The Official F1 2021 silly season *contains speculation*

The Official F1 2021 silly season *contains speculation*

Author
Discussion

thegreenhell

15,330 posts

219 months

Tuesday 20th October 2020
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Part of the reason Mercedes have been so strong over such a long period has been in their succession planning. They'd be stupid not to do the same with their drivers. We all know that Hamilton is closer to the end of his career than the beginning, so he will be gone sooner rather than later. Also, Mercedes aren't a team that will have two nobodies as drivers. If Hamilton were to leave suddenly, Bottas and Russell aren't going to cut it from a marketing point of view, even if they can do it on the track. They'll get another big name driver in there, just like they've always done.

MiniMan64

16,924 posts

190 months

Tuesday 20th October 2020
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thegreenhell said:
Part of the reason Mercedes have been so strong over such a long period has been in their succession planning. They'd be stupid not to do the same with their drivers. We all know that Hamilton is closer to the end of his career than the beginning, so he will be gone sooner rather than later. Also, Mercedes aren't a team that will have two nobodies as drivers. If Hamilton were to leave suddenly, Bottas and Russell aren't going to cut it from a marketing point of view, even if they can do it on the track. They'll get another big name driver in there, just like they've always done.
Who would be big enough to fill Hamilton’s boots at this point? I can only think of two and they’re not going anywhere.

LaurasOtherHalf

21,429 posts

196 months

Tuesday 20th October 2020
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Verstappen would race for free if it got him that seat and don't be daft enough to think that Jos hasn't got a clause in their for him to get out if it became available.

TheDeuce

21,545 posts

66 months

Tuesday 20th October 2020
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Max would totally take it. Let's face it, assuming Mercedes take both titles again next year then they're appealling enough to attract any driver on the grid and frankly can afford to buy any driver they choose out of whatever stage of contract they're in - even if a driver hasn't got a get out clause, they're still on the table from Mercs pov.

I agree with comments above about driver line up being important but I don't see it as Mercedes dropping the ball. They've simply sacrificed concerns about finding a replacement for Lewis ahead of time, in order to focus everything on helping him secure that record breaking 8th title next year, along with their own as a constructor of course. A major part of that plan means they want to keep bottas and not upset the apple cart by swapping him for someone else. Even if one or both drivers do leave at the end of 2021 then it will still have been worth it. And as I said in paragraph one, they could ultimately get whoever they wanted in to the seat(s) very quickly if they need to.

thegreenhell

15,330 posts

219 months

Tuesday 20th October 2020
quotequote all
MiniMan64 said:
Who would be big enough to fill Hamilton’s boots at this point? I can only think of two and they’re not going anywhere.
This is the problem for Mercedes, and to an extent for F1. Such few drivers have had a chance to excel over the last decade that there isn't much of a next wave of drivers to take over. Behind the old guard WDCs (Ham, Vet, Kimi, Alonso) is just a whole generation of journeymen who will never step up, and then the fresh young guns. The only real proven talent left is Max, Ricc and possibly Leclerc. With those three now tied up in other big teams, this is why Alonso is coming back, because there just isn't the depth left to lead the remaining top teams.

This is what happens when teams are allowed to dominate for too long, and drivers hang around in the sport for too long. It stifles the development of the next generation because everyone is too focused on maintaining their own status quo. We have a strong generation coming to an end, and a weakened next generation left to fill the gap. It's entirely conceivable that in three years time we'll have an F1 with no past champions racing in it.

anonymous-user

54 months

Tuesday 20th October 2020
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LaurasOtherHalf said:
Verstappen would race for free if it got him that seat and don't be daft enough to think that Jos hasn't got a clause in their for him to get out if it became available.
No driver of his calibre will drive for free.

anonymous-user

54 months

Tuesday 20th October 2020
quotequote all
thegreenhell said:
This is the problem for Mercedes, and to an extent for F1. Such few drivers have had a chance to excel over the last decade that there isn't much of a next wave of drivers to take over. Behind the old guard WDCs (Ham, Vet, Kimi, Alonso) is just a whole generation of journeymen who will never step up, and then the fresh young guns. The only real proven talent left is Max, Ricc and possibly Leclerc. With those three now tied up in other big teams, this is why Alonso is coming back, because there just isn't the depth left to lead the remaining top teams.

