Coronavirus - the killer flu that will wipe us out? (Vol. 7)

Coronavirus - the killer flu that will wipe us out? (Vol. 7)

TOPIC CLOSED
TOPIC CLOSED
Author
Discussion

motco

15,956 posts

246 months

Friday 17th July 2020
quotequote all
This is no joke either, despite being a Mail article.

red_slr

17,233 posts

189 months

Friday 17th July 2020
quotequote all
As I mentioned a few days ago Spain seeing a rise again, they need to keep a lid on that as its tourist season now too and whilst travel is limited to some extent its not good that Brits will be going to Spain if they continue as they are as they have had day on day rises in cases for a good few days now.

markyb_lcy

9,904 posts

62 months

Friday 17th July 2020
quotequote all
motco said:
As far as my researches have shown, this is not a joke!

The web address exists...
“A UN tracking device” rofl

Hilarious stuff.

Biker 1

7,729 posts

119 months

Friday 17th July 2020
quotequote all
Quote from the Guardian:

'Scots are being urged to “clap for Nicola” this Sunday, to thank the first minister and SNP leader for her efforts during the coronavirus pandemic as she celebrates her 50th birthday.

The Clap for Nicola Facebook page encourages its thousands of sign-ups to get out their pots, pans and bagpipes (so often languishing at the back of a Scottish cupboard) to thank Sturgeon for the “exceptional job” she has done so far this year.'

FFS!!!

R Mutt

5,891 posts

72 months

Friday 17th July 2020
quotequote all
Biker 1 said:
Quote from the Guardian:

'Scots are being urged to “clap for Nicola” this Sunday, to thank the first minister and SNP leader for her efforts during the coronavirus pandemic as she celebrates her 50th birthday.

The Clap for Nicola Facebook page encourages its thousands of sign-ups to get out their pots, pans and bagpipes (so often languishing at the back of a Scottish cupboard) to thank Sturgeon for the “exceptional job” she has done so far this year.'

FFS!!!
They must've missed her out when they complied the list of all nations successfully tackling COVID due to the strong female leaders.

If these people weren't anti--Monarchists they'd be praising the Queen.

mygoldfishbowl

3,701 posts

143 months

Friday 17th July 2020
quotequote all
steveo3002 said:
mygoldfishbowl said:
Has anyone else received one of these? On the back it says the tests only show if someone has the virus at this time and also that the tests are not 100% accurate. For that reason I am wondering whether to do it or not.





Edited by mygoldfishbowl on Friday 17th July 10:17
mrs got one...we slung it out
That's what I think I'll end up doing. I don't mind doing my civic duty so to speak, but I foresee possible problems with the lack of accuracy.

andy43

9,717 posts

254 months

Friday 17th July 2020
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
smashing said:
poo at Paul's said:
All these claims about the stats, this seems odd, as the daily briefing and subsequent pillar 1 and pillar 2 info clearly states two figures, one where Covid is the cause of death, the higher one where covid mentioned on the death certificate.

Excess deaths is then another calculation.
From memory, it is about 45l, 55k and 65k, respectively.

So is the claim that a person with a positive test, recovers, gets hit by us 3 m later, had Covid 19 as the cause of death, ie one of the 45k? Seems impossible for that to happen! I can however believe they may end up in the second category, ie cause of death, run over by bus, recent Covid 19 patient.
But ultimately, a death certificate needs to be signed off, and I cannot beleive any doctor attending or treating a trauma, would say someone died of Covid on a death certificate, there is a Dennis bumper impaled up their jacksie.
That isn't what it is saying.

The death certificate can say whatever it likes but if PHE are looking at a database and seeing patient A tested for Covid == True and deceased == True then hey presto in the stats you go.

They aren't looking at the cause of death or the time lag between patient release/test date and death they are just checking that the person is dead.
Exactly that.

As stated it's shuper ashtonishing.
I remember reading what a doctor said about causes of death - they were super careful to only list covid where it was undeniable as cause of death - so most possible-covid deaths (from what I read) weren't listed as covid as actual cause of death.
Then PHE get the paperwork, crosscheck against a list of test results, screw the death certificate in a ball and chuck it in the bin marked covid...
Now we know why our numbers are so high. Doh.

poo at Paul's

14,147 posts

175 months

Friday 17th July 2020
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
smashing said:
poo at Paul's said:
All these claims about the stats, this seems odd, as the daily briefing and subsequent pillar 1 and pillar 2 info clearly states two figures, one where Covid is the cause of death, the higher one where covid mentioned on the death certificate.

