What’s your big gamble? (Volume 3)

What’s your big gamble? (Volume 3)

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vulture1

12,220 posts

179 months

Thursday 4th March 2021
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g4ry13 said:
I'm waiting for some more money to land in T212 but I threw my remaining money in the account at XPEV on the open.

Already down $1/share on the purchase. I think that i'm going to sit on my hands until the Nasdaq looks like it's a bit sorted out before topping up on the green stocks.

Edit: Also just bought some more BLNK boxedin


Edited by g4ry13 on Thursday 4th March 15:43
I feel your pain. I havn't added to mine. I'm waiting on a pile of dividends coming in this month which will give some free cash. However Europe looks like it is about to kick off with higher covid cases.

Italy just blocked an export of astrazeneca vaccine that is to go to Australia!

Luke.

10,991 posts

250 months

Thursday 4th March 2021
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MikeStroud said:
I think this is an example why some of the green companies are losing their value right now. GEVO have $1.4Bn mcap but in 2018 only $24M revenue and that was with a $28M loss.

I know nothing about GEVO but there doesn't seem much of a "moat" around what they do and the fundamentals don't seem to me at least to support the mcap.

The shape of their share price graph looks just like that of so many other green companies (inlcuding the EQT c**p I have which is 30% down) i.e. low last October, big peak January an dnow tailing off to some level yet to be established. Now I am in no position to talk having bought EQT at the top but I think I've learnt to buy not whilst the sp is still going down but when it starts going back up again as then you know it has bottomed.

Sorry Luke, not having a go, just trying to reinforce some different behaviours in my own head really by thinking out loud (mainly don't buy on the peak or on the way down but instead buy on the way back up). Good luck.
Don't worry Mike. I like your stream of consciousness... This intrigued me about GEVO and now 50% off in the great US Stock Sale. Must end Friday. Hopefully.

''On Feb. 22, Gevo announced an agreement with Scandinavian Airlines System (OTCMKTS:SASDF). The deal ups SAS’ previous 2019 deal with the company. SAS will now purchase an annual minimum of 5 million gallons of sustainable aviation fuel from Gevo starting in 2024.

Gevo plans to provide the fuel from its Net-Zero 2 Project with the estimated lifetime value of the SAS deal at more than $100 million.''

anonymous-user

54 months

Thursday 4th March 2021
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Another flat day, up 0.5%

Hope tomorrow is the opposite of most Fridays where people sell.

Chris Type R

8,026 posts

249 months

Thursday 4th March 2021
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MikeStroud said:
Another flat day, up 0.5%

Hope tomorrow is the opposite of most Fridays where people sell.
+0.31% for the day - happy with that. Outperformed the FTSE 100.

petemurphy

10,120 posts

183 months

Thursday 4th March 2021
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the gambles i bought on 212 a few weeks ago are all doing disastrously. eg mxc that went up 50% when i bought it is now down a load. should take profits... frown

basically:

sae
mxc
senx
eqt

all turd



anonymous-user

54 months

Thursday 4th March 2021
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Chris Type R said:
RPS +6% today to close above a pound.
I tipped RPS last summer and bought in to them. I sold at a loss when they started plummeting because I followed what the experts say: "cut your losses". But if I'd held with this and virtually all other holdings I had last year I'd have easily doubled my money. Instead I now follow the mantra: "ignore the day to day movements, if you believe in the fundamentals and those don't change then the sp will come to you".

It's quite depressing looking at where all my holdings from last summer would be now. You live and learn!

I learnt another hard lesson with MANO today. I tipped them 4 weeks ago when they were 200p with a view to them getting back to 300p fairly quickly which they did more or less last week. Of course I ignored my price target and thought I'd "let my profit run" as the experts say so naturally in the last few days have gone from 50% up to 25% up. I must stick to my price targets :-(

So many lessons to learn!

skircoatshed

154 posts

82 months

Thursday 4th March 2021
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MikeStroud said:
Chris Type R said:
RPS +6% today to close above a pound.
I tipped RPS last summer and bought in to them. I sold at a loss when they started plummeting because I followed what the experts say: "cut your losses". But if I'd held with this and virtually all other holdings I had last year I'd have easily doubled my money. Instead I now follow the mantra: "ignore the day to day movements, if you believe in the fundamentals and those don't change then the sp will come to you".

It's quite depressing looking at where all my holdings from last summer would be now. You live and learn!

I learnt another hard lesson with MANO today. I tipped them 4 weeks ago when they were 200p with a view to them getting back to 300p fairly quickly which they did more or less last week. Of course I ignored my price target and thought I'd "let my profit run" as the experts say so naturally in the last few days have gone from 50% up to 25% up. I must stick to my price targets :-(

So many lessons to learn!
I stuck with RPS after buying at the highs in June, same with IPF. It’s certainly been a learning curve.

CaptainHindsight

617 posts

69 months

Thursday 4th March 2021
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Tell you what, buying 3STS (3 x TSLA short) in Jan when the the share price was ~USD 850 felt like a massive gamble back then, feels like a victory so far with TSLA dropping to ~USD620 today and no signs of stopping.

cheeky_chops

1,589 posts

251 months

Thursday 4th March 2021
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MikeStroud said:
I tipped RPS last summer and bought in to them. I sold at a loss when they started plummeting because I followed what the experts say: "cut your losses". But if I'd held with this and virtually all other holdings I had last year I'd have easily doubled my money. Instead I now follow the mantra: "ignore the day to day movements, if you believe in the fundamentals and those don't change then the sp will come to you".

It's quite depressing looking at where all my holdings from last summer would be now. You live and learn!

