French passenger jet gone missing from radar screens........

French passenger jet gone missing from radar screens........

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Discussion

ALawson

7,815 posts

251 months

Tuesday 2nd June 2009
quotequote all
Gargamel said:
CY88 said:
Guy who sits opposite me is an experienced sky diver with many hundreds of jumps under his belt, filming others at the same time. We have been discussing this. He said that up until the recent tighter security measures at airports, he and his friends always carried their chutes on commercial flights as hand luggage. They also favoured sitting near exits. Apparently they reckoned they could whip them on as quick as a life jacket, and that if they were sucked out of the cabin and remained conscious, there was a sporting chance of pulling the cord and have it open successfully. Better a slim chance than no chance?
Fair enough, I wonder what realistic probability is for survival though, in this accident I can't see how it would help. How long are you likely to survive in the South Atlantic assuming you do make it to splash down. An hour or two at most I suspect?
When I sailed across the Atlantic, 20 Deg North in November 1999 a chap fell of a yacht and was picked up 36 hrs later all he had was a life jacket.

I think that the water temp is fairly similar at that location. We did pass enough sharks that I wouldn't want to be in the water that long!

MK4 Slowride

10,028 posts

208 months

Tuesday 2nd June 2009
quotequote all
Podie said:
MK4 Slowride said:
I find people with a fear of flying a bit silly, especially if they've never been on an aeroplane & had a bad experience.
I was once told by a University lecturer that there are four or five competing theories on why planes fly - and none of them completely agree with each other.

Whether it's true or not...
Aeroplanes almost defy physics. I heard somewhere that just pressurising the cabin of a 747 adds 1 tonne of weight. They have 30+ tonnes of fuel on board and we've not even got to the passenger & aeroplanes weight yet. It still works though.

With regards to parachuting out of a stricken airliner I think that would be silly for two reasons:

1, is that even if you could put on your chute and get to the door and jump out any chance the plane had of rectifying it's position would be lost and I'm sure the remaining seated passengers would be condemned.
2, You'd only be jumping out if things were really bad and chances are you'd not be able to do it as it happens so quick.

Hyperion

15,222 posts

200 months

Tuesday 2nd June 2009
quotequote all
The majority of people are quite sheep like (I don't mean that in a derogatory manner) and will happily wait to see what the rest of the flock do.

Me = the first sign of trouble and I'm out of there -->

Bit off topic in the plane about to crash scenario though frown not really a great deal you can do. As for the parachute idea - get real. I doubt you could even open the door mid flight, and even if you could being sucked out at 200+mph will be like hitting a brick wall.

Semi hemi

1,796 posts

198 months

Tuesday 2nd June 2009
quotequote all
Eric Mc said:
Legend83 said:
Eric Mc said:
Imagine the jam at the doors. It's hard enough getting out at the terminal gate.
hehe

But seriously, why a life jacket and not a parachute? What is the point of a life jacket if you hit the water like a rock hitting the pavement?

And let's face it - I doubt passengers would know how to use one any more than they would know how to use a life jacket!
Have you ever worn a parachute?
Have you ever had to put one on?
Have you read of the difficulties experienced by bomber crews as they struggled to get out of striken B-17s or Lancasters in WW2?

Imagine 350 untrained, scared passengers ranging in age from 3 months to 90 years of age all trying to cope with parachutes in an aircraft upside down or tumbling, possibly breaking up diving towards the ocean.
Just not a credible scenario, is it?

Edited by Eric Mc on Tuesday 2nd June 14:16
It would give them something to do trying to figure how to put on the harness,
no mean feat on the ground even after a days training.
I have see student jumpers putting their rig on upside down
There is a company that has developed a Balistic Parachute Recovery System for light aircraft, they were supposed to be looking at larger aircraft systems

CY88

2,808 posts

230 months

Tuesday 2nd June 2009
quotequote all
Hyperion said:
As for the parachute idea - get real. I doubt you could even open the door mid flight, and even if you could being sucked out at 200+mph will be like hitting a brick wall.
I'm only repeating what an experienced skydiver's view is on increasing your chances of survival.

dan1981

17,387 posts

199 months

Tuesday 2nd June 2009
quotequote all
This image from the bbc showing where the "wreckage" has been found



The weather conditions are accurate from when the plance went missing. I can't see this one being down to anythign other than appalling weather conditions either causing the plane to fail, or interacctiong with for example poor maintenance to cause the failure.

