The Future of Power Generation in Great Britain

The Future of Power Generation in Great Britain

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With This Staff

204 posts

68 months

Friday 12th October 2018
quotequote all
GroundEffect said:
dickymint said:
Fracking has been been given the go ahead in Lancs thumbup

https://news.sky.com/story/fracking-can-go-ahead-i...
Why is that a good thing?
Fracking has the potential to provide energy security for the UK, in the short term, until fusion is solved.


dickymint

24,335 posts

258 months

Saturday 13th October 2018
quotequote all
GroundEffect said:
dickymint said:
Fracking has been been given the go ahead in Lancs thumbup

https://news.sky.com/story/fracking-can-go-ahead-i...
Why is that a good thing?
Tens of thousands of people in the UK die every year as a result of fuel poverty whilst billions of pounds of our/their money is spunked on renewables!!

Uggers

2,223 posts

211 months

Saturday 13th October 2018
quotequote all
Lot of talk about fracking and the effects on water supplies. No one seems to mention how much all this fracking infrastructure is going to cost or more importantly how they intend to install the equipment and infrastructure. The US has considerably more empty, almost worthless land.

Can't see folk been too impressed when they want to run 20miles of flowline through quite heavily built up areas.
Or if they intend to process it and then supply to the existing grid? Processing plants and flare booms popping up in built up areas is going to be a major point of contention.

Nickgnome

8,277 posts

89 months

Saturday 13th October 2018
quotequote all
dickymint said:
GroundEffect said:
dickymint said:
Fracking has been been given the go ahead in Lancs thumbup

https://news.sky.com/story/fracking-can-go-ahead-i...
Why is that a good thing?
Tens of thousands of people in the UK die every year as a result of fuel poverty whilst billions of pounds of our/their money is spunked on renewables!!
Whilst every death as a result of fuel poverty is too many I believe the data states there are about 3,000 deaths per annum.

I do not consider that your emotive comment on renewables is not worthy of a response.

turbobloke

103,953 posts

260 months

Saturday 13th October 2018
quotequote all
Nickgnome said:
dickymint said:
GroundEffect said:
dickymint said:
Fracking has been been given the go ahead in Lancs thumbup

https://news.sky.com/story/fracking-can-go-ahead-i...
Why is that a good thing?
Tens of thousands of people in the UK die every year as a result of fuel poverty whilst billions of pounds of our/their money is spunked on renewables!!
Whilst every death as a result of fuel poverty is too many I believe the data states there are about 3,000 deaths per annum.
Info on New Research said:
New research from National Energy Action (NEA) has found the UK has the sixth-worst long-term rate of excess winter mortality out of 30 European countries.

Carried out in partnership with climate think tank E3G, the research also discovered when taking into account cold weather beyond just the winter months, the UK ranks second-worst out of 30 European countries.

There has been an average of 32,000 excess winter deaths in the UK every year over the last five years, the research revealed.

Around 9,700 of these deaths are due to a cold home.
2017 Official Review said:
Consumers are paying too much for their energy because of “excessive” green taxes added to bills, a damning Government-commissioned report has found.

A series of “spectacularly bad” decisions by ministers have “unnecessarily burdened” households and businesses with higher green energy subsidies than necessary, according to Prof ?Dieter Helm, of Oxford University.

The cost of renewable energy – as well as gas, coal and oil – has fallen but the benefits have not been passed on because ministers locked the taxpayer into long-term contracts that overestimated those costs, Prof Helm found.

Green taxes will cost the average household almost £150 from next year, according to energy firms.
Nothing to see here? Spectacularly bad decisions, almost 10,000 deaths, consumers paying over the odds in their / our energy bills due to gov't contracts paying excessive and locked-in sums to renewables co's over many years? I disagree. Here's an example of the aforementioned bad decisions.

Commentary on NAO analysis of renewables policy impact said:
It estimated that the Hornsea One project would require a total of £4.2 billion in subsidies, an average of about £280 million per year.

