2019 General Election outcome predictions
Discussion
rxe said:
I suspect a very narrow Conservative majority.
It will be close enough for Labour to claim they have won, and double down on the full fat socialist insanity. But, they need to realise - no one, nowhere is considering a Labour majority. The best they can possibly hope for is an SNP coalition. They need to look at their policies 15 years ago, when they were beating the Conservatives on their own.
I suspect that if Labour form a coalition with the SNP, the clamour for a referendum on Scottish Independence from within England will be immense.
The best outcome would be Labour being utterly hammered, and them re growing as a sensible party. Probably won’t happen.
An interesting point. Lots of people I know are totally fed up with Scots nationalists, and their "we hate the English" rhetoric. Also, people in England feel that Scotland (and NI, and Wales) are an economic drag anchor. "We in England would be much richer without the Sweaties" being the feeling.It will be close enough for Labour to claim they have won, and double down on the full fat socialist insanity. But, they need to realise - no one, nowhere is considering a Labour majority. The best they can possibly hope for is an SNP coalition. They need to look at their policies 15 years ago, when they were beating the Conservatives on their own.
I suspect that if Labour form a coalition with the SNP, the clamour for a referendum on Scottish Independence from within England will be immense.
The best outcome would be Labour being utterly hammered, and them re growing as a sensible party. Probably won’t happen.
So when Wee Nippy comes demanding another referendum, might it be that she's pushing at an open door?
The ideal result: Boris majority of 30-40.
Chuka Umunna, Dominic Grieve and Anna Soubry not getting elected ...
Corbyn conceding by about 4am. And resigning ...
Jo Swinson is in a close seat as well, so could be close for her also.
David Lammy being voted out, but not going to happen ...
Chuka Umunna, Dominic Grieve and Anna Soubry not getting elected ...
Corbyn conceding by about 4am. And resigning ...
Jo Swinson is in a close seat as well, so could be close for her also.
David Lammy being voted out, but not going to happen ...
Tory majority with 380 seats. On the off chance its correct I look like the bees knees who magical mind is only matched by that octopus who predicts the world cup winners. The polling companies will look amateur in comparison.
If it's not right I will come back and say "st, typo, I meant 308"
If it's not right I will come back and say "st, typo, I meant 308"
Edited by dazwalsh on Thursday 12th December 18:13
Professor Justice John Curtice reveals his hideous scheme by secreting brain washing technology in his exit polls; mindwarps half the nation and has them declare him as supreme overlord of the UK and it's environs! Doing away with democracy and political parties in one fell swoop from his secret bunker in Turnbottomround. The half that aren't brainwashed just have much rejoicing that somebody has done something.
MadMullah said:
the DUP debacle
This I fear is going to be a massive problem for the Conservative Party.Over the puddle here in IRL I hear the UK Agri Dealers are shipping out to the middle east now, the UK is utterly stalled in selling into the EU.
One way or another it (Brexit) has to be sorted very rapidly, which ever way it goes people are to avoid another 3 years of this st.
It's hard for the man on the street to comprehend what Brexit really means but for a massive amount of international traders, many of them SMEs the stagnation is a huge barrier to moving forwards.
Boris has it half right with 'Let's get Brexit done'.
The capital flight under a Labour Government will be a disaster.
italianjob1275 said:
Sizeable conservative lead
Big labour losses in north/ midlands. Corbyn won’t resign
Lib Dem’s about the same as 2017. They will claim if you add their votes to the greens, everyone who didn’t vote, the dead and the pets of those who didn’t vote suggests a large swing towards remain and this shows a mandate for a people’s vote...
Brexit part won’t win any seats.
This Big labour losses in north/ midlands. Corbyn won’t resign
Lib Dem’s about the same as 2017. They will claim if you add their votes to the greens, everyone who didn’t vote, the dead and the pets of those who didn’t vote suggests a large swing towards remain and this shows a mandate for a people’s vote...
Brexit part won’t win any seats.
Piginapoke said:
italianjob1275 said:
Sizeable conservative lead
Big labour losses in north/ midlands. Corbyn won’t resign
Lib Dem’s about the same as 2017. They will claim if you add their votes to the greens, everyone who didn’t vote, the dead and the pets of those who didn’t vote suggests a large swing towards remain and this shows a mandate for a people’s vote...
Brexit part won’t win any seats.
This Big labour losses in north/ midlands. Corbyn won’t resign
Lib Dem’s about the same as 2017. They will claim if you add their votes to the greens, everyone who didn’t vote, the dead and the pets of those who didn’t vote suggests a large swing towards remain and this shows a mandate for a people’s vote...
Brexit part won’t win any seats.
JustALooseScrew said:
It's hard for the man on the street to comprehend what Brexit really means but for a massive amount of international traders, many of them SMEs the stagnation is a huge barrier to moving forwards.
Boris has it half right with 'Let's get Brexit done'.
This, we have had a good year but had to fight for every penny. Nearly everyone wanting to wait to see what happens but at over 3 years some have had to bite the bulletBoris has it half right with 'Let's get Brexit done'.
Small tory majority
Corbyn stays
McDonnell suggests kneecapping the new cabinet
Swinson out, Cable dug up (again).
Boris "gets brexit done" and then immediately loses interest in getting a FTA, so nothing changes and we're left in a worse position than we already are, tory infighting continues over EU. Meantime Boris spends more than he has telling everyone everything is wonderful while increasingly ignoring anyone who wants a proper answer to questions. Tories bein him about 2022.
Corbyn pops his clogs before the next GE in 5 years...
Corbyn stays
McDonnell suggests kneecapping the new cabinet
Swinson out, Cable dug up (again).
Boris "gets brexit done" and then immediately loses interest in getting a FTA, so nothing changes and we're left in a worse position than we already are, tory infighting continues over EU. Meantime Boris spends more than he has telling everyone everything is wonderful while increasingly ignoring anyone who wants a proper answer to questions. Tories bein him about 2022.
Corbyn pops his clogs before the next GE in 5 years...
italianjob1275 said:
Sizeable conservative lead
Big labour losses in north/ midlands. Corbyn won’t resign
Lib Dem’s about the same as 2017. They will claim if you add their votes to the greens, everyone who didn’t vote, the dead and the pets of those who didn’t vote suggests a large swing towards remain and this shows a mandate for a people’s vote...
Brexit part won’t win any seats.
+1Big labour losses in north/ midlands. Corbyn won’t resign
Lib Dem’s about the same as 2017. They will claim if you add their votes to the greens, everyone who didn’t vote, the dead and the pets of those who didn’t vote suggests a large swing towards remain and this shows a mandate for a people’s vote...
Brexit part won’t win any seats.
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