New diesel and petrol cars banned from UK roads by 2030

New diesel and petrol cars banned from UK roads by 2030

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Discussion

Sheepshanks

32,725 posts

119 months

Thursday 27th July 2017
quotequote all
Ironic news story this morning that the SMMT are complaining that UK car manufacture will miss its target this year as UK sales are down.


turbobloke

103,877 posts

260 months

Thursday 27th July 2017
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Otispunkmeyer said:
turbobloke said:
Dazed and Confused said:
powerstroke said:
Dazed and Confused said:
Why not just ban diesels and sooner than 2040?
Because they are saying petrol is just as polluting as the latest diesels ..
It isn't.
Qutie right, it isn't.

It won't be until petrol engines operate at the same temperature as diesels.

So, forget it.
Petrol exhaust temps are generally higher than diesels (etc)
Always good to see 'stiochiometry' a fine word for the quantitative aspects of the chemical equation describing a reaction.

You would appear to be aware of what follows but it didn't get an explicit mention in your post.

NOx is formed in larger amounts at the far higher temperatures immediately post-combustion in a diesel engine. The strongly bound nitrogen and oxygen i.e. N2 and O2 molecules in the air needed to burn the charge are dissociated and form N and O which react to form NOx. This dissociation is significantly less prevalent at the lower temperatures in petrol engines as there is less thermal energy available to split the NN triple bond and OO double bond so less NOx is emitted.

catso

14,784 posts

267 months

Thursday 27th July 2017
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Jader1973 said:
Not sure if this has been mentioned already but it is only non-hybrids that will be banned. You won't all be forced to drive an EV.
Mclaren P1 it is then... thumbup

aeropilot

34,526 posts

227 months

Thursday 27th July 2017
quotequote all
Enforcing all new building construction to be heated electrically instead of gas, (no cost implication) coupled with a phase out of existing gas-heated buildings would bring about more immediate air quality improvement in the UK (its claimed by 40%) than this plan for EV/PHEV by 2040 would......

Won't win votes from the eco-nutters though.....





Nothingtoseehere

7,379 posts

154 months

Thursday 27th July 2017
quotequote all
Monkeylegend said:
Canals is the answer, canals and more rivers. We should be building more rivers.

If only somebody had thought of this a couple of centuries ago, we wouldn't be in the mess we are now.

And electric boats. We flood all the major motorways to make rivers for amphibious electric cars, and we can have sails as a secondary propulsion system on windy days. Zero emissions, electric/wind hybrids, problem solved.

We then don't need to worry about changing weather patterns due to climate change resulting in heavier downpours in the future, so a double whammy.

We then teach all horses to swim so we can use the harness I am developing.

Win/win all round.
I'm sensing slightly that you're not taking this seriously.
Or maybe the Suzuki Splash and Renault Wind are way ahead of their time.

rdjohn

6,168 posts

195 months

Thursday 27th July 2017
quotequote all
Why has this been announced now?

Answer: in order to meet our commitments to EU. We have copied a commitment also made by our nearest neighbour - France.

Call me a cynic, but I believe the current government has simply kicked the ball "well down the street", for some future government to actually deliver. More than likely, come 2035, or sooner, lobbying by oil companies and car manufacturers, the Treasury losing revenue, plus the myriad of logical comments about infrastructure already made here, it will suddenly become necessary to put it back by a few years, and then again, a few years later. Saying it was an objective rather than a firm commitment.

It's also perhaps worth noting that 2-days before this announcement the commitment to electrify the Leeds-Manchester rail line was dropped in favour of a Diesel-electric hybrid solution, and that one day before BMW announced that they would assemble the all-electric Mini in Cowley. Both these go to show that transport policy in the UK is a shambles and only tends to be driven by this month's big idea.

The scale of heavily polluted roads in the UK, is actually quite small pro-rata and could be more easily managed with the other commitment made yesterday - the £250million grants to affected local authorities I.e. pass the real problem onto someone else to deal with.

Job done!


Atomic12C

5,180 posts

217 months

Thursday 27th July 2017
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Otispunkmeyer said:
Petrol has always been a better fuel for passenger cars in my opinion. Diesel should have been the preserve of the heavy duty prime movers; trucks, ships, trains.
This was generally the common sense view before Climate politics stepped in.
With a heavy green movement within the EU and a continuance of ignorant UK government environment departments, the UK public were force fed the belief that everything would be fine and dandy if CO2 was 'tackled'.