Consumers will be on the hook to pay subsidies to make up the difference between the market price of power - currently about £35 per megawatt-hour - and a guaranteed price, of £140/MWh.

These will be funded by households and businesses through green levies on their energy bills.

The market price of power has fallen significantly since the NAO made its estimates, suggesting the true cost may be even higher.
Currently = at the time of contract award presumably.

"Spectacularly bad decisions" don't end there, unfortunately.

Condi

17,190 posts

171 months

Saturday 13th October 2018
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
Consumers will be on the hook to pay subsidies to make up the difference between the market price of power - currently about £35 per megawatt-hour - and a guaranteed price, of £140/MWh.

These will be funded by households and businesses through green levies on their energy bills.

The market price of power has fallen significantly since the NAO made its estimates, suggesting the true cost may be even higher.
But then again, the cost might be even less. If you can find me baseload power at 35 quid a mw I'd buy about 4 years worth, its costing £60-65 to burn gas.

But then again, because all you read is out of date reports without much, if any, knowledge of the uk power market, so such nuances would be lost on you.

As would the nuance that the reason renewable prices have fallen is because of government support in the inital years. That allowed economies of scale and research into turbine tech. New onshore wind is competitive without any support, but the uk has halted that and now wants offshore wind which is rapidly falling in price.

Can you tell me what percentage of uk generation has a cfd at £140? I'd wager its insignificantly small.



dickymint

24,335 posts

258 months

Saturday 13th October 2018
quotequote all
Nickgnome said:
dickymint said:
GroundEffect said:
dickymint said:
Fracking has been been given the go ahead in Lancs thumbup

https://news.sky.com/story/fracking-can-go-ahead-i...
Why is that a good thing?
Tens of thousands of people in the UK die every year as a result of fuel poverty whilst billions of pounds of our/their money is spunked on renewables!!
Whilst every death as a result of fuel poverty is too many I believe the data states there are about 3,000 deaths per annum.

I do not consider that your emotive comment on renewables is not worthy of a response.
I think the 3000 figure is "as a direct result of fuel poverty" which is 10% of the total "winter excess deaths" associated with fuel poverty?



With This Staff

204 posts

68 months

Saturday 13th October 2018
quotequote all
Renewables have significant limitations which have yet to be resolved.

If fracking provides a significant source of secure gas supply (which is yet to be proven) then the options available to the UK are increased.

This would be a good thing.

Nickgnome

8,277 posts

89 months

Saturday 13th October 2018
quotequote all
dickymint said:
Nickgnome said:
dickymint said:
GroundEffect said:
dickymint said:
Fracking has been been given the go ahead in Lancs thumbup

https://news.sky.com/story/fracking-can-go-ahead-i...
Why is that a good thing?
Tens of thousands of people in the UK die every year as a result of fuel poverty whilst billions of pounds of our/their money is spunked on renewables!!
Whilst every death as a result of fuel poverty is too many I believe the data states there are about 3,000 deaths per annum.

I do not consider that your emotive comment on renewables is not worthy of a response.
I think the 3000 figure is "as a direct result of fuel poverty" which is 10% of the total "winter excess deaths" associated with fuel poverty?
Thank you for pointing that out. When I have time i will investigate the sources of the data to understand the complete picture.

turbobloke

103,953 posts

260 months

Saturday 13th October 2018
quotequote all
Rain stops play today, fracking tomrorrow. Good news.

Talksteer

4,866 posts

233 months

Saturday 13th October 2018
quotequote all
Nickgnome said:
dickymint said:
Nickgnome said:
dickymint said:
GroundEffect said:
dickymint said:
Fracking has been been given the go ahead in Lancs thumbup

https://news.sky.com/story/fracking-can-go-ahead-i...
Why is that a good thing?
Tens of thousands of people in the UK die every year as a result of fuel poverty whilst billions of pounds of our/their money is spunked on renewables!!
Whilst every death as a result of fuel poverty is too many I believe the data states there are about 3,000 deaths per annum.

