How do we think EU negotiations will go? (Vol 6)

How do we think EU negotiations will go? (Vol 6)

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The Dangerous Elk

4,642 posts

77 months

Friday 14th December 2018
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Helicopter123 said:
Presumably all of the Europeans no longer coming here?
Then why cry about it ?, nobody get damaged we just swap a few customers.

don'tbesilly

13,933 posts

163 months

Friday 14th December 2018
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desolate said:
don'tbesilly said:
It's 7 Euros for 3 years pre-travel authorisation.

So at today's rates £2.10 per year.
Under 18's are free.

I'd cancel my vote to Leave on the back of that Brexit bombshell! laugh
It's a busy thread and I tried to ask these questions before

1.Do you know if they will exclude people with a criminal record
2. and if there is a requirement for travel/health insurance?
3.Presumably if you spend more than 90 days you'll need a resident Visa?
1. No idea, it it's like America, I think it could depend on the crime?
2. Possibly, again don't know. I always buy it anyway for work on a yearly basis.
3. I would think so yes, although pre No Deal Brexit it was not much of an issue, that could of course change

Russian Troll Bot

24,977 posts

227 months

Friday 14th December 2018
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The most pertinent question of the day - how did that barnet pass EU regulations?



Digga

40,316 posts

283 months

Friday 14th December 2018
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Helicopter123 said:
PositronicRay said:
gadgetmac said:
So its £7 and we have to get preauthorisation to travel to the EU.

Another Brexiteer promise broken.
We could charge £200 per visit from an EU citizen to mitigate, and make them apply 3 months in advance. That'll show em.
So it's ok for us to suffer as long as they suffer more, is that it?
Don't shoot the messenger. It wasn't us who invented schadenfreude.

Robertj21a

16,477 posts

105 months

Friday 14th December 2018
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Atomic12C said:
I think we're heading for a revocation of Article 50.

Parliament is not going to pass TM's deal, and they are not going to pass a 'no deal'.
Before time runs out in March 2019, government will be forced to revoke article 50.
Dream on.

Digga

40,316 posts

283 months

Friday 14th December 2018
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Mrr T said:
Digga said:
PositronicRay said:
Digga said:
Vanden Saab said:
Piha said:
ash73 said:
Thanks for the link.

The article makes grim reading. eek
It does... The most worrying thing is that we are less prepared for a deal situation than for no deal...
I don't know about grim, or worrying. To me, it just seems to reflect a fairly pragmatic assessment of the (ongoing and developing) situation.
Looks a long way behind the game to me. Are the French and Belgium ports preparing too?
Last government person I spoke to was reckoning on France being awkward 'just because'. hehe

There have been plans pushed through (i.e. there is no need for HMG to obtain planning permission in the first place) for additional vehicle parking at all cross channel ports. Measures like that, as just one example, would have been ongoing at the time of this report being complied.
As far as I am aware no plans have been made for additional parking at the channel ports. There is no room at Dover anyway.

There are plans to extend operation stack on the M20 and M26, which do not need planning permission.

Not sure having to plans to park lorries for long periods of time while they wait to cross the channel because the crossing are blocked by vehicle awaiting customs clearance is ideal.
The government have underwritten the cross channel ferry industry: https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/7595031/uks-secret-7...

If France kicks off, their vessels will be re-routed. (Please forgive the Sun link, it was merely the first one to a fact I already knew about.)

Kermit power

28,642 posts

213 months

Friday 14th December 2018
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Pan Pan Pan said:
The irony of all of this is that if the EU had given the UK just a little of what Camoron was asking for back in 2015, the UK might have returned a majority remain vote in the 2016 referendum.
But being so smug and arrogant, and ignoring the fact that the UK is the EU`s second greatest net contributor of funds into its coffers whilst receiving not a single net positive penny of funding from the EU for all the time it has been a member. As well as being its biggest single market, and one which buys up 95 billion pounds worth of goods and services a year more than is sold into the EU from the UK. The EU just said No. just like they have repeated in answer to Mays requests for something to take back to the UK parliament to help get the chequers deal through.
Ultimately it would seem, that what would be deemed to be a good deal for the EU, is an awful deal for the UK, whilst what would be a good deal for the UK would be regarded as an awful deal for the EU
proving that all along, being in the EU is not, and never was a good deal for the UK.
confused

Are you suggesting the fact that we can't agree on a good deal for us leaving the EU is in some way proof that our membership of the EU was in some way not a good deal? That's just mental!

Half our exports go to the EU because it's so easy for us to trade with them. We buy a load of stuff from them because their pricing can be so competitive. That's no longer going to be the case if we leave.