Pan Pan Pan

9,881 posts

111 months

Thursday 27th July 2017
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aeropilot said:
Enforcing all new building construction to be heated electrically instead of gas, (no cost implication) coupled with a phase out of existing gas-heated buildings would bring about more immediate air quality improvement in the UK (its claimed by 40%) than this plan for EV/PHEV by 2040 would......

Won't win votes from the eco-nutters though.....
Unfortunately with the current generation mix, electrically heated dwellings are bad news in terms of pollution, with electricity having one of the highest fuel factors in Approved Document L.
Take a typical dwelling in the calculations, heated with gas which by virtue of its construction, air tightness, and heating system etc complies with Approved Document L, and then do nothing else to it except change its heating system from gas, to electric, and it will fail AD-L by a country mile (Requiring significant and expensive upgrades in its construction to bring it back into compliance). At the present, in terms of pollution, electricity is just about the worst fuel a person could choose to heat their home.

Edited by Pan Pan Pan on Thursday 27th July 11:14

Mr GrimNasty

8,172 posts

170 months

Thursday 27th July 2017
quotequote all
Pan Pan Pan said:
Unfortunately with the current generation mix, electrically heated dwellings are bad news in terms of pollution, with electricity having one of the highest fuel factors in Approved Document L.
Take a typical dwelling in the calculations, heated with gas which by virtue of its construction, air tightness, and heating system etc complies with Approved Document L, and then do nothing else to except change its heating system from gas, to electric, and it will fail AD-L by a country mile (Requiring significant and expensive upgrades in its construction to bring it back into compliance). At the present, in terms of pollution, electricity is just about the worst fuel a person could choose to heat their home.
Gas CH is 'planned' to be phased out, some talk of Hydrogen conversion, but essentially the current 'plan' is everyone will be forced to use electric for heating.

GCH boilers are actually the second largest source of the 'nasty' pollutants in towns.

It's all a load of bks/irrelevant anyway, air quality is not seriously bad as it stands, but you can bet any government forced changes will make energy/transport ruinously expensive and MORE damaging to the environment and health in different, unforeseen/unintended consequences.

Pan Pan Pan

9,881 posts

111 months

Thursday 27th July 2017
quotequote all
Mr GrimNasty said:
Pan Pan Pan said:
Unfortunately with the current generation mix, electrically heated dwellings are bad news in terms of pollution, with electricity having one of the highest fuel factors in Approved Document L.
Take a typical dwelling in the calculations, heated with gas which by virtue of its construction, air tightness, and heating system etc complies with Approved Document L, and then do nothing else to except change its heating system from gas, to electric, and it will fail AD-L by a country mile (Requiring significant and expensive upgrades in its construction to bring it back into compliance). At the present, in terms of pollution, electricity is just about the worst fuel a person could choose to heat their home.
Gas CH is 'planned' to be phased out, some talk of Hydrogen conversion, but essentially the current 'plan' is everyone will be forced to use electric for heating.

GCH boilers are actually the second largest source of the 'nasty' pollutants in towns.

It's all a load of bks/irrelevant anyway, air quality is not seriously bad as it stands, but you can bet any government forced changes will make energy/transport ruinously expensive and MORE damaging to the environment and health in different, unforeseen/unintended consequences.
I did not disagree with Aeropilots comments regarding pollution, in that it always seems to be cars that form the focus of environmentalists Ire, when really it is a mix of elements including buildings, which contribute the bulk of pollution into the atmosphere. Not everyone drives or needs to drive, but generally everyone needs a building to live in.
As I posted, based on the `current' mix of generation methods electricity currently has one of the highest (worst) fuel factors in Approved Document L.
Once we manage to change the way electricity is generated in the UK, this situation will change, and electrically heated homes could/will be the best way forward, but that is not the situation which exists at present, nor unfortunately is it likely to for some time to come. New Nuclear plants which can serve the majority of the UK would seem to be the only (relatively) quick fix, and even they could take twenty plus years to build, even if they are given the go ahead now.

MorganP104

2,605 posts

130 months

Thursday 27th July 2017
quotequote all
Nothingtoseehere said:
Monkeylegend said:
Canals is the answer, canals and more rivers. We should be building more rivers.

If only somebody had thought of this a couple of centuries ago, we wouldn't be in the mess we are now.

And electric boats. We flood all the major motorways to make rivers for amphibious electric cars, and we can have sails as a secondary propulsion system on windy days. Zero emissions, electric/wind hybrids, problem solved.

We then don't need to worry about changing weather patterns due to climate change resulting in heavier downpours in the future, so a double whammy.

We then teach all horses to swim so we can use the harness I am developing.

