How do we think EU negotiations will go? (Vol 5)

How do we think EU negotiations will go? (Vol 5)

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andymadmak

14,548 posts

270 months

Monday 15th October 2018
quotequote all
slow_poke said:
Brexit is no idea of the EU's, it's all on the UK.

UK needs to engage with reality - their Brexit choice will change the status quo in Ireland. It's facile and juvenile to imagine the UK can just walk away from the consequences of their own decision and then blame everyone else apart from themselves.

The Irish border can be solved - BritGov should get on with solving it.
I understand the anger and frustration. But equally, you have to recognise (even if you don't necessarily accept it) that Northern Ireland is still part of the UK and no British Government is going to allow a border in the Irish sea.
We had the CTA long before we had the EU. I think movement in relation to ordinary folk twixt north and south should not be an issue, especially as Ireland is not in Schengen, meaning that we have been policing each others borders pretty much for quite a long time already.
The issue is that of the movement of goods, but even here are we seriously suggesting that a sensible use of technology cannot be applied?

As I read it, both the UK and Brussels think a technical solution is available, the only difference is where and how it is applied. Asking a country like the UK to effectively hand over NI to Brussels is not going to work. Brexit might very well be a decision made by the British, but to say it's all on the UK is quite wrong - otherwise how come there is a mechanism built into the EU that provides for a member to leave? You might argue that the mechanism was never intended to be used, that it's inclusion was to provide the illusion of choice where in reality there was none. But whatever the facts, the choice has been made and it really is in everyones best interests to work together.
It's quite bizarre listening to some Remain folk countering on that the EU cannot be forced to compromise on its principles (!), and yet in the same breath the UK must be forced to do just that, simply because it has exercised a democratic choice that was legally included in the treaties that create the EU.

Jockman

17,917 posts

160 months

Monday 15th October 2018
quotequote all
desolate said:
Vanden Saab said:
Are you suggesting that the UK a sovereign nation should be split in two to satisfy a treaty between other countries? Should the border not be between the Republic of Ireland and France, Germany et al? As they are separate countries?
No.

I was suggesting is as it could actually be economically advantageous for Northern Ireland.

Plenty of firms have set up offices/branches in the EU since the referendum. This could have happened in Belfast with some planning. That horse has long since bolted but there will be opportunities on the future
Decent stab at a solution but would involve a lot of creativity rather than creationism.

Earthdweller

13,508 posts

126 months

Monday 15th October 2018
quotequote all
slow_poke said:
Brexit is no idea of the EU's, it's all on the UK.

The Irish border can be solved
Well, they were warned and failed to take heed .. they sent Cameron away with his tail between his legs

You do wonder whether if Junker et all had reacted differently in 2014 whether Brexit would ever have happened?

There is culpability for Brexit on the EU

John145

2,447 posts

156 months

Monday 15th October 2018
quotequote all
Earthdweller said:
slow_poke said:
Brexit is no idea of the EU's, it's all on the UK.

The Irish border can be solved
Well, they were warned and failed to take heed .. they sent Cameron away with his tail between his legs

You do wonder whether if Junker et all had reacted differently in 2014 whether Brexit would ever have happened?

There is culpability for Brexit on the EU
It takes 2 to tango. Brexit is not a brutish problem alone. The Project could not be changed and this is the result.

I’m quite happy with brexit as we have no crazy UKIP MPs, compare this to any other country in Europe where the extreme parties are starting to get substantial popular support...

anonymous-user

54 months

Monday 15th October 2018
quotequote all
Jockman said:
Decent stab at a solution but would involve a lot of creativity rather than creationism.
Maybe there is as much resistance from a certain type of nationalist/unionist that refuses to countenance it.

I could see it be a major positive for NI.

Murph7355

37,683 posts

256 months

Monday 15th October 2018
quotequote all
soupdragon1 said:
There must be a border yes. Is it the UK or EU responsibility to do that, I'm not sure.
There is a border.

Next.

Murph7355

37,683 posts

256 months

Monday 15th October 2018
quotequote all
desolate said:
Jockman said:
Decent stab at a solution but would involve a lot of creativity rather than creationism.
Maybe there is as much resistance from a certain type of nationalist/unionist that refuses to countenance it.

I could see it be a major positive for NI.
The bigger can of worms being avoided, IMO, is what happens when wee Jimmy Krankie then turns the air raid sirens up to 11? Or Khan takes it upon himself to declare London the next Luxembourg? Or the local village in Surrey reckons it should be a special case.

The vote was a UK wide vote. If the People's Vote was "no deal" or "break up the UK", no deal would trounce it.

Murph7355

37,683 posts

256 months

Monday 15th October 2018
quotequote all
slow_poke said:
Brexit is no idea of the EU's, it's all on the UK.

