How much would fusion power wreck the economy?

How much would fusion power wreck the economy?

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hidetheelephants

24,322 posts

193 months

Sunday 3rd April 2022
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If they can get polywell to work we would not be far from the Hollywood dream of Mr Fusion and a reactor that will fit in a car. hehe

Gary C

12,431 posts

179 months

Sunday 3rd April 2022
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annodomini2 said:
bucksmanuk said:
We are years off fusion being ready

First of all, we have to get more energy out than energy in. We are at 0.67 after 40 years of research.
90, fusion was first achieved in 1932
You don't mean a fusor do you ?

annodomini2

6,861 posts

251 months

Sunday 3rd April 2022
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Gary C said:
annodomini2 said:
bucksmanuk said:
We are years off fusion being ready

First of all, we have to get more energy out than energy in. We are at 0.67 after 40 years of research.
90, fusion was first achieved in 1932
You don't mean a fusor do you ?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_fusion

Gary C

12,431 posts

179 months

Sunday 3rd April 2022
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annodomini2 said:
Gary C said:
annodomini2 said:
bucksmanuk said:
We are years off fusion being ready

First of all, we have to get more energy out than energy in. We are at 0.67 after 40 years of research.
90, fusion was first achieved in 1932
You don't mean a fusor do you ?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_fusion
I know what fusion is, I was wondering when where and what method nuclear fusion was achieved in 1932 ?

Ah, bombarding lithium. Couldn't see the link at first.

Edited by Gary C on Sunday 3rd April 17:56

Stealthracer

7,725 posts

178 months

Sunday 3rd April 2022
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Well I'm pretty sure a couple of blokes in a shed won't be involved. I can't think of an invention that has started life in that way for many years.

(And yes, I realise that dozens of you will now jump on here to correct me. Well, I can take it)

speedy_thrills

7,760 posts

243 months

Wednesday 4th May 2022
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Disasterous if your economy is based around exporting energy (Russia, Saudi Arabia, UAE etc.) but really good if you are a large net importer like which uses energy for manufacturing (Germany, Japan etc.) You would probably see smelting industries move back to the country of ore deposits though to reduce the cost of transportation. The most important countries economically would become those with important resources like Australia, Brazil etc.

Overall the quality of living would improve substantially because energy is a bottleneck in our economy. If you can lower the cost of energy suddenly you can do all sorts of really interesting projects like in Australia, where I live, fresh water could be pumped from the mouth of major river systems to the outback so huge tracts of land could be irrigated. Ditto in the US water could be taken west from the Mississippi to the Colorado.

take-good-care-of-the-forest-dewey

5,155 posts

55 months

Wednesday 4th May 2022
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dundarach said:
It'd be great for Goole if we get it in East Yorkshire smile
It's actually quite safe, so your hopes of goole being improved by a giant fusion explosion are pretty remote.

hidetheelephants

24,322 posts

193 months

Wednesday 4th May 2022
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speedy_thrills said:
Disasterous if your economy is based around exporting energy (Russia, Saudi Arabia, UAE etc.) but really good if you are a large net importer like which uses energy for manufacturing (Germany, Japan etc.) You would probably see smelting industries move back to the country of ore deposits though to reduce the cost of transportation. The most important countries economically would become those with important resources like Australia, Brazil etc.

Overall the quality of living would improve substantially because energy is a bottleneck in our economy. If you can lower the cost of energy suddenly you can do all sorts of really interesting projects like in Australia, where I live, fresh water could be pumped from the mouth of major river systems to the outback so huge tracts of land could be irrigated. Ditto in the US water could be taken west from the Mississippi to the Colorado.
You'll be getting hatemail, espousing ideas like cheap energy. The greens really don't like that. Do any of Oz's river systems have much spare volume left? The greens will probably hate that too. hehe

dundarach

5,030 posts

228 months

Wednesday 4th May 2022
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take-good-care-of-the-forest-dewey said:
dundarach said:
It'd be great for Goole if we get it in East Yorkshire smile
It's actually quite safe, so your hopes of goole being improved by a giant fusion explosion are pretty remote.
smile

Nah, any wishes to 'improve' Goole personally would involve a digger, high tide and the latest flood predictions...


Ash_

5,929 posts

190 months

Thursday 5th May 2022
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hidetheelephants said:
speedy_thrills said:
Disasterous if your economy is based around exporting energy (Russia, Saudi Arabia, UAE etc.) but really good if you are a large net importer like which uses energy for manufacturing (Germany, Japan etc.) You would probably see smelting industries move back to the country of ore deposits though to reduce the cost of transportation. The most important countries economically would become those with important resources like Australia, Brazil etc.

Overall the quality of living would improve substantially because energy is a bottleneck in our economy. If you can lower the cost of energy suddenly you can do all sorts of really interesting projects like in Australia, where I live, fresh water could be pumped from the mouth of major river systems to the outback so huge tracts of land could be irrigated. Ditto in the US water could be taken west from the Mississippi to the Colorado.
You'll be getting hatemail, espousing ideas like cheap energy. The greens really don't like that. Do any of Oz's river systems have much spare volume left? The greens will probably hate that too. hehe
This is something I've thought about a few times, in that why can't (someone with a ton of money for example) built an aggregation plant for parts of Africa for example, much like the idea for Australia. But that then got me thinking (and I'm definitely no Greeny), but would turning desert lands in to useful farming land etc also have a detrimental effect on the wider environment?

