Credit Suisse - Is it going to go bust, if so what happens?

Credit Suisse - Is it going to go bust, if so what happens?

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Discussion

boxedin

1,353 posts

126 months

Saturday 18th March 2023
quotequote all
Cheib said:
I’d disagree with Swiss Banks having the same KYC/AML issues as banks in other jurisdictions. The Swiss banking system had to be forcibly dragged into the modern world where disclosure of client accounts to tax authorities was required. The reason Switzerland has such large financial institutions is because of the secrecy they provided for their clients…..their coffers were brim full of of money being hidden from tax authorities in local jurisdictions. 25 years ago you allowed to open a bank account under a psuedonym…UBS had a “branch” in Geneva airport which was airside enabling people to visit Geneva airport and do whatever banking business that needed to be done without entering Switzerland and getting their passport stamped.

None of this is new news

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-27478532

The fall of Credit Suisse has been like the death of a 1000 cuts….its really been a 15 year deterioration.
The sooner CS is finally cut up, the better.

For those who want a tiny glimpse into how the Swiss help out their customers:
https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-taxevasion-idU...

pquinn

7,167 posts

46 months

Saturday 18th March 2023
quotequote all
boxedin said:
The sooner CS is finally cut up, the better.

For those who want a tiny glimpse into how the Swiss help out their customers:
https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-taxevasion-idU...
*15 years ago* that was.

The rules are very different these days as the Swiss and other similar banks will repeatedly tell you in their letters talking about tax disclosure & whatever.



Carl_Manchester

Original Poster:

12,160 posts

262 months

Saturday 18th March 2023
quotequote all
Apparently the negotiations are going on right now to agree a UBS and CS merger.

Combined balance sheet will be $1.3 trillion.

what could possibly go wrong.


Adam.

27,213 posts

254 months

Saturday 18th March 2023
quotequote all
Scootersp said:
your detail explanation doesn't seem to go as far as your final sentence above, if the money doesn't come back SNB take the collateral, so you imply they have no risk, they get the money or collateral where does that leave CS?
It leaves them with customers knowing they can effectively manage their business and liquidity so there is no panic and depositors withdrawing their cash. That buys CS time to get their house in order, sell off IB and survive

Adam.

27,213 posts

254 months

Saturday 18th March 2023
quotequote all
Cheib said:
I’d disagree with Swiss Banks having the same KYC/AML issues as banks in other jurisdictions. The Swiss banking system had to be forcibly dragged into the modern world where disclosure of client accounts to tax authorities was required. The reason Switzerland has such large financial institutions is because of the secrecy they provided for their clients…..their coffers were brim full of of money being hidden from tax authorities in local jurisdictions. 25 years ago you allowed to open a bank account under a psuedonym…UBS had a “branch” in Geneva airport which was airside enabling people to visit Geneva airport and do whatever banking business that needed to be done without entering Switzerland and getting their passport stamped.

None of this is new news

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-27478532

The fall of Credit Suisse has been like the death of a 1000 cuts….its really been a 15 year deterioration.
Spot on.
Their culture was to turn a blind eye to dictators, the 3rd reich etc and take the money and charge huge fees for the pleasure of a Swiss bank account.

Spent 20 years at a US wealth manager and it was clear standards were different

Edited by Adam. on Saturday 18th March 21:59

Gecko1978

9,680 posts

157 months

Sunday 19th March 2023
quotequote all
Looks like the deal is done

https://news.sky.com/story/swiss-government-to-hol...

But if UBS paid 1bn that's 1 7th of value Friday so are the Saudis who own 10% taking a 85% hair cut on their shares also 2 largest Swiss banks merging seems like a monopoly issues. Feels like 2008 again

Whoozit

3,599 posts

269 months

Sunday 19th March 2023
quotequote all
FT is reporting the price went up to $2bn. CS shareholders were to be disenfranchised, some comments in the FT article on shareholders pushing back and being threatened with nationalisation.

Part of me wishes I was back in a City office now. All the crises were fun to watch (for a particularly grim form of fun).

Ayahuasca

27,427 posts

279 months

Sunday 19th March 2023
quotequote all
Adam. said:
Spot on.
Their culture was to turn a blind eye to dictators, the 3rd reich etc and take the money and charge huge fees for the pleasure of a Swiss bank account.

Spent 20 years at a US wealth manager and it was clear standards were different

Edited by Adam. on Saturday 18th March 21:59
You jest. The US yet to sign up to the OECD’s common reporting standard - CRS! Most of the rest of the world has, including Switzerland. Have a look at Delaware corporations too….

ooid

4,078 posts

100 months

Sunday 19th March 2023
quotequote all
clubsport said:
How long will it be until the Snb orchestrates a take over of CS by UBS for €1 ?
Well, clearly not long! hehe JPMorgan analysts were on the Bloomberg already on friday, but I guess it's happening now. And many argued it would never happen due to antitrust concerns!

Carl_Manchester

Original Poster:

12,160 posts

262 months

Sunday 19th March 2023
quotequote all
CS Media Relations team chief has stated that the bank has not gone bust and is in fact perfectly solvent and profitable. the delay in the year reports being released was simply a clerical error.


SWoll

18,336 posts

258 months

Sunday 19th March 2023
quotequote all
Intrigued by what is going on at the moment and came across this video. Seems to give be very concise summary of everything going on with CS for anyone with little background like me. smile



Edited by SWoll on Sunday 19th March 18:57

Carl_Manchester

Original Poster:

12,160 posts

262 months

Sunday 19th March 2023
quotequote all
a press release has gone out from the Swiss government.

UBS share holders will swallow CS without a vote.

SWoll

18,336 posts

258 months

Sunday 19th March 2023
quotequote all
Carl_Manchester said:
a press release has gone out from the Swiss government.

UBS share holders will swallow CS without a vote.
Not messing about are they?

Panic stations..

Carl_Manchester

Original Poster:

12,160 posts

262 months

Sunday 19th March 2023
quotequote all
it's end game stuff, the SNB have also included a $100bn liquidity option to UBS.

that's alot of money.

SWoll

18,336 posts

258 months

Sunday 19th March 2023
quotequote all
Carl_Manchester said:
it's end game stuff, the SNB have also included a $100bn liquidity option to UBS.

that's alot of money.
Got a decent link so I can read more? Since the FTX debacle I'm finding myself more and more fascinated by what is going on in the world of big finance.

darreni

3,785 posts

270 months

Sunday 19th March 2023
quotequote all
What does this mean for us normal folk in relation to uk banking/ stock markets etc.

Carl_Manchester

Original Poster:

12,160 posts

262 months

Sunday 19th March 2023
quotequote all
SWoll said:
Carl_Manchester said:
it's end game stuff, the SNB have also included a $100bn liquidity option to UBS.

that's alot of money.
Got a decent link so I can read more? Since the FTX debacle I'm finding myself more and more fascinated by what is going on in the world of big finance.
there's now a write up here :

https://www.reuters.com/business/crunch-time-credi...

basherX

2,471 posts

161 months

Sunday 19th March 2023
quotequote all
Is Ammar Al Khudair the new Gerald Ratner?

Talk about punching yourself in the face.

wibble cb

3,603 posts

207 months

Sunday 19th March 2023
quotequote all
This may make my Monday morning less problematic, as if CS is now part of UBS, I won't have to worry about all the potential issues if CS go under....fingers crossed

Murph7355

37,684 posts

256 months

Sunday 19th March 2023
quotequote all
Gecko1978 said:
...Feels like 2008 again
It does, doesn't it.

Always felt 2008 was never really resolved/over. Can kicking only. And will continue to be.