Lib Dems: Making a great comeback?

Lib Dems: Making a great comeback?

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Discussion

S10GTA

Original Poster:

12,674 posts

167 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
Can't see a Lib Dem thread on here, but have noticed they've been claiming they have pledged a British return to EU in next general election (or stop us leaving if an election before A50) http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/26/li...

A great vote winner imho.

Also #mysticclegg has been trending after he wrote this before the referendum https://inews.co.uk/opinion/comment/will-wake-vote...

Is this the start of them regaining some traction in the political world?

Vocal Minority

8,582 posts

152 months

Monday 27th June 2016
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So are you the other one?!

I was getting lonely

Timmy40

12,915 posts

198 months

Monday 27th June 2016
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It's very clever. There's 16m voters at least who are in favour of a re-run, loads of disgruntled young voters ( who may now forgive the tuition fee betrayal ) and of course labour is too busy annihiliating itself to do what the LibDems have done.

If Labour don't sort there sh*t out and if there's an election within 6m I could see them pulling off the biggest political comeback in modern times.

boyse7en

6,712 posts

165 months

Monday 27th June 2016
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So we're just waiting on the US/Germany agreement and Clegg can tick everything off of his list.

The LibDem leadership must be praying for a GE in the Autumn. It could come down to Lib Dems vs UKIP for the biggest upset, and I still like to think that the majority of Leavers won't switch to UKIP

S10GTA

Original Poster:

12,674 posts

167 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
Timmy40 said:
It's very clever. There's 16m voters at least who are in favour of a re-run, loads of disgruntled young voters ( who may now forgive the tuition fee betrayal ) and of course labour is too busy annihiliating itself to do what the LibDems have done.

If Labour don't sort there sh*t out and if there's an election within 6m I could see them pulling off the biggest political comeback in modern times.
Agreed. The EU trumps most things for a lot of us it seems.

anonymous-user

54 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
Timmy40 said:
...loads of disgruntled young voters...
They're only voters if they, you know, vote.

Turnout
18-24: 36%
25-34: 58%
35-44: 72%
45-54: 75%
55-64: 81%
65+: 83%

Beati Dogu

8,884 posts

139 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
I bet the Green Party is shaking in its boots.

Timmy40

12,915 posts

198 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
fblm said:
Timmy40 said:
...loads of disgruntled young voters...
They're only voters if they, you know, vote.

Turnout
18-24: 36%
25-34: 58%
35-44: 72%
45-54: 75%
55-64: 81%
65+: 83%
I know, the silly little buggers, it's all very well going on social media to complain that they old farts have stolen their future. Well if they'd bloody well bothered to vote Remain would have won.

That said I still maintain the LibDems will see a huge poll surge on this.

C.A.R.

3,967 posts

188 months

Monday 27th June 2016
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Clegg said:
The Australian points system which they advocate is no solution either – it has led to immigration levels twice as high as in the UK.
Excuse me if I'm misinterpreting this; but surely that's -
- A wonderful thing, cherry-picking immigrants
- Australia has "quite" a lot more habitable space than the UK. Like, 31 times as much physical space.

I keep seeing this statistic trotted out by the doubters, because the Australian, New Zealand and Canadian points-systems were implemented to increase immigration in unskilled areas where workers were needed. There's no reason why we couldn't implement a similar system tailored to suit us in order to reduce immigration, too. I just don't see the above statement as a valid 'argument'.

richie99

1,116 posts

186 months

Monday 27th June 2016
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C.A.R. said:
Clegg said:
The Australian points system which they advocate is no solution either – it has led to immigration levels twice as high as in the UK.
Excuse me if I'm misinterpreting this; but surely that's -
- A wonderful thing, cherry-picking immigrants
- Australia has "quite" a lot more habitable space than the UK. Like, 31 times as much physical space.

I keep seeing this statistic trotted out by the doubters, because the Australian, New Zealand and Canadian points-systems were implemented to increase immigration in unskilled areas where workers were needed. There's no reason why we couldn't implement a similar system tailored to suit us in order to reduce immigration, too. I just don't see the above statement as a valid 'argument'.
You are right. The argument is rubbish. Want fewer people, set the points hurdle higher. Want more sheep sheares, allocate more points to wielding clippers and holding sheep. Obviously a bit of a risk there.