Even though we will be much more royally fked than rEU if we leave, especially without a deal, the very fact of our leaving is not great news for rEU either. This means that of course they're going to try and fk us on the deal, and why wouldn't they? That doesn't in any way correlate to the notion that being in is or was a bad deal.

PositronicRay

27,010 posts

183 months

Friday 14th December 2018
quotequote all
Digga said:
Mrr T said:
Digga said:
PositronicRay said:
Digga said:
Vanden Saab said:
Piha said:
ash73 said:
Thanks for the link.

The article makes grim reading. eek
It does... The most worrying thing is that we are less prepared for a deal situation than for no deal...
I don't know about grim, or worrying. To me, it just seems to reflect a fairly pragmatic assessment of the (ongoing and developing) situation.
Looks a long way behind the game to me. Are the French and Belgium ports preparing too?
Last government person I spoke to was reckoning on France being awkward 'just because'. hehe

There have been plans pushed through (i.e. there is no need for HMG to obtain planning permission in the first place) for additional vehicle parking at all cross channel ports. Measures like that, as just one example, would have been ongoing at the time of this report being complied.
As far as I am aware no plans have been made for additional parking at the channel ports. There is no room at Dover anyway.

There are plans to extend operation stack on the M20 and M26, which do not need planning permission.

Not sure having to plans to park lorries for long periods of time while they wait to cross the channel because the crossing are blocked by vehicle awaiting customs clearance is ideal.
The government have underwritten the cross channel ferry industry: https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/7595031/uks-secret-7...

If France kicks off, their vessels will be re-routed.
Have they let the Dutch know? If only they'd thought about re-routing the tunnel too.

Camoradi

4,289 posts

256 months

Friday 14th December 2018
quotequote all
Interesting reading Murph's assessment above of why a second referendum is unlikely and why Conservatives are saying No and Labour are flirting with it but not committing. The loudest voices for it are people with no skin in the game, Lib Dems, Greens, Blair, Alistair bloody Campbell etc

My take is that labour are pretending they might allow it because they know a significant number of their voters want it, but that neither party would go with a second referendum.

I am pretty sure that many people who voted leave in Ref1 would never vote again for the party which grants a second referendum. It would be seen as a betrayal and I don't think Labour or Conservatives want to lose that number of voters.

Kermit power

28,642 posts

213 months

Friday 14th December 2018
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hutchst said:
Who could forget Joseph Muscat, the Maltese Prime Minister, standing in front of the cameras, telling us that the UK needs to remember when negotiating the exit that it's just a small country when dealing with big people like us.
And there, in a nutshell, is a big part of the value of EU membership. Even the likes of Malta get to benefit from being part of one of the world's three economic superpowers...

anonymous-user

54 months

Friday 14th December 2018
quotequote all
don'tbesilly said:
1. No idea, it it's like America, I think it could depend on the crime?
2. Possibly, again don't know. I always buy it anyway for work on a yearly basis.
3. I would think so yes, although pre No Deal Brexit it was not much of an issue, that could of course change
Thanks.
I have read conflicting reports.

If it's a requirement that people will need Travel Inusrance then it's the sort of apparently trivial matter that will affect a lot of people and cause alot of people issues.
Similar for those with holiday homes but you'd think they would have the resources to overcome.

otis criblecoblis

1,078 posts

66 months

Friday 14th December 2018
quotequote all
gadgetmac said:
So its £7 and we have to get preauthorisation to travel to the EU.

Another Brexiteer promise broken.
Where were you promised that the EU would not charge for this system ?

Kermit power

28,642 posts

213 months

Friday 14th December 2018
quotequote all
Murph7355 said:
desolate said:
Murph7355 said:
The consequences of ignoring the majority in a referendum like 2016's will be far worse than a few smashed windows. And that applies to us all.
Can you clarify what you mean, please?
Sure.

Faith and trust in politicians was already on its arse.

Do you think them ignoring the outcome of a referendum as was held will improve or worsen that situation?

We all need an electorate that is properly engaged in the way this country is governed. We need a political class that knows its electorate is fully engaged. And the two need to trust each other.

Revoking article 50 would smash that to pieces.

Some Remain advocates (the likes of mx5nut, helicopter123 etc) would be over the moon about it. They'd cause themselves a mischief desperately trying to tell everyone how right they were etc etc... But think about the consequences.

This isn't OK because some ignoring of the electorate actually went in your favour. Next time it won't, and it will be no good bleating about it as the precedent will have been set.
That's a fair point, to an extent, but surely if we were going to trust our politicians, they we should be trusting them to come back to us and say "sorry, we've put two years into it, and can now confirm that it can't be done without fking the country's economy. We need you to reconfirm for us in another referendum that that's really what you want us to do.