Win/win all round.
I'm sensing slightly that you're not taking this seriously.
Or maybe the Suzuki Splash and Renault Wind are way ahead of their time.
I think Monkeylegend nicked this idea from Dave Gorman. wink

aeropilot

34,526 posts

227 months

Thursday 27th July 2017
quotequote all
Pan Pan Pan said:
Mr GrimNasty said:
Pan Pan Pan said:
Unfortunately with the current generation mix, electrically heated dwellings are bad news in terms of pollution, with electricity having one of the highest fuel factors in Approved Document L.
Take a typical dwelling in the calculations, heated with gas which by virtue of its construction, air tightness, and heating system etc complies with Approved Document L, and then do nothing else to except change its heating system from gas, to electric, and it will fail AD-L by a country mile (Requiring significant and expensive upgrades in its construction to bring it back into compliance). At the present, in terms of pollution, electricity is just about the worst fuel a person could choose to heat their home.
Gas CH is 'planned' to be phased out, some talk of Hydrogen conversion, but essentially the current 'plan' is everyone will be forced to use electric for heating.

GCH boilers are actually the second largest source of the 'nasty' pollutants in towns.

It's all a load of bks/irrelevant anyway, air quality is not seriously bad as it stands, but you can bet any government forced changes will make energy/transport ruinously expensive and MORE damaging to the environment and health in different, unforeseen/unintended consequences.
I did not disagree with Aeropilots comments regarding pollution, in that it always seems to be cars that form the focus of environmentalists Ire, when really it is a mix of elements including buildings, which contribute the bulk of pollution into the atmosphere. Not everyone drives or needs to drive, but generally everyone needs a building to live in.
As I posted, based on the `current' mix of generation methods electricity currently has one of the highest (worst) fuel factors in Approved Document L.
Once we manage to change the way electricity is generated in the UK, this situation will change, and electrically heated homes could/will be the best way forward, but that is not the situation which exists at present, nor unfortunately is it likely to for some time to come. New Nuclear plants which can serve the majority of the UK would seem to be the only (relatively) quick fix, and even they could take twenty plus years to build, even if they are given the go ahead now.
Indeed....and ironically, one of the main reasons that can has been continually kicked down the road for the past almost 30 years, is because of the eco-nutter vote.
You really couldn't make this st up.
There's been plans for big tidal projects for decades that have also been continually kicked down the road largely by the eco-nutters - I worked on one of the Severn Barrage scheme's back in 1981 FFS.
Somehow, I don't know how, but major infrastructure decisions need to taken out of the hands of the career politics that simply aren't interested in whats more than 4 years ahead.



Nothingtoseehere

7,379 posts

154 months

Thursday 27th July 2017
quotequote all
MorganP104 said:
I think Monkeylegend nicked this idea from Dave Gorman. wink
Well it is quite goodish.
Just looking forward to my battery powered central heating now,should save me a fortune.

aeropilot

34,526 posts

227 months

Thursday 27th July 2017
quotequote all
Mr GrimNasty said:
Gas CH is 'planned' to be phased out, some talk of Hydrogen conversion, but essentially the current 'plan' is everyone will be forced to use electric for heating.

GCH boilers are actually the second largest source of the 'nasty' pollutants in towns.
Ironic given how it was touted by the Govts of the days as being the utopia that would clean the air of smoke from coal fired boilers and fires polluting the air. We just have air now that still harms you, but just keeps the buildings looking clean laugh


oyster

12,589 posts

248 months

Thursday 27th July 2017
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
With outdoor air in London cleaner than at any time in over 400 years (Lomborg) the occasions when air quality limits are breached coincide with trans-boundary events where weather systems bring pollution over from southern europe.

Studies claiming tens of thousands of deaths per year are caused by outdoor air pollution are based on the epidemiological fallacy and tell us little in reality, unlike credible studies from both the UK BRE and US EPA which agree that indoor air in the average building is ten times more polluted than outdoor urban air. Politicians need to prioritise better if they're interested in health, but the idea of taxing air in homes, libraries, shops or offices is unpalatable so the easier target is chosen with support from on-message studies that use fallacious methods.
Sorry but that's just nonsense.

London was breaching annual pollution limits in a matter of days in January at certain parts of the city.

Pan Pan Pan

9,881 posts

111 months

Thursday 27th July 2017
quotequote all
aeropilot said:
Mr GrimNasty said:
Gas CH is 'planned' to be phased out, some talk of Hydrogen conversion, but essentially the current 'plan' is everyone will be forced to use electric for heating.

