rounds is his weapons are fake.
http://uk.businessinsider.com/north-korea-missile-icbm-parade-duitsman-2017-4?r=US&IR=T
Thanks for that. There are so many stories and different perspectives flying around it makes it difficult to work out the real situation.

With regards to some of these specialised materials, where are they sourcing them from? From what I understand they are not simple plastics that I imagine NK are capable of producing, am I correct? If so, so much for embargoes and sanctions....

superkartracer

8,959 posts

222 months

Thursday 27th April 2017
quotequote all
Iran maybe? , some good discussion here -

http://www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/1203086/wou...

Baz2000

246 posts

124 months

Thursday 27th April 2017
quotequote all
Robertj21a said:
US now says that they are to tighten economic sanctions against NK.
Does the US trade etc at all with North Korea? I don't understand what sanctions they could impose.

Likes Fast Cars

2,770 posts

165 months

Thursday 27th April 2017
quotequote all
superkartracer said:
Iran maybe? , some good discussion here -

http://www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/1203086/wou...
Nothing would surprise me.

Digga

40,317 posts

283 months

Thursday 27th April 2017
quotequote all
superkartracer said:
Likes Fast Cars said:
Latest story doing the rounds is his weapons are fake.
http://uk.businessinsider.com/north-korea-missile-icbm-parade-duitsman-2017-4?r=US&IR=T
Old news: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5TEvacFETvM

scherzkeks

4,460 posts

134 months

Thursday 27th April 2017
quotequote all
smifffymoto said:
North Korea has been left alone for too long and have developed with help from China and others.
How can it be that the world despises it as a state but turns a blind eye to them exporting government "employed" slaves to the likes of Dubai and Saudi Arabia for cheap labour on construction sites etc.
While governments and business make money from them on the one hand they want to limit them with the other.Politics now is full of to many people with a big ego and something to prove.
http://www.counterpunch.org/2017/04/17/the-problem-is-washington-not-north-korea/

An interesting read. The truth lies somewhere in between, IMO. No question Kim is potentially dangerous to the South, but he is also literally surrounded (and China also has interests in the South) and there would be no rational reason for him to strike. The idea that he would do it simply because he is crazy comes across more as a propaganda scare tactic than anything based in reality.

Likes Fast Cars

2,770 posts

165 months

Thursday 27th April 2017
quotequote all
Digga said:
Good entertainment, thanks Digga.

Likes Fast Cars

2,770 posts

165 months

Thursday 27th April 2017
quotequote all
scherzkeks said:
smifffymoto said:
North Korea has been left alone for too long and have developed with help from China and others.
How can it be that the world despises it as a state but turns a blind eye to them exporting government "employed" slaves to the likes of Dubai and Saudi Arabia for cheap labour on construction sites etc.
While governments and business make money from them on the one hand they want to limit them with the other.Politics now is full of to many people with a big ego and something to prove.
http://www.counterpunch.org/2017/04/17/the-problem-is-washington-not-north-korea/

An interesting read. The truth lies somewhere in between, IMO. No question Kim is potentially dangerous to the South, but he is also literally surrounded (and China also has interests in the South) and there would be no rational reason for him to strike. The idea that he would do it simply because he is crazy comes across more as a propaganda scare tactic than anything based in reality.
Well they make one incorrect statement in the first paragraph, the war has not entirely ended has it?Technically they are still at war as I've read elsewhere.

scherzkeks

4,460 posts

134 months

Thursday 27th April 2017
quotequote all
Likes Fast Cars said:
scherzkeks said:
smifffymoto said:
North Korea has been left alone for too long and have developed with help from China and others.
How can it be that the world despises it as a state but turns a blind eye to them exporting government "employed" slaves to the likes of Dubai and Saudi Arabia for cheap labour on construction sites etc.
While governments and business make money from them on the one hand they want to limit them with the other.Politics now is full of to many people with a big ego and something to prove.
http://www.counterpunch.org/2017/04/17/the-problem-is-washington-not-north-korea/

An interesting read. The truth lies somewhere in between, IMO. No question Kim is potentially dangerous to the South, but he is also literally surrounded (and China also has interests in the South) and there would be no rational reason for him to strike. The idea that he would do it simply because he is crazy comes across more as a propaganda scare tactic than anything based in reality.
Well they make one incorrect statement in the first paragraph, the war has not entirely ended has it?Technically they are still at war as I've read elsewhere.
Fighting ended in 1953.