Fullook

677 posts

73 months

Friday 14th December 2018
quotequote all
Atomic12C said:
I think we're heading for a revocation of Article 50.

Parliament is not going to pass TM's deal, and they are not going to pass a 'no deal'.
Before time runs out in March 2019, government will be forced to revoke article 50.
Thing about no deal is nobody needs to 'pass' anything - it's what will happen if nobody can agree to do anything else.

Or to put it another way - in the event that our decision making bodies find themselves unable to agree a course action because, oh I don't know, let's imagine positions become so entrenched and all parties think they'll be able to find someone else to point the finger at and blame for the whole thing so we end up in a dysfunctional state of executive paralysis and as the cliff edge approaches we all just look at each other and ask "how the juddering fk did we get here?", y'know something really unlikely like that - then we'll get no deal.

bitchstewie

51,203 posts

210 months

Friday 14th December 2018
quotequote all
Kermit power said:
That's a fair point, to an extent, but surely if we were going to trust our politicians, they we should be trusting them to come back to us and say "sorry, we've put two years into it, and can now confirm that it can't be done without fking the country's economy. We need you to reconfirm for us in another referendum that that's really what you want us to do.
That's the glorious paradox of this though.

We want a parliamentary democracy so much that when our MP's follow their legal parliamentary process and do what they feel is right we'll just call them quislings, traitorous and "will of the people" etc.

I wouldn't do it for double the money they're on.

Tony427

2,873 posts

233 months

Friday 14th December 2018
quotequote all
Watching the Daily Politics today I was starting to get a bit anxious that a second referendum idea might gain traction.

And then the Peoples vote team brought out Tony Blair to tell everyone it was time for a Peoples vote.

I think the reaction of the entire studio panel, Brexiteers, Remainers, Labour, Independent, Tory, Journalist etc basically every bit of the political spectrum, where they laughed at his interjection just summed up the Peoples vote threat.

Anytime Ref 2 looks close all the Brexiteers have to do is roll out a clip of Tony Blair saying "its time".

Cheers,

Tony

don'tbesilly

13,933 posts

163 months

Friday 14th December 2018
quotequote all
desolate said:
don'tbesilly said:
1. No idea, it it's like America, I think it could depend on the crime?
2. Possibly, again don't know. I always buy it anyway for work on a yearly basis.
3. I would think so yes, although pre No Deal Brexit it was not much of an issue, that could of course change
Thanks.
I have read conflicting reports.

If it's a requirement that people will need Travel Inusrance then it's the sort of apparently trivial matter that will affect a lot of people and cause alot of people issues.
Similar for those with holiday homes but you'd think they would have the resources to overcome.
I'm sure for some Travel insurance will be a pain and depending on health condition might prove expensive/prohibitively expensive.
It could cause problems for holiday home owners too, and lots of other as yet unknown problems.

I guess if two sides can't come to a mutual and equitable agreement that could be a very unfortunate consequence

Piha

7,150 posts

92 months

Friday 14th December 2018
quotequote all
Robertj21a said:
Atomic12C said:
I think we're heading for a revocation of Article 50.

Parliament is not going to pass TM's deal, and they are not going to pass a 'no deal'.
Before time runs out in March 2019, government will be forced to revoke article 50.
Dream on.
I believe you are correct quite Atomic12C. There appears to nobody within government that has the skills or ability to deliver an agreeable Brexit, nor does it appear that any of the leading lights of the Leave campaign are prepared to present their own realistic, preferred version of Brexit and see it through to delivery.

TM was democratically voted in as leader of the tories, Then (narrowly) triumphed in the GE, and then crushed the recent duplicitous ERG inspired no confidence vote. Additionally, at no time did JRM, Bojo, DD or Farage challenge and then defeat TM.

Truly the greatest omnishambles by a western political party in modern history!

bitchstewie

51,203 posts

210 months

Friday 14th December 2018
quotequote all
pgh said:
With our without 'expenses'? smile
Throw in a duck house and I'll sign up.

Piha

7,150 posts

92 months

Friday 14th December 2018
quotequote all
Tony427 said:
Watching the Daily Politics today I was starting to get a bit anxious that a second referendum idea might gain traction.

And then the Peoples vote team brought out Tony Blair to tell everyone it was time for a Peoples vote.

I think the reaction of the entire studio panel, Brexiteers, Remainers, Labour, Independent, Tory, Journalist etc basically every bit of the political spectrum, where they laughed at his interjection just summed up the Peoples vote threat.

Anytime Ref 2 looks close all the Brexiteers have to do is roll out a clip of Tony Blair saying "its time".

Cheers,

Tony
Cool story bro.
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