UK needs to engage with reality - their Brexit choice will change the status quo in Ireland. It's facile and juvenile to imagine the UK can just walk away from the consequences of their own decision and then blame everyone else apart from themselves.

The Irish border can be solved - BritGov should get on with solving it.
There was a perfectly operable RoI to NI border we'll before the EU existed.

The EU created its rules, including the ability for sovereign nations to leave the cabal, evidently without any consideration to how that might work when it comes to the sovereignty of the member leaving and the borders with member states who are staying. It is not the UK's problem. At least not solely (and I'd argue not even primarily).

The border does not belong to the EU. The EU is not a nation state. The UK can sort what it chooses to do with its border. Ireland needs to do the same.

anonymous-user

54 months

Monday 15th October 2018
quotequote all
Murph7355 said:
The bigger can of worms being avoided, IMO, is what happens when wee Jimmy Krankie then turns the air raid sirens up to 11? Or Khan takes it upon himself to declare London the next Luxembourg? Or the local village in Surrey reckons it should be a special case.

The vote was a UK wide vote. If the People's Vote was "no deal" or "break up the UK", no deal would trounce it.
In principle what's the issue with SM and CU membership being a devolved matter?





loafer123

15,426 posts

215 months

Monday 15th October 2018
quotequote all
Murph7355 said:
There was a perfectly operable RoI to NI border we'll before the EU existed.

The EU created its rules, including the ability for sovereign nations to leave the cabal, evidently without any consideration to how that might work when it comes to the sovereignty of the member leaving and the borders with member states who are staying. It is not the UK's problem. At least not solely (and I'd argue not even primarily).

The border does not belong to the EU. The EU is not a nation state. The UK can sort what it chooses to do with its border. Ireland needs to do the same.
Someone on Politico just posted an interesting comment on this. The U.K. wants and open border and doesn’t really are about tariffs between the U.K. and Eire. Equally, the Irish want an open border and don’t care about tariffs the other way.

The only people with a problem are the EU and their precious project.

Murph7355

37,683 posts

256 months

Monday 15th October 2018
quotequote all
desolate said:
In principle what's the issue with SM and CU membership being a devolved matter?
Perhaps think about it for even 5mins.

1) How devolved do you want it? Is London allowed to stay in them? One assumes not, so England and Wales stay, Scotland and NI leave.

2) Funding. What then happens? NI and Scotland are massively subsidised at present. Does that stop? Or should those devolved areas Leaving continue to fund them so that they can use that funding to remain members of these edifices?

3) Will either of them be allowed to remain in them in their own right? Is there a precedent for this? (We now know that cherry picking isn't allowed and that no new ways are allowed either).

4) If the border issue is genuinely the thorniest problem in thorny problem week, what are you going to do between two places that don't even have a BORDER to even the same degree as RoI/NI? Eg Scotland and the UK.

Etc etc.




Murph7355

37,683 posts

256 months

Monday 15th October 2018
quotequote all
loafer123 said:
Someone on Politico just posted an interesting comment on this. The U.K. wants and open border and doesn’t really are about tariffs between the U.K. and Eire. Equally, the Irish want an open border and don’t care about tariffs the other way.

The only people with a problem are the EU and their precious project.
Irish politicians have a problem if they wish to remain in the EU/conform fully to what they are being told to do....

Rather than draw the imaginary line down the Irish Sea, Barnier could of course suggest drawing it around Eire. In terms of trade and other details that would probably work far better than what he's suggested thus far. But that doesn't help the project and Leo probably wouldn't like it one bit.

anonymous-user

54 months

Monday 15th October 2018
quotequote all
Murph7355 said:
Perhaps think about it for even 5mins.

1) How devolved do you want it? Is London allowed to stay in them? One assumes not, so England and Wales stay, Scotland and NI leave.

at the moment we devolve power to bodies in Wales, NI and Scotland. is there a fundamental difference in devolving this power?

2) Funding. What then happens? NI and Scotland are massively subsidised at present. Does that stop? Or should those devolved areas Leaving continue to fund them so that they can use that funding to remain members of these edifices?

why would the funding mechanisms need to change? We have funding agreements in place, just use them

3) Will either of them be allowed to remain in them in their own right? Is there a precedent for this? (We now know that cherry picking isn't allowed and that no new ways are allowed either).

no idea.

4) If the border issue is genuinely the thorniest problem in thorny problem week, what are you going to do between two places that don't even have a BORDER to even the same degree as RoI/NI? Eg Scotland and the UK.

I mentioned it as a pragmatic economically positive solution for Northern Ireland. Would it work economically? If they would gain economically the rest is just posturing bullst.

