Thomas Cook announces £1.45bn loss.

Thomas Cook announces £1.45bn loss.

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captain_cynic

11,998 posts

95 months

Thursday 16th May 2019
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Shar2 said:
Nothing to do with the on going 737Max trouble then. Yep, let's blame everything on Brexit. How about just blaming the politicians for making a right royal cock up of it all.
Erm... None of the Thomas Cook airlines have a 737-MAX in their fleet.

None of their four airlines even have a 737 of any generation in their current fleet.

Brexit certainly is a huge influence and part of the overall problem. The problem is that growth in travel has flatlined (if not shrunk), largely part due to Brexit combined with the massive buildup in capacity has lead to a lot of seats going unsold.

Thomas Cook's other problem is that they were trying to vertically integrate as a single travel provider selling packages on their own airlines with their own hotels. This business model of being an all inclusive travel agent doesn't work in the modern world where the average traveller can book their own flights and accommodation via the internet for far less. This business model is dying, but it's a death being hastened by Brexit, without it Thomas Cook could stumble on for years in it's current form or even manage sense it's own mortality and reinvent itself.

Due to the glut in capacity, airlines that operated on shoestrings or over-extended themselves are failing (Primera, Monarch, FlyBMI, Germania) and even Ryanair has posted a loss recently. So the age of £20 flights to Spain is ending as the market contracts and re-gears itself for profitability. There is simply too much capacity from too many providers to weather worsening economic conditions.

Edited by captain_cynic on Thursday 16th May 11:20

p4cks

6,909 posts

199 months

Thursday 16th May 2019
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croyde said:
Over a year ago, I did exclaim to our local carpet fitter that his prices seemed a bit high.

'Brexit mate!' was his answer.

I'll admit that I'm a remainer who is so sick of this slow plaster removal from a hairy leg of a process that I just want it done.

Companies left, right and centre are using Brexit as an excuse to do what they were going to do anyway but needed a scapegoat.
Yep.

Can anyone, hand on heart, say that they've chosen not to travel abroad for a holiday because of the UK deciding to leave the EU? bks.

poo at Paul's

14,147 posts

175 months

Thursday 16th May 2019
quotequote all
p4cks said:
croyde said:
Over a year ago, I did exclaim to our local carpet fitter that his prices seemed a bit high.

'Brexit mate!' was his answer.

I'll admit that I'm a remainer who is so sick of this slow plaster removal from a hairy leg of a process that I just want it done.

Companies left, right and centre are using Brexit as an excuse to do what they were going to do anyway but needed a scapegoat.
Yep.

Can anyone, hand on heart, say that they've chosen not to travel abroad for a holiday because of the UK deciding to leave the EU? bks.
Actually, we did make that decision at Easter, only because it was going to be driving a brand new (someone else's) 60k motorhome back from Italy on British plates back to UK, and I did not trust some of the Euro Neanderthals to not smash fk out of it on the 1800 mile trip at some point!
Went MTBing in Scotland instead.

alangla

4,787 posts

181 months

Thursday 16th May 2019
quotequote all
captain_cynic said:
Shar2 said:
Nothing to do with the on going 737Max trouble then. Yep, let's blame everything on Brexit. How about just blaming the politicians for making a right royal cock up of it all.
Erm... None of the Thomas Cook airlines have a 737-MAX in their fleet.

None of their four airlines even have a 737 of any generation in their current fleet.
True - but from looking at some of the stuff on Pprune, there appears to be some sort of bizarre jiggery-pokery going on where Thomas Cook sold/leased a load of their Airbuses to Air Transat for the winter, but a lot seem to have stayed, meaning the usual summer-only hires from people like Avion Express etc ran all of last winter. Also, with TUI/Norwegian having a chunk of their fleet out of action plus the recent collapses, maybe the hire-in prices from the usual suspects (Avion Express/Titan/Air Europa etc) have gone up. Certainly at Manchester, there do appear to be a lot of hire-ins in use and have been all winter.