Timmy40

12,915 posts

198 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
richie99 said:
You are right. The argument is rubbish. Want fewer people, set the points hurdle higher. Want more sheep sheares, allocate more points to wielding clippers and holding sheep. Obviously a bit of a risk there.
And we do need more sheep shearers in all seriousness. Alot used to come over from NZ, but very few do now.

V8RX7

26,828 posts

263 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
C.A.R. said:
Clegg said:
The Australian points system which they advocate is no solution either – it has led to immigration levels twice as high as in the UK.
Excuse me if I'm misinterpreting this; but surely that's -
- A wonderful thing, cherry-picking immigrants

I keep seeing this statistic trotted out by the doubters, because the Australian, New Zealand and Canadian points-systems were implemented to increase immigration in unskilled areas where workers were needed.
Exactly - I looked into emigrating to Oz a while ago and found:

My degree, job experience, money etc counted for nothing, they were looking for a few specific jobs IIRC Hair dressers and Police - preferably married - as that too gained huge points (trying to limit the number of men stealing their Sheilas ?)

Vocal Minority

8,582 posts

152 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
C.A.R. said:
- Australia has "quite" a lot more habitable space than the UK. Like, 31 times as much physical space.

Just as a statistical aside

Office of National Statistics estimate that the UK is around 2% 'built upon' - that is covered in any man made surface - be it a building or road. So physical space isn't much of an issue. It's just that everyone likes to huddle.

And Australia have a similar issue as the only parts which are 'livable' to the majority are in the south east corner or south coast. I know you have Darwin and Perth, but the south east is where the majority are.

The majority of Australia is de-facto unusable.

Anyway. As we were.

Mr Happy

5,695 posts

220 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
This is a Lib Dem return to form IMO - they're in the political wilderness (again) with no chance of power so they can say whatever they like.

The whole furore around the student fees issue has probably caused an entire generation of voters to never vote lib dem again, either that or the students will have to u-turn and show just how short their short term memories are.

footnote

924 posts

106 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
Lib Dems will have my vote if they campaign on return to/stay in EU.

Most individual MPs are in favour of Remain anyway so how any MP could square campaigning on any other platform (especially in majority Remain constituencies) with their consciences in a general election would be puzzling.

It's certainly one way of the Lib Dems redeeming themselves over the tuition fees debacle.

It's what Labour should have the guts to do but presumably won't.

trooperiziz

9,456 posts

252 months

JagLover

42,381 posts

235 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
footnote said:
Lib Dems will have my vote if they campaign on return to/stay in EU.

Most individual MPs are in favour of Remain anyway so how any MP could square campaigning on any other platform (especially in majority Remain constituencies) with their consciences in a general election would be puzzling.

It's certainly one way of the Lib Dems redeeming themselves over the tuition fees debacle.

It's what Labour should have the guts to do but presumably won't.
But presumably they would be changing their name to Liberal Dictatorship first idea

andy_s

19,400 posts

259 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
Mr Happy said:
The whole furore around the student fees issue has probably caused an entire generation of voters to never vote lib dem again, either that or the students will have to u-turn and show just how short their short term memories are.
Students are only students for a few years, so that seems likely.

Timmy40

12,915 posts

198 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
footnote said:
Lib Dems will have my vote if they campaign on return to/stay in EU.

Most individual MPs are in favour of Remain anyway so how any MP could square campaigning on any other platform (especially in majority Remain constituencies) with their consciences in a general election would be puzzling.

It's certainly one way of the Lib Dems redeeming themselves over the tuition fees debacle.

It's what Labour should have the guts to do but presumably won't.
yes in all this uncertainty and mess they have a chance to look organised and offer clarity of vision whilst Labour and the Tories pull themselves to pieces.

There's disgruntled business sponsors and votes galore to be hoovered up if they get it right. And as someone else has said for many the EU is an issue that trumps all others.

And although the tuition fee debacle haunts them, I think most people feel they did a very good job as coalition partners to the Tories. Not afraid to make hard decisions but perhaps softening some of the Tories political instincts.

The centre ground will be up for grabs if a post CMD Tory party swings right and Labour obliterates itself in a leftward spiral.


anonymous-user

54 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
I said the same the other day. A pro remain party would gain a shed load of votes.
Especially with a few months of the chaos caused by the policyless invisible Brexit liars.