Excess deaths is then another calculation.
From memory, it is about 45l, 55k and 65k, respectively.

So is the claim that a person with a positive test, recovers, gets hit by us 3 m later, had Covid 19 as the cause of death, ie one of the 45k? Seems impossible for that to happen! I can however believe they may end up in the second category, ie cause of death, run over by bus, recent Covid 19 patient.
But ultimately, a death certificate needs to be signed off, and I cannot beleive any doctor attending or treating a trauma, would say someone died of Covid on a death certificate, there is a Dennis bumper impaled up their jacksie.
That isn't what it is saying.

The death certificate can say whatever it likes but if PHE are looking at a database and seeing patient A tested for Covid == True and deceased == True then hey presto in the stats you go.

They aren't looking at the cause of death or the time lag between patient release/test date and death they are just checking that the person is dead.
Exactly that.

As stated it's shuper ashtonishing.
Ok, so the info on the daily stats saying figure 1 is Covid cause of death per certificate, 2 is where mentioned, and 3 is just year on year comparisons of death numbers is just not true? The first figure is NOT what’s on the death certificate? Or are you saying the death certificate is being fudged based on the revelations.
Surely both scenarios can’t be correct.?

poo at Paul's

14,147 posts

175 months

Friday 17th July 2020
quotequote all
Yes I see what people are saying now, ie the criteria for the pillar 1 and 2 stats are not as stated on the daily briefings, ie don't reflect the death certificates in all cases.

Worrying. No doubt they will either a) play it down to protect the fkwitts that did it. or b), play it up, to say it is not as dangerous as they've been telling us, so as to get people back into work and pret a manger!
or c) both of the above, depending on what suits, and that "lessons will be learned" (presumably maths ones).

FiF

44,077 posts

251 months

Friday 17th July 2020
quotequote all
mygoldfishbowl said:
steveo3002 said:
mygoldfishbowl said:
Has anyone else received one of these? On the back it says the tests only show if someone has the virus at this time and also that the tests are not 100% accurate. For that reason I am wondering whether to do it or not.





Edited by mygoldfishbowl on Friday 17th July 10:17
mrs got one...we slung it out
That's what I think I'll end up doing. I don't mind doing my civic duty so to speak, but I foresee possible problems with the lack of accuracy.
I got one as part of Wave 2 testing. Did it, reported how it went on some pages back. No big deal and it's not that unpleasant, albeit a bit of gag reflex due to a moment of overenthusiastic throat swabbing.

You book your collection before you do the test. Ignore the reports of difficulty getting a collection slot, I logged in on a Sunday, had a choice of collections on every day throughout the week, I picked Monday the next day. Got up as usual at 5:30, test done and dusted by 6am. Put test packed in box in fridge, got on with rest of the day. Courier picked it up 8:30. Very efficient. Very clear instructions.

Up to you if participate or not. For some reason I have had a few invitations on trials over the years. Some have taken part, others not with a barge pole. Only you can make that decision. For example the part of the Oxford vaccine trial they are beginning to think about, phase 4 I think, essentially it's a challenge trial where they will give you the disease itself, even if I were a suitable age for that, the barge pole would be deployed with vigour, phase 3 though, civic duty if asked imo. All other opinions are, as always, completely valid. Except anti vaxxers, homeopaths etc they can feck right off just after being hit firmly on the arse with a cricket bat, wkers.



MOTORVATOR

6,993 posts

247 months

Friday 17th July 2020
quotequote all
poo at Paul's said:
Yes I see what people are saying now, ie the criteria for the pillar 1 and 2 stats are not as stated on the daily briefings, ie don't reflect the death certificates in all cases.

Worrying. No doubt they will either a) play it down to protect the fkwitts that did it. or b), play it up, to say it is not as dangerous as they've been telling us, so as to get people back into work and pret a manger!
or c) both of the above, depending on what suits, and that "lessons will be learned" (presumably maths ones).
It's easy to be overly critical.