captain_cynic said:
Thomas Cook's other problem is that they were trying to vertically integrate as a single travel provider selling packages on their own airlines with their own hotels. This business model of being an all inclusive travel agent doesn't work in the modern world where the average traveller can book their own flights and accommodation via the internet for far less. This business model is dying, but it's a death being hastened by Brexit, without it Thomas Cook could stumble on for years in it's current form or even manage sense it's own mortality and reinvent itself.
Interesting that Jet2 seems to be going the other way - if you book one of their packages, they fall over themselves to give you bags, transfers etc, but if you book flight only, it's something like £40 each way for a bag & kids have to pay adult fares from age 2, on their packages I think child seats are free. Also noticed from looking for a holiday recently that TUI in particular seem happy to flog you a package with their hotel, but EasyJet or Thomas Cook's flights rather than either their own aircraft or a Sunwing/Norwegian hire-in.
The package vs DIY thing might be different outside of London though - from regional airports you're more likely to find a bucket & spade trip with someone like Jet2/Thomas Cook or, if you're lucky, EasyJet/Ryanair rather than being able to choose from Iberia/BA/all the LoCos competing on the same route.

StanleyT

1,994 posts

79 months

Thursday 16th May 2019
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Diversion said:
Why would Brexit stop people going on holiday?

We have a couple of European holidays booked for later this year just as we have for the past few years
We're not going abroad to the place we've been for eight years as when we went to book again through our friendly travel agent the price of the overall holiday was 50% higher than the previous year, justified through "higher flight costs due to less availability of flights as airlines are not flying as many planes due to Brexit". (A quick look on Expedia confirmed that at the time, there were indeed only a few flights per day on the Manchester - Palma route, rather than the usual 8 or 9 on School half term Saturdays).

So we're off to the Isle of Man as we didn't have the money to pay the extra to go to Spain.

Edited to add the money grabbing airline that had increased it's prices was.............................Thomas Cook!!!!!!!


Edited by StanleyT on Thursday 16th May 12:46

rev-erend

21,415 posts

284 months

Thursday 16th May 2019
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Glasgowrob said:
more like £300 million loss when you take out the writedown
Exactly.

It's probably the press taking a figure that best sensationalizes the news.

Shrinking you business by closing shops and getting rid of staff will always carry a high one off cost but if they want to survive, they it has to be done.

m_cozzy

505 posts

184 months

Thursday 16th May 2019
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QUOTE Actually, we did make that decision at Easter, only because it was going to be driving a brand new (someone else's) 60k motorhome back from Italy on British plates back to UK, and I did not trust some of the Euro Neanderthals to not smash fk out of it on the 1800 mile trip at some point!
Went MTBing in Scotland instead. ENDQUOTE

Wow is that likely? Does jonny foreigner hate the uk for voting leave? Why, missing the money we have to put into the eu? I hadnt considered that when I will be driving through france in July for a few weeks.

Bob Dong

2,552 posts

162 months

Thursday 16th May 2019
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p4cks said:
Yep.

Can anyone, hand on heart, say that they've chosen not to travel abroad for a holiday because of the UK deciding to leave the EU? bks.
Not personally but a few members of my family (older people) have so it 100% does happen. I thought it was daft too fwiw.

irocfan

40,438 posts

190 months

Thursday 16th May 2019
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Fundoreen said:
I guess its the shame of making eye contact with people that realize you secretly hated them all along.
really?? Twunt

oyster

12,595 posts

248 months

Thursday 16th May 2019
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egor110 said:
Tankrizzo said:
Whilst I think that some companies do blame Brexit for their own woes, this is an obvious case to me where Brexit is bound to have a direct impact. I know a fair few people who put their holiday plans back a bit this year because of what might happen.
Why not go to a non e.u country ?
If you have economic uncertainty then you're going to cut back on luxuries like holidays. The destination of those holidays is irrelevant.

captain_cynic

11,998 posts

95 months

Thursday 16th May 2019
quotequote all
oyster said:
egor110 said:
Tankrizzo said:
Whilst I think that some companies do blame Brexit for their own woes, this is an obvious case to me where Brexit is bound to have a direct impact. I know a fair few people who put their holiday plans back a bit this year because of what might happen.
Why not go to a non e.u country ?
If you have economic uncertainty then you're going to cut back on luxuries like holidays. The destination of those holidays is irrelevant.
This, before if you were reasonably lower-middle class you could afford a holiday in Spain and another in Florida each year. With the pound tanking and cost of living rising, the holiday in Spain has priced itself out of the equation and because we're still getting a decent rate against the Greenback that holiday in Florida is still attractive.