Look at that string of thunder storms for starters. Imagine it was not a pleasant flight to be on, before everythign went tits up.

BBC also saying that the pieces of wreckage are already spread over at least 60km. -Sounds about right for a breakup from 35k feet doesn't it?

King Herald

23,501 posts

216 months

Tuesday 2nd June 2009
quotequote all
MK4 Slowride said:
Aeroplanes almost defy physics. I heard somewhere that just pressurising the cabin of a 747 adds 1 tonne of weight. They have 30+ tonnes of fuel on board and we've not even got to the passenger & aeroplanes weight yet. It still works though.
They don't actually 'pressurise it as such, just don't let the pressure drop below a certain point. I beleive the pressure is equal to that at about 8000 feet.

I can't see why adding pressure would make the plane a ton heavier either. confused

And fuel weight on a 747 pushes approx 150 tons if I remember.

Ayahuasca

27,427 posts

279 months

Tuesday 2nd June 2009
quotequote all
dan1981 said:
This image from the bbc showing where the "wreckage" has been found



The weather conditions are accurate from when the plance went missing. I can't see this one being down to anythign other than appalling weather conditions either causing the plane to fail, or interacctiong with for example poor maintenance to cause the failure.

Look at that string of thunder storms for starters. Imagine it was not a pleasant flight to be on, before everythign went tits up.

BBC also saying that the pieces of wreckage are already spread over at least 60km. -Sounds about right for a breakup from 35k feet doesn't it?
If the thunderstorms at the ITCZ are so severe, given that they are not exactly uncommon and that hundreds of airliners fly that route each year why don't more of them fall out of the sky? It can't have been just the weather.

Semi hemi

1,796 posts

198 months

Tuesday 2nd June 2009
quotequote all
CY88 said:
Hyperion said:
As for the parachute idea - get real. I doubt you could even open the door mid flight, and even if you could being sucked out at 200+mph will be like hitting a brick wall.
I'm only repeating what an experienced skydiver's view is on increasing your chances of survival.
He was having a laff, unless you were in first class with loads of room you would have the devils own job getting kitted up, and you think that the Joe sitting next to you is going to say, "on you go mate I will give some room to get your parachute on"....lol.. there would be twenty people trying to get in the one harness.

dan1981

17,387 posts

199 months

Tuesday 2nd June 2009
quotequote all
Ayahuasca said:
dan1981 said:
This image from the bbc showing where the "wreckage" has been found



The weather conditions are accurate from when the plance went missing. I can't see this one being down to anythign other than appalling weather conditions either causing the plane to fail, or interacctiong with for example poor maintenance to cause the failure.

Look at that string of thunder storms for starters. Imagine it was not a pleasant flight to be on, before everythign went tits up.

BBC also saying that the pieces of wreckage are already spread over at least 60km. -Sounds about right for a breakup from 35k feet doesn't it?
If the thunderstorms at the ITCZ are so severe, given that they are not exactly uncommon and that hundreds of airliners fly that route each year why don't more of them fall out of the sky? It can't have been just the weather.
Fair point. I guess they might just have been unlucky - or like i said - poor maintenance meant the weather took more effect than normal.

hugo a gogo

23,378 posts

233 months

Tuesday 2nd June 2009
quotequote all
King Herald said:
I can't see why adding pressure would make the plane a ton heavier either. confused
air does weigh something

dense air weighs more than less dense air (what's the opposite of dense???)

