Climate change - the POLITICAL debate (Vol 6)

Climate change - the POLITICAL debate (Vol 6)

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Mrr T

12,227 posts

265 months

Wednesday 11th December 2019
quotequote all
Gadgetmac said:
jshell said:
Well she's good enough for Senate hearings...
Would it be Republicans inviting her? scratchchin

Politics, in the politics thread, it's not rocket science is it.
You do realise Mann also testified?

How are your religious studies going.

Gadgetmac

14,984 posts

108 months

Wednesday 11th December 2019
quotequote all
Mrr T said:
Gadgetmac said:
jshell said:
Well she's good enough for Senate hearings...
Would it be Republicans inviting her? scratchchin

Politics, in the politics thread, it's not rocket science is it.
You do realise Mann also testified?

How are your religious studies going.
Sadly it's you that's in the Grand Lodge with one trouser leg rolled up giving funny handshakes. I'm accompanied by the vast majority of climate and other scientists and every single scientific institution on the planet.


robinessex

11,057 posts

181 months

Wednesday 11th December 2019
quotequote all
Gadgetmac said:
robinessex said:
I'm referring to the current UK election TV coverage. My observation is correct.
Yes but what's the theory behind it all?

Who has instigated it? Who else is involved and why? Climate Scientists? Scientific Institutions? If it's all about making money how does this reconcile to the Marxist agenda? Why are climate scientists simply not moving to industry where there are far higher salaries on offer. From there they could all denounce AGW while earning more cash. Is every type of government from around the globe involved (Communist, Liberal, Fascist) after all they all signed the Paris agreement.

I don't get it, please explain it to me.
Don't waffle. I just made the observation that virtually 100% of the politicians I've seen on TV for this election are on the CC bandwagon. Whether they have any intellectual comprehension on the subject, I know not. I suspect most are technically quite ignorant, just being spoon-fed on the subject, and regurgitating it. The end.


kerplunk

7,064 posts

206 months

Wednesday 11th December 2019
quotequote all
I'm trying to figure out how people living in mud huts and caves is a moneymaker. It doesn't seem like a very good business model to me biggrin

Mrr T

12,227 posts

265 months

Wednesday 11th December 2019
quotequote all
durbster said:
Mrr T said:
kerplunk said:
About CO2 forcing he doesn't say anything particularly interesting - a doubling of CO2 on it's own worth about 1C of warming = standard stuff. So what is the climate sensitivity to the CO2 forcing? High? Low? He doesn't know because he rejects models. Not much use.
He does not say much about forcing but he does cover the fact CO2 warming rate is logarithmic not linear. He does not reject the models he just, correctly, points out the model projections are all showing much higher temperature increase than is actually occurring.
"much higher" laugh

To put it more accurately, the models have correctly predicted the warming over the last 50 odd years to within a small percentage of the observed data.

But the propagandists will claim that because they're not 100% accurate - which nobody ever expected them to be or claimed they would be - they have failed. It's laughable, really.

The fact is, scientists in the 1970s predicted the global average temperate would steadily increase and they were right to within a small percentage. You have to be utterly consumed by ideology to fail to recognise that as being an amazing achievement.

Edited by durbster on Wednesday 11th December 09:05
I apologise I should not have used the word "all". I should have said "most".

Not sure what you mean by accurately predict the warming. Most models have only been running 30 or less years. Any thing prior to that is hindcast. While during that period the models are not fixed to fit the data you would never publish a model which did not match the data. Since then no model predicted the hiatus so by now many are showing much higher levels of warming than has actually occurred.

All the details are here:

https://www.ipcc.ch › 2018/02PDF

The problem is the reason for the difference are not understood. While the difference is small so are the numbers and so is the time scale. If the models where just being used for academic study it would not he an issue. But they are not they are being used to predict results 30, 50, 100 years into the future. My own prediction is it will get warmer over that period. The question is how much warmer and at the moment the models are not able to answer that question.


jshell

11,006 posts

205 months

Wednesday 11th December 2019
quotequote all
Gadgetmac said:
Mrr T said:
Gadgetmac said:
jshell said:
Well she's good enough for Senate hearings...
Would it be Republicans inviting her? scratchchin

Politics, in the politics thread, it's not rocket science is it.
You do realise Mann also testified?

How are your religious studies going.
Sadly it's you that's in the Grand Lodge with one trouser leg rolled up giving funny handshakes. I'm accompanied by the vast majority of climate and other scientists and every single scientific institution on the planet.
fk me, that was arrogant! 'I'm accompanied'!! You're a forum sniper with no appreciation of the subject apart from being a nodding dog, like most people. You fail to answer a single question.