This is what happens when teams are allowed to dominate for too long, and drivers hang around in the sport for too long. It stifles the development of the next generation because everyone is too focused on maintaining their own status quo. We have a strong generation coming to an end, and a weakened next generation left to fill the gap. It's entirely conceivable that in three years time we'll have an F1 with no past champions racing in it.
The top line drivers have always had long careers if they wanted them. If the young gun doesn't make an impression, they are out and make way for the next in the meat grinder. That is almost always what is going on in the lower rank teams, irrespective of era.

MissChief

7,107 posts

168 months

Wednesday 21st October 2020
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jsf said:
LaurasOtherHalf said:
Verstappen would race for free if it got him that seat and don't be daft enough to think that Jos hasn't got a clause in their for him to get out if it became available.
No driver of his calibre will drive for free.
He will certainly drive for less than he would at an uncompetitive team.

number2

4,306 posts

187 months

Wednesday 21st October 2020
quotequote all
MissChief said:
jsf said:
LaurasOtherHalf said:
Verstappen would race for free if it got him that seat and don't be daft enough to think that Jos hasn't got a clause in their for him to get out if it became available.
No driver of his calibre will drive for free.
He will certainly drive for less than he would at an uncompetitive team.
Theoretical, as it's very unlikely he'll need to.

Piginapoke

4,760 posts

185 months

Wednesday 21st October 2020
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jsf said:
No driver of his calibre will drive for free.
You are of course right, but Senna offered to do just that to join Williams Renault!

kiseca

9,339 posts

219 months

Wednesday 21st October 2020
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Piginapoke said:
jsf said:
No driver of his calibre will drive for free.
You are of course right, but Senna offered to do just that to join Williams Renault!
Senna did say that, but I'm pretty sure he didn't offer it and he wouldn't have done it. For one thing, he said it to a camera, not to Frank Williams directly.

He did like to use the media to take cheap shots at his rivals and I reckon he said that to try unsettle Prost... again. Behind the scenes, he was one of the hardest contract negotiators on the grid. Ron used to dread the contract negotiations with him.

LaurasOtherHalf

21,429 posts

196 months

Wednesday 21st October 2020
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For all those somewhere on the spectrum, it's usually meant as a figure of speech. As in, the driver would be willing to do anything/break any contract to get into the seat that almost guarantees success, not actually drive for no money at all.

HTH

vaud

50,474 posts

155 months

Wednesday 21st October 2020
quotequote all
...or to drive for a low base and £ per point.

If I were a team principal at the time I think I'd rather pay Senna a capped salary with my best lawyer double checking every clause.

Fundoreen

4,180 posts

83 months

Wednesday 21st October 2020
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Where did all this perez to zero points williams originate?
At the moment he is the hapless pawn cut loose by sinister billionare interests.
If he takes the bait and displaces Russell he is now the villain of the piece and will look quite silly.
Meanwhile the whole thing takes pressure of those bozos at tracing point true or false.

If its signing for 2022 with a year off 2021 fair enough.

Bo_apex

2,562 posts

218 months

Wednesday 21st October 2020
quotequote all
thegreenhell said:
This is the problem for Mercedes, and to an extent for F1. Such few drivers have had a chance to excel over the last decade that there isn't much of a next wave of drivers to take over. Behind the old guard WDCs (Ham, Vet, Kimi, Alonso) is just a whole generation of journeymen who will never step up, and then the fresh young guns. The only real proven talent left is Max, Ricc and possibly Leclerc. With those three now tied up in other big teams, this is why Alonso is coming back, because there just isn't the depth left to lead the remaining top teams.

This is what happens when teams are allowed to dominate for too long, and drivers hang around in the sport for too long. It stifles the development of the next generation because everyone is too focused on maintaining their own status quo. We have a strong generation coming to an end, and a weakened next generation left to fill the gap. It's entirely conceivable that in three years time we'll have an F1 with no past champions racing in it.
If Mercedes want to keep playing it safe they may offer Alonso a seat instead of a young gun if Hamilton retires in a year or two.
But would Bottas hang around ?


HighwayStar

4,257 posts

144 months

Wednesday 21st October 2020
quotequote all
Bo_apex said:
thegreenhell said:
This is the problem for Mercedes, and to an extent for F1. Such few drivers have had a chance to excel over the last decade that there isn't much of a next wave of drivers to take over. Behind the old guard WDCs (Ham, Vet, Kimi, Alonso) is just a whole generation of journeymen who will never step up, and then the fresh young guns. The only real proven talent left is Max, Ricc and possibly Leclerc. With those three now tied up in other big teams, this is why Alonso is coming back, because there just isn't the depth left to lead the remaining top teams.