I do not consider that your emotive comment on renewables is not worthy of a response.
I think the 3000 figure is "as a direct result of fuel poverty" which is 10% of the total "winter excess deaths" associated with fuel poverty?
Thank you for pointing that out. When I have time i will investigate the sources of the data to understand the complete picture.
I suggest as a first port of call view this:

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunit...

All we can reasonably say is that there is around 30,000 excess winter deaths, and that amount has been falling generally over time.

There certainly isn't a correlation with the inflation adjusted price of domestic energy which actually had a price drop around the time of the last significant reversal of the trend in a reduction in the excess deaths in the mid 1990's.

All the claimed numbers of deaths due to fuel poverty are statistical estimates in studies commissioned by groups that campaign on these issues.

However one of the notable things is that as a European comparison domestic energy in the UK is cheap.

Excess winter mortality is mainly to do with the general social settlement with the elderly and our building stock.

It has very little to do with where we source our electricity from as most domestic heating in the UK is supplied by gas and the impact of subsidies on an elderly person's budget/life is less than a whole load of factors like, benefits, social care and general inflation.

Condi

17,190 posts

171 months

Tuesday 16th October 2018
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
Rain stops play today, fracking tomrorrow. Good news.
Have you stopped replying to me now? frown

Recently I was at a National Grid seminar on what changes are happening in the network.

There wasnt much talk about re-introducing coal. hehe

Edited by Condi on Tuesday 16th October 15:01

PRTVR

7,102 posts

221 months

Tuesday 16th October 2018
quotequote all
Condi said:
turbobloke said:
Rain stops play today, fracking tomrorrow. Good news.
Have you stopped replying to me now? frown

Recently I was at a National Grid seminar on what changes are happening in the network.

There wasnt much talk about re-introducing coal. hehe

Edited by Condi on Tuesday 16th October 15:01
You misunderstood, the reason to keep coal if for energy security, with fracking we will have it with gas, no need for coal.

Condi

17,190 posts

171 months

Tuesday 16th October 2018
quotequote all
PRTVR said:
You misunderstood, the reason to keep coal if for energy security, with fracking we will have it with gas, no need for coal.
But we've had offshore gas for years. And we're still finding more, there is plenty of untapped potential off the Western Isles.

1 onshore test well attempting to see if onshore fracking is viable is negligible.

V8 Fettler

7,019 posts

132 months

Tuesday 16th October 2018
quotequote all
Condi said:
turbobloke said:
Rain stops play today, fracking tomrorrow. Good news.
Have you stopped replying to me now? frown

Recently I was at a National Grid seminar on what changes are happening in the network.

There wasnt much talk about re-introducing coal. hehe

Edited by Condi on Tuesday 16th October 15:01
At the seminar, was there any discussion re: gas shortage in March 2018? If so, what steps are being taken to prevent a recurrence?

Davidonly

1,080 posts

193 months

Tuesday 16th October 2018
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
Nickgnome said:
dickymint said:
GroundEffect said:
dickymint said:
Fracking has been been given the go ahead in Lancs thumbup

https://news.sky.com/story/fracking-can-go-ahead-i...
Why is that a good thing?
Tens of thousands of people in the UK die every year as a result of fuel poverty whilst billions of pounds of our/their money is spunked on renewables!!
Whilst every death as a result of fuel poverty is too many I believe the data states there are about 3,000 deaths per annum.
Info on New Research said:
New research from National Energy Action (NEA) has found the UK has the sixth-worst long-term rate of excess winter mortality out of 30 European countries.

Carried out in partnership with climate think tank E3G, the research also discovered when taking into account cold weather beyond just the winter months, the UK ranks second-worst out of 30 European countries.

There has been an average of 32,000 excess winter deaths in the UK every year over the last five years, the research revealed.

Around 9,700 of these deaths are due to a cold home.
2017 Official Review said:
Consumers are paying too much for their energy because of “excessive” green taxes added to bills, a damning Government-commissioned report has found.

A series of “spectacularly bad” decisions by ministers have “unnecessarily burdened” households and businesses with higher green energy subsidies than necessary, according to Prof ?Dieter Helm, of Oxford University.

