2017 Election Result - a PH poll

2017 Election Result - a PH poll

Poll: 2017 Election Result - a PH poll

Total Members Polled: 395

Tory - agree with what stand for: 61%
Tory - wouldn't usually, only credible option: 14%
Labour - not put off by Corbyn, will be great: 4%
Labour - don't like Corbyn, can't vote others: 3%
UKIP - agree with what stand for: 2%
UKIP - don't trust May to deliver brexit: 1%
Lib Dem - agree with what stand for: 3%
Lib Dem - brexit protest, hope coalition: 8%
None of the above: 3%
Author
Discussion

///ajd

Original Poster:

8,964 posts

206 months

Friday 21st April 2017
quotequote all
Bit of an experiment to see if we can tease out some motives - traditional and tactical.

Obviously can't capture every motive, but chucked in a few or the more obvious ones, as well as what is intended to be a simple "I will vote/support Tory/Lab/LD" etc.

Post further reasons if you want, or not to stay anon.

Me - Lib Dem - hoping for enough seats to force a coalition that forces a decision on whether the outcome of brexit (once defined under best possible negotiation) is really an idea that still carries 52% support. I don't think Farron is PM material and LDs are a bit lightweight at the moment. A coalition is a really long shot, but I think we have to try. As many seats as 2007/2010 possible (62/57)?



Einion Yrth

19,575 posts

244 months

Friday 21st April 2017
quotequote all
Whomsoever pledges to honour the Brexit vote. In the event of a tie, the party, fulfilling my prime criterion with the best chance of winning.

FN2TypeR

7,091 posts

93 months

Friday 21st April 2017
quotequote all
Tory, for the first time.

I live in Scotland, so it's almost certainly a waste due to our beloved FPTP system however.

CaptainSlow

13,179 posts

212 months

Friday 21st April 2017
quotequote all
Anyone who will put the extra £350million a week into the NHS so has to be the Tories.

///ajd

Original Poster:

8,964 posts

206 months

Friday 21st April 2017
quotequote all
FN2TypeR said:
Tory, for the first time.

I live in Scotland, so it's almost certainly a waste due to our beloved FPTP system however.
Is that due to brexit or because they are the only team that look vaguely capable of running the country? Brexit aside, I have sympathy with the latter view.

FN2TypeR

7,091 posts

93 months

Friday 21st April 2017
quotequote all
///ajd said:
FN2TypeR said:
Tory, for the first time.

I live in Scotland, so it's almost certainly a waste due to our beloved FPTP system however.
Is that due to brexit or because they are the only team that look vaguely capable of running the country? Brexit aside, I have sympathy with the latter view.
Brexit, I believe that we should leave "completely" (ie "Hard Brexit") rather than look for a Norway style agreement, the Government seem to want to deliver that, or are claiming that they want to at least, so I'll lodge my vote with them, unless it's raining!

I can't say for a certainty that I would for them again in the future, I don't think that they are much cop at the moment tbh, sad to say that the Government doesn't exactly fill me with confidence, which doesn't bode well for negotiations or the next five years in terms of domestic policy - but we are where we are and I think that they are the best available party to lead us forward.

I also believe that we will be leaving the EU without a trade agreement or single market membership in place, but I guess that's an opinion for another thread.

User33678888

1,142 posts

137 months

Friday 21st April 2017
quotequote all
I'm constantly amazed at the people rooting for a hard brexit regardless of consequence.
Do you not realise quite how fked we'd be economically if we couldn't trade with 27 of our biggest partners for just a year?
Perhaps you're all too young to remember the 3 day week.
This country is populated by morons.

///ajd

Original Poster:

8,964 posts

206 months

Friday 21st April 2017
quotequote all
Not sure how accurate it is, but the 2015 seat calculator suggests:

25% LD >> 50+ seats
20% LD >> 30 seats

Clearly the votes are showing the natural right wing bias on PH above, but still interesting, and not looking good for Labour!

PS lets try and keep it polite please.

FN2TypeR

7,091 posts

93 months

Friday 21st April 2017
quotequote all
User33678888 said:
I'm constantly amazed at the people rooting for a hard brexit regardless of consequence.
Do you not realise quite how fked we'd be economically if we couldn't trade with 27 of our biggest partners for just a year?
Perhaps you're all too young to remember the 3 day week.
This country is populated by morons.
Consider me convinced.

Jazzy Jag

3,420 posts

91 months

Friday 21st April 2017
quotequote all
I would normally vote UKIP but in the current climate, voting UKIP would increase the possibility of Labour doing well, which would be a disaster IMHO.

I am not completely convinced by May but I think we need a strong opposition (UKIP) who are pro Brexit to keep Theresa on course.

FN2TypeR

7,091 posts

93 months

Friday 21st April 2017
quotequote all
///ajd said:
Not sure how accurate it is, but the 2015 seat calculator suggests:

25% LD >> 50+ seats
20% LD >> 30 seats

Clearly the votes are showing the natural right wing bias on PH above, but still interesting, and not looking good for Labour!