I learnt another hard lesson with MANO today. I tipped them 4 weeks ago when they were 200p with a view to them getting back to 300p fairly quickly which they did more or less last week. Of course I ignored my price target and thought I'd "let my profit run" as the experts say so naturally in the last few days have gone from 50% up to 25% up. I must stick to my price targets :-(

So many lessons to learn!
thoughtful stuff esp as im quite new to this. Seems you need to be a technical trader, or go with the fundamentals/LTH/gambles. Trying to do a bit of one or the other lead me to sell ARB (BCH went to 28k) and AMGO at a loss! Would of been sitting on a tidy figure right now



JontyR

1,915 posts

167 months

Thursday 4th March 2021
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Clear Leisure did good today with a rise of 32% on the day smile

My investment into Churchill Capital wasnt the best one though! Im down 25% on them since I bought....god Im crap at spotting the dips! Or more to the point Im very good at finding the dips...they are just after I have bought :/

g4ry13

16,984 posts

255 months

Thursday 4th March 2021
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US market was looking good and then Powell came on and screwed it up. The bounce is currently looking a bit hopeless.

Chris Type R

8,026 posts

249 months

Thursday 4th March 2021
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skircoatshed said:
MikeStroud said:
Chris Type R said:
RPS +6% today to close above a pound.
I tipped RPS last summer and bought in to them. I sold at a loss when they started plummeting because I followed what the experts say: "cut your losses". But if I'd held with this and virtually all other holdings I had last year I'd have easily doubled my money. Instead I now follow the mantra: "ignore the day to day movements, if you believe in the fundamentals and those don't change then the sp will come to you".

It's quite depressing looking at where all my holdings from last summer would be now. You live and learn!

I learnt another hard lesson with MANO today. I tipped them 4 weeks ago when they were 200p with a view to them getting back to 300p fairly quickly which they did more or less last week. Of course I ignored my price target and thought I'd "let my profit run" as the experts say so naturally in the last few days have gone from 50% up to 25% up. I must stick to my price targets :-(

So many lessons to learn!
I stuck with RPS after buying at the highs in June, same with IPF. It’s certainly been a learning curve.
I held and traded where I could. Looks impressive enough % wise - but in monetary terms I'd probably have been in a better position now had I simply accumulated and held. Hindsight etc - and things looked a lot more bleak last June. I think at one point I had 13300 of these at approx. 55p.

(My JISA has another small holding at 77% gain.)

And thanks for the tip MikeStroud or Aftershox - not sure who I copied in this instance.


Edited by Chris Type R on Thursday 4th March 18:59

Adam.

27,244 posts

254 months

Thursday 4th March 2021
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I can’t bring myself to look at my PF today, it will be horrible, down probably 10%

Desperately trying not to panic sell but how many days can a SP fall 10%

The Rotrex Kid

30,298 posts

160 months

Thursday 4th March 2021
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I feel the same about my Tesla holding.... painful.



Aiminghigh123

2,720 posts

69 months

Thursday 4th March 2021
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I checked this morning and saw AMGO taking a nose dive so assumed the worst. Somehow PF finished very slightly up!!!

I still haven’t sold AMGO but fairly happy where it is. Hhmmmm

I wonder if it will rally tomorrow? Either people holding for a jump over the weekend or Friday sell off?

Only 35% up on it now. IAG 27% up. BP 46% but staying in for dividends.

Deepverge my worst at present lovely 46% down yay. At least it was a small amount.

anonymous-user

54 months

Thursday 4th March 2021
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cheeky_chops said:
thoughtful stuff esp as im quite new to this. Seems you need to be a technical trader, or go with the fundamentals/LTH/gambles. Trying to do a bit of one or the other lead me to sell ARB (BCH went to 28k) and AMGO at a loss! Would of been sitting on a tidy figure right now
I think you've put your finger on it. In my pf I have some stocks chosen for good fundamentals as lth, a few for trading and a few gambles. Each requires a different approach and strategy. I'm confusing them and taking an inconsistent approach. I'm aiming to segregate them in different accounts to make it easier for me to manage them differently and have a clear strategy for each. Right now its just confused which is affecting the gains I could be making.

Aiminghigh123

2,720 posts

69 months

Thursday 4th March 2021
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AMGO 35%
BAB -8%
BCN -12%
BP 46%
CBX -30%
DVRG -46%
DOCS 5%
GGP -1.5%
IDP -27%
IAG 27%
NGHT 135%
PFC -10%
RMS -27%
SYME 13%
VLS -0.27%

RDSB 45%

Somehow with all that red I’m 40% up from May/June last year.

anonymous-user

54 months

Thursday 4th March 2021
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Adam. said:
I can’t bring myself to look at my PF today, it will be horrible, down probably 10%

Desperately trying not to panic sell but how many days can a SP fall 10%
I suspect tomorrow will be an awful day... roll on Monday !!!

What are you in at the moment Adam?

g4ry13

16,984 posts

255 months

Thursday 4th March 2021
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I'm not going to get involved in the loss porn. Nasdaq biggest pump & dump recently?

Tech shot up in a straight line since March '20 to put these tech stocks on some crazy valuations and then sheds 10% in 2 weeks. Maybe a small move in the grand scheme of things but seems like i'm in high beta stocks + leverage doesn't help.

Adam.

27,244 posts

254 months

Thursday 4th March 2021
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MikeStroud said:
I suspect tomorrow will be an awful day... roll on Monday !!!

What are you in at the moment Adam?
EQT
EUA
ETMC
ZNWD
DDDD
BEEM
PFC
HJLI
AJAX
ABML
TSLA

5 of those down 10-20% today alone, they have actually fallen so low it is probably daft to sell, but I said that yesterday
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