Likes Fast Cars

2,770 posts

165 months

Thursday 27th April 2017
quotequote all
scherzkeks said:
Likes Fast Cars said:
scherzkeks said:
smifffymoto said:
North Korea has been left alone for too long and have developed with help from China and others.
How can it be that the world despises it as a state but turns a blind eye to them exporting government "employed" slaves to the likes of Dubai and Saudi Arabia for cheap labour on construction sites etc.
While governments and business make money from them on the one hand they want to limit them with the other.Politics now is full of to many people with a big ego and something to prove.
http://www.counterpunch.org/2017/04/17/the-problem-is-washington-not-north-korea/

An interesting read. The truth lies somewhere in between, IMO. No question Kim is potentially dangerous to the South, but he is also literally surrounded (and China also has interests in the South) and there would be no rational reason for him to strike. The idea that he would do it simply because he is crazy comes across more as a propaganda scare tactic than anything based in reality.
Well they make one incorrect statement in the first paragraph, the war has not entirely ended has it?Technically they are still at war as I've read elsewhere.
It ended in 1953.
Isn't it a fact that there was no declaration of peace, there is only a truce? Please correct me if I'm wrong but that's how I understand the situation.

FourWheelDrift

88,512 posts

284 months

Thursday 27th April 2017
quotequote all
scherzkeks said:
It ended in 1953.
No it didn't it is still officially ongoing, they had a ceasefire in 1953 they have never signed a peace treaty to end the war.

MartG

20,677 posts

204 months

Thursday 27th April 2017
quotequote all
scherzkeks said:
Likes Fast Cars said:
scherzkeks said:
smifffymoto said:
North Korea has been left alone for too long and have developed with help from China and others.
How can it be that the world despises it as a state but turns a blind eye to them exporting government "employed" slaves to the likes of Dubai and Saudi Arabia for cheap labour on construction sites etc.
While governments and business make money from them on the one hand they want to limit them with the other.Politics now is full of to many people with a big ego and something to prove.
http://www.counterpunch.org/2017/04/17/the-problem-is-washington-not-north-korea/

An interesting read. The truth lies somewhere in between, IMO. No question Kim is potentially dangerous to the South, but he is also literally surrounded (and China also has interests in the South) and there would be no rational reason for him to strike. The idea that he would do it simply because he is crazy comes across more as a propaganda scare tactic than anything based in reality.
Well they make one incorrect statement in the first paragraph, the war has not entirely ended has it?Technically they are still at war as I've read elsewhere.
Fighting ended in 1953.
Fighting ended with an armistice agreement, but no peace treaty has ever been signed, so technically they are still at war

Likes Fast Cars

2,770 posts

165 months

Thursday 27th April 2017
quotequote all
FWD and NartG thnaks, that's what I understood it to be.