The best flight deals I've been able to find recently have been to SE Asia, places like Thailand, Malaysia and the Philippines. £450 return on a decent airline is pretty damn good and once you're on the ground, things are cheap.

Those who can't tolerate a 10 hour flight are simply travelling less overall.

Digga

40,317 posts

283 months

Thursday 16th May 2019
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poo at Paul's said:
Went MTBing in Scotland instead.
Is the right answer.

See also; Wales and England.

thumbup

croyde

22,898 posts

230 months

Thursday 16th May 2019
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Just this second had a message from EE telling me that calls from the UK to Europe have dropped from pounds or more/minute to 19p/min and texts are only 6p, if you are a pay monthly subscriber.

They don't appear to be bothered by Brexit then.

dimots

3,083 posts

90 months

Thursday 16th May 2019
quotequote all
Is Brexit still happening then?

captain_cynic

11,998 posts

95 months

Thursday 16th May 2019
quotequote all
croyde said:
Just this second had a message from EE telling me that calls from the UK to Europe have dropped from pounds or more/minute to 19p/min and texts are only 6p, if you are a pay monthly subscriber.

They don't appear to be bothered by Brexit then.
That makes them one of the more expensive carriers for EU roaming... I'm with Plusnet who are using EE's network and EU roaming is free (I.E. uses your plan's allowance), that's pay monthly with no contract.

Digga

40,317 posts

283 months

Thursday 16th May 2019
quotequote all
dimots said:
Is Brexit still happening then?
Apparently already happened in Stoke on Trent.

snuffy

9,760 posts

284 months

Thursday 16th May 2019
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For the last 3 years me and Mrs Snuffy have had two one week holidays a year, all to Eu countries (Malta, Cyprus and Madeira (I know Madeira is not a country before anyone points that out)).

My criteria for selecting the holiday company are: Hotel we want, price we are happy with and flight times (flight times and hotel are the most important). On each occasion I've looked at Jet2, EasyJet Holidays, TUI and Thomas Cook. And we have been with Jet2, EJ and TUI. Never TC - why ? Because their options were ste. So on a poll of one (i.e. me) I can see why TC are doing badly - they are crap.

Whatsmyname

944 posts

77 months

Thursday 16th May 2019
quotequote all
dimots said:
Is Brexit still happening then?
Its been cancelled, due to brexit.

gizlaroc

17,251 posts

224 months

Thursday 16th May 2019
quotequote all
I know a lot of people who were holding back before Brexit was pushed back.
We hadn't booked in case the dog could no longer travel, we were going to drive as we had a new rescue dog.



However, whilst Thomas Cook have put their prices up flights, hotels and villas for those who like to book themselves have gone down considerably.

Our flights to Alicante last year were £1350 return for 3, this year they are under £600 and we are going a week into school holidays, that would have been £1900 last year, hence we took him out 2 days early.

There are loads more deals on apartments and hotels, and loads of choice for villas too.

Thomas Cook are making James Villas look cheap, they have lost the plot imho.

gooner1

10,223 posts

179 months

Thursday 16th May 2019
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Fundoreen said:
Weird how people would avoid EU destinations. I guess its the shame of making eye contact with people that realize you secretly hated them all along.
I'm in Greece right now with my youngest grandson, as. I have been on every single one
of his Birthdays. No hatred for any europeans from , or for us here.
Absolutely no avoidance or shame in the mutual eye contact.
Lots of mutual and heartwarming welcomes though.

As for weirdness that seems to be eminating from your hate filled Remoaner mind.