air at 20°c at sea level weighs 1.2 milligrams per cc, so a cubic metre, 1,000,000cc, weighs 1.2 kilos

does a jumbo have 1000 m³ of space in it? if it did that would be 1.2 tonnes compared to a vacuum, lets imagine air at 35,000 feet altitude weighs only 200 kg? could be feasible

CY88

2,808 posts

230 months

Tuesday 2nd June 2009
quotequote all
Semi hemi said:
CY88 said:
Hyperion said:
As for the parachute idea - get real. I doubt you could even open the door mid flight, and even if you could being sucked out at 200+mph will be like hitting a brick wall.
I'm only repeating what an experienced skydiver's view is on increasing your chances of survival.
He was having a laff, unless you were in first class with loads of room you would have the devils own job getting kitted up, and you think that the Joe sitting next to you is going to say, "on you go mate I will give some room to get your parachute on"....lol.. there would be twenty people trying to get in the one harness.
Yeah he'd thought about that. You don't actually tell people that you have a parachute for a start wink I've seen the rig he used a couple of times when he's got it in work before going off on a trip, and I was astonished at how compact it was, with a reserve too.

At the end of the day he accepts its an outside chance, as I said at the outset.

youngsyr

14,742 posts

192 months

Tuesday 2nd June 2009
quotequote all
CY88 said:
Semi hemi said:
CY88 said:
Hyperion said:
As for the parachute idea - get real. I doubt you could even open the door mid flight, and even if you could being sucked out at 200+mph will be like hitting a brick wall.
I'm only repeating what an experienced skydiver's view is on increasing your chances of survival.
He was having a laff, unless you were in first class with loads of room you would have the devils own job getting kitted up, and you think that the Joe sitting next to you is going to say, "on you go mate I will give some room to get your parachute on"....lol.. there would be twenty people trying to get in the one harness.
Yeah he'd thought about that. You don't actually tell people that you have a parachute for a start wink I've seen the rig he used a couple of times when he's got it in work before going off on a trip, and I was astonished at how compact it was, with a reserve too.

At the end of the day he accepts its an outside chance, as I said at the outset.
As I said above, I can't imagine a scenario where having a parachute would be of any use whatsoever on a jetliner, even if it was to hand and you were the only person on the plane.

These things cruise at around 500 mph, all the cabin break ups that I've read about happen just a few seconds from start to finish, at which point the plane can either fly or it can't.

If it can fly it seems to me you're better off staying on board as the chances are it can land (can't remember reading about any plane that had suffered cabin break up ditching at sea?).

If it can't fly there's no way in hell you're going to be able to put the chute on and get safely out of the aircraft, even if you can stay conscious long enough to do so. The only way you could stand a chance of getting out of the aircraft is if a hole opens up next to you, but then you're going to be so buffeted by the wind that you won't be able to put the chute on.

Even if by some miracle you manage to get out of the plane with the 'chute on, you're like to be jumping from 30,000 ft plus and will pass out from lack of oxygen, possibly not coming around again to pull the rip chord before reaching the ground.

As for being immobilised by the instant subject to several hundred mph wind speed, I believe it's an issue, but certainly not a fatal one if my memory of the first high speed ejector seat testing is accurate.

Get Karter

1,934 posts

201 months

Tuesday 2nd June 2009
quotequote all
Ayahuasca said:
dan1981 said:
This image from the bbc showing where the "wreckage" has been found



The weather conditions are accurate from when the plance went missing. I can't see this one being down to anythign other than appalling weather conditions either causing the plane to fail, or interacctiong with for example poor maintenance to cause the failure.

Look at that string of thunder storms for starters. Imagine it was not a pleasant flight to be on, before everythign went tits up.