On that basis then could one say it is reasonable and even expected for the USA (or other countries for that matter) to be holding firm against NK?

scherzkeks

4,460 posts

134 months

Thursday 27th April 2017
quotequote all
MartG said:
scherzkeks said:
Likes Fast Cars said:
scherzkeks said:
smifffymoto said:
North Korea has been left alone for too long and have developed with help from China and others.
How can it be that the world despises it as a state but turns a blind eye to them exporting government "employed" slaves to the likes of Dubai and Saudi Arabia for cheap labour on construction sites etc.
While governments and business make money from them on the one hand they want to limit them with the other.Politics now is full of to many people with a big ego and something to prove.
http://www.counterpunch.org/2017/04/17/the-problem-is-washington-not-north-korea/

An interesting read. The truth lies somewhere in between, IMO. No question Kim is potentially dangerous to the South, but he is also literally surrounded (and China also has interests in the South) and there would be no rational reason for him to strike. The idea that he would do it simply because he is crazy comes across more as a propaganda scare tactic than anything based in reality.
Well they make one incorrect statement in the first paragraph, the war has not entirely ended has it?Technically they are still at war as I've read elsewhere.
Fighting ended in 1953.
Fighting ended with an armistice agreement, but no peace treaty has ever been signed, so technically they are still at war
Yes, we are playing with language. The shooting war ended in 1953 with the intro. of the DMZ. The idea that they are "still at war" is simply convenient to the intentions of certain parties.

The idea that Kim is going to nuke the South without being provoked is not logical.

Likes Fast Cars

2,770 posts

165 months

Thursday 27th April 2017
quotequote all
scherzkeks said:
....

The idea that Kim is going to nuke the South without being provoked is not logical.
This is one of the challenges in trying to work out how to handle the situation isn't it? No-one is really sure what he will do, but from what I see he seems capable of just going in guns / weapons blazing because he seems to have a need to show his people and the rest of the world he's the boss /the big man.

scherzkeks

4,460 posts

134 months

Thursday 27th April 2017
quotequote all
Likes Fast Cars said:
scherzkeks said:
....

The idea that Kim is going to nuke the South without being provoked is not logical.
(...) he seems capable of just going in guns / weapons blazing because he seems to have a need to show his people and the rest of the world he's the boss /the big man.
If you read my previous post, that is the part that stinks of propaganda. There is no logic to that action, it's reminiscient of the propaganda being pumped out about the gas attack in Syria. Kim may be a dictator, but we all have a survival instinct.

IMO, we are being manipulated yet again.

Likes Fast Cars

2,770 posts

165 months

Thursday 27th April 2017
quotequote all
scherzkeks said:
Likes Fast Cars said:
scherzkeks said:
....

The idea that Kim is going to nuke the South without being provoked is not logical.
(...) he seems capable of just going in guns / weapons blazing because he seems to have a need to show his people and the rest of the world he's the boss /the big man.
If you read my previous post, that is the part that stinks of propaganda. There is no logic to that action, it's reminiscient of the propaganda being pumped out about the gas attack in Syria. Kim may be a dictator, but we all have a survival instinct.

IMO, we are being manipulated yet again.
I'm not convinced but I hope for the sake of peace and security you're right.

Atomic12C

5,180 posts

217 months

Thursday 27th April 2017
quotequote all
So.....
once THAAD is installed, is the US, south Korea and Japan ready to accept the risk and effectiveness of counter attack and collateral damage if NK is targeted?

I think the US may be forced in to the attack without consent from Japan and S.Korea, if need be. (Using THAAD as a level of assurance).
It makes no sense in waiting for N.Korea to develop their nuclear weapons and then watching them successfully test delivery platforms for its use.
Because by that time its too late.

The final key is China.
The US needs to compromise on relationships with China in order it will not get involved when N.Korea is attacked.
But hard to do if Trump set his targets on China as a route to improving the US economy. Maybe he needs to redefine his economic plan in how he plays China to retain jobs in the US?

skyrover

12,671 posts

204 months

Thursday 27th April 2017
quotequote all
Interesting opinion from a semi official blog quoting the Chinese Global times, stating that China would not be averse to US air strikes against North Korea but would not permit South Korean or US troops over the demarcation line.

http://m.huanqiu.com/r/MV8wXzEwNTIwNzYxXzI4Ml8xNDk...

This is the closest thing we gave seen yet to an official Chinese acknowledgement of direct action against North Korea