hidetheelephants

24,322 posts

193 months

Thursday 5th May 2022
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Ash_ said:
This is something I've thought about a few times, in that why can't (someone with a ton of money for example) built an aggregation plant for parts of Africa for example, much like the idea for Australia. But that then got me thinking (and I'm definitely no Greeny), but would turning desert lands in to useful farming land etc also have a detrimental effect on the wider environment?
It would certainly cause massive environmental changes, what those could be would need very careful research and even then there would be very large error bands in predicting; regreening could have cooling effects due to water vapour forming cloud but the costs are massive if it's on a large scale and if river systems are already under stress there won't be water available, meaning desalination and pumping from the sea. If there's really cheap energy these things become possible if not necessarily advisable.

annodomini2

6,861 posts

251 months

Thursday 5th May 2022
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hidetheelephants said:
Ash_ said:
This is something I've thought about a few times, in that why can't (someone with a ton of money for example) built an aggregation plant for parts of Africa for example, much like the idea for Australia. But that then got me thinking (and I'm definitely no Greeny), but would turning desert lands in to useful farming land etc also have a detrimental effect on the wider environment?
It would certainly cause massive environmental changes, what those could be would need very careful research and even then there would be very large error bands in predicting; regreening could have cooling effects due to water vapour forming cloud but the costs are massive if it's on a large scale and if river systems are already under stress there won't be water available, meaning desalination and pumping from the sea. If there's really cheap energy these things become possible if not necessarily advisable.
I'm not an expert, but as far as I understand extra clouds trap more heat and deserts reflect a lot of sunlight back into space so it may make the situation worse.

Donbot

3,933 posts

127 months

Thursday 5th May 2022
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Ash_ said:
This is something I've thought about a few times, in that why can't (someone with a ton of money for example) built an aggregation plant for parts of Africa for example, much like the idea for Australia. But that then got me thinking (and I'm definitely no Greeny), but would turning desert lands in to useful farming land etc also have a detrimental effect on the wider environment?
Because people with AKs will turn up, claim it is theirs and ruin the whole project.

speedy_thrills

7,760 posts

243 months

Wednesday 11th May 2022
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Ash_ said:
This is something I've thought about a few times, in that why can't (someone with a ton of money for example) built an aggregation plant for parts of Africa for example, much like the idea for Australia. But that then got me thinking (and I'm definitely no Greeny), but would turning desert lands in to useful farming land etc also have a detrimental effect on the wider environment?
North Africa, the Saharah, greens itself in 20,000 year cycles when earths tilt shifts. That's how all those ancient civilisations lived there.

Quote a lot of the worlds most productive farm land has been engineered into existence but progressively the low hanging fruit have been picked. What remains are much larger or lower yielding projects. Frankly with food prices so low it's hardly worthwhile.

hidetheelephants

24,322 posts

193 months

Wednesday 11th May 2022
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annodomini2 said:
I'm not an expert, but as far as I understand extra clouds trap more heat and deserts reflect a lot of sunlight back into space so it may make the situation worse.
The net effect is supposed to be cooling, I misremembered.

Ash_

5,929 posts

190 months

Thursday 12th May 2022
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hidetheelephants said:
annodomini2 said:
I'm not an expert, but as far as I understand extra clouds trap more heat and deserts reflect a lot of sunlight back into space so it may make the situation worse.
The net effect is supposed to be cooling, I misremembered.
That's a fantastic article and idea, the transformation of the plateau in China is incredible in just 20 years. But, one thing to consider is the impact on wildlife, many animals there would have evolved over many years to live in that kind of habitat, would those creatures be able to survive in a drastically changed environment like that?

budgie smuggler

5,383 posts

159 months

Thursday 12th May 2022
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bucksmanuk said:
It’ll be some bloke in a shed who cracks it…
Not sure about it being quite as small as a shed but there are a few smaller outfits doing interesting stuff, e.g. First Light Fusion who are testing a very different approach which uses a rail gun

https://youtu.be/8Q5aZl9QMXo?t=238

Edited by budgie smuggler on Thursday 12th May 10:39

Fusion777

2,228 posts

48 months

Friday 13th May 2022
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Reasonably priced, reliable, clean, scalable energy would be a very, very good thing for the world's economy. It won't be so good for petroeconomies if they don't transition to something else in time.

speedy_thrills

7,760 posts

243 months

Friday 13th May 2022
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hidetheelephants said:
The net effect is supposed to be cooling, I misremembered.
FDRs New Deal program in the 30s and 40s created a series of Berms and Swales in the desert outside Tucson, Arizona as a civilian Civilian Conservation Corps. project. Still there today and doing a remarkable job of greening the desert. Well worth a visit if you are ever there (take some hiking boots and a couple of bottles of water!)

Edit to add: https://youtu.be/1I-Et4FnEvA

Edited by speedy_thrills on Friday 13th May 18:22

Iamnotkloot

1,426 posts

147 months

Monday 16th May 2022
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speedy_thrills said:
hidetheelephants said:
The net effect is supposed to be cooling, I misremembered.
FDRs New Deal program in the 30s and 40s created a series of Berms and Swales in the desert outside Tucson, Arizona as a civilian Civilian Conservation Corps. project. Still there today and doing a remarkable job of greening the desert. Well worth a visit if you are ever there (take some hiking boots and a couple of bottles of water!)

Edit to add: https://youtu.be/1I-Et4FnEvA

Edited by speedy_thrills on Friday 13th May 18:22
Really interesting video that, thanks!