BBC also saying that the pieces of wreckage are already spread over at least 60km. -Sounds about right for a breakup from 35k feet doesn't it?
If the thunderstorms at the ITCZ are so severe, given that they are not exactly uncommon and that hundreds of airliners fly that route each year why don't more of them fall out of the sky? It can't have been just the weather.
I totally agree. That's why I am so interested in finding out what the investigation comes up with. The fact that there has not been a claim of responsibility by any terrorist organisation DOES suggest it is a true accident.....but I would have expected even a fake claim to have been made as a matter of course by some organisation.....

john_p

7,073 posts

250 months

Tuesday 2nd June 2009
quotequote all
hugo a gogo said:
King Herald said:
I can't see why adding pressure would make the plane a ton heavier either. confused
air does weigh something

dense air weighs more than less dense air (what's the opposite of dense???)

air at 20°c at sea level weighs 1.2 milligrams per cc, so a cubic metre, 1,000,000cc, weighs 1.2 kilos

does a jumbo have 1000 m³ of space in it? if it did that would be 1.2 tonnes compared to a vacuum, lets imagine air at 35,000 feet altitude weighs only 200 kg? could be feasible
http://www.mantraco.com.tw/aircraft&e.htm says cargo capacity on a 747-400F is nearly 800m3 so add in nooks and crannies and I'm sure 1000m3 is realistic

Mr Will

13,719 posts

206 months

Tuesday 2nd June 2009
quotequote all
CY88 said:
Semi hemi said:
CY88 said:
Hyperion said:
As for the parachute idea - get real. I doubt you could even open the door mid flight, and even if you could being sucked out at 200+mph will be like hitting a brick wall.
I'm only repeating what an experienced skydiver's view is on increasing your chances of survival.
He was having a laff, unless you were in first class with loads of room you would have the devils own job getting kitted up, and you think that the Joe sitting next to you is going to say, "on you go mate I will give some room to get your parachute on"....lol.. there would be twenty people trying to get in the one harness.
Yeah he'd thought about that. You don't actually tell people that you have a parachute for a start wink I've seen the rig he used a couple of times when he's got it in work before going off on a trip, and I was astonished at how compact it was, with a reserve too.

At the end of the day he accepts its an outside chance, as I said at the outset.
Plus, how stupid would you feel as you fell towards earth if the plane did break up in the perfect way for you to jump out and your parachute was locked safely in the hold...

HRG

72,857 posts

239 months

Tuesday 2nd June 2009
quotequote all
Mr Will said:
CY88 said:
Semi hemi said:
CY88 said:
Hyperion said:
As for the parachute idea - get real. I doubt you could even open the door mid flight, and even if you could being sucked out at 200+mph will be like hitting a brick wall.
I'm only repeating what an experienced skydiver's view is on increasing your chances of survival.
He was having a laff, unless you were in first class with loads of room you would have the devils own job getting kitted up, and you think that the Joe sitting next to you is going to say, "on you go mate I will give some room to get your parachute on"....lol.. there would be twenty people trying to get in the one harness.
Yeah he'd thought about that. You don't actually tell people that you have a parachute for a start wink I've seen the rig he used a couple of times when he's got it in work before going off on a trip, and I was astonished at how compact it was, with a reserve too.

At the end of the day he accepts its an outside chance, as I said at the outset.
Plus, how stupid would you feel as you fell towards earth if the plane did break up in the perfect way for you to jump out and your parachute was locked safely in the hold...
Wouldn't the force of the explosion blow the locks?

F i F

44,062 posts

251 months

Tuesday 2nd June 2009
quotequote all
MInd you if you seriously into free fall jumps, and you could get out, and you were sure you were going to die anyway, why not jump the jump to end all jumps?

Ayahuasca

27,427 posts

279 months

Tuesday 2nd June 2009
quotequote all
There has been a case of someone parachuting from an airliner - a hijacker in the US years ago. Parachuted with a bag of money out of the cabin of a DC-9 (I think), not been seen since.




Eric Mc

121,994 posts

265 months

Tuesday 2nd June 2009
quotequote all
D B Cooper who hijacked a Northwest Orient Boeing 727 in 1971 and parachuted with the ransome money out the rear airstars. He was never seen again.