As with the double counting of cases it has always been better to overcount rather than under. You can imagine the press having a field day with that, although for some reason they seem happy to let Crankie get away with it - for now. wink

2Btoo

3,425 posts

203 months

Friday 17th July 2020
quotequote all
Reliable counting or not, numbers are up today. Not good to look at.

anonymous-user

54 months

Friday 17th July 2020
quotequote all
2Btoo said:
Reliable counting or not, numbers are up today. Not good to look at.
There will always be upticks occurring from time to time.

grumbledoak

31,532 posts

233 months

Friday 17th July 2020
quotequote all
Prof Karol Sikora said:
114 reported fatalities today - 48 137 186 on previous Fridays. Last week seemed unusually low.
https://twitter.com/ProfKarolSikora/status/1284152424274579458

mygoldfishbowl

3,701 posts

143 months

Friday 17th July 2020
quotequote all
FiF said:
I got one as part of Wave 2 testing. Did it, reported how it went on some pages back. No big deal and it's not that unpleasant, albeit a bit of gag reflex due to a moment of overenthusiastic throat swabbing.

You book your collection before you do the test. Ignore the reports of difficulty getting a collection slot, I logged in on a Sunday, had a choice of collections on every day throughout the week, I picked Monday the next day. Got up as usual at 5:30, test done and dusted by 6am. Put test packed in box in fridge, got on with rest of the day. Courier picked it up 8:30. Very efficient. Very clear instructions.

Up to you if participate or not. For some reason I have had a few invitations on trials over the years. Some have taken part, others not with a barge pole. Only you can make that decision. For example the part of the Oxford vaccine trial they are beginning to think about, phase 4 I think, essentially it's a challenge trial where they will give you the disease itself, even if I were a suitable age for that, the barge pole would be deployed with vigour, phase 3 though, civic duty if asked imo. All other opinions are, as always, completely valid. Except anti vaxxers, homeopaths etc they can feck right off just after being hit firmly on the arse with a cricket bat, wkers.
Thanks for that. On the strength of your reply I'm gonna think a bit harder.

Actually thinking about it I could be thinking about it far too much, so I think I'll just do it and stop thinking about it. Either way it's not going to change my life a great deal. beer

2Btoo

3,425 posts

203 months

Friday 17th July 2020
quotequote all
grumbledoak said:
Prof Karol Sikora said:
114 reported fatalities today - 48 137 186 on previous Fridays. Last week seemed unusually low.
https://twitter.com/ProfKarolSikora/status/1284152424274579458
Good point, thank you.

And Sikora is on the money, as usual.

RTB

8,273 posts

258 months

Friday 17th July 2020
quotequote all
2Btoo said:
Reliable counting or not, numbers are up today. Not good to look at.
Very low numbers make for very noisy data. Expect ups and downs and don't worry too much. Back in April we were getting 5 or 6 thousand cases a day with nowhere near the testing we have now and the world didn't come to an end.

Worrying about things you can't control is a fools errand.

2Btoo

3,425 posts

203 months

Friday 17th July 2020
quotequote all
RTB said:
2Btoo said:
Reliable counting or not, numbers are up today. Not good to look at.
Very low numbers make for very noisy data. Expect ups and downs and don't worry too much. Back in April we were getting 5 or 6 thousand cases a day with nowhere near the testing we have now and the world didn't come to an end.

Worrying about things you can't control is a fools errand.
These are very, very wise words. Particularly the bit in bold. Thank you.

cymatty

589 posts

70 months

Friday 17th July 2020
quotequote all
phe said:
Counting only those who died within 28 days of a positive #COVID19 test would include 35,664 deaths, and exclude 4,149 deaths in people with laboratory confirmed infection
Bit more than the 1k expected

Wonder how many more of rather than with would remove.

tweet

isaldiri

18,572 posts

168 months

Friday 17th July 2020
quotequote all
cymatty said:
Wonder how many more of rather than with would remove.
The dying with rather than of covid in all honesty is a bit of a moot point though. Per ONS, rather a lot of people have died since March and a good bit more than the average. It's a little tricky to explain the bulk of that number of deaths as due to anything other than covid which obviously is the major differential to prior years....
TOPIC CLOSED
TOPIC CLOSED