RAF Scampton

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Discussion

valiant

10,210 posts

160 months

Thursday 30th March 2023
quotequote all
BikeBikeBIke said:
That is certainly the right thing to do. Stop at the first safe country. Much easier to manage that way.

Seriously, if there was a massive earthquake in Dorking is it better if we all spread ourselves to the four winds as as far as Turkey or Belarus or should we stop in France and Ireland where we can be managed/helped? It's a no brainer.
Most do stay in the first safe country. Look at Syria and its neighbouring countries where hundreds of thousands are in camps waiting for the conflict to end so they can return home.

Lebanon and Jordan have taken something like 600k each and can can barely support its own population let alone the newly arrived. Turkey has taken over 3m and the UK has taken approx 12k.

We simply aren’t doing our bit compared to others.

BikeBikeBIke

7,998 posts

115 months

Thursday 30th March 2023
quotequote all
valiant said:
BikeBikeBIke said:
That is certainly the right thing to do. Stop at the first safe country. Much easier to manage that way.

Seriously, if there was a massive earthquake in Dorking is it better if we all spread ourselves to the four winds as as far as Turkey or Belarus or should we stop in France and Ireland where we can be managed/helped? It's a no brainer.
Most do stay in the first safe country.
Great! Best all round.

S600BSB

4,617 posts

106 months

Thursday 30th March 2023
quotequote all
valiant said:
BikeBikeBIke said:
That is certainly the right thing to do. Stop at the first safe country. Much easier to manage that way.

Seriously, if there was a massive earthquake in Dorking is it better if we all spread ourselves to the four winds as as far as Turkey or Belarus or should we stop in France and Ireland where we can be managed/helped? It's a no brainer.
Most do stay in the first safe country. Look at Syria and its neighbouring countries where hundreds of thousands are in camps waiting for the conflict to end so they can return home.

Lebanon and Jordan have taken something like 600k each and can can barely support its own population let alone the newly arrived. Turkey has taken over 3m and the UK has taken approx 12k.

We simply aren’t doing our bit compared to others.
Exactly. Time for the UK to step up.

Murph7355

37,708 posts

256 months

Thursday 30th March 2023
quotequote all
oyster said:
In a country with spiralling prices, caused in part by serious shortages of workers, why is there such vehement opposition to just letting a few thousand (plainly driven and determined) people into the UK to boost our economy?
Are you suggesting an open border policy?

crankedup5

9,564 posts

35 months

Thursday 30th March 2023
quotequote all
bhstewie said:
crankedup5 said:
And what obligations are we under regarding our homeless people?
Questions are being asked regarding the migration crisis throughout Europe, time for a complete re-evaluation of policies which were agreed to decades ago. We are in a completely different World now to when the policies were introduced.
The two things aren't mutually exclusive Cranked.

These people fought alongside us and we told them we would fulfil our obligations and responsibilities to help them.

Personally I consider that means we owe them something but it's not the biggest surprise that it appears that you don't.
Yes but I’m talking about migration in the round not only Afghans (which I agree we do have an obligation toward those people, and Hong Kong). The problem is where are we supposed to house all these people? We can’t house those that have lived in U.K. for their whole live’s. Our obligations are not an endless piece of string, we are close to breaking point as a Country short of infrastructure.

BikeBikeBIke

7,998 posts

115 months

Thursday 30th March 2023
quotequote all
S600BSB said:
Exactly. Time for the UK to step up.
Put some numbers on it then. What would stepping up be? It's entirely possible that people who are enthusiastically propopulation increase actually want less people that people who are anti population increase and vice versa.

Unless people say what they think the numbers *should* be it's a bit futile debate.

Also what does stepping up mean? You talk as though it's a sacrifice to to take more people in. Why not look at the economic/social advantages and see it as a positive?

bad company

18,574 posts

266 months

Thursday 30th March 2023
quotequote all
No doubt they’ll be accommodated in the Officers Mess and be served champagne & caviar before dinner.

crankedup5

9,564 posts

35 months

Thursday 30th March 2023
quotequote all
S600BSB said:
valiant said:
BikeBikeBIke said:
That is certainly the right thing to do. Stop at the first safe country. Much easier to manage that way.

Seriously, if there was a massive earthquake in Dorking is it better if we all spread ourselves to the four winds as as far as Turkey or Belarus or should we stop in France and Ireland where we can be managed/helped? It's a no brainer.
Most do stay in the first safe country. Look at Syria and its neighbouring countries where hundreds of thousands are in camps waiting for the conflict to end so they can return home.