Gadgetmac

14,984 posts

108 months

Wednesday 11th December 2019
quotequote all
Govts and university faculties engaged in a jolly wheeze to make everyone poorer. Fantastic.

jshell

11,006 posts

205 months

Wednesday 11th December 2019
quotequote all
durbster said:
jshell said:
durbster said:
jshell said:
Actually it tends to be old school time-served real climate scientists who know their st.
Who are these people?
You know exactly. The ones who've been marginalised in their own field of expertise by the new grant-farmers, doomsayers and charlattans. The ones who've been atacked, villified and had careers destroyed by the growing clique of faithful...
Err, no, I really don't know who. I'm not aware of any climate scientists who fit your description.

Please elaborate.
We've been through this cycle so many times, so start here: https://www.nas.org/blogs/dicta/the_father_of_glob... and then work your way back through this thread and it's previous iterations.

Of course, (non)Skeptical Science (SS) does a character assasination on him, like any moderate, but here's a little biography:

Dr. Singer, an atmospheric and space physicist, founded the Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP) and the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC). He served as professor of environmental sciences at the University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA (1971–94); distinguished research professor at the Institute for Space Science and Technology, Gainesville, FL (1989–94); chief scientist, U.S. Department of Transportation (1987– 89); vice chairman of the National Advisory Committee for Oceans and Atmosphere (NACOA) (1981–86); deputy assistant administrator for policy, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (1970–71); deputy assistant secretary for water quality and research, U.S. Department of the Interior (1967– 70); founding dean of the School of Environmental and Planetary Sciences, University of Miami (1964–67); first director of the National Weather Satellite Service (1962–64); and director of the Center for Atmospheric and Space Physics, University of Maryland (1953–62).

Gadgetmac

14,984 posts

108 months

Wednesday 11th December 2019
quotequote all
jshell said:
Gadgetmac said:
Mrr T said:
Gadgetmac said:
jshell said:
Well she's good enough for Senate hearings...
Would it be Republicans inviting her? scratchchin

Politics, in the politics thread, it's not rocket science is it.
You do realise Mann also testified?

How are your religious studies going.
Sadly it's you that's in the Grand Lodge with one trouser leg rolled up giving funny handshakes. I'm accompanied by the vast majority of climate and other scientists and every single scientific institution on the planet.
fk me, that was arrogant! 'I'm accompanied'!! You're a forum sniper with no appreciation of the subject apart from being a nodding dog, like most people. You fail to answer a single question.
Arrogant BUT TRUE.

The rest of your post is the usual flat earther tosh.

robinessex

11,057 posts

181 months

Wednesday 11th December 2019
quotequote all
If you don't sing from the Hymn sheet, and worship at the altar of CC, you are a heratic.

robinessex

11,057 posts

181 months

Wednesday 11th December 2019
quotequote all
Gadgetmac said:
jshell said:
Gadgetmac said:
Mrr T said:
Gadgetmac said:
jshell said:
Well she's good enough for Senate hearings...
Would it be Republicans inviting her? scratchchin

Politics, in the politics thread, it's not rocket science is it.
You do realise Mann also testified?

How are your religious studies going.
Sadly it's you that's in the Grand Lodge with one trouser leg rolled up giving funny handshakes. I'm accompanied by the vast majority of climate and other scientists and every single scientific institution on the planet.
fk me, that was arrogant! 'I'm accompanied'!! You're a forum sniper with no appreciation of the subject apart from being a nodding dog, like most people. You fail to answer a single question.
Arrogant BUT TRUE.

The rest of your post is the usual flat earther tosh.
I've posted this before. Flat earthers believe barmy 'science'. So do CC believers.

anonymous-user

54 months

Wednesday 11th December 2019
quotequote all
robinessex said:
Gadgetmac said:
robinessex said:
I'm referring to the current UK election TV coverage. My observation is correct.
Yes but what's the theory behind it all?

Who has instigated it? Who else is involved and why? Climate Scientists? Scientific Institutions? If it's all about making money how does this reconcile to the Marxist agenda? Why are climate scientists simply not moving to industry where there are far higher salaries on offer. From there they could all denounce AGW while earning more cash. Is every type of government from around the globe involved (Communist, Liberal, Fascist) after all they all signed the Paris agreement.

I don't get it, please explain it to me.
Don't waffle. I just made the observation that virtually 100% of the politicians I've seen on TV for this election are on the CC bandwagon. Whether they have any intellectual comprehension on the subject, I know not. I suspect most are technically quite ignorant, just being spoon-fed on the subject, and regurgitating it. The end.
So they all believe it because they haven’t really thought about it much? They’re supporting what look to be economically damaging policies without having thought about it and just accepting it? Plus the scientists advising them are all wrong or lying?