This is what happens when teams are allowed to dominate for too long, and drivers hang around in the sport for too long. It stifles the development of the next generation because everyone is too focused on maintaining their own status quo. We have a strong generation coming to an end, and a weakened next generation left to fill the gap. It's entirely conceivable that in three years time we'll have an F1 with no past champions racing in it.
If Mercedes want to keep playing it safe they may offer Alonso a seat instead of a young gun if Hamilton retires in a year or two.
But would Bottas hang around ?
Lewis as already said he wants to stay in F1 for another 3 years. I also remember an interview where he said he said he was impressed with the look of the 2022 cars and wanted to race them. Of course his plans could change for whatever reason.
https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-motor-f1-britain...

HustleRussell

24,691 posts

160 months

Wednesday 21st October 2020
quotequote all
Bo_apex said:
thegreenhell said:
This is the problem for Mercedes, and to an extent for F1. Such few drivers have had a chance to excel over the last decade that there isn't much of a next wave of drivers to take over. Behind the old guard WDCs (Ham, Vet, Kimi, Alonso) is just a whole generation of journeymen who will never step up, and then the fresh young guns. The only real proven talent left is Max, Ricc and possibly Leclerc. With those three now tied up in other big teams, this is why Alonso is coming back, because there just isn't the depth left to lead the remaining top teams.

This is what happens when teams are allowed to dominate for too long, and drivers hang around in the sport for too long. It stifles the development of the next generation because everyone is too focused on maintaining their own status quo. We have a strong generation coming to an end, and a weakened next generation left to fill the gap. It's entirely conceivable that in three years time we'll have an F1 with no past champions racing in it.
If Mercedes want to keep playing it safe they may offer Alonso a seat instead of a young gun if Hamilton retires in a year or two.
But would Bottas hang around ?
I think that Toto, due to his long standing management relationship with Valterri, will want to see him win a WDC- be that by Bottas sneaking one out of the handful where he is up against Hamilton as Rosberg did, or if Toto can engineer an opportunity when Hamilton goes.

LaurasOtherHalf

21,429 posts

196 months

Wednesday 21st October 2020
quotequote all
HustleRussell said:
I think that Toto, due to his long standing management relationship with Valterri, will want to see him win a WDC- be that by Bottas sneaking one out of the handful where he is up against Hamilton as Rosberg did, or if Toto can engineer an opportunity when Hamilton goes.
He doesn't seem the sort to gift someone a championship to me.

number2

4,306 posts

187 months

Wednesday 21st October 2020
quotequote all
LaurasOtherHalf said:
HustleRussell said:
I think that Toto, due to his long standing management relationship with Valterri, will want to see him win a WDC- be that by Bottas sneaking one out of the handful where he is up against Hamilton as Rosberg did, or if Toto can engineer an opportunity when Hamilton goes.
He doesn't seem the sort to gift someone a championship to me.
Yeah, can't see that happening at all.

The best chance Bottas has of getting a WDC is if Hamilton retired and the seat wasn't filled by Max, LeClerc or Ricciardo, say. And Merc are still on top form.

Bottas has pace - he's up against the best and he's not looking like a total fool. He just lacks the 'edge', be that outright pace, consistency, digging just that bit deeper, being a bit more aggressive - playing the odds better in a race.

TheDeuce

21,545 posts

66 months

Wednesday 21st October 2020
quotequote all
number2 said:
LaurasOtherHalf said:
HustleRussell said:
I think that Toto, due to his long standing management relationship with Valterri, will want to see him win a WDC- be that by Bottas sneaking one out of the handful where he is up against Hamilton as Rosberg did, or if Toto can engineer an opportunity when Hamilton goes.
He doesn't seem the sort to gift someone a championship to me.
Yeah, can't see that happening at all.

The best chance Bottas has of getting a WDC is if Hamilton retired and the seat wasn't filled by Max, LeClerc or Ricciardo, say. And Merc are still on top form.

Bottas has pace - he's up against the best and he's not looking like a total fool. He just lacks the 'edge', be that outright pace, consistency, digging just that bit deeper, being a bit more aggressive - playing the odds better in a race.
If Lewis clears off and someone new, even someone very good comes in - Bottas should have his chance. Even an incoming star driver would be at somewhat of a disadvantage as Bottas knows the team, his engineers and the traits of the car extremely well at this point. If he still couldn't get it done, or at least have it down to the wire, he wouldn't look particularly good imo.