Lebanon and Jordan have taken something like 600k each and can can barely support its own population let alone the newly arrived. Turkey has taken over 3m and the UK has taken approx 12k.

We simply aren’t doing our bit compared to others.
Exactly. Time for the UK to step up.
That pov is in the minority, hence why Government has made the issue a top five must do and get a grip.

BikeBikeBIke

7,998 posts

115 months

Thursday 30th March 2023
quotequote all
crankedup5 said:
bhstewie said:
crankedup5 said:
And what obligations are we under regarding our homeless people?
Questions are being asked regarding the migration crisis throughout Europe, time for a complete re-evaluation of policies which were agreed to decades ago. We are in a completely different World now to when the policies were introduced.
The two things aren't mutually exclusive Cranked.

These people fought alongside us and we told them we would fulfil our obligations and responsibilities to help them.

Personally I consider that means we owe them something but it's not the biggest surprise that it appears that you don't.
Yes but I’m talking about migration in the round not only Afghans (which I agree we do have an obligation toward those people, and Hong Kong). The problem is where are we supposed to house all these people? We can’t house those that have lived in U.K. for their whole live’s. Our obligations are not an endless piece of string, we are close to breaking point as a Country short of infrastructure.
...and Hong Kong is a really good example. Undeniably everyone in Hong Kong has every right to come to the UK, so there's no case to stopping that even if we could. But do we really think 3 million extra people would be a good thing?

There are currently nearly 5 million UK citizens living abroad. Do we want all of them them back?

Without putting a number on the population we *want* to aim for, any debate is utterly futile. (And needlessly emotive.)

Murph7355

37,708 posts

256 months

Thursday 30th March 2023
quotequote all
pablo said:
Not sure why claim uses inverted commas, when ex-Afghan forces personnel are having to use small boats as a means of claiming asylum, something is fundamentally wrong.

Also based on this, the number of flights out of Scampton to Rwanda will be remarkably low...



FWIW Scampton is better than hotels but there are still many better options
What the chart really notes, and what many have been saying/agreeing with is that govt needs to be quicker in processing claims...

But as electro notes, if a lot of people are coming over with zero paperwork, how does a govt (any, not just ours) validate who someone is and their eligibility to stay?

Are those ~7k who had their application processed the "easy" ones, ie ones with documentation? And as such, are they also likely to be the ones more likely to be eligible?

One of the exRAF bases being cited is very close to me. I have no issue with it being used for this... It makes a degree of sense. BUT only if it's supported by a swifter means of processing applications, that proper distribution of applicants happens on success or deportation on failure etc etc. None of which I trust this or any other govt of any hue to do.

More likely is that processing remains slow, people in the centres start to complain and we end up with more tearing ourselves apart on what "the right thing" to do is (which primarily above anything else should be safe shelter while applicants are processed, coupled with trying to eradicate people trafficking).

BikeBikeBIke

7,998 posts

115 months

Thursday 30th March 2023
quotequote all
Murph7355 said:
But as electro notes, if a lot of people are coming over with zero paperwork, how does a govt (any, not just ours) validate who someone is and their eligibility to stay?

Are those ~7k who had their application processed the "easy" ones, ie ones with documentation?
I think this is the crux. There are more people handling the cases but the cases have likely become detective work instead of a 20 minute document checking exercise.

Edited by BikeBikeBIke on Thursday 30th March 14:31

andyA700

2,683 posts

37 months

Thursday 30th March 2023
quotequote all
valiant said:
BikeBikeBIke said:
That is certainly the right thing to do. Stop at the first safe country. Much easier to manage that way.

Seriously, if there was a massive earthquake in Dorking is it better if we all spread ourselves to the four winds as as far as Turkey or Belarus or should we stop in France and Ireland where we can be managed/helped? It's a no brainer.
Most do stay in the first safe country. Look at Syria and its neighbouring countries where hundreds of thousands are in camps waiting for the conflict to end so they can return home.

Lebanon and Jordan have taken something like 600k each and can can barely support its own population let alone the newly arrived. Turkey has taken over 3m and the UK has taken approx 12k.

We simply aren’t doing our bit compared to others.
In 2022, 45,756 migrants arrived in the UK..
In total, there are between 594,000 and 745,000 illegal migrants in the UK, so I don't know where you het your 12,000 figure from.

https://www.migrationwatchuk.org/news/2023/02/09/d...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illegal_immigration_...

valiant

10,210 posts

160 months

Thursday 30th March 2023
quotequote all
andyA700 said:
valiant said:
BikeBikeBIke said:
That is certainly the right thing to do. Stop at the first safe country. Much easier to manage that way.

