Will May Pay or Hope it Fades Away? £55b exit bill...

Will May Pay or Hope it Fades Away? £55b exit bill...

Author
Discussion

PurpleMoonlight

22,362 posts

157 months

Friday 24th November 2017
quotequote all
Jockman said:
If they are separate stages then why can't negotiations run separately, coterminous?

The EU has linked them by making one a precondition of the other.
I don't agree.

If the divorce bill is agreed before trade talks start there is no argument that one is paying for the other. They are completely separate issues.

Edited by PurpleMoonlight on Friday 24th November 10:18

JagLover

42,396 posts

235 months

Friday 24th November 2017
quotequote all
Eddie Strohacker said:
With respect, this is the thread about the bill. Focusing on it is what happens here.
Given that our legal obligation is nil then a trade deal is the only reason to pay such a bill. You cannot separate the two.

In fact oh look

Businessinsider said:
Theresa May's cabinet has agreed to increase the UK's financial offer to the European Union for the Brexit divorce bill to £40 billion in an attempt to break the deadlock in negotiations.

The prime minister won the backing of key cabinet ministers at a meeting of her new Brexit sub-committee, who accepted that a bigger divorce bill was needed to see movement on trade and transition in talks with the EU.

The ministers, including Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson and Brexit Secretary David Davis, also agreed that the government should be prepared to withdraw their financial offer if they were unhappy with the final deal.
The government has no intention of paying the sums demanded by the EU without something in return.

jjlynn27

7,935 posts

109 months

Friday 24th November 2017
quotequote all
JagLover said:
...
Given that our legal obligation is nil then a trade deal is the only reason to pay such a bill. You cannot separate the two.
...
You keep repeating that as if it's a fact. It was explained to you that it's anything but, quite a few times.

p1stonhead

25,541 posts

167 months

Friday 24th November 2017
quotequote all
JagLover said:
Eddie Strohacker said:
With respect, this is the thread about the bill. Focusing on it is what happens here.
Given that our legal obligation is nil then a trade deal is the only reason to pay such a bill. You cannot separate the two.

In fact oh look

Businessinsider said:
Theresa May's cabinet has agreed to increase the UK's financial offer to the European Union for the Brexit divorce bill to £40 billion in an attempt to break the deadlock in negotiations.

The prime minister won the backing of key cabinet ministers at a meeting of her new Brexit sub-committee, who accepted that a bigger divorce bill was needed to see movement on trade and transition in talks with the EU.

The ministers, including Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson and Brexit Secretary David Davis, also agreed that the government should be prepared to withdraw their financial offer if they were unhappy with the final deal.
The government has no intention of paying the sums demanded by the EU without something in return.
Something in return being 'yes we can talk about other things now - you still may get diddly squat, but we can at least chat over a cuppa now'

What a great bit of negotiating laugh

PurpleMoonlight

22,362 posts

157 months

Friday 24th November 2017
quotequote all
JagLover said:
The government has no intention of paying the sums demanded by the EU without something in return.
Then I suspect she will be disappointed, again.

Eddie Strohacker

3,879 posts

86 months

Friday 24th November 2017
quotequote all
JagLover said:
Given that our legal obligation is nil then a trade deal is the only reason to pay such a bill. You cannot separate the two.
You're basing this on one narrow interpretation given in the Lords with little to no traction anywhere outside of Brexitania. The rest of us are out here on planet real world.

https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld201617/lds...

JagLover

42,396 posts

235 months

Friday 24th November 2017
quotequote all
Eddie Strohacker said:
JagLover said:
Given that our legal obligation is nil then a trade deal is the only reason to pay such a bill. You cannot separate the two.
You're basing this on one narrow interpretation given in the Lords with little to no traction anywhere outside of Brexitania. The rest of us are out here on planet real world.

https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld201617/lds...
"planet real world" being that this is a political liability rather than a legal one. Where is the backup for this legally enforceable liability, presumably which the EU will try and enforce at the Hague?.


Zod

35,295 posts

258 months

Friday 24th November 2017
quotequote all
Eddie Strohacker said:
JagLover said:
Given that our legal obligation is nil then a trade deal is the only reason to pay such a bill. You cannot separate the two.
You're basing this on one narrow interpretation given in the Lords with little to no traction anywhere outside of Brexitania. The rest of us are out here on planet real world.

https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld201617/lds...
JagLover is making the mistake of the badly advised participant in legal proceedings - believing the advice from his own lawyers that his case is a rock solid win, when the lawyers don't take him through the strengths of the other side's case and the possibility that they might win. Complex cases around contractual rights governing who owes how much to whom are rarely binary.

p1stonhead

25,541 posts

167 months

Friday 24th November 2017
quotequote all
JagLover said:
Eddie Strohacker said:
JagLover said:
Given that our legal obligation is nil then a trade deal is the only reason to pay such a bill. You cannot separate the two.
You're basing this on one narrow interpretation given in the Lords with little to no traction anywhere outside of Brexitania. The rest of us are out here on planet real world.

https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld201617/lds...
"planet real world" being that this is a political liability rather than a legal one. Where is the backup for this legally enforceable liability, presumably which the EU will try and enforce at the Hague?.
Do you really think it matters whether or not we are obliged to pay it or not? The EU isnt obliged to give us anything at all in terms of a deal but we kinda need to play ball now dont we if we want to get anywhere with them.