It’s more likely that you’re wrong really isn’t it?

robinessex

11,057 posts

181 months

Wednesday 11th December 2019
quotequote all
El stovey said:
robinessex said:
Gadgetmac said:
robinessex said:
I'm referring to the current UK election TV coverage. My observation is correct.
Yes but what's the theory behind it all?

Who has instigated it? Who else is involved and why? Climate Scientists? Scientific Institutions? If it's all about making money how does this reconcile to the Marxist agenda? Why are climate scientists simply not moving to industry where there are far higher salaries on offer. From there they could all denounce AGW while earning more cash. Is every type of government from around the globe involved (Communist, Liberal, Fascist) after all they all signed the Paris agreement.

I don't get it, please explain it to me.
Don't waffle. I just made the observation that virtually 100% of the politicians I've seen on TV for this election are on the CC bandwagon. Whether they have any intellectual comprehension on the subject, I know not. I suspect most are technically quite ignorant, just being spoon-fed on the subject, and regurgitating it. The end.
So they all believe it because they haven’t really thought about it much? They’re supporting what look to be economically damaging policies without having thought about it and just accepting it? Plus the scientists advising them are all wrong or lying?

It’s more likely that you’re wrong really isn’t it?
I'd bet that any potential MP wouldn't get past the selection stage these days. Independent, intellectual thought isn't on the political agenda anymore.

kerplunk

7,064 posts

206 months

Wednesday 11th December 2019
quotequote all
Mrr T said:
durbster said:
Mrr T said:
kerplunk said:
About CO2 forcing he doesn't say anything particularly interesting - a doubling of CO2 on it's own worth about 1C of warming = standard stuff. So what is the climate sensitivity to the CO2 forcing? High? Low? He doesn't know because he rejects models. Not much use.
He does not say much about forcing but he does cover the fact CO2 warming rate is logarithmic not linear. He does not reject the models he just, correctly, points out the model projections are all showing much higher temperature increase than is actually occurring.
"much higher" laugh

To put it more accurately, the models have correctly predicted the warming over the last 50 odd years to within a small percentage of the observed data.

But the propagandists will claim that because they're not 100% accurate - which nobody ever expected them to be or claimed they would be - they have failed. It's laughable, really.

The fact is, scientists in the 1970s predicted the global average temperate would steadily increase and they were right to within a small percentage. You have to be utterly consumed by ideology to fail to recognise that as being an amazing achievement.

Edited by durbster on Wednesday 11th December 09:05
I apologise I should not have used the word "all". I should have said "most".

Not sure what you mean by accurately predict the warming. Most models have only been running 30 or less years. Any thing prior to that is hindcast. While during that period the models are not fixed to fit the data you would never publish a model which did not match the data. Since then no model predicted the hiatus so by now many are showing much higher levels of warming than has actually occurred.
Not true (you shouldn't take Happer's word for these things) - some models do produce decadal hiatus periods. Interestingly (and counter-intuitively) the models that produce such hiatus periods also tend to have a high sensitivity.

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-019-0527-4



robinessex

11,057 posts

181 months

Wednesday 11th December 2019
quotequote all
Greta Thunberg accuses world leaders of 'creative PR' at climate summit

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-50740324

Greta Thunberg has called upon world leaders to stop using "clever accounting and creative PR" to avoid real action on climate change.
Speaking at a UN climate change summit, Ms Thunberg said the next decade would define the planet's future.
She accused world leaders of making constant attempts to find loopholes to avoid making substantial changes.
The teenage activist's appearance came after Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro called her a "brat"....continues

kerplunk

7,064 posts

206 months

Wednesday 11th December 2019
quotequote all
kerplunk said:
Mrr T said:
durbster said:
Mrr T said:
kerplunk said:
About CO2 forcing he doesn't say anything particularly interesting - a doubling of CO2 on it's own worth about 1C of warming = standard stuff. So what is the climate sensitivity to the CO2 forcing? High? Low? He doesn't know because he rejects models. Not much use.
He does not say much about forcing but he does cover the fact CO2 warming rate is logarithmic not linear. He does not reject the models he just, correctly, points out the model projections are all showing much higher temperature increase than is actually occurring.
"much higher" laugh

To put it more accurately, the models have correctly predicted the warming over the last 50 odd years to within a small percentage of the observed data.

But the propagandists will claim that because they're not 100% accurate - which nobody ever expected them to be or claimed they would be - they have failed. It's laughable, really.

The fact is, scientists in the 1970s predicted the global average temperate would steadily increase and they were right to within a small percentage. You have to be utterly consumed by ideology to fail to recognise that as being an amazing achievement.