PS lets try and keep it polite please.
I think that the Lib Dems will be looking at reasonable gains - nine seats now, perhaps twenty after, their "passage back" will take more than just the one election IMO. Their resurgence is one of the reasons I think that this election isn't going to provide the Tory landslide that people think it's going to. But, I also don't think it's about achieving such a landslide as their MPs are toeing the party like and May has stitched Parliament up good and proper, they need time in power, not more MPs.

Einion Yrth

19,575 posts

244 months

Friday 21st April 2017
quotequote all
User33678888 said:
Do you not realise quite how fked we'd be economically if we couldn't trade with 27 of our biggest partners for just a year?
Given that we've had the joy of paying large sums of money to run a trade deficit with "27 of our biggest partners" for the last 40 years; I'd suggest they probably have more to lose than we do. Sanity will prevail.

Earthdweller

13,518 posts

126 months

Friday 21st April 2017
quotequote all
Both myself and my wife will be voting Tory this time ... much as it irks in some ways

I've spent many years in public service and hate what they have done to essential services

My wife is an EU National who normally doesn't vote although she is eligible too

However, she, much like me, really really don't want a coalition of chaos led by Corbyn and Abbott with a side show from Farron and the SNP

We are both of the opinion that Brexit is happening and strong continuity is required at the moment .., Not a terrorisist appeasing wetwipe supported by Tim dim but nice !


As we see it there is no credible alternative

///ajd

Original Poster:

8,964 posts

206 months

Friday 21st April 2017
quotequote all
FN2TypeR said:
///ajd said:
Not sure how accurate it is, but the 2015 seat calculator suggests:

25% LD >> 50+ seats
20% LD >> 30 seats

Clearly the votes are showing the natural right wing bias on PH above, but still interesting, and not looking good for Labour!

PS lets try and keep it polite please.
I think that the Lib Dems will be looking at reasonable gains - nine seats now, perhaps twenty after, their "passage back" will take more than just the one election IMO. Their resurgence is one of the reasons I think that this election isn't going to provide the Tory landslide that people think it's going to. But, I also don't think it's about achieving such a landslide as their MPs are toeing the party like and May has stitched Parliament up good and proper, they need time in power, not more MPs.
Playing with the seat calculator, it appears that even if the LDs get 50+ or even more seats, Labour will lose so many that a coalition like 2010 seem unlikely.

Likes Fast Cars

2,770 posts

165 months

Friday 21st April 2017
quotequote all
Einion Yrth said:
Given that we've had the joy of paying large sums of money to run a trade deficit with "27 of our biggest partners" for the last 40 years; I'd suggest they probably have more to lose than we do. Sanity will prevail.
^ this.

Efbe

9,251 posts

166 months

Friday 21st April 2017
quotequote all
I vote almost entirely on what the parties will do for the NHS and Education. I bear no allegiance to any party.
I care not about taxation, or defense, or the policies aimed for the illiterate are retarded, i.e. immigration, religion, benefits etc

So for this time I am split between Labour and Lib Dems.
I would vote Lib Dem, but I fear Time Farron's stance on no coalitions (i.e. with labout) puts me off.

Edited by Efbe on Friday 21st April 20:53

CaptainSlow

13,179 posts

212 months

Friday 21st April 2017
quotequote all
User33678888 said:
I'm constantly amazed at the people rooting for a hard brexit regardless of consequence.
Do you not realise quite how fked we'd be economically if we couldn't trade with 27 of our biggest partners for just a year?
Perhaps you're all too young to remember the 3 day week.
This country is populated by morons.
Why can't we trade? Are you one of the morons?

FN2TypeR

7,091 posts

93 months

Friday 21st April 2017
quotequote all
///ajd said:
Playing with the seat calculator, it appears that even if the LDs get 50+ or even more seats, Labour will lose so many that a coalition like 2010 seem unlikely.
I've had a look at it too, we're definately heading towards a Tory government IMO, but I doubt it'll be that much bigger than it is now, I could well be wrong of course, but I'd imagine the Tory seat share will be closer to 350 than 400.

One thing I'm not that sure on is turnout - lets face it, the last year or so has been pretty full on (for those who are paying attention anyway) so that could lead to voter fatigue, those who want to use this election as a proxy remain/EEA vote seem quite motivated on social media etc however and if they do turn out to vote that could help the Lib Dems.

It's gonna be an interesting one, that's for sure!

NerveAgent

3,306 posts

220 months

Friday 21st April 2017
quotequote all
Tories and labour seem pretty set on destroying my career (contracting/freelancing) and I generally agree with with the liberal democrat policies so ill probably go for them. Not a fan of Tim farron though.

caelite

4,274 posts

112 months

Friday 21st April 2017
quotequote all
No field for SNP? The majority up my way seems to fall in to two camps:

SNP - Actually likes Sturgeon and the policies of her party

SNP - Want Scottish Indy and see the rather crap party as a necessity