Eddie Strohacker

3,879 posts

86 months

Friday 24th November 2017
quotequote all
JagLover said:
"planet real world" being that this is a political liability rather than a legal one. Where is the backup for this legally enforceable liability, presumably which the EU will try and enforce at the Hague?.
Okey dokey. In your world we tell the EU to stick their bill & then say, hey guys, let's trade.


The scary thing is their are lots of people out there who entertain this tosh & half of them are NPE posters.

JagLover

42,396 posts

235 months

Friday 24th November 2017
quotequote all
p1stonhead said:
Do you really think it matters whether or not we are obliged to pay it or not?
It matters a great deal if many are seeking to detach the payment to be made from any future Trade deal.

I would not expect the UK government to pay any amounts it is not legally obliged to pay unless it was receiving something valuable in return.


p1stonhead said:
The EU isnt obliged to give us anything at all in terms of a deal but we kinda need to play ball now dont we if we want to get anywhere with them.
The trade deal on offer at present isn't worth having even were it free. A transition deal is worth having and we should be willing to offer our usual net contributions for the duration of such a deal.




Edited by JagLover on Friday 24th November 10:57

johnxjsc1985

15,948 posts

164 months

Friday 24th November 2017
quotequote all
Eddie Strohacker said:



The scary thing is their are lots of people out there who entertain this tosh & half of them are NPE posters.
And here you have today's typical PH poster who feels it necessary to insult 50 % of all posters just because they have a different point of view.

Eddie Strohacker

3,879 posts

86 months

Friday 24th November 2017
quotequote all
johnxjsc1985 said:
Eddie Strohacker said:



The scary thing is their are lots of people out there who entertain this tosh & half of them are NPE posters.
And here you have today's typical PH poster who feels it necessary to insult 50 % of all posters just because they have a different point of view.
I called the idea tosh. If you can't tell the difference between commenting on the poster & the output, you probably should stay in the lounge.

JagLover

42,396 posts

235 months

Friday 24th November 2017
quotequote all
Zod said:
JagLover is making the mistake of the badly advised participant in legal proceedings - believing the advice from his own lawyers that his case is a rock solid win, when the lawyers don't take him through the strengths of the other side's case and the possibility that they might win. Complex cases around contractual rights governing who owes how much to whom are rarely binary.
Fine

Lets take it to the International Court of Justice. I haven't heard of any Brexiteers who wouldn't be happy to be bound by the judgment of this independent court on the issue.

What we shouldn't do is treat the EU's position as the gospel truth.


Robertj21a

16,476 posts

105 months

Friday 24th November 2017
quotequote all
mx5nut said:
yes

We want something from them, so we have to dance to their tune to get it.

If only somebody had warned us before we voted!
For the umpteenth time, you seem to think that the Referendum had multiple options, including economic assessments etc.
If you just wanted to use that golden opportunity to get out of the EU then there was only one option available.
Not everyone's lives revolve solely around economics.

PurpleMoonlight

22,362 posts

157 months

Friday 24th November 2017
quotequote all
JagLover said:
Fine

Lets take it to the International Court of Justice. I haven't heard of any Brexiteers who wouldn't be happy to be bound by the judgment of this independent court on the issue.

What we shouldn't do is treat the EU's position as the gospel truth.
The divorce bill reflects past commitments which remain outstanding. Nobody with any say in the process rationally supports that we have no liability to pay. But I agree the eventual agreement will be a political one of what both sides are prepared to accept to avoid continued conflict on the matter.

Once that point is reached discussions can move on to the future trade relationship.


Funkycoldribena

7,379 posts

154 months

Friday 24th November 2017
quotequote all
Randy Winkman said:
That's nothing. It's Black Friday and I might go to Argos and buy a Zinc Smart X hoverboard for £50 or go to Pets At Home for a Grand Climber Cat Activity Centre for £63. What do you reckon?
Hoverboard?
Got a link?

p1stonhead

25,541 posts

167 months

Friday 24th November 2017
quotequote all
Robertj21a said:
mx5nut said:
yes

We want something from them, so we have to dance to their tune to get it.

If only somebody had warned us before we voted!
For the umpteenth time, you seem to think that the Referendum had multiple options, including economic assessments etc.
If you just wanted to use that golden opportunity to get out of the EU then there was only one option available.
Not everyone's lives revolve solely around economics.
Other than voting based on economic considerations, what was leaving a 'golden opportunity' for?


Eddie Strohacker

3,879 posts

86 months

Friday 24th November 2017
quotequote all
p1stonhead said:
Other than voting based on economic considerations, what was leaving a 'golden opportunity' for?
The government will be forced to choose on this. Access & harmonisation or control & sovereignty. This will be what it comes down to & woe betide us if they go with the latter.

Robertj21a said:
For the umpteenth time, you seem to think that the Referendum had multiple options, including economic assessments etc.
If you just wanted to use that golden opportunity to get out of the EU then there was only one option available.
Not everyone's lives revolve solely around economics.
And this is another non argument. It might not concern you, but it does millions of others & therefore is an entirely valid line of reasoning.

Edited by Eddie Strohacker on Friday 24th November 11:22

PurpleMoonlight

22,362 posts

157 months

Friday 24th November 2017
quotequote all
p1stonhead said:
Other than voting based on economic considerations, what was leaving a 'golden opportunity' for?
The point he is making is that if people are given the opportunity to vote out or in, they are entitled to do so for any reason they choose.

You are entitled to disagree with their reason, but that doesn't change its validity to them.

And before someone mentions it, I didn't have a reason either way so didn't vote.

biglaugh

Edited by PurpleMoonlight on Friday 24th November 11:25