Edited by durbster on Wednesday 11th December 09:05
I apologise I should not have used the word "all". I should have said "most".

Not sure what you mean by accurately predict the warming. Most models have only been running 30 or less years. Any thing prior to that is hindcast. While during that period the models are not fixed to fit the data you would never publish a model which did not match the data. Since then no model predicted the hiatus so by now many are showing much higher levels of warming than has actually occurred.
Not true (you shouldn't take Happer's word for these things) - some models do produce decadal hiatus periods. Interestingly (and counter-intuitively) the models that produce such hiatus periods also tend to have a high sensitivity.

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-019-0527-4
Btw this is a good article worth a read (twittered by Judith Curry)

https://reason.com/2019/11/21/what-climate-science...

Gadgetmac

14,984 posts

108 months

Wednesday 11th December 2019
quotequote all
jshell said:
We've been through this cycle so many times, so start here: https://www.nas.org/blogs/dicta/the_father_of_glob... and then work your way back through this thread and it's previous iterations.

Of course, (non)Skeptical Science (SS) does a character assasination on him, like any moderate, but here's a little biography:

Dr. Singer, an atmospheric and space physicist, founded the Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP) and the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC). He served as professor of environmental sciences at the University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA (1971–94); distinguished research professor at the Institute for Space Science and Technology, Gainesville, FL (1989–94); chief scientist, U.S. Department of Transportation (1987– 89); vice chairman of the National Advisory Committee for Oceans and Atmosphere (NACOA) (1981–86); deputy assistant administrator for policy, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (1970–71); deputy assistant secretary for water quality and research, U.S. Department of the Interior (1967– 70); founding dean of the School of Environmental and Planetary Sciences, University of Miami (1964–67); first director of the National Weather Satellite Service (1962–64); and director of the Center for Atmospheric and Space Physics, University of Maryland (1953–62).
The NIPCC.

AKA The Heartland Institute and 2 buddies.

They promote literature published by climate contrarians and likewise pay them to contribute their findings to the NIPCC.

This is the same organisation that contested second hand smoke, ozone depletion, acid rain amongst other things. It's now been so damaged by it's backers pulling out it's had to discontinue it's yearly climate conference.

And you highlighted then as if they have some sort of gravitas in the scientific community.

And you said I have no appreciation of the subject laugh

anonymous-user

54 months

Wednesday 11th December 2019
quotequote all
robinessex said:
I'd bet that any potential MP wouldn't get past the selection stage these days. Independent, intellectual thought isn't on the political agenda anymore.
But that’s just glib nonsense that you have to believe to help you explain how everyone else like experts and scientists and politicians etc all seem duped by AGW science.

Because you’ve decided it’s “all bks” you’ve then had to create these increasingly unlikely scenarios to explain the fact that you’re in a tiny minority with no real expertise of your own.

Scientists disagree with you = they’re wrong or lying
Politicians disagree with you = they’re not independent thinkers or are lying to get elected
Governments = wealth redistribution? Lying to get elected?

Isn’t it more likely that you’re the one that’s wrong?

anonymous-user

54 months

Wednesday 11th December 2019
quotequote all
jshell said:
We've been through this cycle so many times, so start here: https://www.nas.org/blogs/dicta/the_father_of_glob... and then work your way back through this thread and it's previous iterations.

Of course, (non)Skeptical Science (SS) does a character assasination on him, like any moderate, but here's a little biography:

Dr. Singer, an atmospheric and space physicist, founded the Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP) and the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC). He served as professor of environmental sciences at the University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA (1971–94); distinguished research professor at the Institute for Space Science and Technology, Gainesville, FL (1989–94); chief scientist, U.S. Department of Transportation (1987– 89); vice chairman of the National Advisory Committee for Oceans and Atmosphere (NACOA) (1981–86); deputy assistant administrator for policy, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (1970–71); deputy assistant secretary for water quality and research, U.S. Department of the Interior (1967– 70); founding dean of the School of Environmental and Planetary Sciences, University of Miami (1964–67); first director of the National Weather Satellite Service (1962–64); and director of the Center for Atmospheric and Space Physics, University of Maryland (1953–62).



JustALooseScrew

1,154 posts

67 months

Wednesday 11th December 2019
quotequote all
kerplunk said:
I'm trying to figure out how people living in mud huts and caves is a moneymaker. It doesn't seem like a very good business model to me biggrin
biggrin

Indeed, I'm also trying to figure out where all the rare earth natural resources are coming from to build all these electric cars that we'll all be adopting so soon that even then my son likely won't be eligible to take a driving test. But what harm? It'll all be self driving & self mining soon.

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