The cost of renewable energy – as well as gas, coal and oil – has fallen but the benefits have not been passed on because ministers locked the taxpayer into long-term contracts that overestimated those costs, Prof Helm found.

Green taxes will cost the average household almost £150 from next year, according to energy firms.
Nothing to see here? Spectacularly bad decisions, almost 10,000 deaths, consumers paying over the odds in their / our energy bills due to gov't contracts paying excessive and locked-in sums to renewables co's over many years? I disagree. Here's an example of the aforementioned bad decisions.

Commentary on NAO analysis of renewables policy impact said:
It estimated that the Hornsea One project would require a total of £4.2 billion in subsidies, an average of about £280 million per year.

Consumers will be on the hook to pay subsidies to make up the difference between the market price of power - currently about £35 per megawatt-hour - and a guaranteed price, of £140/MWh.

These will be funded by households and businesses through green levies on their energy bills.

The market price of power has fallen significantly since the NAO made its estimates, suggesting the true cost may be even higher.
Currently = at the time of contract award presumably.

"Spectacularly bad decisions" don't end there, unfortunately.
Very strange how there seems to be zero concern ( BBC?)about these deaths (are they actual deaths)? I ask due to the hysteria about 40,000 'premature' deaths (perhaps by as little few hours or so) used to further demonise ICE vehicles.

I guess one population of dead people suits the goals of the bigger picture (ref green blob) but the other do not.... hmmmmm

Talksteer

4,866 posts

233 months

Tuesday 16th October 2018
quotequote all
Davidonly said:
Very strange how there seems to be zero concern ( BBC?)about these deaths (are they actual deaths)? I ask due to the hysteria about 40,000 'premature' deaths (perhaps by as little few hours or so) used to further demonise ICE vehicles.

I guess one population of dead people suits the goals of the bigger picture (ref green blob) but the other do not.... hmmmmm
It doesn't take "green blob" to place much greater emphasis on different causes of death.

Terrorism, murder and nuclear power all receive considerably more attention than the negligible numbers that they kill would suggest where as diabetes is rarely covered.

I suggest you bring it up with BBC More or Less, they did an episode on the deaths due to bad air. It is notable that they explained that those figures were an estimated of reduction in healthy years of life rather than actual deaths.

The "deaths due to fuel poverty" will be pretty similar, depending on how good the research is it will range from lies, misquoting of statistics and confusing healthy years reductions with given number of deaths.

Condi

17,190 posts

171 months

Tuesday 16th October 2018
quotequote all
V8 Fettler said:
At the seminar, was there any discussion re: gas shortage in March 2018? If so, what steps are being taken to prevent a recurrence?
No.

It was about the power system.

V8 Fettler

7,019 posts

132 months

Wednesday 17th October 2018
quotequote all
Condi said:
V8 Fettler said:
At the seminar, was there any discussion re: gas shortage in March 2018? If so, what steps are being taken to prevent a recurrence?
No.

It was about the power system.
Nothing about the requirement for a robust power system then? Which requires coal-fired because wind is unreliable and we can't stockpile enough gas.

alangla

4,787 posts

181 months

Wednesday 17th October 2018
quotequote all
Ok, this annoyed me - https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-45873785 - the article (not sure if it has been edited) does, correctly, state that Scottish Power retail customers will indeed still be getting mixed energy (especially on the non-windy days, presumably) but the company are basically spinning it as look at us, we're all greeny, windy blah blah blah as though they are going to be supplying 100% wind power to retail customers when in reality there will still be plenty of days when they'll be supplying either fossil energy or, particularly given the energy mix in Scotland, buying nuclear power from EDF.

The big thing I don't get is this though - Scottish Power own a decent number of Hydro stations (pretty much all inherited from the SSEB), plus the pumped storage station at Cruachan - why have they shifted this stuff on to Drax? Surely reliable renewable energy, particularly one of the few bits of grid attached storage, would be an asset to the company, especially one that's decided to play the green card?