Dr Jekyll

23,820 posts

261 months

Monday 15th October 2018
quotequote all
I think the negotiations are going something like this.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FNc0oOavmnI

don'tbesilly

13,917 posts

163 months

Monday 15th October 2018
quotequote all
Murph7355 said:
soupdragon1 said:
earl
There must be a border yes. Is it the UK or EU responsibility to do that, I'm not sure.
There is a border.

Next.
Strangely Murph's post made me think of the Andrew Marr Show yesterday wink

Anyone else see Lord Wolfson on the Andrew Marr show yesterday?

Wolfson is the chairman of the Open Europe organisation.

Lord Wolfson is also the CEO of Next that well known fashion retailer that also sells furniture, which includes the Bernie range of dining room and office chairs available in both leather and for the less well off, faux leather.
I mentioned the range Bernie) as rather bizarrely the range featured quite heavily in a Brexit thread.

Wolfson is a great fan of Brexit, and not in any way fearful of leaving the EU without a deal, although naturally would much prefer a deal to be in place at the end of March next year.

Quite a contrast between the share price of Next and another fashion retailer today, Superdry's share price collapsed by nearly 20% on the back of the heatwave the UK experienced this year apparently.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-45860769

I seem to recall the founder of Superdry getting involved in Brexit which led to some controversy, but couldn't quite recall what it was, then looked on Google which led back to the BBC website:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-45235655

I doubt there's a link, it was a very hot summer after all.


alfie2244

11,292 posts

188 months

Monday 15th October 2018
quotequote all
don'tbesilly said:
Lord Wolfson is also the CEO of Next that well known fashion retailer that also sells furniture, which includes the Bernie range of dining room and office chairs available in both leather and for the less well off, faux leather.
I mentioned the range Bernie) as rather bizarrely the range featured quite heavily in a Brexit thread.
biggrin

Earthdweller

13,508 posts

126 months

Monday 15th October 2018
quotequote all
Murph7355 said:
loafer123 said:
Someone on Politico just posted an interesting comment on this. The U.K. wants and open border and doesn’t really are about tariffs between the U.K. and Eire. Equally, the Irish want an open border and don’t care about tariffs the other way.

The only people with a problem are the EU and their precious project.
Irish politicians have a problem if they wish to remain in the EU/conform fully to what they are being told to do....

Rather than draw the imaginary line down the Irish Sea, Barnier could of course suggest drawing it around Eire. In terms of trade and other details that would probably work far better than what he's suggested thus far. But that doesn't help the project and Leo probably wouldn't like it one bit.
And what are the odds on Leo still being the man by Xmas ?

Ron Maiden

689 posts

220 months

Monday 15th October 2018
quotequote all
loafer123 said:
Someone on Politico just posted an interesting comment on this. The U.K. wants and open border and doesn’t really care about tariffs between the U.K. and Eire. Equally, the Irish want an open border and don’t care about tariffs the other way.

The only people with a problem are the EU and their corrupt and dictatorial project.
Fixed that for you.

slow_poke

1,855 posts

234 months

Monday 15th October 2018
quotequote all
Earthdweller said:
Murph7355 said:
loafer123 said:
Someone on Politico just posted an interesting comment on this. The U.K. wants and open border and doesn’t really are about tariffs between the U.K. and Eire. Equally, the Irish want an open border and don’t care about tariffs the other way.

The only people with a problem are the EU and their precious project.
Irish politicians have a problem if they wish to remain in the EU/conform fully to what they are being told to do....

Rather than draw the imaginary line down the Irish Sea, Barnier could of course suggest drawing it around Eire. In terms of trade and other details that would probably work far better than what he's suggested thus far. But that doesn't help the project and Leo probably wouldn't like it one bit.
And what are the odds on Leo still being the man by Xmas ?
Leo's job is safe enough.

This whole NI business is a complete red herring and is only stalling the negotiations of a properly decent Brexit.

May should tell the DUP to swallow the border and smile about it because that'll enable a better brexit deal for GB. Their alternative is another GE and the possibility of Shinner running dog Comrade Corbyn becoming PM, and what would that leave to?

Someone's got to take one for the Brexit team, it might as well be the DUPpers.

loafer123

15,426 posts

215 months

Monday 15th October 2018
quotequote all
slow_poke said:
Leo's job is safe enough.

This whole NI business is a complete red herring and is only stalling the negotiations of a properly decent Brexit.

May should tell the DUP to swallow the border and smile about it because that'll enable a better brexit deal for GB. Their alternative is another GE and the possibility of Shinner running dog Comrade Corbyn becoming PM, and what would that leave to?

Someone's got to take one for the Brexit team, it might as well be the DUPpers.
You've never been to NI, have you?
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