Seriously, if there was a massive earthquake in Dorking is it better if we all spread ourselves to the four winds as as far as Turkey or Belarus or should we stop in France and Ireland where we can be managed/helped? It's a no brainer.
Most do stay in the first safe country. Look at Syria and its neighbouring countries where hundreds of thousands are in camps waiting for the conflict to end so they can return home.

Lebanon and Jordan have taken something like 600k each and can can barely support its own population let alone the newly arrived. Turkey has taken over 3m and the UK has taken approx 12k.

We simply aren’t doing our bit compared to others.
In 2022, 45,756 migrants arrived in the UK..
In total, there are between 594,000 and 745,000 illegal migrants in the UK, so I don't know where you het your 12,000 figure from.

https://www.migrationwatchuk.org/news/2023/02/09/d...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illegal_immigration_...
As I said from Syria.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/740233/major-s...

Murph7355

37,708 posts

256 months

Thursday 30th March 2023
quotequote all
BikeBikeBIke said:
Murph7355 said:
But as electro notes, if a lot of people are coming over with zero paperwork, how does a govt (any, not just ours) validate who someone is and their eligibility to stay?

Are those ~7k who had their application processed the "easy" ones, ie ones with documentation?
I think this is the crux. There are more people handling the cases but the cases have likely become detective work instead of a 20 minute document checking exercise.
Question is, how do you solve for it? No matter where you house people, you're going to have a growing backlog. And no matter how many people you throw at it, you could still have a growing backlog.

So what do you do to check that the individual is eligible or not?

Not a single proposal, from any quarter, seems to deal with this.

Frik

13,542 posts

243 months

Thursday 30th March 2023
quotequote all
Have the numbers without paperwork increased significantly? I can't find any evidence to back this up.

I can find evidence that changes to the way claimants are assessed, changes to the organisational structure of the civil servants who do the assessments and subsequent low morale have slowed things down. These are all things the government has control over.

unrepentant

21,257 posts

256 months

Thursday 30th March 2023
quotequote all
Wacky Racer said:
julianm said:
Don't mention the canine grave.
I did and I think I got away with it.
This one?



Here he is again under GG’s desk.





BikeBikeBIke

7,998 posts

115 months

Thursday 30th March 2023
quotequote all
Murph7355 said:
Question is, how do you solve for it?
Maybe we already have? If you offset illegal immigration against the reduction in legal immigration in recent years we might have actually significantly reduced population increase already.

Edited by BikeBikeBIke on Thursday 30th March 17:59

Murph7355

37,708 posts

256 months

Thursday 30th March 2023
quotequote all
Frik said:
Have the numbers without paperwork increased significantly? I can't find any evidence to back this up.

I can find evidence that changes to the way claimants are assessed, changes to the organisational structure of the civil servants who do the assessments and subsequent low morale have slowed things down. These are all things the government has control over.
No idea whether it's increased or not. Only figures I could find were for Ireland - ~40% allegedly have no papers there. Can't see it being much different here. Logically you could argue it would likely be higher for those coming over by small boat.

It's just another area where the stats are murky/non-existent.

Migration Observatory has some interesting figures. There'll certainly be no one silver bullet.

https://migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/resources/br...

pequod

Original Poster:

8,997 posts

138 months

Thursday 30th March 2023
quotequote all
Murph7355 said:
Frik said:
Have the numbers without paperwork increased significantly? I can't find any evidence to back this up.

I can find evidence that changes to the way claimants are assessed, changes to the organisational structure of the civil servants who do the assessments and subsequent low morale have slowed things down. These are all things the government has control over.
No idea whether it's increased or not. Only figures I could find were for Ireland - ~40% allegedly have no papers there. Can't see it being much different here. Logically you could argue it would likely be higher for those coming over by small boat.

It's just another area where the stats are murky/non-existent.

Migration Observatory has some interesting figures. There'll certainly be no one silver bullet.

https://migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/resources/br...
Gentlemen, please stay on topic.

Can anyone suggest other Military/RAF facilities which can be adapted to provide short, or long term, accommodation for the migrant/asylum seekers?

Murph7355

37,708 posts

256 months

Thursday 30th March 2023
quotequote all
pequod said:
Gentlemen, please stay on topic.

Can anyone suggest other Military/RAF facilities which can be adapted to provide short, or long term, accommodation for the migrant/asylum seekers?
There are 3 in the mix already smile