GCH boilers are actually the second largest source of the 'nasty' pollutants in towns.
Ironic given how it was touted by the Govts of the days as being the utopia that would clean the air of smoke from coal fired boilers and fires polluting the air. We just have air now that still harms you, but just keeps the buildings looking clean laugh
The fuel factors given in Approved Document L, have been based on years of extensive research into the cradle to grave characteristics of each of the fuel types currently on offer to the public. They may well not be perfect, but they are certainly the best available at the present. but when comparing gas to electricity in term of pollution, electricity is currently (no pun intended)many times worse than gas, just because the pollution where electricity is used, cannot be readily seen (or breathed for that matter) does not change this simple fact.
If and when electricity generation for the whole of the UK can be changed to a non polluting form, the simple fact will change, but until then emissions from buildings will be one of, if not the main form of pollution if for no other reason by their comparative numbers alone.

Hosenbugler

1,854 posts

102 months

Thursday 27th July 2017
quotequote all
As alreafdy pointed out, the key thing here is having the infrastructure to support whats been announced. I know a very senior player at National Grid and when I raised this with him , after much tutting and shaking of the head , he basically related that people need to be prepared for considerable interference in their personal lives , saying that smart meters are just the start of things. Instead of supply being driven by demand and thus supply increased as needed , supply will be constrained to meet targets , irrespective of said demand.

He will be retiring in 3 years , thank fk he relates. Regularly in the past he's lamented regarding the idiocy of UK energy policy, never ceasing to be astounded at the next lunacy. He ought to know.

Anyhow, what worries me the most, is what will happen to motorsport? With nobody developing ICE it seems likely that racing will go electric as well. Who will go to see it? The noise, is a huge part of the atmosphere , its debateable if I'd bother going to the circuits anymore , atmosphere being my key reason for attending , no atmosphere, no point. We shall see as they say.

MikeyC

836 posts

227 months

Thursday 27th July 2017
quotequote all
oyster said:
Sorry but that's just nonsense.

London was breaching annual pollution limits in a matter of days in January at certain parts of the city.
erm ever heard of a pea-souper ?
they didn't happen that long ago u know !
wail link




turbobloke

103,877 posts

260 months

Thursday 27th July 2017
quotequote all
oyster said:
turbobloke said:
With outdoor air in London cleaner than at any time in over 400 years (Lomborg) the occasions when air quality limits are breached coincide with trans-boundary events where weather systems bring pollution over from southern europe.

Studies claiming tens of thousands of deaths per year are caused by outdoor air pollution are based on the epidemiological fallacy and tell us little in reality, unlike credible studies from both the UK BRE and US EPA which agree that indoor air in the average building is ten times more polluted than outdoor urban air. Politicians need to prioritise better if they're interested in health, but the idea of taxing air in homes, libraries, shops or offices is unpalatable so the easier target is chosen with support from on-message studies that use fallacious methods.
Sorry but that's just nonsense.

London was breaching annual pollution limits in a matter of days in January at certain parts of the city.
Of course it's not nonsense. Seriously, did you think before typing that? The EU and AQL are modern constructs.

Those limits didn't exist 400 years ago, and closer in time than that too of course. Information that a contemporary AQL, including any imposed by the EU, has/have been breached tells us nothing abuot the quality of air today compared to decades or centuries ago. Improvements even in recent times have been significant long after the clean air acts started to appear.

This represents some of those relatively recent improvements for London in terms of major pollutant levels, from 1976 to 1996, blue line. It's been falling steadily,. Note that the asthma incidence line has been rising at the same time.



Data from a report for the NHS Executive entitled Transport and Health in London

Edited by turbobloke on Thursday 27th July 12:57

Dazed and Confused

979 posts

82 months

Thursday 27th July 2017
quotequote all
Dazed and Confused said:
Monkeylegend said:
Dazed and Confused said:
powerstroke said:
Dazed and Confused said:
Why not just ban diesels and sooner than 2040?
Because they are saying petrol is just as polluting as the latest diesels ..
It isn't.
You seem to be a bit PN old chap.
Even the god damn Commies at the Guardian agree, some seriously deluded and ill informed PHers these days.

"the air pollution penalty for diesel cars is often justified by the reduced CO2 emissions over petrol"

"the lack of progress in cleaning city air can be blamed on the steady increase in diesel vehicles on our roads"

Have a read and learn something.

www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/nov/10/pollut...


Why is it only diesels that are banned from the LEZ zone?

Or Dieselgate - VW's flawed attempt at making diesels appear nicer to the environment and people's lungs than they actually are. Diesels, not petrol.